Enormous thanks to my anonymous donor for May, who wishes to call attention to Rob Mielcarski’s thought-provoking un-denial site, also featured in my blogroll, which looks at overshoot and related issues.
“About half of the world’s population experienced an additional month of extreme heat over the past year due to human-caused climate change, according to a new study.
“The extreme heat caused deaths and illnesses, damaged agricultural crops and strained energy and healthcare systems, according to the report from World Weather Attribution, Climate Central and the Red Cross published on Friday.”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN SIBERIA – dozens of records of hottest nights pulverized with margins up to 10C; something never seen before 2025 anywhere outside Antarctica.
“MINIMUMS 21.5 [70.7F] Simanovsk, 21.1 Blagovescetnsk, 20.0 Bratoljubovka etc.. some are above summer records!”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928030133182415053
“The area of forest fires in Buryatia has increased to 114 thousand hectares [Siberia].
“”According to operational data, on the morning of May 30, there are 28 forest fires in Buryatia in the Barguzinsky, Bauntovsky Evenki, Eravninsky, Zaigraevsky, Kizhinginsky and Selenginsky districts. The total area of fires is 114,068 hectares.”
https://sibnovosti.ru/news/443681/
“30 DEGREES [86F] ON THE ARCTIC CIRCLE – exceptional warmth continues in RUSSIA. Temperatures up to 31C north of 65 latitude, close to the Arctic Circle!
“Minimums are also very high and next nights will be the spring warmest night for HUNDREDS of Russian towns with tropical nights at 65N.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928560439408918745
“As of May 27th the UK has had 99 wildfires which have so far burned a total of 33,072 hectares or 127 square miles of land.
“This year has already beaten the previous full year record set in 2019. Unprecedented.” [Met4Cast]
https://x.com/Met4CastUK/status/1928125925356380283
“England could face drinking water shortages within a decade unless new reservoirs are built, a minister has claimed.
“The warning comes as the government announced it was speeding up the planning process for two reservoir projects. But overriding local objections can be unpopular and the reservoirs could still be more than a decade away from opening.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy8dv6l2jlzo
“Met Eireann red weather map shows marine heatwave return ‘warmest in recorded history’.
“Temperatures off the coast of Ireland are currently at record highs and will only become hotter in the coming weeks. Met 4 Cast highlighted the anomaly on X: “This is phenomenal.”
https://www.galwaybeo.ie/news/ireland-news/met-eireann-red-weather-map-10227846
“Kelp forests in crisis: How toxic turf algae are taking over…
“The Rasher group’s earlier work showed that warming oceans were the main driver of kelp forest collapse in the Gulf of Maine. But this new study explains why reversing warming alone won’t be enough to bring kelp back.”
https://www.earth.com/news/kelp-forests-in-crisis-how-toxic-turf-algae-are-taking-over/
“Swiss villages on high alert after glacier collapse and landslide buries Blatten.
“Authorities in southern Switzerland are on high alert as concerns grow over potential flooding along the Lonza River following the collapse of the Birch Glacier earlier this week.”
“21° [70F]… at 2,000m above sea level today! [French Alps]
“Does anyone imagine that the permafrost is doing well on these north faces? One of my hearty place (Haute Romanche, Ecrins) with Les Agneaux (3,664 m) and so much moraines!” [Melaine Le Roy]
https://x.com/subfossilguy/status/1928497139585253796
“HISTORIC SPRING HEAT IN FRANCE 37C! One of the most extreme days in French history: 159 monthly records.
“37.0 [98.6F] Begaar the highest. Records include 34.7C Toulouse which resisted from 1943, Pau, Bergerac, St Girons, Tours, Limoges, Cazaux, Cognac,Le Mans, Briancon.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928498926077743285
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT – almost 42 DEGREES; 41.6C /106.9F] El Granado SPAIN is one of the hottest Spring days in European history with widespread 35C+ in Spain, Portugal and Southern France.
“SPAIN: 39.2 Jerez; 37.1 Zaragoza AP; PORTUGAL: 39.8C Amaraleja tbc.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928519628248027635
“More than 40% of Europe slides into drought, including pockets of Greece, southern Italy and Spain.
“March was Europe’s warmest on record – a trend driven by climate change – and also saw below average rain across large parts of the north and east of the continent. Now 41.2% of Europe finds itself in some form of drought…”
“Moroccan authorities continued to battle wildfires Thursday in the Houara Forest in Tangier province in northern Morocco for the fourth consecutive day.
“The fires broke out Monday amid soaring temperatures and strong winds.”
“Flash floods in central Nigeria kill at least 115 people.
“Flash floods that ripped through parts of central Nigeria have killed at least 115 people and injured dozens of others, emergency services officials said on Friday, with the toll expected to rise further.”
https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20250531-flash-floods-in-central-nigeria-kill-at-least-115-people
“Tajikistan’s president calls for global effort to preserve glaciers as melting accelerates.
“Tajikistan, home to the majority of Central Asia’s glaciers, is urging global action as climate change accelerates glacier melt… Tajikistan is home to nearly 14,000 glaciers, but more than a thousand have already disappeared.”
“MIDDLE EAST RELENTLESS HEAT:
“While western Middle East will finally see a relief after weeks of deadly heat, intense heat will linger for some days in the Dash el Lut desert of IRAN and in Southwest Pakistan with night MINIMUMS up to 35C [95F].”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928406961877336436
“Deadly storms sweep Pakistan, kill 32 as extreme weather grips country.
“At least 32 people have died and over 150 others were injured across Pakistan in a week of violent storms following an intense heatwave, officials confirmed on Friday. The severe weather, expected to continue until Saturday, has hit both northern and central regions of the country.”
“67 dead as record-breaking rainfall batters Karnataka [India], over 19 lakh at risk…
“Torrential pre-monsoon rains sweeping across Karnataka since April have left 67 people dead and over 19.32 lakh others vulnerable to floods and landslides, according to a grim update shared with Chief Minister Siddaramaiah during a state-level review meeting on Friday…”
“Over 5,000 homes damaged as storm, tidal surge hit Bhola [Bangladesh]…
“The storm, accompanied by unusually high river pressure and gusty winds, left thousands of homes and countless trees either destroyed or severely damaged. Many families have been left homeless and are now enduring severe hardship. Over a thousand cattle and other livestock were reportedly washed away.”
https://unb.com.bd/category/Special/over-5000-homes-damaged-as-storm-tidal-surge-hit-bhola/160951
“HISTORIC HEAT IN VIETNAM:
“The Southern town of Ca Mau had its hottest night in history with a minimum of exactly 30.0C [86F]. It had never happened before. All tropics keep pulverizing all the records set during the 2023/2024 Nino…”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928013519531712927
“‘All sorts of bacteria’: floods have dumped a year’s worth of landfill on some NSW towns [Australia]. Where will it go?
“…The EPA says one of its key priorities is the disposal of animal carcasses – 1,200 of which have been reported to the Animal and Agriculture hotline so far, with that number expected to grow significantly.”
“‘It’s just maths’: uninsurable, disaster-hit pockets of Australia pose existential questions requiring radical answers…
“The problem is that there is just not enough money in the government coffers to make up the shortfall, he says. “There’s too many people needing that government help, now that there’s so many uninsured. Everything we’re talking about is billions and billions of dollars.””
“RECORD HEAT IN OCEANIA:
“The tropics keep breaking record everywhere. Lately there were more records of hot nights: minimum 28.3C [82.9F] Yap and Majuro. MICRONESIA and MARSHALL ISLANDS HOTTEST MAY NIGHT IN HISTORY tied.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928379536023953896
“Heavy downpours cause havoc in multiple areas of Panama City…
“The heavy rainfall caused tree falls, flooding in several homes, and, above all, the flooding of important communication routes. The collapse of a wall at a residence in the Pedregal area was also reported.”
https://www.tvn-2.com/nacionales/fuerte-aguacero-causa-estragos-multiples_1_2191834.html
“Puerto Rico’s 2022 leptospirosis surge shows one of the hidden health risks of flooding.
“Elsio Wunder of the University of Connecticut says the disease most frequently affects people who live in warm climates and who lack access to safe sanitation. And as the climate changes, leptospirosis could become more common.”
“What a marine heat wave near Florida means for temperatures, storms and coral.
“The heat wave — a large area of well-above-average water temperatures lasting for an extended period — comes after a heat dome caused air temperatures in the region to soar… Ocean temperatures of nearly 98 [36.7C] degrees F were recorded by a buoy in Everglades National Park last weekend…”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/05/29/ocean-heat-weather-rain-humidity/
“Once again Tampa Airport has broken it’s May warmest morning on record. If this sounds familiar, you are right! We broke the same record last Thursday.
“The old May warmest AM was 79, last week was 80 and today 81.” [Jeff Berardelli]
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1928179478666035708
“Alabama’s wettest May: Rainfall tops 200% in cities, breaks records and hits farms hard.
“Do you think you spotted Noah’s ark in Alabama this May? You’re not alone. With historic rainfall soaking the state, even the most skeptical might believe they saw it float by.”
“Torrential downpours led to widespread flash flooding in San Antonio [Texas] on Friday morning, prompting high-water rescues and grinding the city’s morning rush hour to a halt…
“Just Tuesday evening, significant flooding was reported along the Riverwalk.”
https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/san-antonio-texas-flash-flooding-may-30-2025
“Wildfire burns Joshua trees in area considered a ‘last refuge’ for the species [California]…
“A fire ignited in the Covington Flats area of Joshua Tree National Park on Friday afternoon and burned 175 acres and several Joshua trees in a region that experts say is critical to the species’ future in a warming climate.”
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2025-05-30/wildfire-threatens-joshua-trees
“Six grey whales have died in the San Francisco Bay area in the past week and authorities are trying to determine what could be causing the sudden deaths…
“The Marine Mammal Centre added that this is the most number of dead grey whales “since the Unusual Mortality Event that caused this species to lose roughly 45% of their population just a few years ago.””
https://globalnews.ca/news/11205036/grey-whales-dead-san-francisco-bay-area/
“Why D.C. should brace for a brutally hot and humid summer…
“Our prediction for a hot summer is in keeping with the long-term trend toward higher summer temperatures fueled by human-caused climate change… Nine of our ten hottest summers have occurred since 2010…”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/05/30/dc-summer-forecast-extreme-heat-weather/
“Great Lakes temperatures are intensifying as region enters new reality, new study suggests…
“Climate change is driving an increase in heat waves and cold spells on the Great Lakes, with almost every recorded increase in both extremes coming after the mid-1990s. All five Great Lakes have seen their temperature intensities surge over 100%, with the tipping point coming after an El-Niño in 1997-1998…”
“Recent Canadian wildfires are record-breaking – and will threaten US air quality for days…
“The country’s largest fires – the Bird River fire and the Border fire – remain completely uncontained in northern Manitoba. In Manitoba alone, wildfires have burned about 200,000 hectares already this year – already about three times the recent full-year average for the province.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/may/30/canada-wildfires-air-quality
“Wildfires in Alberta are threatening almost half a million barrels of daily crude production as heat and wind push the flames closer to massive oil sands well sites.
“A total of 30 out-of-control fires are burning in the province amid hot, dry weather…”
“HISTORIC HEAT IN CANADA – 34.3C [93.7F] Hay River is NORTHWEST TERRITORIES HOTTEST SPRING DAY IN HISTORY.
“Dozens of records fell, including Alberta: 34.5 Fort Chipewyan, 33.5 Mildred Lake; NT: 34.3 Hay River, 33.1 Fort Smith, 32.6 Fort Providence 27.9, Yellowknife, TMin 18.0 Fort Simpson, NU: 21.3 Arviat.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1928248876688879999
“Friday Ice Update – Both poles (Arctic and Antarctic) are about two standard deviations below average (1981-2010)…
[Zack Labe, using NSIDC data; see link below for more visuals].
https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-figures/
“Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800,000 years warns of future ice loss…
“We find hysteresis that is caused by the long response time and by crossing of tipping points… Therefore, today we are likely already at (or almost at) an overshoot scenario, supporting recent studies warning of substantial irreversible ice loss with little or no further climate warming.”
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02366-2
“Everyone knew how ridiculous these [IPCC] scenarios were.
“We’re hitting ΔT +1.5°C about 15 years before IPCC’s best estimate (orange line)… As our research and observational evidence show, Earth’s Energy Imbalance has more than doubled and that’s starting to translate into a doubling (or more) of the global warming rate. No one should be surprised by this.” [Leon Simons; co-author of Prof James Hansen]
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1928038847599845635
“Ahead of hosting COP30, Brazil is set to weaken environmental licensing.
“A new bill may dismantle Brazil’s environmental license framework, easing the way for infrastructure projects such as oil exploration on the Amazon coast and paving the BR-319 road, in one of the rainforest’s most preserved areas.”
“Prince Harry’s company promotes emissions calculator that ‘airbrushes impact’.
“Duke of Sussex’s eco-travel initiative has used a carbon calculator which is accused of underestimating flight emissions… Representatives of the Duke of Sussex confirmed that he took a commercial long-haul return flight from Los Angeles to Shanghai to an event to promote greener travel…”
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/environment/article/prince-harry-flight-carbon-5n93nc6lz
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffee or become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
Climate and get effed.
A daily round-up of how cooked we are 🙂
Exactly. An essential counterbalance to MSM. I have the news app on my phone but I almost never look at it but I just went and looked at it and scrolled through a whole huge number of articles in the feed and guess how many were about climate? Right! Zero!
However there was one titled “does masturbation raise or lower testosterone? Doctors explain” and another one titled “marijuana is too strong now.” Because the world is burning/flooding/melting but that’s too scary to pay attention to.
Cassandra, out of interest, I had a scroll through the Daily Mail, as it is the UK’s most read publication, and there is not a single article today about climate change. Obviously, it does get some coverage in the MSM, as I use MSM sources wherever I can – but relative to the scale of the threat and the world-altering importance of the issue, it is very under-reported really.
Also, in case anyone is worried, masturbation only causes short-term fluctuations in testosterone levels. Couldn’t resist the urge to look that up. 😂
I’ve been trying to characterise the trend in the climate pages here since I’ve been reading them for the last three years and think the answer is accelerating non-linearity. The Nature article sums it up – nothing else needs to change but 4m sea level rise could still happen, in fact may be likely. The Canadian wildfires chart is another metric showing how different 2023-25 are from previous years (add to global sea ice, sea surface temperatures, number of heat waves etc.
There seems to be growing acceptance in the more conservative climate scientists that ECS is 4 to 5 degrees – see here (although prepare for the obligatory “we have the technology” BS at the end):
re:publica 25: Johan Rockström – Decisive Decade: From Global Promises to Planetary Action
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nq2QAVA32NM
George, this May has been unusually “cool” in the context of the warming surge we’ve seen since 2023 – around the 1.4C mark, so it’ll be interesting to see how this year shakes out. Localised heat anomalies are worse than ever, though.
I love this lets build more dams as the world dries up. Great! Back to my regular scheduled programming.
Thank you all, as ever, for your comments and please forgive my brevity – it is Whisky Week here and I am heading out for shenanigans this evening. I’ll check in properly tomorrow.
Aussie south-eastern winter forecast…
“More Mould, than Cold” and “More Fog than Frost”.
Methinx the hemispheres have switched, long mega-droughts we were once famous for in the upside-down-under land, are fading into memory…
Interesting. Things are only getting crazier so that could be!
Rain, that sounds depressing. Interesting that we’ve also seen multi-year droughts come to an end in Spain and California over the past year or two; not Chile’s, though.
It’s overcast, somewhat wet, windy and around 11C on Islay, and likely to continue in that vein for at least a week. There is nothing unusual about that sort of weather occurring at any time of the year here. However, coming on the heels of our sunniest spring on record, it feels like autumn in early June!