Huge thanks to Kimpton Bradford for being my June sponsor. At his request, this thread is dedicated to his lifelong hero, Dr. David Suzuki, who recently celebrated his 90th birthday.
“Supercharged Heat Domes are appearing all around the Planet! Why?
“It’s a developing super El Niño combined with a much warmer Earth, spiking natural cycles with extra heat injected into the system and pattern changes augmenting the jet stream.”
[Jeff Berardelii]
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/2071590500184768568
“On average, global ocean temperatures right now are the hottest in our historical records for this time of year!”
[Zack Labe]
Follow along at:
https://bsky.app/profile/zacklabe.com/post/3mpcw44ve522j
“Max peak now 4.1 °C from the latest CFSv2 Model [El Nino 3.4 region].
“However, the range is from 3.5 °C to 4.8 °C, with the high end being very alarming.” [David Schlotthauer]
https://x.com/Weatherunited1/status/2071547972727505132
“‘This was something new’: what people in Greenland told us about learning to live with wildfires.
“Unlike the forest fires that dominate headlines elsewhere, Greenland’s wildfires typically burn in the tundra, spreading through mosses, shrubs and organic-rich soils such as peat that are increasingly being exposed as permafrost melts. This makes them particularly difficult to fight.”
“HISTORIC ARCTIC HEAT – HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY IN THE WORLD’S NORTHERMOST CITY.
“Norilsk, Russia inhabitants wished to possess an air-con today. After a TROPICAL NIGHT Min 20.6 they rose to 32.2C [90F] Hottest day in history.”
[Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2070852115556094295
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN THE BALTICS 36 DEGREES:
“LITHUANIA HOTTEST JUNE DAY IN HISTORY – 36.3 [97.3F] Druskininkai, 36.2 Vente, 34.8 Kybartai, 34.6 Lazdijai, 34.2 Varena, 34.2 Silute, 34.1 Akimene, 34.1 Alytus; LATVIA RECORD – 32.9 Rucava. Hotter tomorrow!” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2071325099244798038
“Denmark sets all-time hottest day record since 1874 as heat wave grips country.
“Denmark recorded its hottest day since national weather observations began, with temperatures reaching 36.6 degrees Celsius (97.9 degrees Fahrenheit) on Saturday amid an intense heat wave affecting much of Europe, the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) said.”
“UK June temperature record updated as Norfolk village reaches 37.7C [99.9F].
“A village in Norfolk looks set to enter the history books after recording the highest June temperature ever seen in the UK. The Met Office said updated figures received over the weekend showed the mercury reached 37.7C at Lingwood in Norfolk, just east of Norwich.”
https://www.itv.com/news/anglia/2026-06-29/village-sets-new-june-temperature-record-of-377c
“Fruit farmers call for action as extreme heat threatens production [SE UK]…
“Producers warn that intense heat stress is causing fruit to literally “cook themselves on the tree”, completely destabilising fresh food production across the South East.”
https://www.businessgreen.com/news/4531871/fruit-farmers-action-extreme-heat-threatens-production
“I have truly witnessed an unbelievable thunderstorm outbreak in Amsterdam…
“The Netherlands just shattered its all-time lightning record, over 300,000 discharges in a single day on June 27.”
[Colin McCarthy]
https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/2071202289281311040
“Paris funeral homes overwhelmed after record heatwave.
“France on Monday counted its heat-related deaths, as a funeral business representative said Paris morgues have been overwhelmed by a spike in fatalities during a record-breaking heatwave… Few homes in France are equipped with air-conditioning units, and most schools are not designed to cope with extreme heat.”
“We are late June, and while we should be admiring snow-capped 4,000ers peaks, there is absolutely no snow left even at the highest elevations! [Switzerland]
“Here electric light over Moming Glacier few minutes before a large storm; Zinalrothorn (4,221 m asl) at the background.” [Melaine Le Roy]
https://x.com/subfossilguy/status/2071683516253819118
“WORLD RECORD BROKEN IN GERMANY! The MINIMUM of 29.4C [84.9F] at Kubschütz IS HOTTEST NIGHT EVER RECORDED IN THE WORLD above 50 latitude!
“This is getting ridiculous…”
[Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2071233234239717612
“Germany, Czechia, Poland and Hungary swelter through hottest days on record…
“The Polish government’s security agency sent out text messages urging people to “avoid the sun and strenuous activity”, drink water and wear hats throughout the weekend. Multiple cities set up water curtains to help residents keep cool in the heat.”
“Hungary faces drinking water shortages amid extreme heat, PM warns.
“In a post on Facebook, Magyar said that water supply systems are operating at the limits of their capacity, with water consumption over the weekend rising to between 1.5 and 2 times the normal level. According to the prime minister, unless water use is reduced nationwide, some communities could face severe shortages.”
https://caliber.az/en/post/hungary-faces-drinking-water-shortages-amid-extreme-heat-pm-warns
“Europe’s deadly heat wave scorches east, Slovakia hits record…
“Slovakia on Monday registered a new record temperature of 41C [105.8F] in Turna nad Bodvou in the southeast, the Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute (SHMU) said.”
https://phys.org/news/2026-06-europe-deadly-east-slovakia.html
“Historic +40.4°C [104.7F] in Pinsk – this is just the warm-up. Belarus enters a new climatic era and will visibly become a forest-steppe.
“The transition of Belarus’s climate to a new temperature regime has ceased to be merely a scientific theory and has become an everyday reality… Neither our infrastructure nor traditional agriculture is ready for this; the latter will soon have to bid farewell to moisture-loving potatoes in favor of steppe gourds.”
https://nashaniva.com/amp/en/398795
“Ukraine’s battered energy grid braces for ‘intense heat’ as extreme temperatures head east…
“Grid operators in at least five regions, from Ivano-Frankivsk in the west to Zaporizhzhia on the front line in the south, announced temporary restrictions on energy usage would be in force during parts of Tuesday.”
“Santorini Vineyards Drying Out Due to the Climate Crisis [Greece].
“Prolonged drought and ever-rising temperatures are putting the Santorini vineyards to the test, threatening one of the country’s most important wine-producing areas and its globally acclaimed Assyrtiko. Local winemakers describe the conditions as unprecedented…”
https://www.tovima.com/society/santorini-vineyards-drying-out-due-to-the-climate-crisis/
“A record-breaking heatwave has tightened its grip on Italy and the Balkans, killing hundreds of people, fuelling wildfire fears and disrupting daily life across Europe.
“In Italy, authorities placed 22 cities under red heat warnings on Monday, from Bolzano in the north to Palermo on the southern island of Sicily.”
“The unprecedented heatwave over Europe is bringing its effects also to the Mediterranean Sea.
“In the last few days the Copernicus Sea Surface Temperature has rapidly increased and the latest anomaly data exceed 8°C.”
[SatWorld]
https://x.com/or_bit_eye/status/2071250244646363217
“EXTREME HEAT IN NORTH AFRICA:
“Record heat never ends in North Africa. Tonight it was another historic night. The Minimum of 32.4C [90.3F] at Tata is HOTTEST JUNE NIGHT EVER RECORDED IN MOROCCO.”
[Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2071560519748632904
“Accra floods leave over 12 dead as building collapse sparks new rescue effort. [Ghana]
“Rescue workers were searching for survivors after a building collapsed in the Tabora area of Accra on Monday evening as Ghana’s capital grappled with the aftermath of widespread flooding that has killed at least 12 people, a fire service official said.”
“Absurdly warm winter in SOUTH AFRICA:
“Southern Africa is living its warmest June in history with many days resembling summer; still with maxes locally >30C [86F] and some tropical nights. Another record fell The Min of 19.6C at Charters Creek was the Highest ever in June.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2071606224664113625
“Extreme weather hits the world: A cold storm sweeps through Yemen…
“Parts of Yemen have been hit by a hailstorm accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds. The storm that struck has disrupted transportation and damaged property and crops. Further weather fluctuations are expected in the coming hours.”
“ENDLESS RECORD HEAT IN CENTRAL ASIA:
“Records fall every single day; today record again in TAJIKISTAN, min 28.0 [82.4F] Parkhar – hottest June night in history. Next days the heat will be deadly in CHINA; we can see up to 52/53C and 38C at night at 43 latitude! (10/13C more than Europe).” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2071539874734153970
“Wildfire burns through southern protected forests in Iran…
“The fire, which began on Friday on Badil Mountain in the Khaiez protected area of Khuzestan province, remained uncontrolled despite efforts by local volunteers, mountaineers and rescue teams, Iranian state media reported on Monday.”
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202606296885
“‘Major crops under stress as hot weather drags on’ [Pakistan].
“The country’s major crops including cotton, maize, sugarcane and vegetables are under severe stress due to the prevailing hot and humid weather, raising concerns about agricultural output.”
https://www.brecorder.com/news/amp/40427830
“Cloudburst-induced floods wreak havoc in Diamer’s Thore Valley [Pakistan].
“Cloudburst-induced floods wreaked havoc in Thore Valley of Diamer district on Saturday, while rapidly melting glaciers continued to raise water levels in rivers and streams across Gilgit-Baltistan (GB), putting downstream communities at increasing risk.”
https://www.dawn.com/news/2011243/cloudburst-induced-floods-wreak-havoc-in-diamers-thore-valley
“Warming climate, pollution and unplanned growth push Kashmir’s lakes toward disappearance.
“Climate-exacerbated heat increases and unpredictable rainfall combined with unplanned urban growth have resulted in nearly half the lakes in the mountainous, India-controlled Jammu and Kashmir region disappearing or becoming highly polluted in the last six decades.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/kashmir-india-srinagar-lakes-pollution-b3005476.html
“Glacier Melt Triggers Flash Flood In Himachal, Over 50 Vehicles Stranded.
“A sudden surge in water flow triggered a flash flood-like situation in Jhalma Nallah of Himachal Pradesh’s Lahaul-Spiti district on Monday afternoon, washing away a portion of the road connecting the remote region and leaving more than 50 tourist vehicles stranded.”
“Arunachal cloudburst toll rises to three as key highway remains cut off.
“The death toll from the June 24 cloudburst in Arunachal Pradesh’s Keyi Panyor district has risen to three after rescuers recovered the body of the last missing person on Sunday, around 10 kilometres downstream from the disaster site.”
“Myanmar jade mine landslide kills five, 15 missing.
“Monsoon rains triggered the collapse of a slag heap at a disused Myanmar jade mine, killing five people scavenging for gem scraps and leaving around 15 more missing, state media said on Tuesday (June 30, 2026).”
“Hailstorm hits NW China’s Yulin, flooding roads [Northern China].
“A powerful round of severe convective weather swept across Yulin City in northwest China’s Shaanxi Province on Sunday afternoon, bringing hail, thunderstorm gales, and torrential rain to multiple districts.”
https://www.bastillepost.com/global/article/5972701-hailstorm-hits-nw-chinas-yulin-flooding-roads
“Northern Vietnam faces days of torrential rain and flash flood risks.
“Forecasters warn that parts of northern Vietnam could receive more than 300 mm of rain, raising the risk of flooding, flash floods and landslides. Northern Vietnam and Thanh Hoa Province are expected to experience widespread heavy rainfall from the evening of June 29…”
“Torrential rains cause over NT$300 million in agricultural losses [Taiwan].
“Pingtung County suffered the largest losses at NT$135.97 million, followed by Kaohsiung at NT$50.99 million, Tainan at NT$6.97 million and Taoyuan at NT$6.16 million, data from the ministry showed.”
https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/06/29/2003859942
“ENDLESS RECORD HEAT IN THAILAND:
“Years of records broken every single day of the year in every province. Thailand is living something extraordinary. Tonight another unprecedented hot night with a Minimum of 29.3C [84.7F] at Tak – hottest June day in history. July records will all be broken.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2071511246977872070
“Thai farmers fear water woes from planned LNG plant…
“In 2019 and 2020, farmers across Thailand could only look on as one of the worst droughts in recent memory affected some 133,000 hectares (329,000 acres) of farmland, with damage estimated at 9.8 billion baht, roughly $301 million. In Chachoengsao, provincial authorities simply ran out of raw water for farms and factories…”
https://news.mongabay.com/2026/06/thai-farmers-fear-water-woes-from-planned-lng-plant/
“Could this be Australia’s warmest winter ever?
“…In southern Australia, Sydney and Melbourne had their warmest ever starts to winter. Daily observations show both cities experienced above-average June temperatures almost every day of the month.”
https://theconversation.com/could-this-be-australias-warmest-winter-ever-285947
“Severe floods in Venezuela’s Portuguesa state have worsened post-quake crisis.
“Days after twin earthquakes caused devastation in several parts of Venezuela, severe flooding in parts of Portuguesa state has worsened the humanitarian crisis in the country. Hours of incessant rain have resulted in rivers and streams overflowing, engulfing neighbourhoods.”
“More record warmth in MEXICO and CENTRAL AMERICA:
“June warmest night on record for…MINIMUMS: 29.8 [85.6F Arriaga, MEXICO; 23.0 Juan Santamaria AP, COSTA RICA; 22.5 Pavas Airport, COSTA RICA.”
[Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2071015754242179395
“Flash floods submerge vehicles and streets in Puebla, Mexico.
“Torrential rains triggered severe flash flooding in Puebla, Mexico on June 28–29, 2026, leaving at least one person dead and major thoroughfares submerged… the extreme weather system caused widespread disruption across the city.”
“America faces record-breaking heatwave with dangerous temperatures and humidity ahead of Fourth of July.
“The National Weather Service has warned that high humidity will make conditions feel even more oppressive. On Sunday, parts of the US, including Phoenix and central Texas, along with much of the Southwest, already saw temperatures around 38C (100F).”
“Our Cities Were Designed for the Weather of the 1950s and ’60s [US]…
“A wet-bulb temperature exceeding 87°F (roughly 100°F at 60% relative humidity) prevents the human body from cooling itself, triggering heat stroke…. Reaching this point will necessitate pandemic-style “shelter-in-place” emergency orders for heat and halt essential outdoor services like sanitation.”
https://www.wsj.com/science/environment/city-planning-climate-change-weather-1f0a0b1d
“Three firefighters die battling huge wildfires on Colorado-Utah border…
“The deaths and injuries happened during a “burnover incident”, the US Wildland Fire Service said. That is when a fire spreads so suddenly and rapidly that it overtakes personnel or equipment, cutting off escape routes and forcing trapped firefighters to deploy an emergency, last-resort shelter tent.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp8l7mpmdggo
“‘We need to save ourselves first’: Kentucky flood survivor recounts fast rising water.
“Deadly flash flooding has claimed the lives of four people in the Commonwealth, three of them in Richmond. Across the area, residents are facing damage to their homes and vehicles. Yessica Velasco was at a friend’s house Saturday morning when the floodwaters rose rapidly around them.”
“Extreme damage from 131 mph wind brings governor and state response to Highmore [S Dakota].
“Strong storms ripped through portions of central and eastern South Dakota early Monday morning, leaving roofs torn off homes, vehicles tipped over, grain bins caved in and wind turbine towers folded in half.”
“Over 100 wildfires burning across Quebec, with northern regions hit hardest…
“As of 3 p.m. on Monday, Quebec’s wildfire prevention and suppression agency — SOPFEU — had recorded 19 fires in Quebec’s intensive zone, which covers the central and southern parts of the province, and 88 in the northern zone.”
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/wildfires-northern-quebec-9.7252857
“‘Monster’ tornado destroys century-old brick farmhouse in western Manitoba…
“Jayjack was tracking supercells throughout the afternoon that struggled to turn into anything more until the evening, when one “went very, very, very fast from nothing to a violent tornado in … less than an hour or so.””
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/tornado-western-manitoba-9.7252343
“Edmonton nails June rainfall record, single month high on horizon…
“Saturday precipitation recorded by Environment Canada at Edmonton Blatchford was more than 36 millimetres, bringing the total for June to roughly 240 mm, far exceeding the previous 216.5 mm record for the month, set way back in 1914.”
https://edmontonjournal.com/news/local-news/edmonton-june-rainfall-record
“More research showing climate models are not in line with NASA CERES satellite observations.
“The rate of global heat uptake is increasing much faster than in the real world than in models. This should be front page news everywhere, but won’t be covered anywhere.”
[Leon Simons]
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/2071666460653404624
“World Bank to abandon goal to devote 45% of lending resources to climate change projects…
“The development lender, which had been under pressure from the Trump administration to abandon the climate lending target adopted during the Biden administration in 2023, said in a statement it would complete a shift to focusing on lending outcomes rather than input goals.”
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
“However, the range is from 3.5 °C to 4.8 °C, with the high end being very alarming.” – isn’t anything in that range very alarming and almost certain to permanently reconfigure weather patterns? Not only have we normalised higher and continually rising average temperatures, we are now normalising extreme events so that only historic”extreme events” get to be very alarming any more.
However that’s not going to be enough because we are getting records almost everywhere every year, so the next level of normalisation would have to be … I don’t know what, but it all seems to say a lot about just how evolutionary advantageous it has been to only spend effort on getting through today. Which, might also partly explain why so many climate scientists are unable to accept or admit that their entire life’s work is turning out to have been wrong, and maybe dangerously wrong.
That´s what i thought too, 3.5C is already so extreme, i doubt i could feel the difference between this and 4.8C, it´s all just molten skin and slowly tripping away in your own sweat, piss and shit.
We had 41C on sunday near berlin, i could only stay indoors, all windows darkened out and wearing wet shorts and shirt, that cooled considerably. And eating ice cream, which i barely ever do, i just hate ice cream, except when i have to love it, lol.
Well, that all sounds miserable, me-need-more-brain, apart from the eating ice cream bit, obviously. I’d be happy to have an excuse to indulge in that. 😂
I guess at least Berlin has lots of waterways and some nice, big green spaces like Templehofer Feld and Tiergarten.
George, right. Best case scenario is that this El Nino rivals 1997–98 and 2015–16 in intensity (on top of elevated baseline); worst case is that it surpasses them by a huge margin. We’re heading for a new abnormal.
“ENSO can impose persistent climatic imprints extending well beyond its immediate phase, raising the question of whether its most extreme manifestations — super El Niño events—can trigger Climate Regime Shifts on a global scale.”
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-66143-7
“The development lender, which had been under pressure from the Trump administration to abandon the climate lending target adopted during the Biden administration in 2023, said in a statement it would complete a shift to focusing on lending outcomes rather than input goals.”
So before Trump, they were always “failing” to enforce their own climate rules on determining what constitutes climate-related lending and then throwing money at it. After Trump, they’ve abandoned climate-related lending altogether and will just throw money at whatever they want from now on. I am failing to spot any differences in what the World Bank is doing now versus then.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nrIPxlFzDi0
Well said Jupiviv. When I hear people say electing a democrat will get everything back on track, I think of all the years of clean and green wishful thinking, talk, and inaction under their watch and fail to see how any of it – regardless of the party in charge – wasn’t just business as usual.
Yes. An analogy:
Emerald ash borer is taking out all the Fraxinus species in the US right now. That is what they do. It doesn’t matter whether they vote D or R.
Mike don’t give up all hope. There are some ash trees that are genetically different and able to survive. This was a discussion on Permies. The idea of just going in and clearcutting all the ash isn’t recommended. Those that survive will be the base for new forests.
It’s tough to see that there are any financial or political solutions for our systemic predicament. We can tinker with the details here and there but…
Cruel Summer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zs8ZNa73OS4
Looks like a heat dome will soon starts dropping some MAGA Boomers. Poor things.
As the ice cover melts, Tad Patzek offers his reflections on the acceleration in global temperature increase as being caused by the non-reflection of sunlight, ie loss of albedo, in this great interview w Nate Hagens:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VkjbmVLJGu4
Thanks, Rob. It’s funny – I remember Tad primarily as an oil guy but he seems to have branched out in a similar way to Art Berman.
Appropriate for this post . Wet Bulb calculator .
https://wetbulb.1209k.com/