Huge thanks to this month’s donor, who wishes to remain anonymous but has asked me to post a link to this poem by their friend, Arthur L Wood. I’m no great shakes when it comes to literary criticism but I was moved by its tenderness and honesty, and heartily recommend giving it a listen.
“Storms in the Southern Ocean are producing more rain — and the consequences could be global…
“This change is not isolated, as it may reflect broader trends across the Southern Ocean, impacting global climate systems by altering ocean currents and carbon absorption, with significant implications for global weather patterns and climate change.”
“Friday ice update – Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data).”
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,380,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,070,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,530,000 km² below the 1980s mean [Zack Labe]
https://bsky.app/profile/zacklabe.com/post/3m7aolwjkic2y
“While the yearly minimum for Arctic sea-ice volume has been relatively stable for the last 15 years, this year saw a new record low for Arctic sea-ice thickness. By a lot.
“What’s going to happen in 2026? The Climate 8-ball is skating on thin ice.”
[Prof Eliot Jacobson]
https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1996581071266501029
“In just 5 days December 2025 has broken more records than ANY FULL MONTH in history except November 2025.
“Next week we will see >160/170 countries and dozens of thousands of stations smashing records in every Continent and November 2025 will be surpassed and wiped out big time.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1997148658614390992
“La Niña continues… for now. ⏳
“A westerly wind burst in the equatorial Pacific into next week will probably accelerate the decay of La Niña into early 2026.” [Ben Noll]
https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/1996602897081971172
“Stykkishólmur Approaches Its Warmest Year on Record [Iceland].
“The town hosts Iceland’s longest uninterrupted series of temperature observations, a dataset that extends back 180 years. Only a handful of European stations maintain comparable records. The story began in 1845…”
https://www.icelandreview.com/news/stykkisholmur-approaches-its-warmest-year-on-record/
“How an invasion of purple flowers made Iceland an Instagram paradise – and caused a biodiversity crisis…
“Scientists expect lupin coverage to have tripled by the next assessment in 2027, turbocharged by a warming climate. In the coming years, one study estimates that the species could grow to cover nearly a sixth of Iceland.”
“North under pressure, lice load climbs as salmon farms fill up.
“Norway’s Institute of Marine Research (HI) has reported increased levels of salmon lice in northern farming regions, linking the rise to higher production and warning of greater infection pressure on wild salmon… HI said the warm summer in 2025 contributed to increased lice development and was classified as a marine heatwave event.”
https://www.salmonbusiness.com/north-under-pressure-lice-load-climbs-as-farms-fill-up/
“Human-induced freezing height [climbing]!
“Number of days per summer with maximum zero degree limit above 4000 (light red) and 5000 m (dark red), derived from radiosondes in Payerne (Switzerland). Imagine the consequences for glaciers and permafrost! [Melaine Le Roy]
https://x.com/subfossilguy/status/1996913688725643750
“High levels of a toxic “forever chemical” have been found in cereal products across Europe because of its presence in pesticides.
“The most contaminated food is breakfast cereal, according to a study by Pesticide Action Network Europe (PAN), with average concentrations 100 times higher than in tap water.”
“Collapse of key Atlantic current [AMOC] could bring extreme drought to Europe for hundreds of years, study finds.
“Southern Europe’s already scorching dry summers could get even worse over the next 1,000 years if a key ocean current system collapses — with a rise in extreme droughts and longer dry seasons, a new study suggests.”
“Europe faced record-breaking wildfires in 2025: Report.
“Europe experienced its “worst” wildfire season on record in 2025, according to initial estimates by the European Forest Fire Information Service (EFFIS), highlighting a growing trend of longer and more destructive fire seasons… A total of 8,343 fires were reported in 2024, more than four times the long-term average.”
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/europe-faced-record-breaking-wildfires-in-2025-report/3763272
“Storm Byron batters Greece, triggering school closures and widespread flooding.
“Intense downpours hit Attica, the southern and eastern Peloponnese, Crete, eastern Central Greece, Evia, the Sporades, eastern Thessaly, central Macedonia and islands of the eastern and northern Aegean from the early morning hours.”
“Attica prefecture, which hosts the Greek capital and roughly half the country’s population, witnessed record amounts of rainfall, which in some locations exceeded 200 millimeters [8 inches] over the past few days…
“The precipitation – usually welcome due to fears of a water shortage come summer – was expected to last until the evening, at least in southern Greece.”
https://www.tovima.com/climate/record-rainfall-in-greater-athens-area-this-week/
“Researchers warn of a record marine temperature and extreme warming at 500 meters depth [Mediterranean]…
“Underwater observation platforms, including gliders and profiling buoys, allowed measuring the temperature up to 700 meters deep. “The summer of 2025 has reached a record of marine temperature in the deepest layers,” warns Juza.”
“HISTORIC UNBELIEVABLE MINIMUMS – 20.5 [68.9F] Famagusta is CYPRUS HOTTEST WINTER NIGHT EVER.
“20.3 Korfezi TURKEY; hundreds of records all over Eastern Europe specially ROMANIA (min 13.0 Costanta,11.0 Caransebes).”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1996903991561822357
“Morocco to Triple Desalinated Water Share in 2030 Amid Drought Crisis…
“Rising temperatures increase evaporation from reservoirs. To limit losses, authorities installed floating solar panels on a dam near Tangier. Baraka said the method, which reduces evaporation by an estimated 30%, will expand to dams in southern and mountainous regions to protect national water reserves.”
“HISTORIC – 40.5C [104.9F] Mongo ties the HOTTEST DECEMBER DAY EVER RECORDED IN CHAD…
“Exceptional hot nights continue in West Africa with MIN. Temperatures of 28C in Benin, 27.1 in Nigeria at Lagos (December record); GHANA smashed December High Mins records as well: 27.3 Kete Krachi, 26.0 Akse, 25.4 Ho.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1996612541074800866
“SOUTH AFRICA RECORD HEAT. Record heat seems never ending in South Africa with thousands of records falling every single month of the past 10 years.
“Tonight It was Cape Town – hottest December night in history with a Minimum Temperature of 22.5C [72.5F].”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1996835902023520640
“Climate crisis blamed as 60,000 penguins starve to death off South Africa…
“Over 60,000 African penguins starved to death off the coast of South Africa between 2004 and 2011 due to a severe collapse in sardine numbers… The drastic decline in sardine populations is attributed to the climate crisis and extensive overfishing in the region.”
“The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Fading Relevance of International Water Law.
“In September, Ethiopia unveiled the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), hailing it as a “generational victory”… However, the celebratory atmosphere was marred by the glaring absence of representatives from Sudan and Egypt. For these downstream nations, the dam fundamentally alters their access to the Nile’s vital waters.”
“Temperature increase is accelerating in Arab Region, with escalating impacts.
“The Arab region had its hottest year on record in 2024, and the rate of warming has accelerated in recent decades, accompanied by more intense heatwaves and droughts as well as extreme rainfall and storms, according to the inaugural World Meteorological Organization (WMO) report on the State of the Climate in the Arab Region.”
https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/temperature-increase-accelerating-arab-region-escalating-impacts
“Iraq burns: Dust, drought ravage the nation’s core…
“Officials in the Ministry of Environment acknowledge the crisis. Climate shifts have reduced river flows, worsened drought, and increased dependence on water sources controlled by neighboring countries. Iraq’s share of the Tigris and Euphrates has fallen nearly 30% since 2000…”
https://shafaq.com/en/Report/Iraq-burns-Dust-drought-ravage-the-nation-s-core
“6 Big Questions About Iran’s Water Crisis And Tehran’s Day Zero…
“Officials have already reduced water pressure, imposed cuts, and openly discussed rationing, evacuation, and even moving the capital if the rain does not return. Here are six of the most frequent – and the answers that matter…”
“Sri Lanka’s extreme weather death toll rises to 607.
“Another 214 people remain missing, while more than 2 million people from 586,464 families have been affected nationwide, said the DMC… Meanwhile, the Department of Meteorology says rainfall in some parts of the country will increase on Dec. 9-11 due to the northeast monsoon conditions.”
https://english.news.cn/20251206/cd05433a62db4a9d83477834bf60375b/c.html
“In the autumn of 2025 (Sept.～Nov.), the average temperature in China was 11.1C (+0.8°C), with five provinces experiencing record high average temperatures…
“The average precipitation was 162.1 mm (+33.7%), breaking the record for the highest autumn precipitation.” [Jim Yang]
https://x.com/yangyubin1998/status/1996936751924027853
“A powerful cyclone with rain and snow caused flooding in Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky [Russian far east].
“Heavy rain and snow paralyzed traffic in central Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky. The storm hit the city overnight, flooding the streets, according to local media… Schools were canceled early. In the morning, roads in the Spartak and Seaport districts turned into continuous streams of snow and water,”
“EXTRAORDINARY WINTER WARMTH IN SE JAPAN.
“Unprecedented streak of hot nights continue in the most remote Japanese island: Minamitorishima (formerly Marcus Island): minimum Temperatures have been 24/26C every night. Tonight Minimum was 25.8C [78.4F], 0.3C from national December record.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1997137749628145802
“Flooding kills two as Vietnam hit by dozens of landslides.
“Heavy rain in Vietnam triggered flooding that killed at least two people and caused more than a dozen landslides, state media said Friday, adding to what authorities called the “most unusual” year of natural disasters in the country’s history.”
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/flooding-kills-two-vietnam-hit-073101281.html
“SE ASIA RECORD HEAT. Record heat in Southeast Asia seems eternal: thousands of records have fallen in the past 3 years every day without exception.
“Scorching hot nights in the “cool (?) season”: Min: 27.8 [82F] Ca Mau VIETNAM and 26.8 Masbate PHILIPPINES hottest December nights on record.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1996767271419789486
“Flash floods hit Kuala Lumpur [Malaysia] as torrential rain overwhelms urban drainage systems…
“The intense downpour, which began Thursday evening, was accompanied by thunderstorms and extraordinary cumulonimbus cloud formations, rapidly triggering water accumulation along critical routes…”
“Sumatra Floods Updates: 867 Dead, 521 Missing as Search Expands…
“North Sumatra has 51,433 displaced residents, Aceh 775,346, and West Sumatra 22,354, bringing the total number of evacuees across the three provinces to 849,133 people… The scale of destruction has hampered rescue operations, with collapsed bridges and blocked roads slowing the delivery of aid and evacuation of survivors.”
https://jakartaglobe.id/news/sumatra-floods-updates-867-dead-521-missing-as-search-expands
“Disease spreads among Sumatra flood victims.
“The Health Ministry’s director of surveillance and health quarantine, Dr Sumarjaya, said the diseases currently appearing include skin infections, acute respiratory infections, diarrhea, influenza-like illnesses, typhoid, leptospirosis, measles, pertussis, malaria and dengue.”
https://www.thejakartapost.com/indonesia/2025/12/06/disease-spreads-among-sumatra-flood-victims.html
“Starvation fears as more heavy rain threaten flood-ruined Indonesia.
“Indonesia’s national weather agency said rain could return on Saturday to the provinces of Aceh and North Sumatra, where floods have swept away roads, smothered houses in silt and cut off supplies. Aceh governor Muzakir Manaf said response teams were still searching for bodies in “waist-deep” mud.”
“The Regional Disaster Management Agency of Malang City together with a joint team carried out flood management that hit a number of points in Malang City due to heavy rains, Thursday [Java].
“Head of BPBD Malang City Prayitno in Malang City, East Java, stated that handling flood events prioritizes disaster response processes that prioritize public safety.”
“Several homes have been destroyed in NSW, Australia as fires rip through bushland in heatwave-fuelled conditions.
“Emergency warnings were issued for residents near fires on the NSW Central Coast and in the Hunter region on Saturday as dozens of blazes burned across the state.”
“Murihiku’s waters warming faster [NZ]
“Waters are warming in Murihiku Southland at higher rates than elsewhere, with implications for fisheries and habitats… Phillips said sea surface temperatures were increasing about 34 percent faster in New Zealand than the global average.”
https://www.teaonews.co.nz/2025/12/06/southlands-waters-warming-faster/
“Strong heat wave incoming in New Zealand where a combination of a marine heat wave, an high pressure and hot air from Australia+local fohn will certainly bring high temperatures.
“Exceptional heat continues in New Caledonia with insane minimums up to 27.5C [81.5], a tied national record.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1997147791043502570
“Record heat is sweeping every single tropical country and Ecuador is not an exception.
“Unprecedented hot nights in the Amazon plains with a record high Minimum of 24.7C [76.5F] at Francisco de Orellana today.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1996948225161580580
“To save jaguars from extinction, scientists in Brazil are trying IVF and cloning.
“Fragmented habitat has isolated jaguar populations, causing them to cross with members of the same gene pool. Today, artificial insemination, in vitro fertilization and cloning techniques have been improving the genetics of groups to avoid eventual extinction of the species because of inbreeding.”
“32.2C/90F today and record for December again in St Thomas, Virgin Islands.
“Record heat seems particularly unstoppable in this Territory, even compared to the rest of Caribbean, where record heat has been going on since 2023.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1997029386365948118
“Record heat continues in Mexico, Central America and Caribbean, everywhere, every day scorching hot nights continue and worsen.
“Today Coatzacoalcos had a Minimum temperature of 25.2C [77.4F], its hottest December night in history.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1996980888467312844
“Newly released 911 calls from Texas floods reveal chaotic and desperate pleas for rescues…
“A firefighter clinging to a tree who watched his wife be swept away. A family breaking through their roof, hoping for rescue. A woman calling from an all-girls camp, waters swirling around and unsure how to escape.”
“Arctic blast slams Midwest, Northeast as snow prompts school closures in Mid-Atlantic…
“Record low temperatures were recorded across the Midwest and Northeast on Friday morning, including: 6 degrees in Scranton, Pennsylvania; minus 4 degrees in Plattsburgh, New York, zero degrees in Springfield, Illinois; and 3 degrees in Kalamazoo, Michigan.”
https://abcnews.go.com/US/coldest-temperatures-season-hits-midwest-northeast/story?id=128135150
“New England warming faster than most places on Earth, study finds…
“The breakneck speed of New England’s transformation makes it the fastest-heating area of the US, bar the Alaskan Arctic, and the pace of its temperature rise has apparently increased in the past five years, according to the study. “The temperature is not only increasing, it’s accelerating,” said Stephen Young, a climate researcher…”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/dec/03/new-england-warming
“Thawing permafrost is causing trouble for the Red Dog mine [Alaska]. Solutions could be costly.
“The problems stem from one of the more aesthetically jarring signs of climate change: Arctic streams are turning orange as thawing permafrost releases minerals once trapped in frozen ground. The phenomenon, known as river rusting, is occurring across the Arctic…”
“Another threat to reefs: Microplastic chemicals may harm coral reproduction…
“Most previous research on corals and microplastics has focused on the effects on adult corals of ingesting or absorbing plastic particles. Few studies have addressed larval stages of coral development or the impact of water contaminated with plastic residue, known as leachate.”
“From plummeting house prices to insurable homes, climate change is impacting the property market around the world.
“Climate change-fuelled risks have now become a “crucial factor in home-buying decisions” for more than 80 per cent of potential buyers.”
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Gemeni told me we have 6-8 years until 2°C using Leon Simmons energy imbalance chart earlier this week and James Hansen’s findings.
Thanks TW, given what we’re seeing here at 1.5, that’s really scary. Meh…
We briefly breached 2C in Nov 2023. I could certainly see us having a year of temps around the 2C mark by 2033.
This just ran across me eyeballs…yikes…
Oops, Scientists May Have Miscalculated Our Global Warming Timeline
Darren Orf Fri, December 5, 2025 at 11:03 AM EST Popular Mechanics
https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/oops-scientists-may-miscalculated-global-160300583.html
“The big picture is that the global warming clock for emissions reductions to minimize the risk of dangerous climate change has been brought forward by at least a decade,” Malcolm McCulloch, lead author of the study, told the Associated Press. “Basically, time’s running out.”
The study concludes that the world started warming roughly 80 years before the IPCC’s estimates, and that we already surpassed 1.7 degrees Celsius in 2020. That’s a big “woah, if true” moment, but some scientists are skeptical. One such scientist, speaking with LiveScience, said that “ it begs credulity to claim that the instrumental record is wrong based on paleosponges from one region of the world … It honestly doesn’t make any sense to me.” Other experts expressed wanting to see more data before completely upending the IPCC’s climate goalposts, which say the Earth is currently hovering at a long-term temperature change of around 1.2 degrees Celsius.
Unfortunately, even if the sponges are wrong, there’s mounting evidence that we are in the process of crossing that 1.5 degree threshold as we speak. This January was the hottest on record, clocking in at 1.7 degrees above pre-industrial temperatures. According to New Scientist, that means we’ve been above 1.5 degrees of change for at least a year. That doesn’t jump the long-term average over the 1.5-line, but it’s certainly a sign we’re getting close fast.
This sounds more and more like an outtake from the original Star Trek series with Scotty, Captain Kirk, Spock and Bones….in that case no worries
I am more of a lurker than a poster on here but I read this thread everyday and am in awe of the knowledge of the international range of posters on this thread
I live in the Sw of England between the cities of Bristol and Bath.
People are starting to mobilise at a hyper-local level but it is really clear how people lack the knowledge about the scale of the predicament humanity finds itself in. People still think there are ‘solutions’ where we all know there are now only ‘responses’.
When I read Pan’s amazing summaries of what is going on around the world in the climate thread, I have a number of thoughts;
1) How lucky am I and my family to live where I live ( I had no choice where I was born)
2) What a stark contrast there is between ‘news’ on this thread and ‘news’ on all the mainstream media channels most people are attuned to, largely through habit and lack of education.
Stay safe everyone.
Kevin I have been fixated on resource depletion since the early 2000’s. This channel has driven home the predicament we have with climate and finance as well. There are other sites out there that discuss similar subjects but they tend to be dominated by a couple of posters that spend a lot of time arguing among themselves. That doesn’t happen here.
I have a couple of good years left along with children and grand children. There are very few places that I can find that discuss on a personal level action that we can be taking. If anyone has some links and they can share them it would be appreciated. Thanks.
Good to hear from you, Kevin. I am in awe, too, and I feel the same as you regarding 1) & 2). Most of Pan’s sources are mainstream but for anyone depending on mainstream news, the coverage of these issues is so diluted by all the other stuff they cover that they’re never going to really understand how critical these issues are. And of course since they are controlled by oligarchs for the most part, they downplay reality or misattribute causes. So Pan helps solve the dilution problem! 🤪 😱
Thank you, all, for the very kind feedback.
Kevin, that is interesting re the hyper-localised mobilisation. Back before I left my home in East Sussex and made my mad dash northwards in 2015, I’d wondered if there might be some likeminded “doomers” locally. I could only find some “Transition Towns” people and I wasn’t convinced they understood the scale of the challenge we are facing.
I’m more of a “Doomer for thee, transition town for me” kinda Doomer. I’m optimistic for myself, but everyone else is fucked.
Maybe you can give some tips to Duke who commented above.
Pan’s 3 articles above on Indonesia including Java & Sumatra paint a dire situation.
Yet, the govt has not yet declared a national emergency even though they are the planet’s 4th most populous nation, 285 million.
My guess is the ruling powers & elites are total dunces or else they welcome a rapid reduction in ‘useless eaters’.
Bitter sarcasm from
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
Bob, I’m not sure why they haven’t triggered that mechanism. It sure looks like a national emergency to me. The public enquiry is going to be interesting:
“Indonesia suspended the operations of three companies in Sumatra, saying it would probe whether their land-clearing activities helped trigger the deadly floods and landslides that killed hundreds on the island.
“The government halted the operations of mining services company PT Agincourt Resources, state-owned plantation firm PT Perkebunan Nusantara III and hydro power developer PT North Sumatera Hydro Energy and ordered them to conduct an environmental audit, Environment Minister Hanif Faisol Nurofiq said in a statement late Friday.
“The decision came after an aerial inspection revealed a massive land clearing upstream from where the companies operated that may have increased the risks of flooding and landslides in the area.”
https://archive.vn/8ASNJ/again?url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-06/indonesia-halts-agincourt-ptpn-iii-operations-after-floods
Look 🙈 on the bright side… we’ll all still get around in the air to our vacation spots …
At least that’s what’s being built…
THAT WON’T FLY Major US airport unveils $8 billion expansion plans – but huge ‘conundrum’ threatens build
A business success caused the sudden change
Grace Harrington. The Sun..us edition
Published: 15:04, 3 Dec 2025
A MAJOR airport expansion is in peril after city planners decided they wanted to scrap the previously approved building strategy.
The Midwestern airport was set to get some major upgrades and become a massive $8 billion Global Terminal.
…..”O’Hare’s passenger count hit pre-pandemic levels this year after five years of growth – and is only expected to increase.
The study found that, without constraints, flights through the airport could increase by 30% from 2024 to 2032.
The planned $8 billion expansion includes the proposed Global Terminal along with two satellite terminals.
The city and airlines previously agreed to build one satellite terminal and the Global Terminal, but only construct the second satellite terminal if there is enough money left over.
The city now says the timeline is not possible as construction “would need to be completed in incremental phases to mitigate gate capacity impacts.”
Yeah, I get it, our future looks bright; stay calm and carry on the progress….Oy. Keep looking up…
Thanks, VPK. I am always amazed at the never ending expansion of my nearest regional airport in Asheville NC. I imagine it’s the same at many other airports. I long ago realized this insanity will never stop until economic or ecological collapse stops it (take your pick).
(Obviously ecological collapse will take out the economy eventually so I guess I more mean collapse of the economy due to collapse of the debt based Ponzi scheme.)
Heathrow, too: “Ministers have backed a plan for a third runway at Heathrow to be in operation by 2035 as they opted for the longer, costlier runway drawn up by the airport’s owners as the basis for its expansion.”
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/nov/25/heathrow-airport-third-runway-plan-government-m25
Islay Airport remains modest, however, and has fewer flights than it did, having cancelled its Edinburgh route a few years ago due to lack of demand. Now it’s just a morning flight to Glasgow and an evening flight back.
Hey kids, dig into your toxic breakfast feast! It’s G-G-Gr-Great!
I would like to see a global law passed that would outlaw the use of animal mascots for advertising when their numbers & habitats become endangered.
Or would most mascots already be considered endangered?
My bet is that my proposal will go nowhere, but at some point in the future: we should expect Tony the Tiger to be replaced by Tony the Toxic Cockroach.
Yum, now fortified with nanoplastics!
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
“Tony the Toxic Cockroach.” 😂
Here’s a great summary of (some of) the things that are collapsing our world and A FUN POLL! (Even among the collapse aware I am usually an outlier.)
https://open.substack.com/pub/predicament/p/the-reality-of-collapse-a-poll
It is very good, Cassandra. More and more of these holistic analyses seem to be popping up. It is simultaneously validating and alarming!
There’s a comment in there to the effect that some climate change predictions don’t account for the drop off in oil and gas supply that is starting now. For one thing there is plenty of coal and I think it will be more attractive than renewables for for power generation in many ways. As societal and economic breakdown accelerate, it will be increasing less attractive to make commitments to renewable projects that require capital investments that take twenty years to pay back and are vulnerable to destruction from extreme climate events or need stability over large areas and numerous different governance to maintain full functionality.
According to NASA we are already just about at doubling equivalent CO2 so, if Hansen is correct, which is looking increasingly certain, then 4.5 degrees rise is already set. Even if methane rise is discounted as it will disappear fairly quickly hen there is enough to get to 3 degrees, which is enough to finish off civilisation. It seems it takes several years for the temperature to get to the equilibrium condition that the CO2/aerosol/cloud conditions set (unfortunately it seems we are unable to predict beyond wide margins what that temperature is).
Also it looks like the hydrologic cycle takes time to catch up with the temperature changes, in particular when small scale localised environments are important – hence the growing chaos of drought/flooding cycles even as the average global temperature has decreased a bit and the rise in northern land temperatures has slowed since the last El Nino.
This is about AMOC.
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/12/the-point-of-no-return-for-the-warm-water-atlantic-current-is-coming-up-fast.html
I pulled the following from the article. We live on northern coastal Maine. Besides what he says, we are seeing the lobster going to deeper water and other shellfish quantities going down.
I will say this briefly, though, to the skeptically inclined: Watch your local environment for signs of increasing pain: diminishing water supplies; long and deep droughts; more costly insurance; bigger, more frequent hurricanes, storms and fires; fewer insects (sorry, that’s already here); more frequently canceled sporting events perhaps.
The oily stuff. Mike Shellman. Permian rolls over. Quo Vadis ?
https://www.oilystuff.com/group/forum-stuff/discussion/a20a9600-86c4-4e7d-9372-4d3a12ea1fd3
Good one!
“The evidence now speaks plainly: the Permian has rolled.
The significance of the U.S. shale rollover cannot be overstated. Over the past fifteen years, nearly 90% of all non-OPEC+ production growth has come from the shales—a larger contribution than U.S. conventional output provided in 1970 or the North Sea and Mexico did in 2003. With such an outsized share of global growth now faltering, the consequences this time are likely to be even more far-reaching.”
Ravi & Kali, this G & R report of Permian flow rate decline is important. The follow-on comments from Mike Shellman are a good read, too.
I agree with Mike that exporting the last US dregs of FFs for cash now is a huge disservice to the present youngsters & future Americans.
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
n the meantime Shell withdraws from Vaca Muerta. I have always said it was/is uneconomical, only a narrative to issue more debt.
https://www.upstreamonline.com/lng/shell-walks-away-from-initial-phase-of-argentina-lng-project/2-1-1911959
Ravi & Kali, this G & R report of Permian flow rate decline is important. The follow-on comments from Mike Shellman are a good read, too.
I agree with Mike that exporting the last US dregs of FFs for cash now is a huge disservice to the present youngsters & future Americans.
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
Thanks, Ravi. I’ll give that a read tomorrow when I’m feeling less lobotomised. My analytical abilities are not at their sharpest on a Saturday night. 😂
Re: Climate crises starving penguins from collapse in sardine populations which the penguins eat.
A seldom mentioned pathway for fish die offs is from the rise of carbon dioxide in our biosphere directly. Fish have very low pulmonary arterial pressures making it difficult for them to exhale carbon dioxide when ambient carbon dioxide levels go up. That means they literally gag on carbon dioxide when biospheric carbon dioxide levels go up.
Humans as most mammals are not as susceptible to direct carbon dioxide effects as our arterial pressures are an order of magnitude higher than that of fish. But what fish may be going through now, may be what will happen to humans should ambient carbon dioxide levels go much beyond 1000 ppm like what may be seen by the end of the century should present trends in anthropogenic activity (i.e. economic trends) not abate.
So, expect a lot more “unexplainable” fish die offs in the future, and let us hope humankind can wise up before it happens to them.
Article here touches on this subject a little more: https://researchfeatures.com/carbon-dioxide-downregulating-human-species/
Thank you, Robert. I did not know that about the physiology of fish. In addition to “straightforward” hypoxia and hypercapnia, pollution (a UK speciality) and algal blooms are doing a number on them:
“Over 11 gruesome kilometres, teams fill bag after bag of marine life killed by South Australia’s stubborn algal bloom.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/28/over-11-gruesome-kilometres-teams-fill-bag-after-bag-of-marine-life-killed-by-sas-stubborn-algal-bloom
https://komonews.com/news/local/weather-atmospheric-river-heavy-rain-mountain-snow-coming-western-washington-forecast-seattle-river-flooding-risk-wind-mountain-snow
We have a major atmospheric river next week in the Seattle area. A level 5 we already have flood warnings up from Monday through Friday of next week. We will see what breaks and stuff will break next week to just need to watch to see what breaks where.
Thanks Heather, please keep us updated and be safe!
The Honest Sorcerer is always a good read: this time about Copper peaking.
https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/running-on-empty-copper
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?