For anyone, who is friends with or follows me on Facebook, I’m afraid my account has been blacklisted for “not following community standards on account integrity”. My appeal is pending.
“There are many indications that the global warming rate has more than doubled. It’s the rate of global warming that poses such a threat.
“New, high-definition Global Warming Stripes graph using NASA GISS temperature data. The 2- and 3-year averages are now +1.5°C, while the 2025 annual value was only a little bit lower, due to La Niña.”
[Leon Simons]
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/2007816245824123165
“La Niña still has some gas left in the tank.
“The 30-day relative Niño 3.4 Index has dipped to -0.86˚C, the lowest of the event so far.” [Ben Noll]
https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/2007821821576650834
“ABSOLTELY CRAZY EVENT IN GREENLAND.
“+7.1C Qaanaaq at 76N pulverized its January record. Dozens of records have been smashed in pieces all over Greenland every days for the past several weeks… almost +12C [53.6F] in Paamiut. Paamiut hasn’t frozen this 2026 yet, not even for 1 minute.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2008428777156821054
“Northern Greenland ice dome melted before and could melt again.
“An ice dome in northern Greenland once melted completely at temperatures the region could experience again this century, a finding that will begin to paint a more accurate picture of how fast the melting Greenland ice sheet could raise global sea levels.”
“Scotland to become ‘coolcation’ holiday hotspot as Mediterranean temperatures soar.
“A senior researcher at Glasgow Caledonian University has claimed that more and more travellers will move their vacations “from Tuscany to the Trossachs”. Looking ahead to tourism trends in Scotland, Chris Greenwood says that the “coolcation” is becoming a necessity for many.”
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/scotland-now/scotland-become-coolcation-holiday-hotspot-36498751
“Last year was the second warmest year on record in Ireland, according to data released by Met Éireann.
“Only 2023 was warmer than 2025, according to the meteorological service’s provisional figures… The impact of climate change has become apparent this decade, with four of the last five years being ranked in the top five on record for temperatures.”
“Walkers have been advised to beware of unexploded bombs if they go hiking across Yorkshire moorlands.
“North York Moors National Park Authority urged people to “remain vigilant” after wartime devices exploded during wildfires on Langdale Moor, North Yorkshire… That summer also saw major fires on Marsden Moor, West Yorkshire, and Scotland’s largest wildfires on record in the Cairngorms.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/01/05/yorkshire-moors-walkers-bomb-warning/
“Storm Francis wreaks havoc on the Costa del Sol as rivers burst and homes flood.
“The Costa del Sol has been left reeling after Storm Francis wreaked havoc over the weekend, dumping up to 200mm of rain in some areas. Aemet, the state weather service, even issued a rare red weather warning on Sunday afternoon, triggering an emergency alert sent to residents’ mobile phones.”
“Water bomb hits the Brindisi area: accidents, fallen trees and inconveniences [Italy]…
“The situation was also critical in the neighboring municipalities, with the local police mobilized to deal with emergencies. The level crossing of via Osanna, a vulnerable point during heavy rainfall, was completely flooded.”
“Hundreds of High minimums records smashed with extreme margins in Greece, Turkey, Macedonia, Bulgaria, Albania and North Africa: mins up to 19C [66.2F]!
“Next days we might see TROPICAL NIGHTS in Greece. It’s one of the most extreme events in European history. 0 cold records in Central Europe.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2008077448664261050
“The climate crisis, aid cuts and deepening poverty are combining to drive a crisis in Madagascar…
““We are in a very worrying situation, with an escalating humanitarian crisis that has been driven by multiple climate shocks, as well as a funding picture that has been completely devastated this year,” Rakotoson, head of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) in Madagascar.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/aid-un-climate-madagascar-crisis-b2884725.html
“Water shortages and rising temperatures test Tanzania’s climate resilience.
“Prisca Ntaula, the mother of a seven-year-old boy, has not slept properly for weeks. A resident of Temboni on the outskirts of Tanzania’s commercial capital, Dar es Salaam, she now spends most of her days and nights thinking about where to find water.”
“Drought cripples livestock sector [Kenya].
“Wajir livestock farmers andtraders are grappling with a livelihood crisis as a prolonged dry spell has devastated the sector, pushing households to the brink of survival. The calamity has been caused by the failure of three consecutive rainfall seasons.”
https://www.msn.com/en-xl/africa/kenya/drought-cripples-livestock-sector/ar-AA1TAwnk
“Baghdad Choked by Toxic Air as Pollution Levels Reach Alarming Highs…
“The Green Iraq Observatory said it has repeatedly warned the government and relevant authorities about worsening air quality not only in Baghdad but also in several southern and central Iraqi provinces, calling for urgent and sustained action to address the environmental crisis.”
“‘Climate change, sea level rise threaten food security in southern Iran’…
“Today, climate change, particularly a sharp decline in annual precipitation, along with other environmental changes such as the drying up of wetlands, land degradation, sand and dust storms, and desertification, has caused numerous environmental problems.”
“Endless rains to El Nino: How climate has stopped being Seasonal [India].
“As greenhouse gases trap increasing amounts of heat, temperatures rise more rapidly throughout the year, causing summer-like conditions to arrive earlier in spring and persist well into autumn. Winters are becoming shorter and less distinct, while seasonal transitions are growing increasingly erratic.”
“Elephant deaths gone up after Ditwah Cyclone: Minister [Sri Lanka].
“The elephant deaths due to human-elephant conflicts have increased after the Ditwah Cyclone as most of the habitats of the elephants have been destroyed, resulting in change of their movement, Minister of Environment Dammika Patabendi said yesterday.”
“New Mining Threatens the World’s Rarest Orangutans With Extinction [Sumatra]…
“Tapanuli orangutans are the rarest great apes on Earth, with only around 800 individuals left. They are also the oldest orangutan species, tracing their lineage back nearly three million years in Sumatra. Yet despite their importance, a mining company is pushing to extract gold directly inside their last remaining habitat in Indonesia…”
“In Pictures – Deadly floods devastate Indonesia, leaving families displaced and homeless…
“The devastating floods in December killed at least 1,170 people across North Sumatra, West Sumatra, and Aceh provinces. Weeks after the disaster, numerous displaced victims continue to shelter in temporary tents. Aceh province suffered the most severe impact…”
“Flash Floods Kill 14 in Sitaro Islands, Emergency Declared [Sulawesi].
“Authorities in Siau Tagulandang Biaro (Sitaro) Islands Regency in North Sulawesi have declared a hydrometeorological disaster emergency following flash floods on Monday that killed at least 14 people, with six others still missing.”
https://jakartaglobe.id/news/flash-floods-kill-14-in-sitaro-islands-emergency-declared
“Flood-hit Queensland farmers face huge losses.
“Farmers in north-west Queensland are bracing for significant livestock losses once they can fully assess the damage caused by severe flooding, and the federal and state governments have committed $38 million to support affected communities.”
“Outskirts of Australian cities at risk of catastrophic fires on scale of deadly LA blazes, study finds.
“Many Australian cities share common traits that made the deadly 2025 Los Angeles fires so destructive, according to analysis into whether a similar disaster could occur here in future.”
“Worst heatwave since black summer forecast for more than half of Australia…
“In South Australia, temperatures were forecast to reach as high as 47C by Thursday in the coastal city of Port Augusta and Tarcoola in the far north… The heat band had been building across Western Australia for days and would extend into South Australia, New South Wales and Victoria from Tuesday.”
“Australian heatwave set to cook Hawke’s Bay [NZ].
“Hawke’s Bay could be heading into some of its hottest weather on record, with the temperature in Hastings forecast to hit 36C on Sunday… The forecast was confirmed on Tuesday by MetService meteorologist Ngaire Wotherspoon, who said the winds were coming from Australia…”
“EXTRAORDINARY UNBELIEVABLE EVENT. WORLD CLIMATIC HISTORY REWRITTEN – 42.4C [108.3F] in Chilean Patagonia.
“Dozens of records smashed by unbelievable margins… For Los Rios province it’s the first 40, 41, 42C Temperature in provincial climatic history. For Los Lagos province it’s the first 38, 39, 40C temperature in provincial climatic history.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2007983706569601410
“After the records in Chile, the record heat switched to Argentina with exceptional heat:
“38.4 [101.1F] El Bolson: Hottest January day in history. January 2026 in just 5 days have broken more records than any full month.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2008336866127344072
“Uruguay under alert: water crisis worsens due to lack of rainfall and high temperatures.
“Given the shortage of rainfall projected for the beginning of 2026, the government activates emergency protocols and urges the population to rationalize the consumption of drinking water in the face of the water crisis in Uruguay.”
“Major Brazilian grain traders quit Amazon conservation pact.
“A lobby group for Brazilian grain traders, Abiove, and its major members, including ADM, Bunge, and Cargill, are formally quitting the Amazon Soy Moratorium, a nearly 20-year-old conservation pact that helped curb deforestation in the Amazon.”
“Heavy rain causes flooding in Irecê, in the north of Bahia [Brazil].
“Streets and avenues were covered by water, cars were partially submerged or isolated, motorcycles were swept away by the flood and commercial establishments had their interiors invaded. There were also records of fallen trees, unroofed houses and traffic difficulties.”
“The heavy rains that have fallen in this province since early morning have caused flooding in different parts of the municipality of Cabecera and the municipality of Sosúa. [Dominican Republic]
“The flooding of the streets in this area has prevented the passage of several vehicles, causing them to have to return and take a more viable route.”
https://n.com.do/2026/01/05/lluvias-provocan-inundaciones-en-puerto-plata-y-sosua/
“CARIBBEAN RECORD HEAT.
“Minimums Temperatures still >26C in The ABC Islands and Colombia. Record January maxes in DR Republic and USVI – 89f/31.7C in St Thomas is US VIRGIN ISLANDS HOTTEST JANUARY DAY.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2007893504505377035
“Farmers face devastating water cuts as Colorado River disappears.
“The Colorado River is in crisis. With deadlines looming, discussions about water rights in the nation’s capital are said to be contentious. Gina Dockstader, who farms organic citrus and dates in California’s Imperial Valley with her family, understands the implications.”
“These numbers tell the story of the Los Angeles wildfires, one year later…
“A year after twin infernos tore across opposite ends of Los Angeles County, the scars are still visible. Thousands of homes were reduced to rubble, with rebuilding slow, and the death toll showed how a wildfire under extreme weather conditions can turn catastrophic.”
“Los Angeles has seen nearly 8,000% more rainfall this water year than last year, with 12.96 inches since October compared to just 0.16 inches at this time last year.
“Los Angeles has never seen a bigger year-to-year swing in precipitation from October 1 to January 1 since records began in 1878. Unbelievable.” [Colin McCarthy]
https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/2007188392434647156
“Flooding forces hundreds to flee homeless shelter in San Diego.
“For the third time in seven years, hundreds of people had to flee a homeless shelter in downtown San Diego this week after a heavy storm dropped a month’s worth of rain, causing floods.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/04/san-diego-flooding-evacuation-homeless-shelter
“Staggering amount of homeowners want to move due to extreme weather.
“A survey by Kin Insurance reveals that 49% of American homeowners are considering relocating by 2026 due to extreme weather events and rising homeownership costs… Among those considering a move, 60% intend to relocate outside their current city or community…”
“The Western United States just had its warmest December in recorded history, and likely the warmest in many thousands of years.”
[Colin Mccarthy]
https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/2008360450635763984
“Heat is on the rise once again, with more than 240 million Americans facing temperatures 20 to 30 degrees above average this week.
“A strong ridge of high pressure over the Plains is expected to challenge more than 60 record-high temperatures as it pushes heat from the Southern Plains into the Southeast, Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic by Friday.”
https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/winter-warmth-returns-to-millions-threatening-record-highs
“A deadly new wave of ‘whiplash weather’ is set to hit our biggest cities. Are we ready?
“For the last decade or so, extreme drought was the order of the day across much of southern California. But then the weather flipped, bringing exceptionally heavy rainfall in 2022 and 2023, which resulted in an explosion of growth across forest, brush and grassland. Then, in 2024, conditions flipped back again, bringing California’s hottest summer on record.”
https://www.sciencefocus.com/planet-earth/whiplash-weather-biggest-cities
“HISTORIC HEAT IN CANADA.
“While not a single cold record is falling in the NW, heat records fall no-stop in NE Canada. Crazy +8.1C [46.6F] Pangnirtung – NUNAVUT HOTTEST JANUARY DAY EVER tied.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2008064722156106204
“Hotter weather thickens the blood of wild mammals: We traced this in African striped mice.
“Large wild mammals—from elephants to antelopes—are already struggling to cope with global warming. Now new research shows that even the small creatures adapted to harsh, arid landscapes may be reaching their limits.”
https://phys.org/news/2026-01-hotter-weather-thickens-blood-wild.html
“How plant poachers are driving rare species to extinction.
“While discussing the global plant poaching trade David Whitehead, a science officer at Kew Gardens, took a moment to apologise for getting emotional. “To be dug up and sold online, and to probably die on somebody’s windowsill — it’s just a terribly sad fate for an individual plant,” he said.”
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/crime/article/plant-poachers-rare-species-extinction-jxbg5t85n
“Why nature should be the new bottom line for business in 2026…
“Business must hold the line on ambition and act together with clarity and consistency. Companies that invested in meeting the spirit of ambitious legislation must protect the integrity of those commitments. This means moving beyond box-ticking toward genuine accountability for nature impacts…”
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
“Insanity is relative. It depends on who has who locked in what cage”
– Ray Bradbury
Thanks for all the well wishes yesterday. I’m 65 with prostate cancer (get your PSA checked gents). I have family and friends for support. I live in Massachusetts so lots of docs/hospitals are available and I have health insurance. I’ve lived a full life. It’s weird but as a collapse aware and accepting person, it has helped in this process, Hmmm.
Now back to humanity’s plight. Wow, meh, what a list today!
Yeah that’s awful but you got to experience the best that most of humanity has had to offer in terms of quality of life and affordability.
I won’t even get to the age of 65.
I’d almost rather trade places with you at nearly 37 where, despite not being flooded out like the stories here, it’s still an alienating nightmare world to inhabit right now. Seriously some of the most mentally challenging times to be alive.
I’d trade my smart phone for a kindncommunity and food and shelter security at this moment.
Anyways, I’ll try to send some dough your way Pan!
Truth Wizard, thank you – but only if you can do that without putting yourself in hardship. I know you have to graft to keep your head above water.
“I’d trade my smart phone for a kind community and food and shelter security at this moment.” I hear you!! Those are true wealth. Which so many are short on.
I am glad you are here, TW, not just us old farts.
My sympathies, Flippr – that is a horribly intimate cancer. My local GP actually advised me not to have the PSA test because it gives off so many false positives and biopsies can cause so much collateral damage.
Flippr, as you know, prostate cancer typically is a slow grower and most/many die from something else. In your case and for all of us, I hope death is collapse related.
I was watching something the other day about how educating women would solve the population problem, and by inference every other environmental issue. The end.
Most poor (and maybe uneducated) women have about one more child than they would ideally like, however to give them the choice it needs not only education to at least 14 but also easy access to contraception (including abortion rights) and a minimum level of social security so that those past working age and fitness are not entirely reliant on their immediate families.
This also ignores the large problem of consumption. A big reason want fewer children is so they have more resources for those they do have, which gives then a better chance to grow to sexual maturity and attract favourable mates with which they can have grandchildren, i.e. fewer people – maybe – but higher consumption – probably.
p.s. I was going to donate on paypal but I go to something called egretresearch – is that the correct place?
Yeah it’s a wonky argument but at this point the whole kitchen sink needs to be thrown at our predicament.
Except we’re going in the opposite direction.
George, I fear we are way past the point where that sort of demographic tinkering would make a meaningful difference. Although I guess the fewer children being born into a looming dystopia the better.
And yes – that unhelpfully enigmatic email is indeed mine. 😆
Flippr, well wishes is the very least we could do. Have yourself a frackton of great times because we’re ALL goin down, down in an earlier round. And apparently, we’re goin down swingin.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhObowBG6nQ
In 2026, we will once again be flooded with soothing, empty container narratives
The year has barely begun and the familiar vocabulary is already back on the table. Businesses must “put nature at the heart of decision-making,” “hold the line on ambition,” “move beyond box-ticking,” and demonstrate “real accountability.” These phrases reassure not because they solve anything, but because they pretend the problem remains manageable within the existing framework.
Such messaging is not a response to the climate and resource crisis; it is a narrative safety net. Container terms like nature, integrity, and responsibility are stacked without ever being grounded in physical reality. How much water? How much land? Which energy flows? What losses are unavoidable? These questions remain unasked.
The call to “move beyond box-ticking” is especially revealing. It implies that failure lies in execution, not in the system itself — as if better reporting, sharper metrics, or greater ambition could reverse dynamics driven by physical limits: depletion, warming, ecosystem collapse, and growing scarcity.
This discourse is characteristic of the late-fossil phase. As long as cheap energy masked constraints, moral language functioned as lubricant. Now that buffer is gone, language remains as a substitute for control. Words fill the gap left by the absence of hard choices, physical planning, and enforceable limits.
These narratives are not harmless. They preserve the illusion that systemic breakdown can be managed through improved intentions within the same structure. In reality, the crisis is moving from reports to landscapes, from strategies to lived conditions.
In 2026, this narrative will persist — not because it works, but because it soothes. And that is precisely why it deserves skepticism, not applause.
Thank you, Zip. “…language remains as a substitute for control.”
This is it exactly. We delude ourselves that we have agency because the consequences of our impotence are too hideous to contemplate. On a collective level, we are incapable of the hard choices, physical planning, and enforceable limits you mention.
Regarding Pan’s post above of: Nearly half of American homeowners want to relocate in 2026 because of extreme weather and other climate concerns.
I think it is safe to assume that the majority of Americans are not reading Pan’s C&E and other reality-doom blogs, otherwise this survey’s results would be more like 100% of Americans would want to move further north NOW.
I think it is too late for an easy & peaceful mass migration at scale into the northern tier of states as an exponentially growing flood of human flesh would quickly overwhelm the existing infrastructure, policing, supply chains, habitats, healthcare, politics, plus much more.
I would more likely expect an almost instantaneous STAMPEDE of human flesh northward that would INSTANTLY overwhelm the existing infrastructure, policing, supply chains, habitats, healthcare, politics, plus much more.
The majority of humans genetically ignore the obvious until some event triggers their genetic ‘fight or flight’ impulse.
————————————-
https://banksyexplained.com/trolleys-2006-2007/
‘We can’t do anything to change the world until capitalism crumbles. In the meantime we should all go shopping to console ourselves.’
“Shop till you drop…” is another masterpiece by Banksy
————————
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
https://www.investors.com/news/technology/coreweave-stock-crwv-news-ai-bubble-fears?mod=msn_ibd_fullbdM
Corewave and infrastructure concerns as the stock falls due to we cant build it concerns probably no water or power insanity of ai hallucinations of printing water and power from the moon
“Hotter weather thickens the blood of wild mammals: We traced this in African striped mice.”
““How plant poachers are driving rare species to extinction.”
Honestly, this is what kills me. 😭
I disagree with a paragraph of this PM analyst’s writeup:
https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-01-06/gold-and-silver-enter-2026-cornerstone-assets-amid-strong-demand-and
—————————–
“Simply put, you cannot have a monetary metal competing with industry,” he said. “A central bank will not hoard a metal that the industrial sector critically needs. Silver is a relatively small part of the overall cost of a finished product, and companies simply cannot afford to run out.”
——————————-
ME: Now I could see China not hoarding silver because their solar panel manufacturers can use the silver and then reap larger ‘finished goods’ profits and/or a very profitable global monopoly pricing structure.
China’s Central Bank could buy silver, not to hoard, but to help give a time & volume-pricing advantage to those Chinese companies that would buy it from the Central Bank; the Central Bank would be in effect the ‘strong broker’ for all these companies.
Alternatively, now other countries’ central banks have every reason to hoard silver if, at some future point, they foresee a return to using true silver coinage [90% silver or better purity] for facilitating retail transactions when their fiat currency starts becoming worthless. Throughout history ALL fiats have become worthless over time. Eventually, even China will want it citizens to have silver coinage with gold for larger transactions, so they will buy huge quantities of silver for later coin pressing.
When a country’s electric grid becomes unreliable, then non-functional [Cuba soon?] then digital processing of purchases ceases too. Cuba needs to be ready to offer coinage that can be readily identified and purity assured to smooth the buyer-seller exchange process. Silver & Gold can also be readily sold to foreign buyers to keep required imports flowing back to Cuba. Otherwise, Cubans should expect the US dollar to be very, very expensive to acquire from the moneychangers.
Now for the common man: buying silver is the cheapest way to start accumulating an easily exchangeable, portable, and small safe haven asset. Imagine trying to barter with other safe haven assets like a 25 kg bag of NPK fertilizer, or a 100-pounder propane tank. Thankfully that time hasn’t arrived yet in the advanced economies yet, but it will as the Seneca Decline gathers force.
Recall my earlier post on how silver, when used in other finished goods, essentially disappears into a black hole. Millions & millions of ounces gone, and most likely never recycled back to silver ingots because the cost of physical, thermal, and chemical retrieval is too high [our friend Entropy again]. This ongoing trend forces the gold/silver ratio to narrow over time because gold has very small quantities diverted to making other finished goods.
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
For the youngsters out there, a quick history lesson.
Hunt Brothers tried to corner the silver market:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silver_Thursday#Background
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In 1979, the price for silver (based on the London Fix) jumped from $6.08 per troy ounce ($0.195/g) on January 1, 1979, to a record high of $49.45 per troy ounce ($1.590/g) on January 18, 1980, an increase of 713%, with silver futures reaching an intraday COMEX all-time high of $50.35 per troy ounce and a reduction of the silver/gold ratio down to 1:17.0. On that day, gold also peaked at $850 per troy ounce.
In the last nine months of 1979, the Hunt brothers were estimated to be holding over 100 million troy ounces of silver and several large silver futures contracts.[3]
The brothers were estimated to hold one-third of the entire world supply of silver not held by governments….
———————–
$50/oz on January 1980 adjusted for inflation today = $196/oz for silver today!
https://www.in2013dollars.com/us/inflation/1980?amount=50
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Another writeup on the Hunt Bros:
https://kotakinsights.substack.com/p/brothers-who-broke-the-silver-market
Bob Shaw Are Human Smarter than Yeast?
Bob, my apologies – your comment was held in moderation overnight. WordPress doesn’t like multiple links.
I hate the word mismanaged this is being used by those denying severe climate extremes and other climate issues. Its being used with the California fires and with the severe Colorado drought. Its being used by those who don’t understand where the water comes from and the water cycles or how our water systems operate. So be careful with how the language is being weaponized to deny everything now. There is also alot of misinformation going around to surrounding all of these issues.