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“Climate change impact on food ‘like everyone giving up breakfast’.
“Global warming will dramatically alter which parts of the world will be able to grow crops in the coming decades, reducing the total amount of food that can be produced.”
“Only two years left of world’s [fallacious] carbon budget to meet [airbrushed] 1.5C target, scientists warn…
“The latest analysis shows global emissions would have to plummet towards zero within just a few years to have any decent chance of keeping to the target. That appears extremely unlikely, given that emissions in 2024 rose yet again.”
“In Iceland, existing weather statistics ‘do not apply’ – Study…
“Halldor Björnsson, Climate Group Leader at the Icelandic Met Office, said: “In recent years my colleagues and I … have noticed unusual weather-extremes, such as rainfall events that far exceed in duration and amount, anything expected based on prior data. In short the old statistics do not apply.”
“UK temperatures of 45C may be possible in current climate, Met Office says…
“A study published in the journal Weather shows that the chance of temperatures hitting 40C is more than 20 times more likely than it was in the 1960s, and has almost trebled since the year 2000… Temperatures several degrees higher than the July 2022 record – up to a maximum of 46.6C [115.9F] – were also “plausible”.“
“Years of floods and low food prices have driven a dairy farm in England’s northeast to stop milking its cows and instead charge visitors to cuddle them.
“Dumble Farm started as a dairy farm in the 1970s, but in recent years flooding washed out crops and killed off the type of grass the cows like to eat, while milk prices below cost of production proved an insurmountable challenge.”
“The permafrost in Switzerland’s Alps is the warmest since records began, the Swiss Academy of Sciences announced Tuesday…
“Experts believe this likely played a role in the destruction of Blatten village last month, with rockfalls on top of Switzerland’s Birch glacier increasing the weight load and causing it to collapse down the Lotschental valley in spectacular fashion.”
https://phys.org/news/2025-06-permafrost-swiss-alps-warmth.html
“Swiss authorities cleared a village in the country’s east over a potential rockslide, three weeks after a mudslide submerged a vacated village in the southwest.
“Residents of Brienz/Brinzauls, about 40 kilometers (25 miles) southwest of Davos, were being barred from entering the village because a rock mass on a plateau overhead has “accelerated so rapidly that it threatens to collapse…””
“‘Tropicalising’ Med is bringing scorching sea temperatures, giant hailstones and muggy nights to Spain.
“The Mediterranean waters are currently experiencing the largest warmth anomalies anywhere on the planet, with temperatures reaching 3-3.5C above the seasonal average in Spanish coastal areas. Around Corsica and Sardinia, these anomalies have reached 5C above normal.”
“MEDITERRANEAN HEAT WAVE. Fierce heat continues unabated in the West:
“46.6C [115.9F] in Algeria,43.7 in Morocco; 42.8 in Spain (Montoro) including 41.2 in Galicia (Leiro); 41 in Portugal. Next in line is France again which will live an absolutely insane heat wave:40C on the way.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1935046752404652075
“More than 700 people still missing after deadly floods in central Nigeria.
“Scientists have …warned that climate change is already fuelling more extreme weather patterns. In Nigeria, the floods are exacerbated by inadequate drainage, the construction of homes on waterways and the dumping of waste in drains and water channels.”
https://trt.global/afrika-english/article/7c0c4d66b752
“Jordan is surviving this year’s record-breaking June heatwave.
” The archives at the Arab Weather Center indicate that the Kingdom was affected between June 12 and 20, 2024, by the longest heat wave witnessed in June since climate data began to be recorded. This heat wave lasted for nine consecutive days.”
“‘Zero season’: Syrian farmers face worst drought in decades.
““I won’t plant a single dunam next year—it’s a losing business,” farmer Farhad Ahmad Sinjar said. For the past two years, he has watched his land produce less and less, parched by lack of rain. Now, he is giving up “the trade of our fathers and grandfathers.””
https://syriadirect.org/zero-season-syrian-farmers-face-worst-drought-in-decades/
“HISTORIC – IRAN 52.7 [126.9F] Khvormuj.
“Records all over inc. 51.4 Omidieh; MINIMUM 37.0 Aghajari; UNBELIEVABLE MINIMUM 32.2 Zarafshan lat 41N alt 420m UZBEKISTAN; 50/53 Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Emirates, Saudi 44C at 46N lat KAZAKHSTAN. Records from Iraq to Japan.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1935019003337994378
“EXCEPTIONAL HEAT IN INDIA & PAKISTAN:
“Record heat never ends in the area. Tonight it was the hottest night in history in the Pakistani town of Chhor with a minimum temperature of 32.5C [90.5F].
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1934878902008066270
“At least 27 people have died in three days of torrential rains which have lashed parts of India’s western Gujarat, state officials said Wednesday.
“Disaster response teams have been deployed to rescue dozens of people in the state, where residents are bracing for more heavy monsoon rainfall.”
“Erratic weather is hurting Indian firms in the biggest consumer market.
On earnings calls over the last six months, top management and equity analysts discussed ‘delayed summer’ and ‘delayed winter’… Some of India’s largest companies, already hit by a demand slump, are facing a new threat in wooing the country’s 1.4 billion consumers: unpredictable weather.”
“Huaiji, Guangdong suffered the largest flood in history, with the water level reaching 55.22 meters, 0.43 meters higher than the highest water level in history.
“Almost the entire county was flooded.” [Jim Yang]
https://x.com/yangyubin1998/status/1935294213102649665
“HISTORIC HEAT WAVE IN CHINA – hundreds of records keep falling since months, continuously.
“Today, 67 stations broke the June record, most of them in the Sichuan Basin, where the temperature record was broken every day in the past week.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1934956649749319743
“Japan Issues Multiple Heat Alerts Amid Soaring Temperatures…
“Fifty-seven people were transported to the hospital in Tokyo on Wednesday for heat-related illnesses NHK reported, citing the fire department. This month alone record temperatures were logged in 14 weather stations across the country, citing the Japan Meteorological Agency.”
“Mental health and poverty remain a struggle for Maui wildfire survivors, new study says.
“Mental health problems and economic hardship remain widespread among survivors of the Maui wildfire, as access to food, stable housing, work and healthcare remains a struggle for many, according to a study tracking 2,000 survivors.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/18/maui-wildfires-mental-health
“Wildfires push tropical forest loss in Latin America to record highs…
“Although tropical forest loss rose globally, some countries, like Indonesia and Malaysia, saw improvements. In Latin America, however, even countries that had previously curbed forest loss, such as Brazil and Colombia, experienced dramatic losses.”
“SOUTH AMERICA WINTER WARM SPELL:
“Exceptionally warm nights in Northern Argentina, Bolivia, Paraguay and other areas of Brazil. Widespread tropical nights with Minimums up to 23C [73.4F]. In some cases only last June they had similar high minimums in winter.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1935424261210193934
“EXCEPTIONAL HEAT IN THE CARIBBEAN:
“Stifling hot nights continue unabated all over the tropical Americas. Minimums up to 29C in the DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. In GUYANA Lethem Tmin 24.8 another June record. In MEXICO on the Pacific Culiacan June hottest night again Min 27.6 [81.7F].”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1935414674184434013
“Hurricane Erick strengthened into an extremely dangerous Category 4 storm, the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) said, cautioning that further strengthening could occur before landfall.
“The hurricane was located 90 miles (145 km) southeast of Punta Maldonado Mexico packing maximum sustained winds 145 mph (230 km/h).”
“Mexico’s Food Supply at Risk from Extreme Weather…
“From punishing droughts to erratic floods and scorching heat waves, extreme weather is wreaking havoc on the country’s food production. Fields that once produced abundant harvests now yield shrinking returns. Crop cycles are shifting unpredictably.”
https://america.cgtn.com/2025/06/18/mexicos-food-supply-at-risk-from-extreme-weather
“Tampa’s summers are getting hotter.
“Using 90 as a threshold, we can see that the number of 90 degree days has doubled in the last ~50 years.” [Jeff Berrardelli]
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1935430297832571096
“2025 is nearly half way through and the record breaking rainfall totals have been causing headaches for area farmers with a soggy delay for the first cut of hay in the Twin Lakes area [Arkansas].
“Land owners are reporting that the first cut of the year, which traditionally happens around Mother’s Day weekend, has been delayed week over week…”
https://www.ktlo.com/2025/06/17/fields-too-wet-to-work-spring-hay-harvest-delayed/
“New record for strongest wind in Wichita. Here’s what surprised meteorologists…
“…the thing that surprised meteorologists was the 102 mph wind gust measured clocked at 4:22 a.m. at the Wichita Dwight D. Eisenhower National Airport. It is the highest wind recorded in Wichita since those records were kept in 1970.”
https://www.kansas.com/news/weather-news/article308923105.html
“New York City and the US Northeast will shift to searing heat after weeks of rain and clouds as record-breaking temperatures descend on the region.
“More than 200 daily and overnight records are poised to be broken from Sunday to Tuesday across a wide swath of the country from Chicago to New York…”
“A rare severe thunderstorm hit Juneau, Alaska, on Monday. The storm prompted the first severe thunderstorm warning ever issued in Juneau…
“The Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces winds gusting to at least 50 knots (57.5 mph). That makes Juneau’s storm a bona fide severe thunderstorm.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/06/17/juneau-alaska-severe-thunderstorm/
“Antarctic seal numbers falling drastically due to melting sea ice, research shows…
“The study, published in the scientific journal Global Change Biology, found Weddell seals (leptonychotes weddellii), which rely on stable sea ice to rest, breed and feed, had declined by 54% since 1977.”
“Flavour of gin and tonic could be impacted by climate change, study finds. [Dear God, No! Anything but that.]…
“Volatile weather patterns, made more likely by climate breakdown, could change the taste of juniper berries, which are the key botanical that give gin its distinctive taste.”
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RdWut2HwiDY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dw3uJZpKnOA&t=6s
Thank you for those alarming clips, Curt. Re the first one, featuring flooding in Hunan Province:
“Two townships accumulated rainfall of more than 400 mm, which were 484.1 mm [19 inches] in Sangzhi Wudaoshui Town, 425.6 mm in Bada Gongshan Town, and the maximum hourly rainfall intensity was 102.3 mm [4 inches] in Shimen Baiyun Town (from 23:00 on June 18 to 00:00 on June 19).
“The hourly rainfall intensity or daily rainfall in four counties (cities, districts) of Changde (Shimen, Lixian), Xiangxi Prefecture (Longshan) and Zhangjiajie (Sangzhi) broke the local rainfall extreme record.”
https://m.gmw.cn/2025-06/19/content_1304063457.htm
“New York City and the US Northeast will shift to searing heat after weeks of rain and clouds as record-breaking temperatures descend on the region.”
Can increased frequency of cyclones/depressions (albeit with its own cascading effects) be holding back net warming, even while regions not subject to them experience record highs?
Jupiviv, the consensus seems to be that, although cyclones do bring about some localised cooling, there is minimal impact on overall warming.
Tons of shocking news. But, yeah, the worst is obviously the threat to gin. Not my beloved Botanist Gin from Panopticon’s neck of the woods! 😱
https://www.thebotanist.com/en-us
Personally I prefer Irish Gunpowder. But either way, this is gonna muck up my cocktail game. Guess I’ll just have to treasure the flavor of a Foghorn all the more when I can get it.
Now, how did I manage to spend five decades on the planet without ever hearing of a Foghorn?! I must have been living under a rock.
“Simply made with fresh lime, gin, and ginger beer, the Foghorn Cocktail is one of the classics. Think of this as the gin version of the currently popular Moscow mule–sans fancy copper mug.”
https://fullglassevents.com/articles/the-foghorn-cocktail
I am on a cruise in the western carribean and we have had sime crazy winds rain and saw a water spout yesterday off of the ship. Going to Cozumel but weather is everywhere its insanity nuts we are getting weather from the pacific hurricane here i think.
Heather, that is very exotic of you! Forecast looks like a mix of sun and thundery showers.
I’ve never been on a cruise but I did spend a little time in the Yucatan in the 90’s. The plan was to teach some English out there but instead I partied away my funds and returned home six weeks later. Je ne regrette rien!
From above: ““Only two years left of world’s [fallacious] carbon budget to meet [airbrushed] 1.5C target, scientists warn…”
And similar from BBC:
Three years left to limit warming to 1.5C, leading scientists warn
I don’t know but this seems to be wildly optimistic hopium in both cases. I don’t think James Hansen would be in agreement with 3 years or even 2 years to limit warming to 1.5C. What is already built in???? DId they forget that, and if yes, how could they if they are climate scientists????
We might drop below 1.5C briefly due to normal variation but we’ve already breached the 1.5C barrier. But, I’m not a climate scientist.
Edward, Hansen has stated categorically that 1.5C is dead as a doornail – “Anybody who understands the physics knows that.”
The IPCC will only concede that 1.5C (above the specious 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline) has been breached when we have seen at least 20 years of temperatures averaging in excess of that – a patently ridiculous metric, which will see the world all but burning before they are prepared to concede that Paris was a bust.
Hansen’s co-author, Leon Simons wrote a nice layman’s summary of their position on X recently:
“The climate models used by the UN climate panel (IPCC) underestimate the changes in our climate observed by NASA satellites over the past 23 years. Over the past 15 years (2010-2024), the Earth has warmed more than twice as fast as during the preceding 40 years (1970-2010). NASA CERES satellites can be used to explain the underlying cause.
“Due to the melting of ice and snow and a decrease in cloud cover, the Earth reflects less sunlight back into space. This amplifies the (greenhouse gas-induced) warming of the Earth more than expected based on models. Another reason for the discrepancy between observations and models is that the effect of particulate air pollution (aerosols) is likely underestimated. Air pollution also reflects sunlight and enhances cloud formation.
“The fact that models are not aligned with observations is deeply concerning, as it means we are underestimating the climate impact and the necessary measures.”
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1935082914523529718
I scream with both horror and delight every time you post a daily compendium.
That pretty much captures it for me too!
I also have those conflicting sentiments, as I’m sourcing articles.
On the one hand, I’m often riveted and intellectually stimulated by some new development but on the other, the ramifications, when I have a moment to dwell on them, can leave me daunted or dejected.
That sounds very compelling, but there’s something much more sinister, diabolical, even cheeky in the insertion of a thumbnail photo of a big-screen photo of the face of bureaucratic vacillation, the four-letter last-named Skea.
Skea, Mann, Musk – see the pattern?
Well said and spotted, Martin. 😂
At least Skea doesn’t radiate self-satisfaction in the manner of Mann or exhibit the drug-addled megalomania of Musk, I guess. None of them on my dinner party wish-list though.
Hello Pan what a malheur that “climate” page…
Here’s a thought on the “new pradox”
1. From 1.5 degrees to set piece: how climate is taking over the stage
‘Climate change is no longer a problem to be solved – it is the new backdrop of human existence.’
Until recently, 1.5°C was like holy grail. It was the number that popped up everywhere: in UN reports, in airline advertisements, in neighbourhood meetings about solar panels. 1.5°C warming would make the difference between a livable world and hell on earth. If only we tried hard enough, we could stay below it.
The solution was simple – at least on paper. We had to ‘cut emissions’, ‘start the transition’, ‘make growth sustainable’. What was rarely voiced in the process: that the engine of that growth, fossil energy, was the same as the cause of the problem. No one dared to say it: the paradox was structural. Growth had to – because growth meant prosperity, jobs, stability. Fossil had to – because fossil was growth.
2. And so CO₂ reduction became a mantra, a disconnected dogma that found its way from the tea party to the courtroom like a parlour game. Oil companies were sued, government statements brimmed with green prose, climate conferences ran at full speed – while global emissions just kept rising year after year.
3. That phase is now behind us. 1.5°C is no longer a goal; it is a memory. Emissions continue to rise, the climate is changing visibly and irreversibly. Heat waves follow each other like seasons, harvests fail with clockwork regularity, insurance premiums become unaffordable, and even the taste of gin changes.
But what changes in the story? Something remarkable is happening here:
Where once ecology was the moral compass, a guide to care and restraint, it is now the target of ridicule. The new conservative meme – courtesy of boosters like Trump who declared climate a ‘hoax’ – reads: ecology = patronising, bullying people, taking away prosperity.
Climate change is not a problem we solve together. It is an inevitable backdrop against which we will have to practise our art of survival. Premiums are rising, dykes are getting higher, air conditioners bigger – but nature, we no longer protect it. That’s old-fashioned, elitist, a leftist hobby.
4. And so we are left with the greatest paradox of our time:
The ecological movement is marginalised precisely when ecological reality becomes inescapable.
The climate agenda disappears into the wastebasket precisely at the moment when the climate starts defining our lives for good. The new normal is not the fight against climate change, but the fight within climate change.
5. Perhaps Trump, with his simple ‘climate hoax’ rhetoric, was a better weather forecaster than many a climate scientist. In any case, he was right on one point: the old story of solutions, agreements and summits is over.
What is left is a world that fights, flees, and adapts to a climate that is not an enemy – but the stage on which our human stage will henceforth be set and beyond that we just book our ‘sun holidays’ and “cruises” without ‘climate guilt’ …..it is just to see where the ship runs aground without anyone caring anymore.
“ … the old story of summits is over” … if only.
The Keystone COP is still doing its best to add to the yearly CO2 emissions by yet another junket for the estimated 50,000 attendees flying into a Brazilian Amazon that has already “experienced dramatic losses.”
Like every other corporate boondoggle concocted to “Save the Planet” by wresting taxpayer dollars from supine politicians with absolutely zero need to substantiate their greenwashed claims, year after year, decade after decade, the Climate conference pours CO2 into the troposphere to “solve” climate change by creating emissions that would never had occurred had they simply done nothing …. Which, given the INcrease in the rate of emissions, they have done nothing but harm …. as every molecule of CO2 they exhausted into the atmosphere over 3 decades of bloviating (resulting in nothing but more toxic hot air) is still there.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/06/biofuels-policy-has-been-a-failure-for-the-climate-new-report-claims/
So although it sounds depressing that “the ship runs aground without anyone caring anymore”, given that the more they “care” the faster CO2 emissions accelerate, who cares?
Zip and Rob, we are so lost. Our problem-solving brain has been the ace up our evolutionary sleeve but now we’re all out of cards. Denial of reality will just get more entrenched:
“A Green and Just Planet: G20 to COP30 Visions… A Green and Just Planet: A Framework for Governing Industrial and Financial Policy for a 1.5ºC World, sets out a transformative framework for advancing green industrial strategies and green financial policies to meet the urgent challenge of limiting global warming to 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels.”
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/bartlett/events/2025/jun/green-and-just-planet-g20-cop30-visions
These disasters have now gone beyond anything I can really encompass – 55 m flood, 32 degree minimums, 53 degrees maximums, 102 mph winds – I can only put them in the extreme category but I can’t really graduate them. However if these are happening, apparently with increasing frequency, at the “safe” let’s-pretend-it’s-still-below-1.5″ then the rate of warming doesn’t seem to matter as much as it did.
I’ve noticed we’ve gone from mostly “by 2100” to “by 2050” and “our grandchildren” to “our children” for timeframes in the disaster scenarios in only about 5 years, even as it’s pretty obvious that it’s already battering the poorest nations. I think two more years until the MSM authors start understanding that pretty much everyone’s lives are being overthrown, impoverished and shortened.
George, I’ve certainly noticed doomerism going more mainstream, with buzzwords like “polycrisis” and “permacrisis” evolving to encapsulate the new reality, and the MSM perception of our climate catastrophe timeline shortening.
We are in trouble when true despair seeps into the mainstream discourse. The markets and financial system can’t operate in that milieu.
One thing that I am looking forward to finding out before the world comes to an end, for me anyways, is, can a hypersonic missile hit a US Air Craft Carrier. And if so could a hyper sonic missile also hit a Uk Aircraft Carrier, because I assume of course that the semen shitp of the UL sailors is of a higher caliber.
It might seem obvious to some people that it would be easy for a hypersonic missile to pierce the heart of an aircraft carrier because the missle is so much faster. But an aircraft carrier is not a stationary target. It can move a kilomter in one minute and I have a lot of doubt that there is guidance system that can reliably account for that movement.
This is actually a very important question for a few years. If the hypersonic missile can hit a carrier and even pierce its skin let alone its heart force projection by countries that want to send their miliitaries half way around the world will become much more expensive. It would leave some big shots with egg on their farsces. I guess that we could call that a Farsi Farse.
After what the 8 billion on the ship of fools have done to this habitat, I’m dedicating Bob Dylan’s “Knocking on Heavens Door”, to their sinking ship. They haven’t been knocking, they are full steam ahead.