With apologies, I must head to the mainland for dental treatment shortly. I’ll be back with a “Climate” thread on Thursday. A couple of articles that caught my eye first thing:
“IPCC is under pressure to delay publication of key global climate report…
“Scientists are coming under pressure from some petro-states and major developing countries to delay publication of a key global report on the climate, despite pleas from vulnerable countries worried that postponement could spell disaster for them.”
“…I think that this year’s El Niño event is likely to be the strongest in 1,000 years if the latest models of its peak prove accurate. The tree rings alone give it 91% to 95% odds on the standard index (ONI) and 60% to 72% using RONI. The coral records already show that the modern era stands outside the natural range of eastern Pacific variability, and this year will be an unambiguous record in the modern era.”
Many thanks to my friend Barry Smiler for being October’s sponsor. Do take a look at his climate site, which nicely complements mine. He recently added some nifty enhancements to his Research page. And for your climate listening pleasure, he suggests this little song.
“Breaking: September was Earth’s *most unusually moist month* on record! During September, moisture levels in Earth’s atmosphere were the highest on record for that month…
“This record is notable because of how far it deviated from the average. Moisture levels were 6.5 percent higher than the 1991-2020 September average, making it the most anomalous month on record.“
“Historic warmth is currently impacting our global oceans. September shattered the previous peak for the warmest average global sea surface temperature on record for the month. And this excessive heat is found across nearly all regions.
“Data from NOAA ERSSTv6. I finally adjusted the y-axis here.” [Zack Labe]
“Warming seas are reshuffling plankton and the marine food web…
““My research asks how they are changing, in terms of which species are present and how their abundance shifts over time, and what that means for the rest of the food web. If our hypothesis is correct, fish may be getting not only less food, but food of lower quality.””
“This is one of Norway’s most pristine fjords. So why is it being used as a dumping site for mine waste?
“…“When we heard the pollution would continue, it was like they snatched the carpet from under us,” says Førsund. “We have answered every letter, commented on every consultation, complained whenever we could. We have been knocked down so many times and this could have been the opportunity for change.””
“Broken fridges and freezers pile up after heatwaves [UK].
“Dozens of local authorities have been forced to stop collecting fridges from homes and even recycling centres because of a logjam in storage centres during the last six months. Bradford, Gloucestershire, Norfolk, Durham and Nottinghamshire are among the 26 councils that have temporarily stopped collecting the appliances.”
“Famous UK wildlife island on verge of being evacuated due to water shortages.
“Residents of the self-sufficient Lundy Island in the Bristol Channel have had to take drastic measures to preserve supply, including the removal of plugs to stop tourists from taking baths. The island has been importing emergency shipments of water from the mainland since August…”
“French wine output set to hit historic low after record summer heatwaves…
“At around 35 million hectolitres the total harvest would be down two percent on a mediocre 2025 yield and 14 percent below the 2021–2025 average.. According to the International Organisation of Vine and Wine (OIV), which tracks global statistics on wine production and consumption, France had already recorded last year its lowest production since 1957.”
“A first: no snow at Weissfluhjoch (2,536 m, GR)! [Switzerland]
“For 1st time in 90 yrs of measurements, there was no snowcover between July and September 2026 at the SLF research site! Source lfdavos on Bluesky.” [Melaine Le Roy]
“Can Switzerland adapt to a ‘monsoon-like’ future?
“…The challenge lies in how that rainfall is distributed throughout the year. “In France and Switzerland, we are moving towards a system that, if I exaggerate, resembles a monsoon climate, with six months of rain and six months without,” says Datry.”
“January–September Was the Driest Period Since [record-keeping began in] 1901 [Hungary].
“The ninth month of the year brought not only unusually mild temperatures but also left large parts of the country almost completely without rainfall. The average temperature was 17.7°C, 1.7 degrees above the 1991–2020 climate reference average of 16.0°C.”
“Ukraine’s farmers struggle to sell harvest amid war, drought…
“”Right now, we can barely sell our harvest. Instead, we’re storing what we have harvested — that’s if we find storage space. At the same time, we are wondering what to do because we need money, especially so we can plant in fall,” Marchuk told DW. He predicted that the situation would continue to worsen in the coming weeks and months…”
“‘Sun as black as my lungs’: corruption killing a polluted Albanian city…
“The people of Elbasan have been the victims of environmental crimes since Chairman Mao’s China helped Albania’s then communist dictator Enver Hoxha plonk down the sprawling “Steel of the Party” complex of 500 factories on their fertile valley in the 1970s.”
“Heavy rain in Diyarbakır and Hatay: Streets turned into lakes, streams overflowed, flooding occurred [Turkey].
“In the Ergani district of Diyarbakır, streets and avenues turned into lakes due to the downpour, while in the Arsuz district of Hatay, walnut-sized hail and heavy rainfall overflowed the stream and caused flooding.”
“How Spain’s torrential rainstorms put sewage into its rivers and seas.
“Wastewater treatment plants are designed to handle the flow rate of a certain number of residents. They cannot handle much higher loads without a risk of overflow or the treatment system ceasing to function properly… Rainwater mixed with untreated wastewater is discharged into the environment…”
“Catalonia suffers the fourth consecutive day of floods due to torrential rains.
“Once again, several roads have been rendered impassable due to accumulated water, and images of firefighters rescuing people trapped by water inside cars have been repeated. The forecast is for the storm to last until after midnight and for the downpours to continue this Wednesday…”
“Hailstorm sweeps northern Murcia and threatens olive harvest.
“A powerful hailstorm hit the Murcia region of Spain in the early hours of Wednesday, 7 October 2026, severely threatening the upcoming olive harvest. Local farmers are actively assessing the damage caused by heavy rain, fierce winds, and intense electrical activity.”
“September was hottest month since records began in Portugal…
“Last month was the hottest September since 1931 in mainland Portugal, with the maximum temperature reaching 31.03°C, 4.21°C above normal, IPMA national meteorological institute announced today – neglecting to add that ‘official and systematic meteorological records in Portugal’ began in 1931.”
“Senegal postpones school reopening to October 12 after heavy rains.
“Senegal has postponed the start of classes nationwide from Wednesday, October 7, to Monday, October 12, 2026, the Education Ministry announced on Tuesday. The decision takes account of weather conditions and reports from regional education authorities.”
“Climate Change: Niger [State, Nigeria] urges farmers to adapt as rainfall pattern shifts…
“Ahmed said the unusually heavy rainfall recorded in recent weeks, despite the expectation of reduced rainfall towards the end of the rainy season, was evidence of changing weather patterns. He urged farmers to consider drought-resistant crop varieties…”
“The Zambian government is investigating a chemical spill in its Copperbelt Province allegedly linked to Konkola Copper Mines (KCM), owned by U.K.-based multinational Vedanta Resources. Residents in Chingola district told Mongabay they observed discoloration of the Kafue River and fish die-off on Sept. 28, raising fresh concerns…”
“Arabian Sea humpbacks may be a unique subspecies at risk of extinction…
““The recently published genetic study adds to the growing body of evidence that this population is discreet, isolated, unique and in urgent need of conservation efforts,” study co-author Gianna Minton, who co-chairs the Cetacean Specialist Group at the IUCN, the global wildlife conservation authority, told Mongabay by email.”
“Najaf, Diyala record 130+ dust-related suffocation cases [Iraq]…
“Earlier today, the Iraqi Meteorological Organization said a high-pressure system was driving a dust wave across the country, with dust expected to move toward western areas and Salah al-Din before gradually reaching Baghdad, Najaf, Karbala and Nasiriyah.”
“Climate change threatens Kalash life [Chitral, Pakistan].
“In the picturesque Kalash Valley of Lower Chitral in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa… climate change, deforestation, erratic rainfall, flash floods, water shortages and declining agricultural yields are confronting local communities with new environmental and economic challenges.”
“A changing climate is reshaping India’s infectious disease risks…
“Heatwaves, droughts, erratic rainfall and flash floods, in combination or alone, also reshape the ecology of diseases. They can affect how long pathogens survive, change the distribution of disease-carrying insects and bring people, animals and pathogens into closer contact, increasing the risk of outbreaks in new places at unexpected times.”
“Satellite data captures unprecedented rise of Gandak water level [Bihar, India].
“Choudhary said the river reached record water levels in parts of Nepal and India following exceptionally heavy rainfall in the neighbouring country. According to the report, heavy rain between September 24 and 27 in Nepal’s mountainous Lumbini and Gandaki provinces triggered landslides and caused the Gandak…”
“In drought-stricken Sri Lanka, farmers watch wells empty and wildlife crowd shrinking water holes…
“Sri Lanka has been mired in drought for months, leading to severe water shortages that have left reservoirs dry and strained farming communities that depend on seasonal monsoons. Making matters worse, temperatures in many parts of the country have been higher than usual and high humidity has exacerbated the heat stress.”
“Thai floods become ‘new normal’ for Toyota, Honda and other carmakers…
“Roads were still submerged Wednesday at an industrial park in Chonburi province that houses several Japanese companies. Sandbags were stacked in front of commercial parts maker Takebe Tekkosho’s factory with drainage work underway.”
“Indonesia accused of ‘gross negligence’ in wildfires lawsuit as haze tests region…
“The lawsuit, filed by indigenous and civil society groups in the Indonesian part of Borneo, named President Prabowo Subianto and the governor of West Kalimantan among 10 defendants. The case seeks comprehensive recovery and rehabilitation measures that would include covering the healthcare costs of residents.”
“‘Catastrophic wildfire loop’ after colonisation left parts of Australia more at risk from bushfires, study finds…
“The results, published in Nature, revealed the shift from open woodland to dense forest after colonisation led to more intense fires, changes consistent with the loss of cultural burning practices and the removal of traditional owners, the Gunaikurnai people, from the land.”
“Tauranga records second-driest September with above-average temperatures [NZ].
“Tauranga was the warmest and driest of New Zealand’s six main centres in September. The latest climate data from Earth Sciences New Zealand showed Tauranga received just 18mm of rain during the month – 21% of its normal September rainfall.”
“Walter Peak fire spreads to 1400ha – ‘not yet controlled or contained’ [NZ].
“Firefighters have secured about 20% of the perimeter of a large vegetation fire as it burned through 1400ha on the southern shores of Lake Wakatipu near Queenstown. The blaze broke out near Walter Peak Station yesterday afternoon, cloaking the 1800m summit in smoke that has drifted across the lake towards Queenstown.”
“Climate Crisis Likely Caused World’s Largest Penguin Colony to ‘Crash’.
“Zavodovski Island, a speck of land in the remote subantarctic South Sandwich archipelago, was once home to about 1.09 million breeding chinstrap penguins. By 2025, there were just over 400,000 of them left, according to research published Wednesday…”
“Penguin poop is melting Antarctic snow by keeping algae green.
“Penguin poop is fertilizing snow algae blooms along the Antarctic Peninsula, feeding dense green algae patches along the coastline, a new study shows. These expanding stretches of green snow melt faster than clean, white snow, potentially speeding up the spread of snow- and ice- free areas of Antarctica.”
“A number of different regions are contributing to the current record low Antarctic sea ice conditions (for this time of year). One of the only areas seeing more extensive ice cover is the Weddell Sea.
“+ Concentration means the fraction of ice in an area.” [Zack Labe]
“Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Industries, Commerce and Business Development Manoa Kamikamica says climate risk finance must become part of efforts to strengthen Fiji’s rural economy… Kamikamica said farmers in vulnerable areas were often forced to start again after losing crops and income.”
“Girl pleads for world leaders to save her country from climate change.
“‘We are not asking for pity, we are asking for help.’ A 13-year-old girl has called on world leaders to act on climate change and save her country, Tuvalu. Melelusi Sokotia made the plea to leaders at a summit ahead of the UN’s COP31 climate forum in Turkiye.”
“41.2C Tingo de Ponaza, PERU close to the National Record. First 40C in history for Jaen… records of Hottest Night: MINIMUMS – 24.3 Piura, 21.9 Lima… 39.1C [102.4F] El Coca HOTTEST OCTOBER DAY EVER RECORDED IN ECUADOR a few days after breaking that of September.” [Extreme Temps]
“Climate extremes are on the rise even in protected areas of the Amazon…
“According to the study, the southern portion of the biome, known as the “arc of deforestation,” accounts for the greatest loss of native vegetation and has experienced the fastest warming. But it was in the north-central region of the forest—which has the greatest forest cover—that the climate was most extreme.”
“Extreme drought and heat from the last El Niño signal a ‘new normal’ for tropical forests…
“Under thermal stress of this magnitude, tropical forests undergo functional collapse. According to the researchers, instead of absorbing the gases that warm the planet (acting as sinks), these areas temporarily begin to emit carbon into the atmosphere. Faced with this vicious cycle, the study reinforces the urgency of rapidly and sustainably reducing global emissions.”
“Woah 10” of rain in 24 hours in Coastal Pasco. ~Statistically a 1-in-30 year event! [Florida].
“Up to 8″ New Port Richey and Tarpon Springs. 5″ Dunedin, Palm Harbor. Street flooding ongoing. But the heaviest is now moving into Clearwater, Largo, Tampa, Wesley Chapel and Spring Hill. Meanwhile not much inland. Fickle.” [Jeff Berardelli]
“Florida’s Dengue Fever Outbreak Is a National Warning.
“…global heating has expanded the territory of the mosquitoes that carry dengue, malaria, chikungunya, Zika and other diseases. Dengue was endemic to just nine countries 50 years ago. Now it’s in 140. A hotter planet is also boosting the numbers and range of ticks that carry Lyme, encephalitis, anaplasmosis and other horrors.”
“Southern Arizona hits record high in flash flood warnings this monsoon…
“Experts said the monsoon also brought periods of high humidity. “Our humidity levels were well above normal with our dew points elevated pretty much every day,” Lader said. “We ended the year with a very wet spell with the impacts from (Hurricane) Polo.””
“Pasadena is trending towards an average low temperature for week 1 of October of around 76°F, a value 10°F above the previous record holder and *25°F* warmer than the average at the start of the 1900s!
“Just mind-blowing. Anyone who says this is normal for L.A is very wrong.” [Edgar McGregor]
“Landslides, flash floods and raging seas: is California ready for the ravages of El Niño?
“…Dangerous spikes in temperature are likely. Some areas could see supercharged storms and relentless rains. Others face explosive surf, strong currents and devastated marine ecosystems. The effects of El Niño will add an additional foot of sea level rise in California…”
“Rotting food is supercharging the climate crisis.
“Every day more than 1 billion meals are left uneaten. From a food security perspective, this mountain of discarded food is problematic. But it creates other problems as well. As it decomposes in landfills, rotting food releases enough methane to make it one of the major drivers of planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions.”
“The research indicates that changing the language around environmentalism can significantly alter male engagement. For example, men are far more likely to select green alternatives (like energy-efficient hardware) if they are explicitly framed as a way to save money rather than a way to save the environment.”
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffeeor become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
Many thanks to my friend Barry Smiler for being October’s sponsor. Do take a look athis climate site, which nicely complements mine. He recently added some nifty enhancements to his Research page. And for your climate listening pleasure, he suggeststhis little song.
“NASA CERES satellite data shows another 4-year average record for global Absorbed Solar Radiation.
“Earth’s Energy Imbalance has more than doubled over the past 20 years.
“We’ve been trying to warn about this and the impacts for years, but few seem to care.”
“The water vapor concentration in the atmosphere will be approx 13% higher this winter than around 1950 [water vapour is itself warming]…
“…according to the Euro ensembles we are – about 3-4% above record water vapor in Dec, Jan, Feb.This means floodier-floods in spots, on top of an already extreme base. I am using the European model seasonal ensemble (Copernicus data) to plot winter water vapor through the ERA record (standardized the ECMWF forecast to the ERA5 1993–2016 baseline).” [Jeff Berardelli]
“Heat-trapping gas once frozen in Arctic ground is slowly leaking and warming the planet.
“As Ted Schuur stepped along the edges of Smith Lake, a bubble surfaced from the muck underfoot. And then another. They’re bubbles of methane, a potent heat-trapping gas made from decomposing plants and animals that had once been stuck in Alaska’s frigid permafrost.”
“Easily mistaken for a lump of quartz or similar rock, the Sphinx snow patch in Scotland was photographed yesterday. It is now critically small and likely to melt in the coming days.
“It has not survived [year-round] since 2020. Astonishing. Photo by Robert Houghton.”
“…documents obtained by investigative journalists from SourceMaterial describe other breaches from the refinery in Ellesmere Port, Cheshire, with toxic chemicals and oil regularly spilled into the waterways and even groundwater… The Environment Agency (EA) has confirmed that it is investigating the breaches.”
“Europe Weighs Methane Rule Delay as Energy Supply Risks Mount.
“Two of the largest oil and gas suppliers to the European Union have argued repeatedly that the methane regulation would hurt both the security of supply and prices… Qatar said directly it would stop selling LNG to members of the European Union. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright suggested the regulation would hurt bilateral trade.”
“After hottest summer, weeds turn historic Belgian canals green.
“A bright green film carpets the historic canals in the mediaeval Belgian town of Ghent, as tourists and students relax along its edge in the unseasonable autumn warmth. The blanket of duckweed covering the water has proliferated dramatically due to the lock of rain and record-breaking temperatures.”
“Summer 2026 heatwave cost France €16 billion, says Assemblée Nationale report.
“As the budget debate approaches, La France Insoumise MP Eric Coquerel presents a strikingly high assessment of the consequences of the summer’s extreme temperatures, aiming to build a stronger case for increasing funds allocated to adapting the country to climate change.”
“France struggles to fund farm climate adaptation as losses mount.
“Farmers in France are expecting their first payments shortly under the government’s billion-euro emergency aid package to support farmers affected by severe summer heatwaves, droughts and wildfires… Mathieu Courgeau, who runs a mid-sized dairy farm in Vendée, western France, says his thermometer recorded 45C [113F] this summer.”
“Hungary’s dwindling paprika producers battle to save signature spice…
“While cheap imports from China and parts of South America are squeezing producers, climate change is making paprika production more difficult and costly, according to Robert Braj, an adviser at Dutch-owned BWA Kft, one of Hungary’s top food-seasoning manufacturers.”
“Glacier which was once beloved skiing spot will disappear ‘within days’ [Slovenia]…
“Triglav glacier sits on the northeastern side of Mount Triglav, the national symbol of Slovenia and the country’s tallest mountain at 9,395.2 feet (2,863.65 metres). It covered more than 40 hectares at the end of the 1800s, according to sightseeing company Triglav Tours…”
“Severe storm leaves widespread damage across Crete.
“A severe storm that battered the island of Crete in recent days has caused extensive damage to infrastructure, farmland and livestock facilities, disrupted the road network and left eight people stranded in the Samaria Gorge.”
“Two people were reported dead on Sunday, with at least one person missing, after torrential rain triggered flooding in Spain’s northeastern Catalonia region.
“Authorities have warned of an “extreme danger” in parts of Barcelona and Girona, with rivers at risk of overflowing and residents in some areas urged to stay indoors.”
“Heavy rains have flooded roads, homes, vehicles and parts of a hospital in Senegal’s capital Dakar, prompting the government to activate an emergency response plan and warn of more rain.
“Prime Minister Ahmadou Al Aminou Lo said authorities would remain on permanent watch, provide food and water to affected residents and mobilise emergency funds.”
“In Johannesburg, Extreme Heat Hits the Poor First…
“Johannesburg is a stark example of the relationship between climate change-induced environmental risks and socio-economic inequalities. The inland highland city is expected to warm faster than the global average… The decisive factor is the capability to cope, as data shows that poorer neighborhoods have less means of relief from heat.”
“Sudan’s harvest at risk as millions face worsening hunger in 2027.
“…farmlands, roads, markets, water systems, power supplies and other vital civilian infrastructure essential to food production and trade continue to come under attack. Poor and erratic rainfall and growing drought concerns are further threatening this year’s yields, while high inflation and continued currency depreciation are driving up food, fuel and transport costs.”
“East Africa Braces for Poor Harvests After One of Its Driest Rainy Seasons on Record.
“Large parts of East Africa are heading into poor harvests after the June to September rainy season came in “exceptionally poor” across the northern and western parts of the region, with rainfall deficits of 100 to 300 millimetres recorded across affected areas, according to assessments from the GEOGLAM Crop Monitor…”
“Absolute insanity in MIDDLE EAST defying what we had though was physically possible – MINIMUMS 30/33C [91.4F] in Kuwait, Iran, Bahrain, Qatar, Emirates, Oman & India.
“Next days >45C, Mins 32C for WEEKS. Absolutely Mind blowing in October.” [Extreme Temps]
“Flash flooding hit parts of Alborz province in western Tehran on Saturday, sweeping vehicles through streets in Karaj and leaving roads covered in water, mud and debris. State media said flooding affected areas including Azimiyeh and Baghestan…”
“Lucknow flooded [northern India], 40,000 residents hit: Trouble began hundreds of kilometres upstream.
“For the past few days, Lucknow has received no significant rainfall. Yet large parts of the state Capital are flooded… Officials said the water inundating low-lying areas is largely the result of heavy rainfall in the upper catchment of the Gomti in the last week of September…”
“Nepal ends search and rescue after deadly flood, with more than 5,200 still missing…
“The flood also destroyed 12 hydroelectric projects, roads, bridges, farms and settlements. Authorities have said they need nearly $5 billion for the early recovery and rehabilitation of the thousands of people displaced by the flood.”
“Today 7 stations in Xinjiang broke their October High Minimum records and hundreds will fall next days. Dozens of thousands of records are falling allover Asia from Saudi Arabia to China.”
“A sunny weekend in Tokyo marked the end of a record-breaking 37 straight days of rain, Japan’s weather agency said Monday.
“The capital’s rainy season normally takes place in June, but the city has suffered regular heavy downpours throughout the summer, as well as heavy flooding across the wider Tokyo metro region.”
“Record-early cold wave advisory issued as temperatures set to plunge across Korea…
“The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) issued a cold wave advisory for Taebaek, Gangwon, and the mountainous areas of Pyeongchang, Gangwon, on Monday. It is the earliest cold wave advisory ever issued anywhere in the country since the KMA began compiling related records in 2005.”
“Hottest October day in LAOS history – 37.9C [100.2F] Luang Pabang.
“Nearly 100% of stations in Laos, Thailand and Cambodia broke their October records either of High Max, High Min or both and did it from 1 to 4 times in a row. Absolutely mind blowing.”
“Climate Risks Push Cambodia to Consider Crop Insurance for Farmers.
“Droughts, floods and rising temperatures are putting Cambodia’s farmers under growing financial pressure, prompting the Ministry of Agriculture to consider crop insurance as a way to protect farmers from losses.”
“Flooding continues to make life difficult for people in parts of Bangkok and 26 provinces, most in the Central Plain region, the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation said on Monday.”
“Wild pigs in Asia face extinction threat from African swine fever…
“Since ASF emerged in China in late 2018, the virus, which causes extremely high mortality in domestic and wild pigs, has spread across Asia, reaching every country in the region within two years. The losses to the pork industry have been well documented… Its toll on wildlife, ecosystems, and local communities has received far less attention.”
“Africa’s rhinos often get the spotlight – but Indonesia’s two rhino species are far closer to extinction…
“There are roughly 50 surviving Javan rhinos. All live in a single protected area, Ujung Kulon National Park on the island of Java. Due to nearby converging tectonic plates, it is vulnerable to earthquakes and tsunamis. One natural disaster could well exterminate the Javan rhino population.”
“Australia experiences second hottest September on record as El Niño and climate crisis combine…
“Bureau of Meteorology data showed the minimum night-time temperatures across the continent were also the hottest for any September, on a record that goes back to 1910. Averaged temperatures ranked in the top five warmest Septembers for every state, and the sixth hottest for the Northern Territory.”
“Hurricane Nolo just accomplished this rare feat – it became a typhoon upon crossing International Date Line on Sunday…
“The last storm to attain typhoon status from previously being a hurricane was Dora in 2023. Dora did an even more uncommon thing, being only the second storm on record to be a hurricane or hurricane equivalent in the eastern, central, and Western Pacific.”
“Records of October High minimums broken for the 5th time in 5 days – ECUADOR: 26.1 [79F] Guayaquil…
“Another insanely hot night all along PERU Pacific coast. All records of October highest Minimums were pulverized again (see below). Record also in CHILE: MIN 19.9C Arica.” [Extreme Temps]
“Surprising images of a supercell that left record hail in Asunción, Paraguay…
“The director of the DMH, Eduardo Mingo, later confirmed that it was hail of record size for the area: stones the size of a fist, with diameters of between 5 to 7 cm in most cases, and some that reached 10 to 15 cm, comparable to tennis balls.”
“Streets of Nova Lima, in Greater Belo Horizonte [Brazil], have flooded after storm…
“Nova Lima, in the Metropolitan Region of Belo Horizonte, recorded flooding points on Monday afternoon (5) after a storm hit the municipality. Images obtained by Itatiaia show several avenues and streets in the city covered by water and with flood points.”
“Brazil far-right presidential candidate wins most votes in deforestation hotspots…
“Flávio Bolsonaro won the majority of votes in eight of the 10 Amazon municipalities that cleared the most rainforest over the last decade, according to an analysis by Sumaúma, an Amazon-based publication… Jair Bolsonaro’s presidency coincided with a historic spike in deforestation.”
“A powerful thunderstorm with heavy hail hit Bogotá, Colombia, on Monday, October 5 and blanketed streets in white. Poor visibility and communication failures briefly halted flights at El Dorado International Airport. Flooding, fallen trees and damaged roofs were also reported in several parts of the city.”
“Florida Keys heat wave reveals nearly fourfold death risk for diseased coral…
“The researchers analyzed hundreds of square feet of coral colonies in the Florida Keys in the summer of 2023. While every year experiences high temperatures in late summer, 2023 broke every record. A record-breaking heat wave pushed water temperatures above 87 degrees F (31°C) for 41 straight days.”
“SoCal heat wave shatters multiple records, and the misery is far from over.
“A persistent heat wave has shattered October records across Southern California, with downtown Los Angeles nearing an unprecedented streak of 100-degree days and temperatures running as much as 22 degrees above normal.”
“New map exposes dire state of American rivers as only six percent are healthy amid climate emergency…
“Climate change has degraded water quality in U.S. rivers due to flooding, fires, sea level rise, droughts, changes to groundwater and many other impacts, according to the non-profit National Environmental Education Foundation. Rising temperatures can create toxic algal blooms…”
“Rethinking resilience after Hurricane Helene. Two years after Hurricane Helene, survivors are taking lessons for the future…
“…two years later, people want to turn these ad hoc efforts — which supported communities through the loss of power, water, internet, and other crucial services — into more permanent fixtures of local disaster response, called “resilience hubs.””
“Supreme Court sounds wary of state-based climate change suits against oil producers.
“The Supreme Court justices sounded wary Monday of state-by-state lawsuits that could impose huge damage verdicts on energy producers for the effects of global climate change. Instead, several of them suggested these local and state claims may be blocked by the federal Clean Air Act.”
“COP31 eyes modest steps as climate disasters multiply…
“Nations are not expected to adopt new binding commitments to reduce the burning of fossil fuels – the leading cause of climate change. Countries agreed in 2023 to move away from coal, oil and gas but since then efforts to negotiate concrete targets or timelines for that transition have gone nowhere.“
“Revealed: the methane mega-leaks from UN climate summit host Turkey.
““The smell [from the landfill] is not subtle. It suffocates you,” said Kemalettin Özenç, sitting outside a tea shop in the village of Yolçatı. “It’s worse when the air is still: sometimes families linger until midnight out here. Even when you go inside it’s inescapable.””
“This Dangerous Fungus Has Become Resistant to Every Major Antifungal Drug We Have… Twice…
“There’s a new fungus [Candida auris] and it’s raising red flags among health care experts because it resists all the major antifungal treatments… Since it was first described in 2009, this fungus has spread to more than 60 countries across six continents, causing healthcare-associated outbreaks and invasive infections, with mortality rates of 30–50 percent reported in some situations.”
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffeeor become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
Many thanks to my friend Barry Smiler for being October’s sponsor. Do take a look at his climate site, which nicely complements mine. He recently added some nifty enhancements to his Research page. And for your climate listening pleasure, he suggests this little song.
“Records come and records go. But this is one for the ages.
“The preliminary Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly is now at a record 3.23°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. This crushes the previous daily record set in 1982 by over 1.14°C.
“The Climate 8-ball is looking up.” [Prof Eliot Jacobson]
“El Niño is predicted to peak at +4.2°C in December, according to new CanSIPS data — with record-breaking conditions forecast to last through February.
“This model shows a relative La Niña developing in July 2027, while the model’s traditional index indicates neutral conditions.” [Ben Noll]
“This is pretty wild… the average global sea surface temperature (outside of the polar regions) is still above 70°F (21.1°C) through the end of September. This is significantly above the prior record.
“We’ll cover this in our October climate briefing.” [Zack Labe]
“Arctic sea routes boom as Gulf war and global warming divert shipping.
“Arctic shipping is reaching record levels as lower sea ice and mounting pressure on major maritime chokepoints push operators toward alternative passages. Traffic on the Northern Sea Route rises sharply in September, highlighting how climate shifts and geopolitical disruption are reshaping global trade flows.”
“Naval landing on Arctic archipelago [Sedov Islands, Russia] reveals major pollution.
“In the video, abandoned oil barrels and metallic waste, as well as other rubble, can be seen. A closer look at publicly available satellite images reveals major pollution across several of the islands. Along the coast of one of the islands, Sredny, hundreds of abandoned rusting barrels can be seen.”
“Nearly 200 People Under Observation After Irkutsk Lab Worker Dies From Plague.
“Alexei Tsydenov, head of the neighboring republic of Buryatia, confirmed that the woman had died from an unspecified form of plague. Irkutsk officials had previously described the illness only as a “particularly dangerous infection.” …The woman was identified as Daria Sh., a 27- or 28-year-old employee of the Irkutsk anti-plague institute…”
“Six places in Trøndelag [Norway] set a heat record for October on Thursday. Hitra-Sandstad warmest with 22.5C [72.5F].
“The new October record on Hitra was raised by 3.4C. Old record 19.1C 1.10 2020. Both Halten lighthouse and Steinkjer broke records from 2005. Oldest station with record Nordøyan lighthouse.” [Torsten Hanssen]
“Worst ever outbreak of bluetongue hits British farms…
“The virus, which is transmitted via biting midges and originated in Africa, has spread to Europe over the past two decades, a development the World Organisation for Animal Health links to climate breakdown. The particular strain of bluetongue currently affecting livestock, serotype 3 (BTV-3), was first found in England in 2023.”
“Why Britain’s food supply chains are ‘frighteningly fragile’… Empty shelves, riots on the streets over food and eventual societal breakdown may sound like something from the pages of a JG Ballard novel…
“[However], food shortages are now a very real prospect over the coming months… the government has begun cautiously suggesting the population should start thinking about stockpiling crucial food items “just in case”.”
“UK scraps climate change reporting rules for the City.
“The City watchdog has abandoned plans to force companies to tell investors about climate change risks they face. The Financial Conduct Authority watered down proposals for a new set of climate reporting standards for companies listed on the stock market on Wednesday amid concerns that they could hurt the UK’s competitiveness.”
“May heatwaves, deaths, ruined harvests: study of Europe’s summer paints grim picture for the future…
“Compounding extremes of heat, drought and fire proved particularly damaging. European sea surface temperatures this summer also broke records, the report found, while the continent’s rivers experienced their lowest summer flows in more than 30 years…”
“Verbund’s Driest Year Drains Hydro, Pushes Austria Toward Gas and Imports.
“Austria’s biggest power producer is navigating a year of exceptionally low runoff, leaving significantly less water available for its dams. Because hydropower supplies the bulk of the company’s electricity and underpins the national grid, the shortfall has had wide ripple effects on how Austria keeps the lights on and what customers pay.”
“HISTORIC WARM NIGHT IN GERMANY – absolutely insane MINIMUMs up to 19.6C [67.3F], higher than a typical July night.
“After breaking September High Min records yesterday,even in long term stations like Blankenrath,today records were smashed by 4/5C. Records also in France and Benelux.” [Extreme Temps]
“West Nile virus surges in France, reaching a record 145 human cases…
“While people in France have grown accustomed over the past four years to localized outbreaks of chikungunya and dengue (with 125 and six locally contracted cases respectively as of September 30), they now face the highest number of West Nile virus infections ever recorded in the country.”
“Temperatures still up to 34C [93.2F] and MINIMUMS locally >24C – full summer going on. October High Mins Records: SPAIN – 24.2 Palma, 23.2 Alicante; FRANCE – 21.1 Nice. Next days up to 35C and more tropical nights.” [Extreme Temps]
“Torrential rain and flooding lash Spain’s eastern coast from Costa Blanca to Barcelona during red ‘danger to life’ alert.
“Shocking footage shows a torrent of muddy water coursing through the streets of Les Cases d’Alcanar, Tarragona, as authorities placed parts of Catalunya and the Valencian Community under a red alert.”
“A flood floods Madrigueras (Albacete), dragging vehicles and cutting off its main accesses.
“An intense waterspout has completely flooded Madrigueras (Albacete) this Friday, where a storm of 140 liters per square meter in three hours has flooded numerous streets, has dragged vehicles and has cut off several of the main accesses to the municipality.”
“Severe storms trigger flash floods in Crete with one dead and vehicles submerged…
“An urgent red alert has been put in place until Sunday by the country’s meteorological service, as the island continues to be battered by the extreme weather. The widespread floods have caused significant damage to roads, properties and farms and forced the closure of several schools across the island.”
“The death comes after a summer marked by several episodes of intense lightning activity across Greece. In August, a storm over the Mani peninsula produced more than 2,000 electrical discharges within a 25-kilometer radius of a weather station near Kokkala over six hours.”
“After the severe storm and torrential rain that was effective in the Bismil district of Diyarbakır, security camera footage of the flood moment emerged. In the footage, it was seen that the streets were filled with water in a short time due to the effect of the rain.”
“Heavy rains inundate streets, homes, shops in Aleppo [Syria].
“Video footage shows floods and extensive pools of rainwater across several streets, neighborhoods and markets in the city of Aleppo, with water inundating commercial shops and vehicles and disrupting traffic… emergency response teams have been working to clear drains…”
“Algeria moves to restore death penalty for arson…
“The People’s National Assembly passed an amendment to the Algerian penal code on Thursday approving the death penalty for those who purposefully set fires… The amendment received support from the National Liberation Front, which has dominated Algeria since independence from France in 1962.”
“Heatwave to Reach 40°C [104F] in Several Provinces Across Morocco…
“On Thursday, the weather office also said it expects temperatures ranging between 36 and 42 degrees in southern provinces through Sunday, and thunderstorms producing 20 to 25 millimeters of rainfall in other provinces like Taourirt, Al Haouz, Tata, Guercif, Sefrou and Boulemane.”
“After the harshest September heat wave with hundreds of records all over the region, some areas lost nearly 20C in 2 days. MAX Temperatures only 12C/24C in Zimbabwe, for many the lowest Oct max on record.”
“Warnings of dust storms in Riyadh as thunderstorms continue across Saudi Arabia…
“The NCM said the likelihood of above-average rainfall in the forecast areas ranges between 40 percent and 70 percent, with downpours potentially heavy to very heavy. The center has advised residents and visitors to monitor short-term forecasts and official warning…”
“Night Minimums up to 33C, world heat records for October smashed and re/smashed. And guess what ..it will get MUCH worse… WORLD RECORD – 41.3C [106.3F] Bam IRAN is highest October temperature ever recorded at 1000m in the Northern Hemisphere.” [Extreme Temps]
“Indus Waters Treaty abeyance puts millions at risk, UNHRC event warns.
“India’s decision to place the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) in abeyance has raised concerns over the water security, agriculture and livelihoods of millions of people dependent on the Indus Basin, as the six-decade-old agreement faces one of its most serious challenges.”
“At least 30 dead in more landslides in Nepal still reeling from deadly flash floods.
“At least 30 people have been killed in a fresh wave of heavy rain and landslides in Nepal over the past week, the national disaster management authority said. The Himalayan nation is still reeling from deadly flash floods that killed over 1,400 people in August…”
“Nepal plans to drain four dangerous glacial lakes after deadly flash flood.
“Nepal is set to begin draining four high-altitude glacial lakes in an effort to reduce flood risks, as the country recovers from the recent catastrophic deadly flood that killed more than 1,400 people.”
“China is living one of its most extraordinary heat waves in history with hundreds of records smashed in the past days. Today 39.4C [102.9F] Yuangjiang,Yunnan Province Monthly record. 37 more October records (18 Tmax+19 Tmins).” [Extreme Temps]
“Just like all previous months,Japan kicked off the month with record heat and summerlike temperatures locally >33C [91.4F]. October records: 33.1 Kyryu; 25.6 Nasu Highlands. More records coming…” [Extreme Temps]
“Korea Sees Second-Driest September on Record as Typhoons Miss…
“Clear skies and typhoons that veered away from the Korean Peninsula left September as the second-driest on record nationwide. Temperatures ran above the long-term average, though the month was cooler than the record autumn heat of the past three years.”
“Several areas in JB hit by flash floods [Malaysia]…
“Several areas in Johor Bahru were hit by flash floods following heavy rain… Among the affected areas were Jalan Kolam Air in Nong Chik, Jalan Ayer Molek, Jalan Yahya Aw, Jalan Pantai at Kampung Bakar Batu, Jalan Wong Ah Fook and Kampung Pasir in Tampoi.”
“Bangkok at breaking point as floods turn streets into stagnant lakes…
“… every city has a breaking point, and this year rain fell so fast and so hard that whole neighbourhoods of the Thai capital have been transformed, not into rivers, but stagnant lakes. In parts of the city, roughly 300mm of rain – the equivalent of half a year of average rainfall in London – fell in about two days.”
“Singapore Braces as Indonesian Forest Fires Pollute Skies…
“The air quality has dipped in and out of the unhealthy range and forecasts show dry conditions may persist, meaning there may be no quick let up to the reduced visibility and faint burning smell that we’ve become reacquainted with in recent days.”
“Puerto Princesa eyes cloud seeding amid ‘Super El Niño’ [Philippines].
“PPCWD has spent about P6,000 in diesel fuel to load and transport 10 cubic meters of water from a lorry truck for distribution, he said. The expense prompted the water district to explore other measures to augment supply, including cloud seeding.”
“‘It was crazy’: Tornado sweeps through Ulladulla as severe storms hit the state. [NSW].
“Across the state, the SES has recorded more than 80 incidents, most of which occurred in Ulladulla. A NSW SES spokesperson said it has had multiple reports of roofs blown from homes, significant damage to properties and trees down across roads.”
“‘We want action’: Fijian climate activist sends message ahead of UN talks in Pacific…
“At this year’s UN climate talks, known as Cop31, the region will be in the spotlight like never before. Next week, Fiji will host leaders ahead of the climate summit, where Naivalu hopes to draw attention to Indigenous and Pacific perspectives which she says are often relegated in global negotiations.”
“The contrast in Eastern Pacific and Atlantic hurricane activity this year is wild.
“Through September, the Eastern Pacific is having its most active season on record: 9 hurricanes, seven Category 4 or 5. The Atlantic is having its quietest season on record: zero hurricanes.” [Colin McCarthy]
“HISTORIC – 39.3C [102.7F] yesterday at El Coca – HIGHEST reliable TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED IN ECUADOR.
“Previous record was in January 1968 at Putumayo… HIGH MINIMUMS: ECUADOR – 26.0 Guayaquil; PERU – 24.5 Tumbes, 23.8 Piura, 23.3 Chiclayo, 23.0 Trujillo, 21.5 Lima, 20.4 Pisco.” [Extreme Temps]
“Ecuador Announces Launch of New Oil Auction for End of 2026…
“The proposed blocks, located in the southeastern Ecuadorian Amazon close to the border with Peru, overlap the territories of those seven Indigenous nations, who say the government’s plans face decades of Indigenous-led opposition, high development costs, uncertain returns, and significant legal, operational, and environmental risks.”
“‘A new normal’: Patagonia wildfires intensifying, expert warns.
“CONICET researcher Thomas Kitzberger says Patagonia has entered a “new normal” of larger and more destructive fires driven by heatwaves and declining rainfall. He warns that wildfire risk could multiply several times over by the end of the century, permanently altering the landscape.”
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“The U.S. just experienced its warmest and most humid September on record…
“Temperatures last month were boosted by record humidity — particularly in the Southwest, Plains and Midwest — which kept overnight temperatures elevated, continuing a trend that was in force this past summer. Overnight temperatures were a whopping 4.6 degrees above average across the U.S. as a whole…”
“The Colorado River is shrinking. What happens next?
“Lake Mead is at its lowest level since it was filled nearly 90 years ago, Lake Powell also at a historic low… This summer the federal government imposed significant cuts to the supply of Colorado River water for California, Nevada and Arizona. Wilson says that means about 50% less water will flow through the Central Arizona Project canal next year.”
“Extreme Heat in Los Angeles Area Expected to Last at Least a Week.
“The seasonal pools are closed. Many playground fountains have been turned off. Along Southern California’s beaches, some lifeguard towers are no longer staffed. Summer is over. But extreme heat is not… Across the region, counties and cities were making preparations.”
“Mayor Gloria Proclaims Local Emergency in City of San Diego for El Niño Season…
“The proclamation follows emergency declarations by the State of California and County of San Diego and comes as the City continues extensive preparations ahead of the rainy season. The local emergency allows the City to use emergency authorities available under state and local law and supports the City’s ability to seek state and federal assistance.”
“Davis County tornado classified as EF-2; tornado width sets new state record [Utah].
“The tornado eventually turned and reached the Middle Smith Lake area, where it caused damage to multiple trees heading down the east facing side of Francis Peak… The tornado then set a Utah record for tornado width as it grew in size to 1.1 miles as it traveled toward Dalton Creek, according to NWS.”
“Des Moines records wettest month in 112 years. See rainfall totals.
“Des Moines received 14.50 inches of rain in September, according to the National Weather Service. The month fell just short of becoming the wettest September in history. The all-time record is 14.81 inches, set in 1914.”
“‘It’s Absolutely Insane’: Record Rainfall Squeezes Fall Manure Application for Midwest Pork Producers.
“Washington County, Iowa, pork producer Matt Gent honestly doesn’t know how much rain his farm has received in the past month. He stopped keeping track – it’s been that much. “We’ve had well over 10 to 15 inches on our farm in the last month,” Gent says. “It’s absolutely insane.””
“‘A 100-year event’: Dozens rescued from record flooding in Omaha; mudslides close roads…
“Widespread street flooding, mudslides, and road closures from overnight storms also made the Thursday morning commute treacherous, causing delays and creating disruptions for thousands of Omaha Public Schools students.”
“In Alaska, soil in permafrost regions is warming the fastest.
“Soils are warming quickly and at considerable depth across Alaska, with temperatures rising fastest in the state’s permafrost region, a trend that could accelerate climate change and undermine the stability of roads, buildings and other infrastructure built on the continuously frozen ground.”
“Breaking News! September 2026 finished second hottest on record, averaging 1.63°C above the 1850-1900 baseline. 2023 still holds the top spot, with an anomaly of 1.74°C.
“The Climate Casino is taking the OVER on 1.80°C for October. Stay tuned!” [Prof Eliot Jacobson]
“Beef, tomatoes and seaweed are getting pricier as extreme weather hits harvests.
“From seaweed to sirloin and tomatoes to corn, grocery items around the world are getting more expensive as climate change turns temporary weather-related price spikes into a more persistent driver of inflation, a new study shows.”
“I log into my Sainsbury’s delivery app and get tapping. In go a selection of jarred beans and chickpeas (not the tinned stuff, please), as well as capers and artichokes. Next, some tinned tomatoes, olives (Perelló, obvs), tuna and anchovies. I’m not sure even the apocalypse could make me desperate enough to buy corned beef.”
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“World’s oceans absorbed record heat equal to 40 times annual global energy use…
““The ocean is transforming before our eyes,” said Pierre Bahurel, director general of Mercator Ocean International, which published the report. “Warming, rising seas and ecosystem degradation are interconnected signs of significant and long-term change.””
“Polar oceans transformed as warming melts ice habitats: Research…
“The Arctic’s combined sea surface and sea-ice surface temperature rose 4.2C between 1982 and 2024, or around 1C per decade, according to the 10th annual oceans report… In the Kara Sea north of Siberia, temperatures have climbed by 6.7C since 1982, or 1.68C per decade.”
“Food boss whistleblowers accuse boards of climate change ‘quick fixes’.
“A group of senior executives from major UK food suppliers and retailers has claimed the industry has responded to the climate crisis by resorting to “quick-fix crisis management” to present the “illusion of resilience”… They warn that the content of a suppressed government report on the risks to the food chain of climate change is now coming to fruition.”
“The boss of Britain’s biggest insurer has said that homes being built now in England could become uninsurable in the future because they are sited in flood-risk areas.
“Amanda Blanc, the chief executive of Aviva, said the flooding threat was “absolutely increasing”.”
“The second-hottest September night in University of Reading history has been recorded. The 24-hour minimum temperature for Wednesday, 30 September, was 18.8 °C, at 9.00am BST. Only once has a higher minimum temperature been recorded in September, when on September 5th 1949 the 24-hour minimum temperature was 20.3 °C.”
“The Netherlands hits full-year sunshine record by September 2026.
“The Netherlands has already recorded more sunshine in 2026 than in a typical full year, according to new meteorological data. The milestone arrives alongside an unseasonably warm late-September spell that has broken 92-year temperature records across the country.”
“September ends with 32.2C [90F] in FRANCE, 31.2C in GERMANY and a HISTORIC HOT NIGHT – MINIMUMS:
“Up to 23C in France and Belgium – 20.4 Bierset, 20.2 Dourbes Monthly record, 19.9 Humain Monthly record; Germany – 20.0 Deuselbach. Tomorrow Thousands of October High Mins records from Spain to Scandinavia.” [Extreme Temps]
“Mass Heat Wave Deaths in Europe Show Climate Extremes Are Outpacing Adaptation Efforts.
“A series of deadly heat waves from May to August overwhelmed Germany’s healthcare and emergency response systems and led to an estimated 16,000 heat-related deaths during the summer, the most heat mortalities ever recorded in the highly developed country.”
“EU’s Insurance Watchdog Warns of Risks Tied to Extreme Heat…
“The European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority said multiple sectors are likely to be impacted as temperatures rise, including insurance covering medical costs and income protection.”
“‘Explosion of melt rates’: 20% of Swiss glaciers lost in five years.
“Switzerland has lost almost one-fifth of its ice in just five years, research has found, in a dramatic reshaping of the Alpine country whose big white glaciers have been reduced to moonlike rock deserts, scientists say.”
“Even high-altitude forests in Switzerland are now weakened by frequent droughts, making natural hazards more dangerous.
“Researchers have shown that declining forest stands are an increasingly common phenomenon across all altitude belts in Switzerland. They concluded that even in the highest ‘subalpine’ belt, trees are no longer protected by the cooler temperatures from the damaging effects of summer droughts…”
“Southern France on red alert as Mediterranean storm causes severe flooding.
“A powerful Mediterranean storm brought torrential rainfall to southern France on Wednesday, prompting authorities to place the Herault and Gard departments under the highest-level red alert for rain and flooding, according to BFMTV.”
“After the floods in Barcelona, AEMET warns of another storm.
“Catalonia reactivates INUNCAT for Thursday. The south of Tarragona and the Valencian Community are facing the most dangerous stretch of the new rains. Barcelona is just beginning to recover from the floods when a new forecast of torrential rains puts Catalonia on alert again.”
“Greece is facing a new round of severe weather, with heavy rain, thunderstorms and gale-force winds expected through Sunday. Crete is at the center of the storm, with authorities putting the island under Red Code.”
“Flood disaster in Sakarya [Turkey]: rivers overflowed, houses flooded…
“We are facing the strongest rainfall in the last 27 years. 150 kilograms of rain fell per square meter in our region. All institutions are working together as one body to eliminate the destruction. Our state is here. Our AFAD, Gendarmerie and UMKE teams are on duty and making the necessary intervention.”
“Tunisia’s food, water shortages overshadow economic growth.
“Tunisia is facing shortages of staple goods and bottled drinking water despite recent signs of economic recovery, revealing vulnerability in the nation’s supply, distribution and import chains. The current scarcity of basic goods showed broad economic fragility in Tunisia.”
“Record heat never ends in Northern Africa & Sahel.
“Today Temperatures up to 42C [107.6F] in Senegal. New record of September highest temperature at Kita, Mali with 39.6C. From tomorrow hundreds of October records will be pulverized allover North Africa and the Sahel.”
“Mount Stanley (Rwenzori Mountains, Uganda) – 1906 | 2022.
“The massif peaking at Margherita Peak (5,109 m) is the only remaining of the three formerly glaciated zones in Rwenzori Moutains. Africa is currently losing its last glaciers…” [Melaine Le Roy]
“After the exceptional hot days up to 43C, another streak of record hot nights. SEPTEMBER HIGH MINS RECORDS: KENYA – 25.5 [77.9F] Lamu; ZIMBABWE – 24.0 Victoria Falls, 23.5 Hwange.”
“From Farmers to Shopowners, India Counts the Cost of a Brutal Monsoon…
“For Ajay Kumar Chutani, whose family has run a sari shop in the north Indian market town of Karnal since the 1970s, the months after the monsoon are always his busiest… This year, after erratic rains through the wet season and the country’s weakest rainfall since 2015, Chutani is keeping a close eye on the till.”
“Heavy rain and flooding in northern India kills at least 62.
“The state government said 46 people were injured and more than 1,000 houses were damaged after three days of heavy rainfall caused flooding in several districts. Schools were closed today in parts of the state…”
“Trekkers helicoptered off mountains as more deadly landslides hit Nepal…
“Hundreds of trekkers on the Annapurna Circuit – crucial to Nepal’s economy – have had to cut short their hikes to get to safety. Many have been helicoptered out of the districts of Manang and Mustang, from a hiking circuit that usually takes up to three weeks to complete.”
“In Nepal alone, insurance claims have exceeded premiums in four of the last five years, raising questions over the ambitious expansion of this clean energy source. India, Bhutan and China are also turning to hydropower to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels…”
“Severe flooding hits Russia’s Vladivostok as torrential rain swamps city.
“Severe flooding has hit the Russian city of Vladivostok, with torrents of water washing away sidewalks and stairways, cars becoming submerged in flooded pits, and entrances and apartments inundated in residential buildings.”
“Residents of Tokyo awoke to a familiar sound on Wednesday: raindrops splashing against windows and balcony floors.
“The Japanese capital has now seen a record 35 consecutive days of rain that experts blame on a combination of climate change and El Niño… The record rainfall has triggered a sharp rise in the price of vegetables, cast a shadow over tourism and left millions of Tokyoites wondering if they will see sunshine again.”
“Nine bodies pulled from Myanmar landslide as rescue effort continues…
“Intense rains have caused flash floods, cut roads, and disrupted communications, complicating rescue efforts in a region already troubled by civil war. The extreme weather has also affected neighbouring Thailand, resulting in 24 flood-related deaths…”
“Bangkok Floods Bring Instant Pain to Debt-Laden Households…
“The disruption has been immediate for thousands of street vendors, drivers and other informal workers who don’t get paid if they can’t get to work. Nearly a week of flooding has brought parts of the capital’s informal economy to a standstill…”
“Bali Records 123-Day Rain-Free Streak as El Nino Extends Dry Spell.
“Bali has recorded its longest rain-free period at 123 days, with dry conditions persisting across parts of the Indonesian tourist island as El Nino is expected to continue into early 2027. The record was recorded at a rainfall monitoring station in Sumberklampok village, Gerokgak district, Buleleng regency…”
“‘The toll is huge’: El Niño-driven wildfires overwhelm Indonesia’s orangutan population…
“The mother’s hands were peeling from walking on the torched ground. Her eight-month-old baby, which clung to her side, was dehydrated and thin. The pair, named Mama Abu and Abu (“ash” in Indonesian), were found in an oil palm subsidiary estate, rescuers say.”
“Philippines central bank braces for ‘Godzilla’ El Niño.
“The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), the central bank of the Philippines, is actively tightening monetary policy to combat an extreme 2026–2027 “Godzilla” Super El Niño. Metereologists expect this weather event to be the strongest in at least a millennium, creating massive supply shocks across Southeast Asia.”
“Approval of biggest coal project in NSW planning commission’s history described as ‘infamous betrayal’.
“The New South Wales independent planner has approved the biggest coalmine project to ever go before it, allowing mining to continue until 2045 at a Hunter Valley project described by climate groups as a “carbon bomb”.”
“Antarctica’s ice loss is locked in, and extra snowfall won’t save it – that’s bad news for low‑lying coastal areas elsewhere.
“We found that Antarctica’s ice loss this century is locked in – even if the world limits global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit), the 2015 international Paris climate agreement’s most ambitious goal.”
“Evidence builds showing climate change could be intensifying El Niño events…
““The evidence is accumulating that climate change makes for more powerful El Niños,” climate scientist Mark Cane with Columbia University in the U.S. told Mongabay in a video interview. His work was instrumental in enabling accurate forecasting of El Niño events in the late 1980s and early ’90s.”
“SOUTH AMERICA HISTORIC HEAT – exceptional MINIMUM 30.8 [87.4F] Miguel y Jesus is PARAGUAY HOTTEST SEPTEMBER NIGHT EVER.
“Dozens of records pulverized in Paraguay, Brazil, Bolivia, Argentina and Peru, including all time records like the insane 43.6C at Robore.” [Extreme Temps]
“Strong storm leaves thousands of families affected in Paraguay as Superniño advances.
“At least 4,000 families have been affected by a storm with winds of up to 90 kilometers per hour that hits the central, northern and eastern areas of Paraguay… the storm on Tuesday afternoon left a preliminary balance of 20,000 victims.”
“Viruses run rampant across Havana as water, power fails.
“A severe public health emergency is gripping Havana, Cuba, where rapid outbreaks of viral hepatitis and diarrheal illnesses are surging as a direct result of catastrophic water and electricity failures… basic municipal hygiene has collapsed across the capital.”
“‘It’s just cruel’: US households hit by surge in electricity shutoffs amid record hot summer.
“Utility disconnections were up 28% in 10 states in July 2026 – the hottest month ever recorded in the US – compared with July 2024, data shows… A record hot summer collided unhappily with rising energy costs for households across the US that struggled to the point where many were disconnected from their electricity supply, even as dangerous heat baked their communities.”
“North America continues abnormally warm in this exceptional September 2026, the Hottest September in US History.
“In particular, the MINIMUM at Brownsville, Texas was an insane 85F, tying its HIGHEST MIN EVER. Tomorrow the US National record of October Highest Minimum will be approached.” [Extreme Temps]
“Evacuations underway as Southwest flooding threatens dam failure.
“Tropical moisture from Hurricane Polo and a pair of other weather systems are fueling dangerous flooding from the Southwest into the Plains, with more rounds of heavy rain expected through Friday… Floodwaters breached a 20-foot dam wall in southern New Mexico on Tuesday, sending water into Garfield…”
“Massive 29-Foot Oceanic Manta Ray Spotted in San Diego for the First Time.
“Southern California’s increasingly tropical-looking ocean has delivered another stunner… A giant oceanic manta ray — the largest ray species on Earth — was filmed off San Diego by Net Zero Expeditions, an encounter the company says may represent the first documented sighting of the species in local waters.”
“Heatwaves, wildfires expose a third of world to extreme ozone pollution…
“When heat and sunlight react with airborne emissions from wildfires, vehicles and industry, they create ground-level ozone pollution, which can damage lung tissue, cause breathing problems, trigger asthma attacks and lead to other health issues.”
“Britain won’t dim sunlight to fight climate change.
“Government confirms it will not deploy controversial technologies designed to cool the planet… The UK government has formally ruled out the deployment of Solar Radiation Management (SRM) technologies. This decision marks the country’s first official policy stance on “sun dimming” geoengineering techniques.”
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
Huge thanks to Kimpton Bradford for being my monthly sponsor again. His words:
“During this early autumn month, let’s thank the intellectual giants who came before us and helped illuminate the path towards recognising the dramatic changes taking place in our environment. Henry David Thoreau, John Muir and Aldo Leopold form part of a remarkable intellectual throughline, laying the foundations for so many of the thinkers we listen to and lean on today.”
“The last three months are the warmest on record globally, relative to every other June-July-August period since 1850.
“Historic fishery collapse holds lessons for the present.
“From the 13th to the 16th century, herring from the Sound – the strait in theBaltic Sea between Denmark and Sweden – was one of northern Europe’s most important trade goods. Salted herring from the so-called Skanör-Falsterbo fishery fed large parts of Europe. Around 1570, however, this fishery collapsed within a short period of time – with far-reaching consequences…”
“The UK is set to face the worst harvest on record, analysis has found.
“In the latest crop numbers from AHDB, spring barley is down by 17% compared to the UK five-year average, while oats are down 14% and winter wheat 11%. AHDB said the harvest was “rapid and straightforward but with very disappointing yields”.”
“Almost 32C [89.6F] in Germany today, over 30C in Switzerland, 33C in France – and this is just the beginning of a heat wave which will completely rewrite European climatic history with several thousands records smashed by even 5/6C margins.” [Extreme Temps]
“Austria’s largest glacier is hanging on by a thread.
“What was once a broad river of ice flowing through the mountain valley has broken apart and pulled dramatically uphill. A lake now covers some of the ground where glacier ice once sat. The remaining lower section of the Pasterze is connected to the ice above by just one narrow passage.”
“Heavy rain caused flooding and landslides across parts of central Greece overnight, with the island of Skiathos and central Evia among the hardest-hit areas.
“More than 100 millimeters of rain fell within a few hours in Psachna, Evia, while Skiathos recorded more than 50 millimeters, according to Greece’s National Observatory.”
“Bad weather in Catania, roads turned into rivers: flooding at the Fair and water in shops [Sicily].
“Violent downpour from the early hours of the morning on the Etna capital. Heavy inconvenience to traffic and for students heading to school. Rain from the night also in the Acese area.”
“Deaths and injuries reported amid heavy rain in Murzuq as municipality declares state of emergency [Libya].
“…the Murzuq Municipal Council declared the highest level of emergency in response to the heavy rainfall and unstable weather conditions, as well as the potential risks posed by flooding and water accumulation to residents’ safety.”
“Morocco Records Hottest Start to September Since 1981…
“Sidi Slimane recorded 47.1°C [116.8F], breaking the previous September record of 45.8°C set in 1988. Kenitra reached 45.1°C, above its previous record of 44.6°C from 2006. Sale also set a new September record at 44.3°C…”
“Nigeria’s rivers are facing growing pressure from pollution, untreated wastewater, indiscriminate dumping, erosion, sand mining, deforestation and the effects of climate change, the Minister of Water Resources and Sanitation, Prof. Joseph Terlumun Utsev, has said.”
“34C [93.2F] in The Sao Tome Airport is a new record of September highest Temperature. One by one, this tiny country is breaking every monthly record.” [Extreme Temps]
“EXTRAORDINARY; WORLD CLIMATIC HISTORY REWRITTEN. Hundreds of records brutalized with absurde margins allover Africa:
“40.2 [104.4F] Cahama 1000m asl – ANGOLA SEPTEMBER HOTTEST DAY EVER; Min 26.5 Tete – MOZAMBIQUE SEPTEMBER HOTTEST NIGHT; 32.5 Pamandzi MAYOTTE – SEPTEMBER HOTTEST DAY.” [Extreme Temps]
“Zimbabweans face acute water stress after poor rainfall.
“More than a million residents in Zimbabwe’s second-largest city, Bulawayo, are facing acute water stress after years of poor rainfall… With the population growing and demand for water rising, the looming threat of El Niño is deepening the crisis.”
“We are witnessing something crazy with thousands of records smashed allover Asia every day of the month. 47C again in KUWAIT today. MINIMUM 34C [93.2F] Kuwait City Port is LATEST 34C MINIMUM EVER RECORDED IN NORTHERN HEMISPHERE.”
“Heavy rain lashes Punjab, KP as emergency declared in twin cities [Pakistan].
“Heavy rain accompanied by strong winds lashed several cities in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, with hailstorms reported in some areas, prompting authorities to declare a rain emergency in Islamabad and Rawalpindi.”
“Erratic Monsoon Rain Threatens India Crop Outlook, Official Says…
“The monsoon is crucial for India’s farmers because it irrigates fields and fills reservoirs that provide water for crops sown through the winter when there is typically less rain. India is a major producer of rice, wheat, sugar and cotton.”
“‘Village for sale’: Parched hamlet’s desperate plea in Maharashtra…
“Desperate for water as their farms and wells dry up, around 7,000 residents of Tulshi village in Maharashtra’s Solapur district have put up a striking banner declaring ‘Village for Sale, Price: Water’ — a symbolic protest against a water crisis they say has persisted for decades.”
“Rain fury grips north India, at least 17 dead in UP, mudslide in Himachal.
“Heavy rain disrupted road connectivity in Himachal Pradesh and triggered flooding and other rain-related disruptions across several states on Sunday, 27 September, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting more intense rainfall in parts of north and central India.”
“Entire mountain breaks off and vanishes in Nepal landslide weeks after disaster killed 1,450.
“This is the moment a huge mountain collapsed following a seismic landslide in Nepal. At least 19 people have died and 10 workers left missing following floods and landslides caused by storms…”
“Heatwaves across southern China intensified further today, with Yuanyang reached 39.2°C [102.6F].
“Additionally, 16 weather stations broke records for the highest Tmin for September. Temperatures in southern China are set to rise even further.” [Jim Yang]
“Hong Kong’s changing climate in 7 charts: from quadrupled ‘very hot days’ to record rainfall.
“Data from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) shows that record after record is being broken, from the number of “hot nights” a year to the average temperature through August, the final month of summer.”
“Central Tokyo records 34 consecutive days of rain, longest on record.
“The area has seen precipitation since Aug 27, with typhoons approaching. The previous record was 33 consecutive days from June 27 to July 29 in 2019. The heaviest rainfall during the current streak was 156 millimetres on Sept 21.”
“Despite a drop in deforestation in 2025, forest losses pile up in the Mekong.
“Over the course of 2025, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam lost a combined 746,168 hectares of tree cover (1.8 million acres), including more than 154,000 hectares (380,000 acres) of primary forest, according to Mongabay’s analysis of data published by the University of Maryland and Global Nature Watch.”
“Kanchanaburi residents warned of flood risk as dam releases increase [Thailand].
“Residents along rivers and in low-lying areas have been urged to move belongings to higher ground and closely monitor water levels. The situation at Kanchanaburi’s town waterfront was becoming a concern, with water levels visibly higher than on September 28.”
“Record rainfall triggers deadly floods and landslides in Myanmar’s Dawei district.
“Local volunteer groups are carrying out urgent search-and-rescue operations, while additional relief teams from neighbouring Mon and Kayin states are deploying to the disaster zones to assist trapped residents as downpours continue.”
“Indonesia’s Worst Fire Season in Years Tests Prabowo Budget Cuts.
“On the edge of one of the largest cities in Indonesian Borneo, administrator-turned-firefighter Heru Hartarto surveys the hectares of scorched peat before him… igniting yet again. “We’re exhausted. Many new fires are appearing,” said Hartarto, as his fire truck hummed in the background. “The impact is worse than what I could have imagined.””
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“Record heat in Oceania & SE Asia.
“Min 84F/28.9C Majuro – MARSHALL ISLANDS SEPTEMBER HOTTEST NIGHT. HAWAII had a very hot month: in particular the MINIMUM of 77F/25.0C at Hilo on the 17th tied its September record.” [Extreme Temps]
“Residents near Maui wildfires show elevated metals linked to impacted lung health, study says.
“Metal mixtures found in the leftover smoke, ash and debris from the deadly 2023 Maui wildfires were harmful to the lung health of people living nearby long after the burning ended, a new study says.”
“JUST IN: El Niño just Broke its Hottest Temperature on Record.
“The El Niño 3.4 region average SST just surpassed 2015 for the highest temp ever measured in the El Niño (3.4) region. (Recently it broke the SST anomaly, this time it’s the absolute temp). It comes 2 months earlier than typical peak…”
“SOUTH AMERICA HISTORIC HEAT – exceptional MINIMUM 30.8 [87.4F] Miguel y Jesus is PARAGUAY HOTTEST SEPTEMBER NIGHT EVER.
“Dozens of records pulverized in Paraguay, Brazil, Bolivia, Argentina and Peru, including all time records like the insane 43.6C at Robore.” [Extreme Temps]
“As your author said long time ago, here we are – 45C again in early spring in Argentina; 45.1C Ingeniero Juarez; 44.4C Posta Salazar. On Monday another deadly hot day coming!”
“Strong storms and hail the size of a golf ball caused damage in Córdoba [Argentina].
“…the hailstorm lasted approximately three minutes and was accompanied by very little rain, practically dry. Before the stones began to fall, he said he could perceive the advance of the phenomenon: “I could hear like a roar, the hail that was approaching and my dogs that began to get nervous.””
“Rains leave five dead and keep several regions of Honduras under threat.
“Heavy rains affecting Honduras have left five people dead and hundreds of families affected by flooding, overflowing and swollen rivers in different regions of the country, as authorities warn that rainy conditions could continue over the next eight weeks.”
“Still very much on track for a THIRD CONSECUTIVE record-warm month across the Contiguous US.
“Through September 27, PRISM has the Lower 48 running an astonishing +3.47°F above the 1991–2020 mean. The existing September record is +2.98°F, set in 1998.” [The Global Warmer]
“Homelessness in Las Vegas proved deadly after 2nd hottest summer on record.
“David, a unhoused man in his 60s living in Las Vegas, knows that reality better than most. “The first month I was out here, I was rushed to the hospital. I had a 106 temperature. I was on life support from the heat,” David said. “It’s ungodly hot and it’s getting hotter,” he continued.”
“Hurricane Polo is nearing landfall in Mexico’s Baja California Sur.
“In 24 hours, by Tuesday evening, the storm will cross into the United States, where it could cause life-threatening flash floods in New Mexico on Tuesday night, followed by Colorado on Wednesday.” [Ben Noll]
“Concern mounts over slow-moving, planetary-scale ‘Kelvin’ wave heading for California.
“Concerns are mounting about an ocean phenomenon known as a Kelvin wave that could raise sea levels along the California coastline by up to a foot, as scientists say El Niño is supercharging the threat of storm surges and flooding in the coming months.”
“Nor’easter uncovers 1884 shipwreck on Nantucket beach.
“Erosion along the Massachusetts island’s south shore stripped away enough sand to expose a large section of wooden wreckage believed to belong to the Warren Sawyer, a 19th-century schooner that was wrecked by gale-force winds in December 1884. More than 140 years later, another storm has pulled part of the Warren Sawyer back into view.”
“Legal bid to stop underwater AI data centre in endangered whale habitat launched.
“A proposed underwater AI data centre off the coast of Maine is facing a legal challenge from conservationists, who warn it could harm endangered whales, after federal regulators accepted the developer’s application for a preliminary permit a week after the local council imposed a moratorium on the project.”
“More plastic, less glow? Pollution threatens deep sea’s bioluminescent life, experts warn…
“When deep-sea organisms ingest plastics, it could disrupt the chemical pathways that create bioluminescence and damage the tissues in their bodies, impairing their ability to find food and a mate.”
“Without water, forests lose their ability to absorb CO₂…
“During periods of drought, trees… face a dilemma: whether to open their stomata to facilitate the photosynthesis necessary for the tree’s metabolism and growth, or to close them to conserve water and protect their hydraulic system from irreversible damage.”
“Climate aid driving up public debt of poorest countries by billions of pounds each year.
“The system for distributing climate aid from rich countries is leaving some of the poorest and most vulnerable countries struggling to access finance – while piling billions onto the public debt of a significant number of nations, new analysis by The Independent shows.”
“Inside the anti-climate campaign against researchers.
“Conservative organizations are filing open records requests by the dozens at public universities, demanding emails, research drafts, correspondence with law firms and other documents from academics studying climate change.”
“As far as I know, your work is unique in pulling together stories from all over the world. Very sobering but a better and more complete view. Terrific and necessary work. Thank you!” – Simon
“With the inundation of so much depressing news, Justin Panopticon presents it in a succinct format that one can quickly go thru and see the big picture of climate and economics/politics to stay current and if a particle topic is of interest one can delve into the details… I try never to miss any of his posts…I am a Patreon of his work.”
– Karina S.
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