Daily updates on climate change and the global economy.

Climate 30 Oct 2018 unprecedented Yukon glacier shrinkage

“Scientists in Canada have warned that massive glaciers in the Yukon territory are shrinking even faster than would be expected from a warming climate – and bringing dramatic changes to the region…

“The rate of warming in the north is double that of the average global temperature increase, concluded the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in its annual Arctic Report Card, which called the warming “unprecedented”.”

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/oct/30/canada-glaciers-yukon-shrinking


“Severe flooding in parts of Mexico DF: The heavy rain began to fall at approximately 18:00 hours and for almost an hour lashed the area, which in a matter of minutes flooded all the overpasses of Avenida Insurgentes, which caused the vehicles could not pass… the line of cars now reaches five kilometers on Insurgentes.”

https://www.diariodemexico.com/causan-lluvias-inundaciones-en-insurgentes-norte-llaman-evitar-la-zona


“The population of Port-au-Prince, one of the colonies of New Guinea, in the Autonomous Region of the South Caribbean Coast of Nicaragua, located 40 kilometers from the municipal seat, is alarmed due to the flooding caused by the flooding of the Chiquito River. for the rains that have fallen in the last hours.”

https://www.laprensa.com.ni/2018/10/29/departamentales/2490381-lluvias-causan-inundaciones-por-crecida-de-rio-en-puerto-principe-nueva-guinea


“A strong storm system will bring the potential for heavy rain, thunderstorms and flash flooding for the main Hawaiian islands starting Monday night through Wednesday, with a flash flood watch taking effect at 6 p.m. Monday and running through late Tuesday night.”

https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2018/10/29/heavy-rain-flash-flooding-threaten-entire-state/


“Yutu, the 18th typhoon to hit the Philippines this year, swept across the main island of Luzon on Tuesday morning with wind speeds of 140 km per hour (87 mph) and gusts of up to 230 kph (142 mph), and was expected to exit in the afternoon. The typhoon, named Rosita by Philippine authorities, comes just six weeks after super typhoon Mangkhut dumped massive rains on Luzon, triggering landslides that killed more than 70 people. Thousands of people were preemptively evacuated on Monday.”

https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-storm-yutu/typhoon-yutu-weakens-as-it-slams-ashore-in-northern-philippines-idUKKCN1N4033


“Canberra is set for a burst of record-setting hot weather, as temperatures push into the mid-30s in the first week of November…

“If the forecast holds, it will mark the hottest temperature recorded at this time of year since the bureau started taking observations at Canberra Airport in 2007.”

https://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/act/summer-s-here-canberra-set-for-record-setting-burst-of-hot-weather-20181029-p50ckv.html


“The rainfall has deceived major parts of the western state of Maharashtra [India] this season.

“The return showers expected in September before closing out the monsoon never arrived. “My soyabean crop dried up,” says Khilche.

https://www.firstpost.com/india/with-receding-water-levels-maharashtra-grapples-with-agrarian-distress-as-experts-say-drought-situation-worse-than-in-2012-15-5468861.html


“Gale force winds were the order of the day along the Port Elizabeth coast [South Africa] on Tuesday, but Monday yielded some record temperatures over the interior… “At the last three stations, the temperatures were a record for the month October.””

https://www.rnews.co.za/article/22420/record-high-temperatures-recorded-on-monday-across-eastern-cape


“The death toll in the Southern Cape fires has increased to eight. Two women and six children burnt to death in Farleigh outside Knysna. Some of the victims are related. Meanwhile, hundreds of people have been evacuated overnight after fires engulfed parts of George and Karatara in the southern Cape.”

https://www.enca.com/news/update-death-toll-southern-cape-fires-increases-8


“Ten people have been confirmed killed… by flood in Nigeria’s southern state of Anambra, according to a local government official on Monday. Arinze Awogu, head of the Ogbaru local government area of the state, told reporters that a three-year-old child was among those killed by the devastating flood in the area since last Friday. A total of 16 communities were submerged by the flood caused by heavy rains, he said.”

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-10/30/c_137567392.htm


Strong winds and heavy rain have battered parts of Italy, causing nine deaths… Schools have been closed around the country and the authorities have warned against non-essential travel as the Civil Protection Agency issued multiple weather warnings… The water rose 160 centimeters (five feet, three inches) above sea level at high tide, meaning that at least 77% of the city was under water. If the tide levels are verified, the reading will be the highest since December 1979.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/30/europe/venice-flooding-intl/index.html


“Lithuania’s economy contracted for the first time in eight years on quarterly basis as a severe drought hurt the harvest.

“A heatwave that swept across Europe this summer damaged Lithuanian grain production, prompting authorities to declare a state of national disaster.”

https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/drought-caused-lithuania-s-first-economic-drop-in-eight-years#gs.H7yY3A0


“The unusually warm temperatures that bathed much of the United States for the first half of autumn had another effect aside from keeping us comfortable for a few extra weeks. The abnormal warmth kept the trees from changing colors, delaying the appearance of much-revered fall foliage for a few weeks and muting the colors that have shown up.”

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dennismersereau/2018/10/30/unusually-warm-fall-stifles-this-years-fall-foliage-in-mid-atlantic-southeast/#1fbd7551193c


Read yesterday’s ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 29 Oct 2018 record low water levels for Germany

“In Lake Constance, a new island has emerged. In Berlin, a river is flowing backward. A large number of lakes and ponds are seeing dead fish along their banks. Barges are hardly being loaded so they don’t run aground.

“This is the scene in Germany after a long and dry summer has left the country’s lakes and rivers at record low levels. The levels are causing chaos for the inland shipping industry while causing environmental damage and billions of dollars in losses. Experts fear this could be a sign of what’s to come as global temperatures rise.

“In Magdeburg, the Elbe River has been so low that no ships carrying goods south to Leipzig or on to the Czech Republic have been able to pass through since the end of June, said Hartmut Rhein of the city’s waterways and shipping department.

“The river’s down to a depth less than 20 inches there when at least double that level is needed for normal shipping traffic, he said.

““At the moment the only possibility is to completely unload ships and transfer their cargoes to other means of transportation,” he said.

“The situation is similar across Germany. The mighty Rhine has hit its lowest water levels ever at several points, and other major rivers like the Danube, the Weser and the Main are all far below normal…”

https://weather.com/news/news/2018-10-27-germany-water-levels-causing-chaos/


“Apparently a low pressure system from the south will bring heavy rain followed by unseasonably warm air to Denmark on Tuesday, pushing temperatures up to 18 degrees in the south, and to 16 in Copenhagen. Should it exceed 19.1, it will set a new record for October 30 (recorded in 2005), and if the system hangs around, it will have the all-time November record of 18.5 (2 Nov 1968) in its sights.”

http://cphpost.dk/news/indian-summer-to-hit-southern-denmark-on-tuesday.html


“Four people died overnight in a landslide due to a wave of adverse weather that swept Italy from north to south at the weekend, local media reported Sunday.

“A local entrepreneur and three workers — all reportedly men aged in their 40s to 50s — were submerged by a pile of earth and mud while working on a sewage pipe amid torrential rain.”

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-10/28/c_137564832.htm


“As many as 60 people were injured as a result of flooding and mudslides in Russia’s southern Kuban region, regional emergency services told Sputnik on Saturday.

““According to new information, 66 people were injured, six of them died, two are missing,” a spokesperson said, adding that nine people were sent to hospital.”

https://nation.com.pk/28-Oct-2018/flooding-mudslides-leave-60-people-injured-in-russia


“Dozens of homes, shopping centers and public offices in northeastern Iraq suffered floods due to torrential rains, although no deaths have been reported so far. The worst consequences were recorded in the villages located on the slopes of Mount Qandil.”

https://www.prensa-latina.cu/index.php?o=rn&id=223690&SEO=lluvias-causan-inundaciones-en-nordeste-de-iraq


“The northern province of Mazandaran [Iran] has experiencing the record high for unseasonably warm temperatures during autumn. Temperature raised to 39 degrees on the Celsius scale in the city of Galugah on Thursday which is unprecedented compared to the past 30 years meteorological data, according to IRNA.”

https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/429002/Unseasonably-warm-autumn-hits-northern-Iran


“October is turning out to be Mumbai’s cruellest month. Sunday was its second hottest day in the decade at 38 degrees Celsius, the hottest being in 2015 at 38.6 degrees Celsius… The hottest day in the decade and the all-time record for Mumbai is 38.6 degrees Celsius on October 17, 2015.”

https://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/mumbai/sunday-is-citys-second-hottest-october-day/article25355052.ece


“The Yemeni government said on Saturday it is facing an “unprecedented catastrophe” resulting from a tropical cyclone that hit the east of the war-devastated country earlier this month.

“Newly appointed Prime Minister Maeen Abdul Malek said that his tours of several parts of the eastern province of Mahra and reports from local officials have pointed to an “unprecedented catastrophe”.”

https://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/yemen/yemeni-government-faces-cyclone-catastrophe-1.2294512


“The current flooding in some parts of [Nigeria] may lead to severe food shortages with attendant implications on the economy. Following the torrential rains and severe flooding in parts of the Nigeria, the National Emergency Management Agency recently declared a national disaster as flood ravaged many states including Kebbi, Niger, Kwara, Edo, Kogi, Anambra, Rivers, Bayelsa and Delta, Taraba, Benue and Adamawa.”

https://allafrica.com/stories/201810290035.html


“Authorities have started evacuating residents in parts of Luzon [Philippines] as typhoon Rosita churned towards the region on Monday, threatening to unleash possible floods, landslides and storm surges.

“Rosita is expected to hit land in the Isabela-Aurora area early Tuesday, 2 days before millions of Filipino Catholics troop to cemeteries to honor their dead during the All Saints’ Day and All Souls’ Day holidays.”

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/29/18/evacuations-start-as-luzon-braces-for-rosita


“Australia’s north is continuing to endure a monstrous heatwave, with no relief in sight. Central Queensland registered 40C temperatures for the tenth consecutive day on Sunday, but the area will see extreme heat until Thursday.

“The soaring temperatures shattered October records that had been in place for the region for more than 120 years, with one regional town topping out at nearly 44C.”

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6325285/Queensland-swelters-mercury-tops-40C-TENTH-day-row-not-yet.html


“Some airport and shipping access has returned to a U.S. Pacific territory ravaged by a super typhoon, but tens of thousands of residents still without power and sifting through rubble face a long road to recovery.

“Saipan International Airport reopened with limited service Sunday after Super Typhoon Yutu slammed the Northern Mariana Islands this week as a Category 5 storm.”

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/resilient-islanders-brace-long-recovery-typhoon-58785578


“”Did the water come strong? Yes, look, a meter. Did the water get into your houses? Yes it came to the top. Did the furniture get wet? Everything, everything is flooded. The chairs danced, “said Miguel Ángel Sánchez.

“The municipality of Ecatepec , State of Mexico, was one of the most affected.”

https://noticieros.televisa.com/ultimas-noticias/inundaciones-clima-lluvia-ecatepec-edomex/


“An intense storm of heavy rains and winds left this Saturday morning flooded streets in the Federal Capital and Greater Buenos Aires [Argentina], where the National Meteorological Service kept the warning alert for hail fall.

“In some Buenosairean neighborhoods and in localities of the conurbano there were floodings of streets and accesses, due to the great quantity of water fallen in very little time.”

http://www.ambito.com/935102-fuerte-tormenta-provoco-inundaciones-interrupcion-de-subtes-y-anegamientos-de-calles


“2018 is on track to be the wettest year on record in Louisville, according to the National Weather Service.

“Through Friday, Louisville has received 57.02 inches of precipitation, which is 20.05 inches above normal for this time of year, NWS Louisville offiicials said.”

https://eu.courier-journal.com/story/weather/2018/10/27/national-weather-service-louisville-pace-wettest-year-history-2018/1788615002/


“Florida authorities have linked six more deaths to Hurricane Michael, raising the state’s death toll to 35. The storm’s overall death toll now stands at 45, with 10 deaths in other states.”

https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/hurricane-michael-killed-35-florida-45-total-58804785


“Oscar became the eighth hurricane of the Atlantic hurricane season overnight and is expected to strengthen further… The Atlantic and Pacific Ocean hurricane season is most powerful on record this year.”

https://eu.floridatoday.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2018/10/29/hurricane-oscar-forecast-and-path-where-oscar-going/1804577002/


“…heavy rain that hit the area of ​​Portalegre [Portugal] had caused sudden floods. Several vehicles of the Baja Portalegre 500 race were practically submerged…”

https://www.dn.pt/pais/interior/chuva-forte-em-portalegre-causou-inundacoes-e-submergiu-automoveis-10095186.html


“Every major city in Europe is warmer in the 21st century than it was in the 20th and Andalucia has experienced one of the highest temperature hikes on the continent. In Malaga, Cordoba and Granada the average yearly temperature in the 21st century was at least 1.5°C higher than in the 20th century, according to an investigation by the European Data Journalism Network.”

http://www.theolivepress.es/spain-news/2018/10/29/temperatures-in-spains-andalucia-hit-climate-change-limit/


Read the previous ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 26 Oct 2018 lethal flooding in The Levant

“The bodies of 19 people — many of them schoolchildren — who were swept to their deaths by flash floods near Jordan’s Dead Sea area have been recovered.

“The tragedy happened after heavy rains on Thursday, Jordan’s official Petra news agency reported, citing disaster management officials.

“Some 35 people were treated for injuries. Rescuers are searching for missing people, the report added. Divers and air force helicopters are taking part in the operation, Petra said.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/26/middleeast/jordan-schoolchildren-floods-dead-intl/index.html


“A four-year-old boy drowned in a flash flood caused by heavy rainfall in Israel’s south on Thursday…

“The heavy rains began falling in the area of the Dead Sea and the Negev Desert on Tuesday night and continued to Thursday, causing major flooding. Major roadways have been closed until further notice. The rainfall was expected to reach its peak on Thursday night.”

https://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Four-year-old-boy-drowns-in-flooding-in-southern-Israel-570337


“Turkey’s state-run news agency says six migrants have drowned after being swept away by floodwaters as they tried to illegally cross into Turkey from Syria. Anadolu Agency said paramilitary police and rescuers recovered the bodies of six people Thursday near the border town of Yayladagi, in Hatay province, following severe flooding. The agency said the victims were Syrians.”

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/latest-floods-kill-syrians-enter-turkey-58751506


Footage of freak hailstorm battering Beirut:

https://news.sky.com/video/hail-storm-batter-beirut-11535846


“Of all the problems faced by Qatar’s World Cup, rainfall was probably the very last issue tournament organizers in the desert state expected to deal with.

“But severe flooding caused by a year’s worth of rain has again raised questions over the ability of Qatar’s infrastructure — much of it being put in place for 2022 — to cope with such conditions.”

http://www.arabnews.com/node/1394101/middle-east


“At least six people have been killed in Russia’s southwestern Krasnodar Krai region during flooding caused by heavy rain.

“Krasnodar Krai Emergencies Minister Sergei Kapustin said on October 26 that the bodies of the flood victims had been found in the region’s Tuapse and Apsheron districts.”

https://www.kyivpost.com/russia/rfe-rl-floods-in-russias-krasnodar-krai-region-kill-six.html


“Thousands of gold and silver coins were discovered. The find was not only comprised of coins but also various weapons dating back to the 1600’s and 1700’s….

“Similarly to other rivers across Europe, the Danube is experiencing historically low levels, caused by an extensive period of dry weather. In Budapest, the water level is at a dangerously low 38 centimeters, which has affected shipping traffic.”

https://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Hungary-Drought-Reveals-18th-Century-Coins-Weapons-20181025-0028.html


“With 155 deaths already confirmed since Ebola was declared in the country’s North Kivu region on August 1, fears of a cross-border epidemic are rising with new cases reported close to the Ugandan frontier. But local and international efforts to contain the spread of what is seen as the most dangerous Ebola outbreak in the country’s history have suffered repeated setbacks in conditions one Western aid worker described as “close to impossible”.”

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/10/26/ebola-outbreak-spreads-war-disease-threaten-perfect-storm/


“As well as helping scientists better understand the ice ages, the new findings also provide context to current CO2 rise and climate change.

“”Although the CO2 rise that helped end the last ice age was dramatic in geological terms, CO2 rise due to human activity over the last 100 years is even larger and about 100 times faster”, said Dr. Rae.”

https://phys.org/news/2018-10-antarctic-ocean-carbon-dioxide-ice.html


“Australians should brace for a dry, hot summer… The bureau’s climate outlook for November to January, released on Friday, says there is an 80% chance temperatures will be higher than average for most of the mainland.

““You don’t often see odds that high,” said Dr Andrew Watkins, the bureau’s manager of long-range forecasts. “It’s astounding honestly.””

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/26/dry-hot-summer-on-the-cards-with-no-relief-for-drought-stricken-farmers


“The Northern Mariana Islands are just beginning to pick up the pieces after Super Typhoon Yutu made a direct hit on the islands early Thursday morning as a Category 5 storm with sustained winds of 180 mph…

“The islands, which are a US commonwealth, now face a months-long recovery effort. Here’s what the islands looked like after the storm had passed through:”

http://uk.businessinsider.com/typhoon-yutu-photos-show-northern-mariana-islands-devastation-2018-10?r=US&IR=T/#at-least-one-person-has-been-confirmed-dead-from-yutu-in-the-northern-mariana-islands-a-44-year-old-woman-died-after-taking-shelter-in-an-abandoned-building-on-saipan-which-collapsed-1


“Two weeks before Yutu struck, Hurricane Michael became the fourth Atlantic Category 4 to make landfall in the United States since August 2017… Michael was the third-most-intense continental U.S. landfall by pressure and fourth-strongest by maximum sustained winds on record. It was also the most-intense Florida Panhandle landfall on record, the first Category 4 hurricane to do so in records dating to the mid-19th century.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/10/25/five-category-tropical-cyclones-have-struck-us-soil-months-this-is-likely-without-precedent/


“Oregon is known by many as a wet place, with persistent rain and forests enveloped in fog. This year is different…

“The Willamette Valley experienced its driest ever May through September period. In September, statewide streamflows averaged just 55 percent of normal, and many reservoirs across the state were at less than 25 percent of capacity at the end of the month.”

https://psmag.com/environment/water-shortage-in-oregon-is-set-to-continue


“It’s officially the wettest October in the Dallas-Fort Worth area since records have been kept, and more rain could be on the horizon. The National Weather Service in Fort Worth reported Thursday morning that 14.51 inches of rain had fallen at DFW Aiport through Wednesday, beating the previous record of 14.18 inches set in 1981. That comes in the midst of the wettest fall on record in North Texas.”

https://www.star-telegram.com/news/local/community/fort-worth/article220599400.html


“Climate change is coming like a freight train, or a rising tide. And our food, so dependent on rain and suitable temperatures, sits right in its path…

“Here are five foods, and food-growing places, that will see the impact: wheat, peaches, coffee, corn, almonds.”

https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2018/10/25/658588158/5-major-crops-in-the-crosshairs-of-climate-change


“In April 2017, scientists from Climate Central—an international association of scientists and journalists reporting and researching climate change—released a stunning chart depicting a month by month temperature rise since 1880.

““There has not been a cool month in 628 months.””

https://www.downtoearth.org.in/news/climate-change/not-a-single-cool-month-in-the-last-628-months-61946


Read yesterday’s ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 25 Oct 2018 219mph winds for Marianas

“Footage from the Northern Mariana Islands shows roofs ripped off houses, flooding and what looks like a shipping container flung on top of a row of cars. NASA estimates that Super Typhoon Yutu struck the U.S. territory with wind gusts up to 219 miles per hour…

“Yutu is the latest in a series of tropical cyclones that have intensified incredibly quickly, strengthening from a category 1 to category 5 storm in under a day.”

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ericmack/2018/10/24/the-most-powerful-storm-of-the-year-typhoon-yutu-is-now-slamming-into-u-s-territory/#4318781e9a14


“Emergency workers struggled to reach beach towns left incommunicado by a blow from Hurricane Willa on Wednesday, and the storm continued to force evacuations due to fear of flooding even as it dissipated over northern Mexico.”

Flooding in Sinaloa:

http://time.com/5433572/floods-hurricane-willa-mexico/


“Metaltepec residents told the newspaper El Universal that at least 25 landslides have occurred on the highway… cutting off towns in the Sierra Mixe district… supplies are running short…

“At least 10 communities in the area have been cut off. Heavy rain brought by Tropical Storm Vicente caused flash flooding and mudslides that claimed the lives of 12 people over the past four days.”

https://mexiconewsdaily.com/news/family-missing-in-oaxaca-landslide/


“It’s as if Hurricane Maria had happened again.”

“In this way the mayor of Utuado, Ernesto Irizarry Salvá, referred to the heavy rains that have fallen in the past days in his municipality [of Puerto Rico].

https://www.telemundopr.com/noticias/destacados/Emergencia-en-Utuado-por-lluvias-y-derrumbes–498414271.html


“Venezuela is being ravaged by heavy rain and flooding which have led to landslides and the collapse of sewer systems in different parts of the country. The director of Venezuela’s Civil Protection — Randy Rodríguez — said Tuesday that 47 shelters have been enabled in the most affected states… The Venezuelan capital of Caracas has suffered substantial damage, as the city’s Guaire River has severely over flooded.”

https://okcfox.com/news/videos/venezuela-ravaged-by-heavy-rain-and-flooding


“The heavy rains that have fallen in the capital of Paraguay during the last days , have provoked strong floods and the activation of the red alert.

“The Municipal Board of Asunción agreed in its ordinary session to declare the city in a state of integral emergency for 90 days as a result of the floods suffered in the Paraguayan capital in recent days.”

https://www.excelsior.com.mx/global/fuertes-inundaciones-en-paraguay-activan-alerta-roja/1273868


“”If warming trends continue, Quelccaya [Peru], which until recently was the world’s largest tropical ice cap, will have reached a state of irreversible retreat by the mid-2050…

“Once the melting reaches the glacier’s summit – its demise will be inevitable.”

https://phys.org/news/2018-10-peru-quelccaya-ice-cap-demise.html


“In the early 2000s, Wendy Foden discovered one of the first examples of the impact of climate change on nature: the iconic, long-lived quiver trees of the Northern Cape and Namibia were dying off from regional warming and water constraints.

““That was a really big deal globally. Everyone got really excited…” But less than 20 years later such impacts are commonplace…”

https://www.iol.co.za/saturday-star/dying-quiver-trees-sentinels-for-climate-change-pressures-on-species-17635601


“…in some inland areas [of Queensland], heat records that have stood for more than 120 years may about to be shattered… It comes after a tumultuous few weeks of weather in the state with flooding rains followed by heatwaves. On Wednesday, Toowoomba was on the receiving end of a short but intense hailstorm.”

https://www.qt.com.au/news/hottest-october-day-for-almost-a-decade-could-hit-/3558758/


“Despite heavy rain lashing parts of [Australia] in recent weeks the big dry is far from over — and according to the Bureau of Meteorology, the hard times are set to continue.”

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-10-25/bom-outlook-grim-forecast-drought-to-continue/10427318


“The dream spring weather is about to come crashing down [New Zealand], with rain and a cool southerly change spreading up the country today… Hanmer had its warmest October temperature on record at 28.6C.”

https://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/news/national/your-weather-wet-weekend-on-the-way-for-most-of-the-country/


“The same energy in the atmosphere which created the severe thunderstorms and tornadoes also fueled several separate water spouts over the Rhode Island and Massachusetts waters.

“Some beautifully dramatic photos and videos!”

https://turnto10.com/weather/weather-blog/tornadoes-waterspouts-and-snow-wild-october-weather-continues


“With pastureland scorched, feed costs have skyrocketed. The past decade of setbacks has shrunk Canadian herd to 30-year low.

“A scorching drought in Canada’s heartland that made grass worthless for feed is causing farmers to consider culling as much as 20 percent of the national cattle herd before winter in a “heartbreaking” nationwide effort.”

https://www.drovers.com/article/heartbreaking-drought-forces-canadian-ranchers-cull-herds


“Scotland is set to face a ‘white Halloween’ next week, with snow and Arctic winds expected to last until next month. Forecasters are warning Scots to prepare for the coldest Halloween in almost 100 years, as temperatures drop to -5C in remote spots, with potential to reach below -8C as snow covers Scottish hills. But the already freezing temperatures will be made to feel even colder as bitter Arctic winds and snow sweep in from Friday.”

https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/scotland-braced-coldest-halloween-century-13477397


“French president Emmanuel Macron has promised 80 million euros of aid to the inhabitants of the Aude region in France’s Languedoc-Roussillon, where 14 people have been reported killed and some early estimates suggest total damage to property could be up to 200 million euros… On Monday, president of the Aude Winegrowers Union (Syndicat des Vignerons de l’Aude) estimated that 40% to 50% of the region’s vineyards were affected by the floods.”

https://www.decanter.com/wine-news/devastating-floods-hit-parts-of-languedoc-403324/


“From the Andes to the Alps, the Himalayas to the Antarctic, the overwhelming majority of the Earth’s glaciers are melting at a rate unprecedented – at least since records were first made. But the thaw is particularly intense in the Pyrenees where it is causing more of a wholesale disappearance than a mere retreat. Thirty-three of the 52 glaciers that were here in 1850 have gone, most of them after 1980.”

https://elpais.com/elpais/2018/10/24/inenglish/1540379684_709673.html


“A potent storm will bring the risk for flooding and mountain snowfall to parts of southern and central Europe this weekend. Areas from Spain to Poland and the Balkan Peninsula will be impacted by this large and powerful storm system; however, its greatest impacts will be felt from southeastern France into northern and central Italy as well as western Slovenia and Croatia.”

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/storm-to-unleash-flooding-mountain-snow-from-italy-into-northwestern-balkan-peninsula-this-weekend/70006442


“The Russian city of Tuapsé, on the coast of the Black Sea, has been strongly affected by the intense floods that hit southwest Russia on Wednesday, so authorities have declared a state of emergency in the region, local media reported. It is detailed that many inhabitants had to be evacuated due to the increase in water level, which reached the height of the windshield of the vehicles.”

https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/293224-intensas-inundaciones-castigan-sur-rusia


“Israel on Thursday was bracing for its first winter storms of the season, with heavy rainfall, strong winds, and flooding expected across the country.

“Flash flood warnings were issued in the south, as rain began to fall in the region on Thursday morning and was expected to spread throughout the day.”

https://www.timesofisrael.com/thunderstorms-flooding-and-strong-winds-set-to-batter-israel/


“A nightlong downpour has flooded parts of Mombasa city [Kenya], causing huge traffic snarl-ups. The heavy rains, which started on Wednesday night, have caused flooding and poor visibility.

“Motorists struggled to steer vehicles through flooded roads on Thursday morning.”

https://www.nation.co.ke/counties/mombasa/Floods-as-heavy-rains-pound-Mombasa/1954178-4821600-nvg0r2z/index.html


Read yesterday’s ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 24 Oct 2018 most active hurricane season on record

“The oceans near North America have been angry this year – “When all the hurricanes and tropical storms that have formed in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific Oceans this year are added together, the 2018 hurricane season is the most active season ever recorded, Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach announced Tuesday…

“To determine the strength of a given season, scientists use the “Accumulated Cyclone Energy” (ACE) index, which adds together the intensity and duration of all the tropical storms and hurricanes that formed.

“So far in 2018, the ACE for the Atlantic and eastern Pacific seasons together is 432 units of energy, shattering the record of 371, which was set in 1992, Klotzbach said.”

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/10/23/hurricane-season-most-active-record-atlantic-pacific-combined/1741226002/


“Hurricane Willa has swept onto Mexico’s Pacific mainland with 120mph (195km/h) winds, hitting beach towns, fishing villages and farms after roaring over an offshore penal colony… Forecasters said the hurricane could bring six to 12 inches (15 to 30cm) of rain – with up to 18in (45cm) in some places – to parts of Jalisco, Nayarit and Sinaloa states, with flash flooding and landslides possible in mountainous areas.”

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/oct/24/hurricane-willa-makes-landfall-mexico


“Important nesting grounds for threatened green sea turtles are now fully submerged after a direct hit by a powerful hurricane on one of Hawaii’s largest atolls earlier this month. About 96 per cent of Hawaiian green sea turtles use the atoll, and about half of them nest on East Island. East Island, the second-largest island of the French Frigate Shoals, approximately 800 kilometres north-west of Honolulu, is also a crucial pupping ground for endangered monk seals.”

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-10-24/hurricane-walaka-wipes-out-nesting-ground-threatened-sea-turtles/10424542


“Super Typhoon Yutu is nearing a strike on parts of the Northern Mariana Islands in the western Pacific Ocean, potentially the strongest super typhoon of record to pass near the islands of Saipan, Tinian and Rota. The center of Yutu is now less than 100 miles southeast of the islands of Saipan and Tinian… Maximum sustained winds are now solidly Category 5 intensity, 165 mph, as of the latest advisory from the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center.”

https://weather.com/storms/typhoon/news/2018-10-24-super-typhoon-yutu-mariana-islands-guam-western-pacific


“Ocean heat content (OHC) set a new record in the first half of 2018, with more warmth in the oceans than at any time since OHC records began in 1940… Moderate El Niño conditions are expected to develop during November, which will contribute to a slightly warmer finish to 2018. However, as El Niño’s warming impact on surface temperatures tends to lag by a few months this event will mostly affect 2019.”

https://www.carbonbrief.org/state-of-the-climate-new-record-ocean-heat-content-and-growing-a-el-nino


“Farmers are culling animals and failing to cover the cost of production as grain prices skyrocket due to drought. South Australian dairy farmer Rick Gladigau said the price of grain to feed his cows had doubled over the past year.

“”I’ve seen plenty of dry periods and tough times, but none to where they are this year with hay and grain prices. I’ve never seen them at this point. It is scary,” Mr Gladigau said.”

https://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2018-10-24/farmers-cull-cows-and-lose-money-as-grain-prices-soar/10420548


“The last place on Earth that’s home to wild tigers, rhinos, orangutans and elephants may lose these and countless other species to make way for a $3 billion hydropower project. That’s the warning from a new study looking at the potential impact of the plant on the Leuser Ecosystem in Indonesia’s Sumatra Island, an ecological hotspot and one of the world’s largest remaining expanses of pristine tropical rainforest.”

https://news.mongabay.com/2018/10/study-warns-of-dire-ecological-social-fallout-from-sumatran-dam/


“The Cape Town weather forecast has been utterly brutal for the start of this week, and it is far from finished with the locals. Projections from Accuweather and Ventusky predict that the heat is set to go up a notch, for both the Mother City and Western Cape…

“Temperature records for October have already been smashed in Cape Town due to the extreme warmth.”

https://www.thesouthafrican.com/cape-town-weather-forecast-update-heatwave-records-23-24-october/


“It’s a desperate situation in Beaufort West, as the Western Cape town faces a day zero scenario that the Mother City was able to avoid.

“The Gamka dam is officially bone dry, running out of water last week. Residents have been surviving off borehole water, but 12 out of 39 sources have also run dry. Fearing that all of these water points will soon be exhausted, the locals have had no choice but to resort to a desperate alternative.”

https://www.thesouthafrican.com/beaufort-west-drought-water-dams/


“Since the middle of last week, intense rains have been hitting the extreme northwest of Argentina (NOA).

“These are days in which instability affects a large part of the country, leaving covered skies and rainfall in many provinces, but no doubt that the most compromised situation is being experienced in the northern provinces.”

https://www.meteored.com.ar/noticias/actualidad/intensas-lluvias-castigan-el-noroeste-argentino-inundaciones-y-evacuados.html


“Frustration, flooded roads and buildings, city-wide gridlock, hours in stand-still traffic, and stranded at bus stops were some of the horror many persons experienced in the Corporate Area yesterday… “It was a nightmare. I’ve never seen anything like this. The entire city seems to be practically locked down,” one woman in downtown Kingston [Jamaica] declared, who had been stuck in traffic for more than three hours trying to get home.”

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/article/lead-stories/20181024/flood-nightmare-thousands-caught-city-lockdown-following-heavy-rains


“Onlookers were amazed to see large hail across portions of Arizona on Tuesday.

“”The slow-moving nature of the thunderstorms also produced heavy rainfall in some areas. With Phoenix at nearly 10 times their normal rainfall for October, flash flooding is a concern,” Thompson said.”

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/photos-hailstorm-pounds-parts-of-arizona/70006435


“It was the warmest year in 124 years of records in Colorado and the second driest, too. A new report from the Colorado Climate Center examined temperature and precipitation records for the 2017-2018 water year, which ended Sept. 30. “We live in a climate where we’re going to be limited for water. That will happen from time to time. But what set this year apart is the combination of heat and dryness,” says Russ Schumacher, the Colorado state climatologist.”

http://mountaintownnews.net/2018/10/23/colorados-warmest-and-second-driest-year-ever/


“Parts of the US have reported record numbers of West Nile virus infections, with experts warning that warming temperatures and flooding driven by climate change is heightening the risk of Americans contracting the debilitating disease.

“Cases of West Nile virus have been reported in every US state except Hawaii so far this year…”

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2018/oct/24/record-numbers-of-west-nile-virus-cases-reported-in-parts-of-us


“The fall foliage season has been a dud so far in parts of the East… The cause? Blame it on the weather, particularly the worst-case combination of unusually warm and wet conditions… most of the eastern U.S. saw an extremely warm September and early October. As for rain, the late summer and early fall has been one of the wettest on record, he said. Ideally, cooler, drier weather is best for lovely foliage.”

https://eu.ydr.com/story/news/local/2018/10/23/fall-foliage-disappointing-east-delaware/1737614002/


“The docks are eerily quiet at Cologne’s main port on the mighty River Rhine, with hundreds of containers piled up and awaiting their journey north on one of Europe’s busiest commercial arteries.

“Months of scarce rainfall and hot sunny weather drove water levels on the Rhine to a record low, forcing ship operators to suspend services to keep vessels from running aground.”

https://www.news.com.au/world/europe/the-once-mighty-rhine-river-is-at-a-record-low-bringing-businesses-and-boats-to-a-standstill/news-story/3de93856f9200dc854d1ff16363ddefb


“Video footage from southern Italy shows a bridge, transformed by recent heavy rain, take on the characteristics of a waterfall… It comes during a wave of extreme weather across the country where flooding has brought some areas to a total standstill… Videos posted on social media showed water pouring down the stairs of metro stations in Rome. Six stations were closed in the nation’s capital, with water reaching one-metre deep in some places.”

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/italy-floods-rain-video-bridge-waterfall-weather-europe-a8597481.html


Read yesterday’s ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Economy 24 Oct 2018 Brexit nightmare

“Theresa May has drawn up a drastic plan for ensuring Britain has supplies if there’s a no-deal Brexit: Chartering ships to create a government-run flotilla.

“According to a new report from The Financial Times on Tuesday, the UK government is considering chartering ships for a makeshift fleet that can be used to bring much-needed and perishable supplies like food and medicines into the country if Britain leaves the European Union without securing a deal.

“If Britain did crash out of the EU without a deal, the fear is that customs checks would be imposed by France at Calais, slowing commerce down to a trickle and choking off vital supplies to Britain.”

http://uk.businessinsider.com/theresa-may-considering-supply-flotilla-no-deal-brexit-report-2018-10?r=US&IR=T


“Patients should consider stockpiling their own drugs if it looks likely the UK will leave the EU with no deal, the pharmaceuticals industry has said, telling MPs that such a scenario could be “catastrophic” for medicine supplies and necessitate emergency powers.

“Giving evidence to the Commons health committee about the possible impact of a no-deal departure on the sector, representatives from groups representing drugs producers and distributors said there was an urgent need for a Brexit agreement.”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/23/brexit-patients-may-need-own-drug-stockpiles-pharma-execs-tell-commons-committee


“Britain has left it too late to prepare its borders for a no-deal Brexit, which would be a gift for organised criminals and chaotic for traders, the UK’s spending watchdog warns Theresa May today… And the problem will be made worse by the UK losing full access to EU security databases after Brexit, which police chiefs have already warned will weaken the fight against crime… Meanwhile, firms would be hit with delays for goods crossing the border while rogue operators would escape tax and regulatory checks, the report predicts.”

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-no-deal-theresa-may-border-force-criminals-national-audit-office-talks-a8598206.html


“The European Union on Tuesday formally rejected Italy’s proposed budget, a highly unusual move that threatens to spark chaos in the eurozone… Speaking on Tuesday afternoon, Valdis Dombrovskis, the European Commission vice president responsible for the euro, said that Brussels had “no alternative” but to reject the proposals, adding that Italy had refused a chance to make changes to the budget.”

http://uk.businessinsider.com/eu-rejects-italy-budget-in-unprecedented-move-2018-10?r=US&IR=T


“The driving force in the government, Matteo Salvini—the bellicose interior minister, deputy prime minister, and head of the League party—came to power spoiling for a fight with Europe. His senior coalition partner (who comes across as junior), the Five Star Movement’s Luigi Di Maio, also got elected on promises of redefining Italy’s relationship to Europe. Together, they form a government that needs enemies in order to justify its existence. Europe, with its irritating sovereignty-straining rules and austerity measures, is an enemy.”

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/10/eu-rejected-italy-budget-populists/573742/


“Italian banks own huge amounts of the government’s $2.6 trillion of debt, and investors have punished the sector this year as the value of those bonds has dropped.

“An extended budget battle between the country’s government and the European Union could cause bond prices to dip further, eroding the financial position of banks.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/23/business/italy-banks-budget-crisis/index.html


“The total of corporate leveraged loans has hit $1.6 trillion globally, far exceeding the records set before the crisis of 2008. The loans ballooned after the Trump administration reversed a stricter Obama-era policy discouraging high leverage. Now leverage is increasing, while underlying covenant quality is decreasing.”

http://uk.businessinsider.com/16-trillion-leveraged-loans-statistics-data-2018-10?r=US&IR=T


“Global stocks are falling precipitously once again, and banking stocks are leading the way. If this reminds you of 2008, it should, because that is precisely what we witnessed back then. Banking stocks collapsed as fear gripped the marketplace, and ultimately, many large global banks had to be bailed out either directly or indirectly by their national governments as they failed one after another.”

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4213711-global-banking-stocks-crashing-hard-just-like-2008


“The global economic outlook is deteriorating, with a broad range of asset prices and real-time economic indicators pointing to either a slowdown in growth or an outright recession occurring in 2019.”

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-global-economy-kemp/commentary-global-economy-is-running-out-of-momentum-idUKKCN1MY0T6


Read yesterday’s ‘Economy’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.