Enormous thanks to my anonymous donor for the remainder of April and May, who wishes to call attention to Rob Mielcarski’s thought-provoking un-denial site, also featured in my blogroll, which looks at overshoot and related issues.
“Breaking News! Code Yikes!
“The latest CERES data just dropped, and surprise, surprise, for the eighth month in a row the 36-month average for Earth’s albedo hit yet another record low.
“Gratitude to the folks at NASA.” [Prof Eliot Jacobson]
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lnnuoku3b22a
“Global temperatures in the first quarter of 2025 were the second warmest on record, extending a remarkable run of exceptional warmth that began in July 2023.
“This is despite weak La Niña conditions during the first two months of the year – which typically result in cooler temperatures.”
“It’s been over a month since I updated this graphic — my analysis: still f&%ked.
“The average global surface temperature anomaly so far this year, Jan. 1 – Apr. 23, 2025, is 1.62°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.”
[Prof Eliot Jacobson]
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lnnjmsxyl22b
“‘Cryosphere meltdown’ will impact Arctic marine carbon cycles and ecosystems, new study warns…
“A new study led by Jochen Knies from the iC3 Polar Research Hub has found worrying signs that climate change may be undermining the capacity of Arctic fjords to serve as effective carbon sinks.”
https://phys.org/news/2025-04-cryosphere-meltdown-impact-arctic-marine.html
“The UK’s driest start to the year in four decades is threatening the country’s grain crops and increasing the risk of wildfires…
“Farmers across northern and central Europe are facing similar struggles… The prolonged dry spell comes after the UK experienced its wettest ever 18 months in the period through March 2024, resulting in record wheat imports…”
“Greece to deploy record number of firefighters this year amid global warming, minister says.
“Greece will deploy a record number of firefighters this year in anticipation of “bad scenarios” ahead, its climate crisis minister said on Thursday, after a succession of destructive wildfires. Weather across the globe has become more erratic and extreme…”
“Giant hailstones slam Morocco’s Ourika region.
“A powerful hailstorm struck the Ourika region of Morocco’s Al-Haouz province. The sudden storm damaged crops, property, and stunned residents with massive hailstones. The event occurred on April 24, 2025, causing widespread local disruption.”
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/giant-hailstones-slam-moroccos-ourika-170120190.html
“HISTORIC HEAT IN NIGER – 45.0 [113F] at Gaya : Hottest day in climatic history (for any month) tied.
“Next days dozens of thousands of records will be brutalized all over Africa, all over Asia, Europe, Oceania and North America.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915842827843780891
“East Africa’s blue economy under threat as temperatures surge…
“Alarmingly, coastal waters around Zanzibar have seen a rise of nearly 7°C since 1990, with sea temperatures climbing from an average of 31°C in 1990 to a stifling 38°C by 2020.”
“Hotter and hotter in EGYPT in this crazy April – 46.0C [114.8F] at Aswan.
“Also, deadly heat in SUDAN with night temperatures of 30C and daytime of 45C, in a country already battered by war and famine and now deadly heat.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915573044825006269
“Israel’s Fire Chief Is Finally Telling the Truth About Global Warming.
“No, there is no ‘arson intifada’ by mysterious Palestinian sleeper cells. Still, it’s very likely that in the next few years we’ll suffer a blaze lasting a week or more, and fire chief Eyal Caspi is preparing.”
“HISTORIC HEAT WAVE IN ISRAEL – incredible 44.9C [112.8F] at Hatzeva and 44.6C at Paran, both smashed their April records.
“Thousands of stations will pulverize their records next days all over Asia.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915314779486642631
“Saudi Arabian ‘city of roses’ where farmers bottle flowers’ aroma and climate change looms…
“…now the greater frequency of erratic weather – including searing summer heat, frigid winters and unexpected flooding – presents a potent threat to Taif’s famed roses.”
“Unbelievable 46.2C [115.2F] at Dammam – SAUDI ARABIA HOTTEST APRIL DAY IN HISTORY!
“Records all over Middle East…”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915838084077523174
“UNREAL BUT REAL – for the first time Middle East reaches 46C in April, but also 47C, but also 48C, but …almost 49C
“Beyond any imagination – 48.9C [120F] Mitribah, KUWAIT today.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915742556354441392
“Point of no return? Iraq’s fight to save its environment.
“Iraq faces an escalating environmental crisis ahead of summer, with severe drought, shrinking water supplies, and desertification threatening the country, the Iraq Green Observatory warned on Friday. Southern and central provinces are most exposed…”
https://shafaq.com/en/Iraq/Point-of-no-return-Iraq-s-fight-to-save-its-environment
“EXTREME EVENT IN IRAQ; Historic: Hotter night than in July.
“Mind blowing MINIMUM of 31.7C [89.1F] at Haditah, 30.3 Hanah, 27.8 Mosul and Kirkuk… HOTTEST APRIL NIGHT IN IRAQ HISTORY. Some records were broken by over 7C margin!“
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915351322150215960
“Welcome to the world of triple-digit spring weather. Why early season heat waves are becoming more common and more dangerous…
“Faranda analyzed the factors behind the recent heat wave across India and Pakistan. The group found that events like the severe heat wave in April 2025 are 4 degrees Celsius warmer over the past three decades than they were in the period between 1950 and 1986.”
https://www.vox.com/climate/410042/extreme-heat-wave-spring-phoenix-india-asia-climate-change
“Prolonged heatwave to grip Pakistan starting today.
“A prolonged heatwave is expected to impact Pakistan beginning today (April 26), with the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasting soaring temperatures across much of the country until at least the end of the month, Dawn reported.”
https://www.chinimandi.com/prolonged-heatwave-to-grip-pakistan-starting-today/
“Alarming water shortage at Sindh barrages hitting hard to agriculture [Pakistan]…
“Irrigation department has said that Sindh’s barrages facing persistent scarcity of water in Indus River posing grave threat to the agriculture of the province. Sindh is facing an alarming water crisis owing to scarce rainfall and drought in the region.”
https://arynews.tv/alarming-water-shortage-sindh-barrages-hitting-hard-agriculture/
“The most dangerous river in the world: Why the Indus could spark WWIII…
““For Pakistan it is existential. It is Pakistan’s lifeline actually, its agricultural and food lifeline. That’s why it is very touchy, and that’s why the provisions in the treaty are very stringent. There should be no uncertainty, no loss of predictability…””
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/25/most-dangerous-river-world-why-indus-spark-ww2/
“Even a Limited India-Pakistan Nuclear War Would Bring Global Famine, Says Study…
“In addition to direct death and destruction, the authors say that firestorms following the bombings would launch some 5 million tons of soot toward the stratosphere. There, they say, it would spread globally and remain, absorbing sunlight and lowering global mean temperatures by about 1.8 degrees C (3.25 F) for at least five years…”
“More than 1,000 people were left stranded in the northeastern Indian state of Sikkim after landslides in the high-altitude region cut off access to several areas.
“Incessant rainfall over the last few days in northern Sikkim triggered landslides on Thursday in Munshithang region…”
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/more-1-000-people-stranded-121307689.html
“In an unprecedented weather event, Dibrugarh [Assam, E India] recorded its highest-ever 24-hour rainfall for the month of April, with 187.7 mm of rain lashing the city since yesterday.
“The figure shattered the previous April record of 124.6 mm set back in 1973…”
“More records of April hottest night in INDIA:
“Tmin 28.0C [82.4F] at Shanti Niketan, in the Northeast of the country. Records have been falling in every state of India continuously since the start of 2025.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915677164726571355
“Is soaring temperature in Dhaka [Bangladesh] becoming a new normal?
“As temperatures rise, prolonged heatwaves and increasingly erratic weather patterns are expected to intensify public discomfort in Dhaka in the coming months.”
https://unb.com.bd/category/Special/is-soaring-temperature-in-dhaka-becoming-a-new-normal/158364
“Erratic April weather has Koreans in seasonal disarray…
““Being frozen and heated up again and again, I feel like dried fish,” said Oh. “It’s been warm like spring one day and cold the next, and the temperature gap from day to night is huge. A lot of people around me are catching colds.””
“The city of Ofunato in Iwate Prefecture, northeastern Japan, is making gradual progress in rebuilding lives two months after massive forest fires broke out…
“But the approaching rainy season poses new challenges, since the wildfires diminished the water-holding capacity of soil in the burned areas.”
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20250426_07/
“SE ASIA HEAT WAVE:
“Fierce heat day and night continues in SE Asia with widespread Minimum temperatures 29C/30C [86F] in Philippines, Thailand and Myanmar. Heat indexes/feel like reached 55C [131F] in some Thai provinces where orange and red alerts by TMD are in place…”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915954294777647123
“Two people hospitalised and Anzac Day services cancelled after wild weather hits south-east Queensland…
“Lightning strikes hit two houses as parts of Sunshine Coast receive up to 240mm [9.4 inches] of rain overnight… It has been an unusually wet and wild year so far for south-east Queensland…”
“Why were hundreds of koalas shot in an aerial cull in Victoria?
“The government says the unprecedented step was taken to prevent further suffering of the animals, after a fire in Budj Bim national park burned through 2,200 hectares, including a large area of manna gum, a key food source for koalas in the park.”
“Pacific island states urge rich countries to expedite plans to cut emissions…
“Pacific island states have written to the governments of developed countries urging them to hurry, and to make the steep cuts in carbon needed. The rich are also yet to set out details of how they will fulfil their obligations to ensure $1.3tn a year in climate finance flows to poor countries by 2035.”
“Climate change and El Niño: pushing Brazil’s amphibians to extinction.
“A groundbreaking new study has challenged a long-standing belief in conservation science, revealing that climate change, intensified by increasingly extreme El Niño events, is the true force accelerating the extinction and decline of Brazil’s amphibians.”
https://www.thecanary.co/global/world-analysis/2025/04/25/brazil-amphibians/
“Exceptional contrasts in MEXICO:
“Most of Mexico is with a relentless heat wave with temperatures of 45C [113F] at low elevations and 30C at >2500m! But some areas managed to cool up significantly at night with windless conditions and low humidity.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1915957066537308636
“Northern Mexico farmers fight drought amid water dispute with the US…
“Dead animals lie scattered across the planes of this cattle ranching town in northern Mexico, victims of a long-term drought that is forcing farmers here to consider uprooting their lives to look elsewhere for land and water.”
“Utah Gov. declares state of emergency as drought conditions continue…
“While northern Utah struggles with an early snowpack peak, the southern part of the state is experiencing extreme drought conditions. Utah Gov. Spencer Cox issued an Executive Order Thursday declaring a state of emergency in 17 counties…”
“Hurricane Helene Turned the Appalachian Trail Into a Highway Pile-Up. I Hiked it to Survey the Recovery…
“As of April 2025, the AT in the Southern states is like a horrific multi-car pileup on the interstate that happened hours ago, just long enough that the wreckage has been moved to the side of the road to allow for cars to pass.”
https://www.backpacker.com/stories/thru-hikes/hurricane-helene-after-appalachian-trail/
“Risk of ‘rapid fire spread’ remains in New Jersey as battle continues against blaze.
“With crews still working to contain one of New Jersey’s largest wildfires on record, fire danger remains elevated across the state and into eastern Pennsylvania, the National Weather Service warned on Friday.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/25/new-jersey-wildfire
“Hot and windy conditions raise wildfire concerns in Alberta.
“Firefighters are urging all Albertans across the province to use caution when working or enjoying the outdoors, as areas of dead grass will ignite easily, and a fire will spread quickly.”
https://globalnews.ca/news/11149729/alberta-wildfire-conditions-april-2025/
“As potentially ‘unprecedented’ fire season looms over Anchorage, AFD’s new wildfire division makes up for years of lost time…
“Recent wildfires in places like Los Angeles and Lahaina have highlighted the deadly speed and destruction possible with the right mix of dry land and wind.”
“UN report recommends ‘deep change’ theory to address global crises…
“The report suggests five broad changes for a sustainable world: Rethinking waste and shifting to a circular economy… Realigning with nature… Reconsidering responsibility by transitioning from individualism to collective global accountability.. Reimagining the future and …Redefining value.”
“Flying And Climate Change: How Travelers Can Help…
“Fly mindfully. Check out these suggestions, each of which, if multiplied by others, can help subdue climate change: Choose airlines that offer carbon offset programs. Donate to carbon offset organizations yourself. Choose eco-friendly airlines. Sit in economy class. Take nonstop flights to limit layovers.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/lealane/2025/04/24/flying-and-climate-change-how-travelers-can-help/
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffee or become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with a “Climate” thread.
EXTREME
Choose “Eco friendly airlines”? Carbon offset…sure…take non stop flights sure…
Betcha they recycle all the trash too after cabin service from your beverage…
Just about all major airports have master plans for expansion. Some claim to investing in EV air travel!!?? Yes Sir, and pink slime is good for you..
It will stop when we can’t …no one going back to days of the horse and wagon, unless that’s the only choice.
AMERICA’S GREENEST AIRLINE
Be kind to the planet and fly greener! When you choose to fly ‘America’s Greenest Airline’ you’re doing good by Mother Nature.
Together, making an impact
In collaboration with One Tree Planted, we’re making an impact on reforestation in the Pacific Northwest to help protect the endangered Orcas. Become a part of the impact by donating to plant trees.
DONATE TODAY!
FRONTIER IS 44% MORE FUEL EFFICIENT
At Frontier, Our standards are environmentally focused, our fares are low and we will get you to your destination efficiently. We are working hard to reduce our environmental footprint as much as possible and to set a new greener standard for travel. All you have to do is to choose to fly greener!
I feel better now flying, plus frontier has wildlife photos on their planes with an actual pet name for the critter…what’s not to feel good about…
We people are so sentimental
“Flying And Climate Change: How Travelers Can Help…”
The humor continues. Oh, wait, they aren’t joking. Perhaps travelers can stay the &^#* home.
I don’t have anything significant to add as VPK nailed it.
Humans imagining that there is any way in hell of making whizzing around the planet in an aluminium tube, powered by kerosene or even so-called sustainable aviation fuel, “green” is certainly one of the more amusing delusions of our era.
“FRONTIER IS 44% MORE FUEL EFFICIENT”…compared to who?
Was checking up on ofw and the climate change minimization (cus outright denial would be too obviously stupid) is in full swing. An otherwise intelligent username saying CO2 rise increases soil fertility and all the bad consequences of warming will happen to every country he personally doesn’t like, whereas Russia (where he lives) will be fine.
This is unfortunately going to become the norm everywhere, including the doomsphere. Selective denial (or acknowledgment) of problems when one realises they are actually predicaments. Pan and Dr B are two of the very very few exceptions to that rule which is why I limit my doomscrolling to them. No point getting riled up reading blogs that are half correct and half insane ranting, the latter probably as a coping mechanism wrt to the former.
Jupiviv, I still get the odd flash of irritation when encountering climate minimization/denial, especially when it is delivered with arrogance, aggression or, worst of all, intentional dishonesty. I guess I’d be more upset about it if I felt that we had good solutions and these were being obstructed.
Generally, I am pretty good at avoiding these sorts views (and I may be tempting fate here 😆) but in the seven years I’ve been running this site, I’ve never had to deal with climate denial in the comments section.
“Flying And Climate Change: How Travelers Can Help…
Oh, the irony and from Forbes no less. Yes, let’s keep those planes (businesses) flying. We need access to climate change around the world, er, I mean to places before they become unpleasant, by gawd! Here’s a thought, how bout countries stop allowing air travel into and out of their countries. Turn those airstrips/ports into, I dunno, gardens? Housing for displaced persons? Graveyards??
Texas Guy, perhaps as many as 60,000 people will be flying to Belem this November for COP30 – also pretty ironic.
“Fake metal trees have been set into the concrete ground of the Amazonian host city of this year’s climate summit, prompting scandalised contrasts with the once-living vegetation that has been cleared in preparation for Cop30 in Brazil.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/apr/25/brazil-host-cop30-climate-talks-amazon
I’m pretty sure I read that a 1% decrease in albedo doubles the effect of CO2 concentration. Probably in one of James Hansen’s reports. Since about 2014, the shipping industry started using cleaner burning fuel which resulted in less particulates in the atmosphere lowering the albedo. My memory isn’t as sharp as it used to be but I saw this somewhere.
So, CO2 emissions continue to rise and albedo continues to decline. That’s not going to end well.
Edward, we have further stringent sulphur controls coming into force on 1st May in the Mediterranean and then next year in the Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea. It’ll be interesting to see what we get in terms of localised warming.
US Has Launched 750 Airstrikes on Yemen Since March 15 Antiwar.com
As The US Global war of Terror continues to escalate, I bet Yemen would gladly stop allowing air travel into their country.
The IRA triumvirate (Israel/Russia/Amerika) won’t stop its imposition of their new world disorder, where dystopia is the final solution. You know it’s bad when the description of nuclear carnage sounds like the only way humankind (which is anything but) can save the planet’s ability to sustain life, bringing the 1.6 degree overshoot down with one Big Bang.
All in the name of God.
“When lies have value, lives have none”. (The Crucible).
And the biggest lie is that God is Love, as every religion adheres to the Noah’s Ark depiction of the deity as the ultimate Mass Murderer, simply wiping off the face of the earth every living creature not “chosen”, choosing, like the Nazis, to annihilate even those who were innocent of any crime, simply because it was too onerous to separate them out.
To mention this, however, is now considered justification for deportation to the Amerikan gulag system in El Salvador/Guantanamo … forever.
Rob, I read that snippet about a limited nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan bringing about a temporary global cooling of 1.8C and found myself thinking, just for a moment, “Well, now…” 😂
“There’s a two-thirds chance of nuclear Armageddon before 2045. The unmitigated horror means survivors will envy the dead…
“The blast wave from the explosion, while highly destructive in the immediate vicinity, is not actually the main danger. In a nuclear war, cities are incinerated rather than merely flattened. The initial airburst generates temperatures of thousands of degrees over vast areas. The intense heat melts asphalt in the streets, burns paint off walls, and melts metal surfaces within a half second of the detonation.
“The interiors of vehicles and buildings in line of sight of the fireball explode into flame and the subsequent blast wave spreads more fires due to ruptured gas pipes, electrical short circuits, home boilers, cookers, damaged industrial processes and so on. As these small fires gain in intensity they start to combine, heating the air, which rises to form a kilometres-wide convection column that soars to great heights above the burning city, causing more air to rush in at hurricane force from surrounding areas.
“The process works like a gigantic bellows, pumping more oxygen into the burning centre and raising the temperature and ferocity of the flames ever further.
Over megacities like New York, London, Moscow and Beijing, the burning area is huge, and the incoming wind speed akin to that generated in an F5 tornado. Within a few hours of screaming, furnace-like intensity, every piece of combustible material, from building structures to human bodies, is totally consumed.
“There is no shelter in these firestorms: those hiding in basements are suffocated by lack of oxygen or cooked as in a gigantic oven. Open water in lakes or small rivers boils as air temperatures reach hundreds of degrees. Enormous pyrocumulonimbus clouds are spawned, which pump soot vertically 15km into the atmosphere beyond the boundary of the stratosphere and these giant clouds will soon lead to the oncoming nuclear winter.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14649243/nuclear-armageddon-2045-world-end-MARK-LYNASS.html
Well then.
Enjoy the rest of your weekend, everyone.
https://unionrayo.com/en/nasa-warning-iss-critical-condition/
Even the space station is collapsing not to mention all of space trash problems
Thanks, Heather. Interesting.
“It should be noted that many parts of the ISS were designed in the 1990s. Some suppliers no longer even exist. And the space suits, yes, the same ones used for going outside, date from the 1970s… keeping it alive without resources or solutions is no longer viable… We have to accept that all cycles come to an end.”
Sounds like our civilizational predicament in microcosm.
I’m well pleased with the destruction 8 billion fools have accomplished, up to this point. Now, put your back into it.
I keep wondering if Pan is holding back the really horrible stories. 😉
Multiple Breadbasket Harvest Failure will soon be afoot. Then will begin the famines. Get some food preps and keep your head down. If you can get by while others thin out, then you might find a balanced food supply somewhat returns once less mouths to feed. Nasty business. My gran recommends oats.
The only problem is all my neighbors will be getting skinny and sickly while me and my family are still looking well fed with lots of mojo energy. Don’t know about that myself.
Betcha there will be lots of young guns males in gangs with guns and knives about to house invade to steal and torture and murder. That’s why in Medieval Age had the Duke with his police force to protect you with the walls.
Best maybe to enter a religious order like the Trappist Monks behind walls..Of course, no women to defend or children, but you would have to contract protection from a local gang in exchange for cheese and fruitcake…like the Abbey of Our Lady of Gethsemani n
Kentucky. I was there once and decided not to stay on because I couldn’t get a decent or jng shave, a deal breaker for me. I was reading a lot of Thomas Merton back then
Thats, actually, not “the only problem”. Just one of them. Sounds like you don’t know how to keep your head down. The Population Bottleneck will probably exclude those who aren’t good at keeping a low profile.
Survivalist, oats also have the added benefit of aiding the excretion of “forever chemicals” (PFAS).
And you will be relying on horse power too, they loves oats
The article on sea temperatures along Africa’s east coast rising by 7C is not supported y the IPCC data they quote. Temperatures above 31C are rare. According to data I checked Zanzibar sea temperatures have risen to some 31C.
Thank you, Johann. That caught my eye, too. 38C is absolutely sizzling. I wonder if it is an instance like we saw in Florida in 2023 where some local buoys have been giving much higher readings than the NOAA satellite overview:
“The surface ocean temperature around the Florida Keys soared to 101.19F (38.43C) this week, in what could be a global record as ocean heat around the state reaches unprecedented extremes.
“A water temperature buoy located in the waters of Manatee Bay at the Everglades national park recorded the high temperature late on Monday afternoon, US government data showed.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/25/florida-ocean-temperatures-hot-tub-extreme-weather
Fascinating, driest start in decades after wettest….
Mirrors here in Oz, subtropical rainforest region.
Driest or dry as it gets 2019-20, worst fires, into…
Wettest, largest flood >2m above record, wettest continues 2020-25.
I’m sick of mud, but dread the return of fires, 2028-9?
No more average?
Welcome to increasing-extremes-oscillating?
Sean, I’m sure. The Iberian peninsular has just seen a wild swing from multi-year drought to endless rain and full dams. The so-called average year is going to get rarer and rarer.