Daily updates on climate change and the global economy.

Climate 18 Feb 2019 Mildest Ever Feb Weather for UK

“The coming weeks are predicted to be the mildest on record for February, and now the Royal Horticultural Society says it is likely to be the most fragrant, too.

“Britain’s gardens are going in to bloom earlier this year, with seasonal flowers including witch hazel, winter-flowering viburnums, shrubby honeysuckles and Edgeworthia flowering larger and more profusely as a result of last year’s hot, sunny summer and a lack of hard frosts this winter.

“It means February is shaping to be the most fragrant in memory, the Royal Horticultural Society has said, with winter-flowering plants blooming quicker than normal to avoid competition for pollinators come the summer. A flower count in the south west and Wales by the National Trust has seen numbers up in almost 40 of its gardens, with its Trelissick site in Truro seeing a 91 per cent increase from 102 flowers last year to 195 this year.

“The country could have its hottest February day on record this week as warm air is likely to surge towards the UK and Ireland.”

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/02/18/uk-weather-mildest-february-record-boon-seasonal-blooms/


“An open air swimming spot in Karlsruhe will be the first in Germany to open its doors this year as the country enjoys unseasonably warm weather of more than 20C in February…

“Temperatures above 20C in the middle of February are “extremely unusual”, the DWD weather expert said. Mild temperatures usually only arrive in Germany four weeks later, around March 20th, according to experts.”

https://www.thelocal.de/20190218/germanys-first-open-air-pool-to-welcome-swimmers-as-temperatures-soar-above-20c


“Hurricane-strength winds hit the Stora Sjöfallet national park in northern Sweden over the weekend, but mountain rescuers were still called out to save hikers who tried to defy the harsh conditions.

“Sweden’s national weather agency SMHI recorded gusts of up to 156.6 kilometres per hour on Saturday evening, with average wind speeds of around 133 km/h.”

https://www.thelocal.se/20190218/hurricane-force-winds-batter-northern-sweden


“Four persons went missing on early Sunday on Crete island and a search and rescue operation was underway, after torrential rains caused flooding mainly in rural areas, Greek national news agency AMNA reported.

“A woman made a telephone call to the Fire Brigade that the car her husband was driving was being swept by waters of the overflowing Geropotamos river…”

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019-02/17/c_137829127.htm


“Black snow has been spotted in a coal mining region in Russia. The Kemerovo area in southwest Siberia has undergone a gothic makeover, with videos and photos shared on social media showing jet-black flakes transforming the landscape.

“While the phenomenon may look eerily beautiful, it’s indicative of a coal mining industry that has very little in the way of regulation, according to environmental protesters.”

https://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/black-snow-siberia-toxic-coal-pollution-kuznetsk-basin-kemerovo-video-a8784191.html


“Nigerians, especially, those living in Lagos and some other southern states may have been jolted by the unusual heavy downpours that marked the first month of the year; a month that is normally characterised by high temperatures, scorching sun and heat wave…

“Experts have been blaming the abnormal weather on climate change.”

https://guardian.ng/opinion/the-unusual-heavy-rains-in-january/


“Maipato Kesebang normally grows maize, jugo beans and sweet reed on her 20-hectare plot of land northwest of Gaborone, Botswana’s capital. But last year, worsening drought and heatwaves destroyed much of her harvest.

““The little that grew feebly we just ate. Nothing was left for storage or to sell,” she said.”

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-botswana-drought-welfare/hit-by-wilder-weather-botswanas-farmers-seek-welfare-payments-idUSKCN1Q7072


“Eight subsistence miners who were trapped underground for several days after heavy flooding in Zimbabwe have been rescued, though dozens of their co-workers are still missing and feared dead.

“”Eight of the trapped minors have been rescued … while 24 bodies have been retrieved to date as rescue efforts continue at Battlefields Mine,” the Zimbabwe Broadcasting Corporation reported.”

https://www.dailysabah.com/africa/2019/02/16/8-miners-rescued-dozens-more-feared-dead-after-heavy-flooding-in-zimbabwe


“The residents of the cities of Patagonia in Argentina act in a way that they themselves are surprised. The unusual and surprising climate change that cause temperatures above 40 degrees, has caused them to completely change their routines. Since the beginning of February, with a temperature above 30 °, the inhabitants began to use lighter clothes and to bathe in cold southern waters, like those of Playa Grande, located on one of the margins of the Chilean city of Ushuaia…”

https://larepublica.pe/mundo/1414536-argentina-ola-calor-ciudad-fresca-chubut-patagonia-argentina-ahora-supera-40-grados-centigrados


“There is a 50 per cent chance this year could be Thailand’s second hottest ever. People must brace for extreme heat in the days to come, as an extraordinarily hot and arid summer has been forecast for Thailand from Thursday, while seven provinces in the North and the West are expected to experience extreme heat at 40-44 deg C, experts have warned.”

https://www.asiaone.com/asia/scorching-summer-coming-thailand-experts-warn


“Katherine’s [Northern Territories] all-time February heat record is set to be broken this week. That’s the prediction of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.

“After a disappointingly poor wet season so far, which remains well below average in terms of rain, the hot build-up type days have remained. Over the past few days the bureau has been steadily increasing its expected temperature for later this week.”

https://www.katherinetimes.com.au/story/5910828/heat-records-to-be-broken-this-week/


“Australia’s $6 billion dollar wine industry is under pressure and struggling to adjust following record summer heatwaves across the country.

“Some winemakers have been forced to harvest around the clock during January and February, as both red and white grapes ripened at once. The Hunter Valley in NSW is one affected region, with winemaker Andrew Margan running on little sleep during the hottest January on record, in order to bring in his entire vintage.”

https://www.sbs.com.au/news/australia-s-wine-industry-under-threat-after-record-summer-heatwaves


“A scientific panel investigating the causes of three mass fish deaths at the Menindee lakes has pointed the finger squarely at those managing the Murray-Darling river system, saying the lack of flows was caused by a combination of drought and over-extraction, leading to the environmental disaster…

“Unless urgent steps are taken to restore flows in the Darling, Prof Craig Moritz, who chaired the panel, warned: “The Darling will die.””

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/18/the-darling-will-die-scientists-say-mass-fish-kill-due-to-over-extraction-and-drought


“Freshwater bleaching of corals could occur this year as a result of flood waters from Queensland’s overflowing rivers pouring into the Great Barrier Reef, the marine park authority has warned.

“The Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority told Senate estimates hearings in Canberra on Monday that there is a chance corals hit by mass bleaching in 2016 or 2017 could be damaged again by one of several impacts from the flooding disaster.”

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/feb/18/great-barrier-reef-coral-at-risk-of-bleaching-from-queensland-flood-waters


“Many parts of Australia have suffered a run of severe and, in some cases, unprecedented weather events this summer. One common feature of many of these events – including the Tasmanian heatwave and the devastating Townsville floods – was that they were caused by weather systems that parked themselves in one place for days or weeks on end.”

https://theconversation.com/how-climate-change-can-make-catastrophic-weather-systems-linger-for-longer-111832


“The latest storm to hit the Truckee-Tahoe area dropped another 30 inches of snow at Squaw Valley’s upper mountain, breaking the record at the resort for most snowfall in February.

“This month, Squaw Valley has been hit with 205 inches of snow at its upper mountain and more is currently coming down. The previous record was set in February 2017 when Squaw received 196 inches of snow.”

https://www.sierrasun.com/news/squaw-sets-february-snowfall-record-video/


“Des Moines could break a 107-year-old snowfall record this week. In 1912, 43.5 inches of snow fell in 40 days in Des Moines. Since Jan. 11, 37.4 inches covered Iowa’s capital, according to the National Weather Service.

“But a mid-week storm could overturn Des Moines’ record for most snowfall in a 40-day period set the same year the Titanic sank to the bottom of the Atlantic.”

https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/2019/02/17/des-moines-iowa-may-break-107-year-old-snowfall-record-mid-week-storm-titanic-weather-service-cold/2901024002/


“Data Thoman shared with Earther shows Februarys in Utqiaġvik have warmed a staggering 11 degrees Celsius over the past 50 years — the highest jump of any month, although autumns on the North Slope are also seeing very rapid warming, which helps explain why the sea ice that forms offshore as the sunlight wanes has been weak as hell lately.”

https://www.gizmodo.com.au/2019/02/why-americas-northernmost-city-is-having-a-weird-hot-winter/


Read the previous ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 14 Feb 2019 Temperatures in Alaska Scarily Above Normal

“…temperatures have been scarily above normal this month at the northernmost point of the United States.

“Through the first 12 days of February, Utqiaġvik, Alaska (previously known as Barrow) is running 21 degrees warmer than normal. On Friday, readings soared as high… On Friday, readings soared as high as 30 to 50 degrees above normal.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/02/13/strange-days-winter-temperatures-have-been-way-above-normal-northernmost-part-united-states/


“After weeks of snowfall in central Wisconsin, its time to turn attention to the accumulating totals on top of roofs.

“The snow totals in the Wausau area have reached 35 inches in the month of February. Doing the job of clearing it off yourself can be dangerous and should be done with caution.”

https://waow.com/news/wisconsin-news/2019/02/13/record-snowfall-totals-weighing-down-on-roofs/


“A storm will raise the risk of life-threatening flash flooding, mudslides and avalanches across California as it will be loaded with subtropical moisture from an atmospheric river eyeing the state.

“California will be bombarded with heavy rain and fluctuating snow levels through Thursday night.”

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/atmospheric-river-to-fuel-torrential-rain-in-california-bringing-flash-flooding-mudslide-risks/70007433


“In true Texas fashion, San Antonio temperatures will be approaching record highs this weekend after the city began the week with lows in the 30s, according to the National Weather Service.”

https://www.mysanantonio.com/news/weather/article/Near-record-high-temperatures-forecast-weekend-13613332.php


“Hurricane-force winds have set a new record on an iconic Western North Carolina peak, according to measurements taken early Wednesday.

“It was around 4 a.m. when a three-second wind gust hit 121.3 miles per hour on Grandfather Mountain, breaking the previous record set six years earlier.”

https://eu.citizen-times.com/story/news/local/2019/02/13/grandfather-mountain-hurricane-force-wind-sets-new-record/2861874002/


“At least one in 10 of Colombia’s municipalities have run out of drinking water as a consequence of extended drought caused by weather phenomenon “El Niño.”

“The country’s Housing and Territory Ministry said Tuesday that 108 municipalities have run out of drinking water. Newspaper El Tiempo reported that 391 municipalities throughout Colombia are suffering water shortages…”

https://colombiareports.com/1-in-10-of-colombias-municipalities-without-potable-water-amid-extreme-drought/


“In the south of Chile, record breaking temperatures have sparked forest fires burning thousands of hectares of land… A weather station in the capital Santiago set a new record of 38.3°C (100.94F) in January.

“In other parts of central Chile, temperatures topped 40°C (104F), according to Meteo Chile. Heat gripped Patagonia in February, and for the first time ever Porvenir and Puerto Natalaes in the southern tip of the country exceeded 30°C (86F). Coyhaique reached a new record of 35.7°C (96.3F) and Cochrane 36.1°C (97F).”

http://spaceref.com/earth/extreme-weather-in-chile-causing-catastrophic-fires.html


“A weather phenomenon called the Foehn Effect is helping to encourage the unusually high temperatures in some parts of the UK.

“Temperatures in northern parts of Scotland will reach the mid-teens on Thursday and if the mercury climbs above 15.3C it will be Scotland’s warmest St Valentine’s Day on record…”

https://weather.com/en-GB/unitedkingdom/weather/news/2019-02-14-uk-weather-foehn-effect-milder-temperatures-scotland


“Drought is worsening across 13 counties [of Kenya] owing to the prevailing hot weather conditions across the country.

“A drought status and response report by the National Drought Management Authority indicates that the worst hit regions include the North Eastern counties of Garissa, Marsabit, Wajir and Mandera.”

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2019/02/13/drought-hunger-ravage-13-counties_c1894345


“At least 38 miners in Zimbabwe are feared to have died after the flooding of two underground mines in a central town late on Tuesday.

“The flooding, caused by heavy rains, led to the collapse of a dam wall at around 23:00 on Tuesday, leaving 34 miners trapped underground at Silver Moon Mine and another four at the Cricket Mine, The Herald reported.”

https://www.news24.com/Africa/Zimbabwe/dozens-of-artisanal-miners-feared-dead-in-zimbabwe-after-flooding-20190214


“At least five people have died, hundred houses destroyed and roads washed away after heavy rains led to torrential flooding in the western Afghanistan’s provinces, local official said Wednesday…

“Herat officials said due to heavy rain and snow, flights into and out of Herat have been cancelled and the Herat-Islam Qala, Herat-Torghondi and Herat-Kandahar highways have been closed.”

https://menafn.com/1098117317/Afghanistan-Flash-floods-in-west-kill-five-destroy-hundred-houses


“Record snowfall covered Moscow on Wednesday, with streets and monuments blanketed in white and dozens of flights cancelled at the city’s main airport.

“Snow coated trees and power lines from morning, but melted into deep slush on pavements as temperatures rose above freezing in the afternoon.”

https://phys.org/news/2019-02-record-breaking-snowfall-cloaks-moscow.html


“A river has gone from thin and dry to 37 miles (60 kilometers) wide in a matter of weeks as a result of floods in northeast Australia, satellite imagery shows.

“Images released by NASA show the change to the Flinders River — one of Australia’s longest waterways — over the past month, with flooding there at its worst in more than half a century… The river is now so big it’s creating its own weather system.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/02/14/australia/australia-flinders-river-intl/index.html


“NSW is on track to have warmer than average days and nights in the coming months, the Bureau of Meteorology says.

“The prediction comes off the back of two record-breaking summer months, with February also looking to record mean above-average temperatures.”

https://www.watoday.com.au/environment/weather/after-record-breaking-summer-nsw-set-for-a-hotter-than-average-autumn-20190214-p50xsf.html


“New Zealand is experiencing another bout of hot weather as the dry summer continues. Temperatures are expected to peak on Thursday and Friday this week as a weak front moves across the country.

“The effects of the front were felt on Tuesday, where record temperatures were recorded in Rotorua.”

https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2019/02/new-zealand-to-swelter-again-as-temperatures-hit-30s.html


“The red alert cyclone warning has been re-issued to central parts of Vanuatu as Tropical Cyclone Oma spirals northwest of Santo…

“Vanuatu’s Meteorological Service said there is a chance Tropical Cyclone Oma may yet strengthen into a Category 3 system.”

https://www.radionz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/382461/cyclone-oma-red-alert-re-issue-for-central-vanuatu


Read the previous ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 13 Feb 2019 Freakiest Winter on Record for Wisconsin

“If it seems like this winter has been especially weird in central and northeastern Wisconsin, it might be because of all the record weather events we’ve experienced.

“In a one-month span alone, we’ve enjoyed the warmest temperatures ever recorded for the day, been drenched by record-breaking January rains, shivered in some of the coldest temperatures ever recorded and trudged through historically heavy snowfalls.”

https://eu.wausaudailyherald.com/story/news/2019/02/12/winter-weather-records-fall-throughout-central-northeast-wisconsin/2850622002/


“More than 30 weather records were broken this week in regions across British Columbia due to low temperatures and large amounts of snowfall, said Carmen Hartt, a meteorologist for Environment Canada.”

https://www.thestar.com/vancouver/2019/02/11/vancouver-school-board-calls-snow-day-tuesday-after-record-snowfall.html


“Before giving way to downpours and strong winds Tuesday, the heat record had been broken for this date three times in Melbourne [Florida], according to the National Weather Service.

“The previous record for Feb. 12 was set last year at 85 degrees. At noon, the record was tied and an hour later beaten twice. Temperatures continued to climb, reaching 88 degrees by 3 p.m.”

https://eu.floridatoday.com/story/weather/2019/02/12/melbourne-heat-record-broken-before-cold-front/2849626002/


“Forecasters say a massive trough of low pressure loaded with energy from the Gulf of Alaska and a disturbance farther south in the Pacific will begin spreading across [Calfornia] Wednesday, gathering strength as it makes landfall… The moisture could produce as much as 10 inches of precipitation in isolated locations…”

https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/Coming-Storm-May-Produce-Record-Rainfall-Evacuation-Orders-Possible-505735231.html


“The National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology [of Bolivia] ssued a red-level hydrological alert for the flooding of at least 15 rivers that threaten to flood more populations in the North of La Paz and at least five departments of the country.

“The head of forecasts, Marisol Portugal, reported that the level of red hydrological threat, is declared when the level of the rivers reach critical heights that make the overflow imminent or when the floods have already started.”

https://www.elperiodico.com/es/internacional/20190213/bolivia-lluvias-cuatro-mil-familias-damnificadas-7301189


“The National Meteorological Service of Argentina issued a report on Tuesday morning warning of a new heatwave that will affect Patagonia with high temperatures, which will last from Thursday, February 14 to Sunday, February 17, inclusive.

“As detailed, from Thursday 14 until the end of the forecast period (February 17) temperatures will be recorded that may exceed 35 ° C (95f).

https://www.adnsur.com.ar/2019/02/se-viene-otra-ola-de-calor-se-esperan-maximas-de-mas-de-35/


“One of the rising uncertainties climate change is bringing to Zimbabwe: The rains have come much later, with the November rainy season beginning as late as January — and when it comes, there’s less of it, sometimes falling for just one day.

“”We’re experiencing the worst style of drought. If we receive rains, it will be like a cyclone: very violent, too windy. Very erratic. So you cannot bank on it. Things are changing every day.””

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/02/13/health/climate-change-zimbabwe-farmers-hiv-intl/index.html


“Severe heatwave conditions along the length of the Queensland coast [Australia] have brought a record-breaking run of high temperatures to the southern inland town of Roma and unrelenting searing weather to Brisbane…

“The heatwave is impacting the volunteer ‘mud army’ helping with the flood clean-up effort in Townsville.”

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-13/heatwave-queensland-roma-brisbane-suffer-undending-run-scorchers/10807470


“There are fires in NSW, a heatwave in south-east Queensland, the dust is still settling on Sydney and Canberra, and it snowed in Tasmania overnight. There has also been a bushfire emergency warning issued in the past few hours in Albany, Western Australia. How is all of this crazy weather happening at the same time?”

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-13/fire-floods-dust-and-snow-crazy-weather-across-australia/10806818


“A massive dust storm brought “hazardous” air to much of NSW on Wednesday, prompting health warnings from authorities as the cloud headed north to Queensland.

“The NSW Office of Environment and Heritage said air quality in the Illawarra and NSW south-west slopes was rated “hazardous” due to the haze, which has also shrouded Sydney.”

https://thenewdaily.com.au/weather/2019/02/13/dust-storm-hazardous/


“Water is emerging as the biggest threat in the Tasman district [NZ] as “desperate” growers face tougher water restrictions earlier than ever. The financial impact on region of the big dry is expected to run into the millions, potentially outstripping the cost of the forest fire still burning in some of the hills and valleys around the plains.

“Tasman district mayor Richard Kempthorne on Wednesday said the cost to the economy had been assessed at $100m from a 35 per cent water restriction, so a 65 per cent cut would be “significantly greater”.”

https://www.stuff.co.nz/nelson-mail/news/110556228/severe-water-restrictions-to-bite-as-drought-could-cost-over-100-million


“Britain is set to bask in glorious sunshine this Valentine’s Day as temperatures continue to push closer to the 60°F mark in the UK. Forecasters have said that some parts of the UK could reach up to 59°F as loved up Brits prepare for the most romantic day of the year.

“Temperatures have become a lot more mild this week after cold snaps across the UK left many Brits de-icing their cars and wrapping up warm before braving the great outdoors.”

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6697121/Forecasters-predict-Britains-warmest-February-14th-temperatures-pushing-60F.html


“Warmer summers are causing Antarctic ice shelves to ‘bend’ and buckle under the weight of increased water that puts huge pressure on surface lakes, new research has shown.

“The latest study shows a direct link between surface melting and the weakening of Antarctic ice shelves, the first of its kind to be conducted in the field.

“The formation and draining of lakes that come from ice and snow melting can cause a floating Antarctic ice shelf to ‘flex’ and destabilise, scientists say.

“The extra pressure creates indents in the ice if sufficiently large, and subsequent draining process can then create so much stress that lake basins can weaken and break.”

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-6699499/Warmer-summers-causing-Antarctic-ice-shelves-bend.html


Read the previous ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 12 Feb 2019 First Ever Snow for a Hawaii State Park

“As winter storms pummeled the Hawaiian islands early Monday, they didn’t just bring strong winds, tons of rain and dangerous surf. They also dumped snow in beautiful, usually balmy, normally tropical Maui. The state Department of Land and Natural Resources is reporting that snow is falling at the Polipoli State Park on the the Valley Isle, while the white stuff is forecast in some other parts of the state as well.

““For perhaps the first time ever, snow has fallen in a Hawaii State Park. Polipoli State Park on Maui is blanketed with snow,” the agency wrote on its Facebook page Sunday.”

https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/02/11/whats-hawaiian-for-frost-snowfall-on-maui-could-set-a-record/


“Back-to-back waves of snow dumped over 11 inches of snow on Seattle this weekend, breaking the city’s February snowfall record.

“The city is bracing for two more snow events, the first arriving Monday.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/02/11/record-february-snowfall-hammers-seattle-more-is-coming/


“Severe weather is expected to stretch from coast to coast [USA] Tuesday, with more than 100 million people under some sort of winter watch, warning or advisory; nearly 25 million people under threat of flooding; and more snow on the way in Seattle.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/02/12/us/winter-weather-tuesday-wxc/index.html


“Eighteen million trees have died in California since the fall of 2017, even as the state emerged from a years-long drought, according to the USDA Forest Service.

“Federal and state officials say that while tree mortality in the state has actually slowed since the drought was declared over in 2017-2018, the number of trees that have died across 9.7 million acres of federal, state, local and private land since 2010 has reached 147 million.”

https://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2019/02/11/18-million-trees-dead-since-drought/


“Since 1980, the U.S. has sustained 241 weather and climate disasters where the overall damage costs reached or exceeded US$1 billion, and the total bill for these 241 events exceeds US$1.6 trillion.”

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/climate-weather-disasters-billion-dollar-noaa-report-wildfire-flood-hurricane-michael-florence-winter-storm-blizzard/124191


“Tens of thousands of people in Puerto Rico will face water rationing due to increasingly dry conditions in a U.S. territory still struggling to recover from Hurricane Maria.

“Gov. Ricardo Rossello said Monday that seven municipalities in the island’s northwest region could be without water for up to 24 hours at a time starting next week.”

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/puerto-rico-implements-water-rationing-measures-amid-drought-today-2019-02-11/


“Three of the nine departments of Bolivia were declared on red alert, due to the imminent risk of flooding as a result of an unusually intense rainy season that left 18 dead, 12 missing and more than 2,000 families affected. “Red alert level: due to considerable rainfall, the rivers of the Mamoré and Beni basins will continue to overflow,” the National Meteorology and Hydrology Service (Senamhi) said in a bulletin.”

https://mundo.sputniknews.com/america-latina/201902121085403848-declaran-alerta-roja-bolivia/


“Australia has been hit with extreme weather as scorching heat, strong cold fronts and dust storms sweep the nation.

“Temperatures plummeted in southeast Australia today, making the warmest January on record for Victoria and Tasmania seem like a distant memory… As Queensland continues to face catastrophic floods in the far north, a bacterial infection outbreak has been confirmed with one death.”

https://www.9news.com.au/2019/02/12/18/37/weather-news-australia-dust-storms-damaging-winds-flooding-schorching-heat


“Spare a thought for Andrew Solomon tomorrow as the mercury soars in the Garden City. The concreter will be staying hydrated and hitting the shade when he can, with Toowoomba set to hit 37 degrees – 11 degrees above the average maximum for the month. If the mercury tops 37 degrees, it will break the record for the hottest-ever February day, set in 1983… there will be no relief from the heat, with the bureau forecasting a zero per cent chance of rain.”

https://www.thechronicle.com.au/news/toowoomba-forecast-to-equal-record-high-for-februa/3645946/


“Down in the notoriously vulnerable ice sheet of West Antarctica, Pine Island Glacier seems to be breaking up faster than ever, and it’s looking like 2019 might be another busy year.

“The ice shelf calved major icebergs in 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2018—and now, another one is getting ready to break free. The instability of this glacier is not just bad for the southernmost continent. It is bad for the globe.”

https://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/what-is-pine-island-glacier


“A new study on ice cores shows that reductions in sea ice in the Arctic in the period between 30-100,000 years ago led to major climate events.

During this period, Greenland temperatures rose by as much as 16 degrees Celsius [in as little as a decade].

“The results are published today (Monday 11 February) in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS).”

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2019-02/bas-asi021119.php


Read the previous ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Economy 12 Feb 2019 Systemic Collapse Looms

“The gathering storm of human-caused threats to climate, nature and economy pose a danger of systemic collapse comparable to the 2008 financial crisis [considerably worse in my view, as we are way more indebted, and energy and resource-constrained, and the biosphere is in even greater disarray] according to a new report that calls for urgent and radical reform to protect political and social systems.

“The study says the combination of global warming, soil infertility, pollinator loss, chemical leaching and ocean acidification is creating a “new domain of risk”, which is hugely underestimated by policymakers even though it may pose the greatest threat in human history.

““A new, highly complex and destabilised ‘domain of risk’ is emerging – which includes the risk of the collapse of key social and economic systems, at local and potentially even global levels,” warns the paper from the Institute for Public Policy Research. “This new risk domain affects virtually all areas of policy and politics, and it is doubtful that societies around the world are adequately prepared to manage this risk.””

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/feb/12/climate-and-economic-risks-threaten-2008-style-systemic-collapse


“While many bullish (optimistic) investors were attempting to shrug off the European economic slowdown several months ago, including the ECB, claiming a rebound was just around the corner in 2019, the data is here to refute that claim.

“The economic data across the Eurozone has deteriorated at an accelerated pace in 2019 as the probability that the entire Euro Area falls into a recession is rising.”

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4240041-recession-risk-rising-europe


“Since 2010, the UK has endured its slowest economic recovery on record and the outlook is merely worsening… in December the UK economy contracted by 0.4 per cent…. Manufacturing has now contracted for six months in a row, while business investment has fallen for the last four quarters. By historic standards, the UK is due another recession — defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth — and Brexit (and a global trade war) have merely heightened the risk.

“An already weak economy — too unbalanced, too unproductive and too unequal — now faces the threat of a painful rupture with its largest trading partner.”

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/economy/2019/02/threat-new-recession-rising-and-uk-dangerously-unprepared


“An investigation has been opened into anti-Semitic graffiti which appeared on the front of a bagel restaurant in central Paris at the weekend.

“The word ‘Juden’ (Jews in German) was sprayed in yellow on the front window of a restaurant belonging to the Balgestein chain on the touristy Ile Saint-Louis.”

https://www.thelocal.fr/20190211/outrage-in-paris-over-anti-semitic-graffiti-on-bagel-restaurant-window


“Matteo Salvini has raised the possibility of wresting control of Italy’s sizeable gold reserves away from the country’s central bank in the latest in a series of threats to the independence of the Bank of Italy by Rome’s populist coalition.

““The gold is the property of the Italian people, not of anyone else,” Mr Salvini, deputy prime minister and leader of the League party, said in comments to reporters on Monday.”

https://corporatedispatch.com/archives/23302


“Argentine President Mauricio Macri is fighting economic fires on all fronts.

“Rein in inflation and cuts to utility subsidies threaten to rekindle it while also fueling public anger; get a tumbling peso in check by jacking up interest only to find industrial output has hit an almost two-decade low.”

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-argentina-economy/in-argentina-macri-economics-plays-whack-a-mole-with-crises-idUSKCN1Q01K5


“Promises by Nigerian presidential candidates to fix an economy that vies with South Africa’s to be the continent’s largest could be unfulfilled unless the country is weaned off its oil dependence.

“President Muhammadu Buhari, 76, a former military ruler running for a second four-year term in this week’s vote, has struggled to jump-start the economy and far from lifting growth to the annual 10 percent he promised before the previous election, gross domestic product contracted in 2016.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-12/nigeria-faces-lost-decade-as-economic-growth-stagnates


“Zimbabwe’s government was on Monday denied reports that it may introduce a new currency this week, amid fears that such a move would worsen the country’s economic crisis.

“Zimbabwe has been without a currency of its own since 2008 when the government ditched the infamous Zimbabwean dollar amid crippling hyperinflation. The highest denominated banknote was Z$100 trillion at the time.”

https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/world/africa/2019-02-12-zimbabwe-dismisses-reports-of-new-currency-as-economic-crisis-heightens/


“Companies and executives around the world are desperately trying to gauge the severity of China’s economic slowdown. But getting a clear picture is very difficult…

“The situation could be even bleaker than China’s official statistics suggest, according to many analysts.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/02/11/business/china-economy-growth-data/index.html


“The collapse in China of a complex web of debt guarantees involving several private firms highlights risks in its financial system and opens up a potentially hazardous front for an economy in the grip of its slowest growth in nearly three decades.”

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-debt/debt-guarantee-tangle-chinas-private-firms-hit-by-default-contagion-idUSKCN1Q107W


Singapore is very much a ‘canary in the coalmine’ for the global economy:

“Retail sales in Singapore fell by 6.0% on a year-on-year basis in December, worsening from the 2.4% decline in the previous month as sales from all segments in the index including motor vehicle sales and computer and telecommunications equipment fell except for medical goods and toiletries and other retail items.”

https://www.ig.com/au/news-and-trade-ideas/other-news/singapore_s-retail-sales-slump-6-0–in-december-190212


“Data out this morning show that home loans in Australia slumped by 6.1 per cent in December following a 0.9 per cent decline in the previous month.

“Not only was the drop far bigger than anyone predicted but on a quarterly basis is one of the biggest falls since the series began in 1975. Data of this magnitude was last seen during the 2008-2009 financial crisis.”

https://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/comment/2019/02/12/aussie-home-loans-slump/


“The long-awaited earnings recession has finally arrived, but investors are still too optimistic and should anticipate more disappointment as the year drags on, according to Morgan Stanley.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/11/an-earnings-recession-has-arrived-morgan-stanley-says.html


The deflationary spiral beckons:

“Global central banks may keep interest rates lower for longer… The world economy is set to get fresh insight into whether inflation is turning sluggish again as the U.S. and China publish price data that’s set to endorse the decision of central banks to steer away from tighter monetary policy… While China’s factory inflation reading on Friday will probably show a mere 0.3 percent increase from a year earlier, economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expect a fall back into negative territory for the first time since 2016.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-11/world-economy-gets-inflation-checkup-as-u-s-china-data-looms


“There is a significant chance the world economy is headed for a recession in 2019, according to Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman. Market participants are increasingly worried about the prospect of a serious economic downturn in the coming months, with a long-running U.S.-China trade war souring business and consumer sentiment.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/11/paul-krugman-warns-of-a-possible-global-recession-this-year-or-in-2020.html


Read the previous ‘Economy’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.

Climate 11 Feb 2019 Record Rain for Namibia

“The record books might very well have to be rewritten as farmers in the area of Aroab [of Namibia] measured up to 165 millimetres of rain in the past 24 hours.

“Rain is measured in millimetres and one millimetre of rain represents one litre of water per square metre meaning that on one farm near Aroab as much as 16 and a half litres of water were measured per square metre.

“Heavy rains fell over the breadth of southern Namibia and caused the normally semi desert area to turn into one giant water pan with raging rivers.

“Namwater announced that as much as 385 cubic metres of water was flowing into the Naute dam near Keetmanshoop and floodgates might have to be opened within the next 24 hours. Namwater indicated that residents of the area will be updated as time progresses.

“Although not official, the rain measured is extraordinary…”

https://informante.web.na/2019/02/09/record-rain-numbers-measured-in-southern-namibia/


“The world’s driest desert is flooding and some of the planet’s wettest woodlands are burning. Welcome to summer in Chile.

“Rains high up in the Andes mountains have led to torrents of water pouring into the Atacama desert below, sweeping away houses and roads… Flooding caused six deaths and destroyed nearly 100 homes… The disasters are part of a pattern of increasingly extreme weather in the country.”

https://www.straitstimes.com/world/americas/worlds-driest-desert-floods-as-extreme-weather-hits-chile


“At least five people were killed and dozens of victims were affected by mudslides in two towns in the Arequipa region of southern Peru, caused by rains in the Andes, officials said Friday. In addition, the Peruvian government on Friday decreed the state of emergency in several municipalities in the southern regions of Moquegua and Tacna (the latter bordering Chile ), due to the “intense rainfall”…”

https://lahora.com.ec/noticia/1102221322/al-menos-cinco-muertos-por-avalanchas-de-lodo-en-los-andes-de-peru


“The northern hemisphere faced a polar vortex, while Australia during December and January was the hottest on record.

“People and the environment are suffering at both ends of the planet because of the extreme events. Australia’s heatwave has exposed cracks in our unsustainable water, land-use and climate policies.”

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/11/australia-is-the-canary-and-the-coal-mine-for-the-world-when-it-comes-to-water-stress


“In north-west Queensland it hadn’t rained, any decent rain, for more than five years. When the downpour finally came last week, graziers were elated.

“Now it’s feared up to 500,000 cattle [that estimate has increased from 300,000 last week], mostly from severely drought-stressed herds, have been killed in widespread flood waters.”

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/11/up-to-500000-drought-stressed-cattle-killed-in-queensland-floods


“The average air temperatures across the Bay of Plenty [New Zealand] maintained the record numbers that were racked up last year. This January, Tauranga clocked in at 22.1C, a 2.6C spike from usual. This matched the temperature measured last year and continued the area’s record heat for a second year running.”

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/the-country/news/article.cfm?c_id=16&objectid=12202377


“With Japan’s northernmost main island locked in a deep freeze caused by the coldest air mass ever recorded here, the temperature plunged to a frigid minus 31.8 degrees in Rikubetsu in eastern Hokkaido on Feb. 9…

“Temperatures in Kushiro and nine other sites hit record lows.”

http://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/AJ201902100022.html


“Temperatures with the wind chill will make it feel like it’s between –40 and –50 in some parts of the province, prompting an extreme cold warning from Environment Canada.

“”Some parts of Alberta should expect extreme cold conditions to occur in the overnight and morning hours through the weekend and even into Wednesday,” the warning reads.”

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/extreme-cold-warnings-alberta-hendrickson-creek-alberta-coldest-in-canada/124094


“Some areas around Seattle recieved more than 10 inches of snow Saturday, the most in 70 years, the National Weather Service said, and more is on the way two more storm systems close in on the area…

“The National Weather Service said some areas received up to 10.6 inches of snow, already making it the snowiest February since 1949, and the second snowiest February on record.”

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/winter-storm-maya-seattle-snowfall-most-snow-in-70-years-bitter-cold-temperatures-expected-2019-02-09/


“Authorities in Russia’s remote Arctic archipelago of Novaya Zemlya have taken measures to chase away a band of polar bears that had established a reign of terror over locals in recent days.

“Photos and videos on social media showed polar bears entering apartment blocks and other living quarters and rummaging through garbage in the settlement of 3,000.”

https://themoscowtimes.com/news/russian-town-chases-out-rowdy-polar-bear-invaders-64454


“The number of migratory birds coming in from Siberia [to Pakistan] has declined drastically over the past three decades.

“Around 150,000 birds, including local and migratory waterfowl, were estimated to have landed at 12 aquatic ‘stopovers’, which is 70% less than in 2017-2018, according to a survey conducted during the winter season.”

https://tribune.com.pk/story/1907626/1-70-siberian-migratory-birds-stopped-visiting-pakistan/


“The continuing Shisper Glacier surge and subsequent creation of a dammed lake has created the fear of another Attabad lake-like disaster in Hunza [Pakistan].

“An assessment report prepared by the Gilgit-Baltistan Disaster Management Authority (GBDMA) has warned that the dammed lake might burst any time and cause immense damage to the local people, critical infrastructure and installations situated downstream.”

https://www.dawn.com/news/1463111


A mini-heatwave hitting parts of Spain with temperatures up to 20c (68f) expected. Recent form would suggest that the Iberian peninsular is in for another blisteringly hot summer.

https://www.salamanca24horas.com/texto-diario/mostrar/1322652/ola-calor-salamanca-pleno-febrero-semana-cielos-despejados-temperaturas-tocando-20-grados


“Here’s a statistic: On Earth, 18 of the last 19 years have been the warmest in recorded history.

“And as both NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced on Wednesday, the last five years have been the five hottest in history — since quality record-keeping began in the 1880s. It’s an unmistakable, accelerating warming trend.

“The globe’s 21st-century heating, however, becomes all the more stark when compared to the coldest years on record. As climate scientist Simon Donner, who researches human-induced climate change at The University of British Columbia, underscored via a list posted on Twitter, the planet’s 20 coldest years all occurred nearly a century ago, between 1884 and 1929.”

https://mashable.com/article/climate-change-cold-records-rare/?europe=true#Igq3I.TJoPqR


Read the previous ‘Climate’ thread here and visit my Patreon page here.