Many thanks to my special sponsor for September 2024 – ANON
“Are we underestimating global warming?
“Last year, a team led by former NASA scientist James Hansen found that previous sensitivity estimates had vastly underestimated the role of aerosols, such as soot and dust, and that there may be more warming baked in than we realized. These fine particles suspended in the sky can have myriad effects on the global climate.”
https://www.vox.com/climate/374253/climate-chamge-model-warming-ipcc-record-heat
“Breaking News! Code UFB!!!
“Global sea-surface temperatures are once again at a record high for the day, as of September 25th… the fact that another daily record has been set means things are changing at ‘ludicrous speed.’ …another day’s data just dropped for the global SST — no words:“
https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1839723756803195237
“Earlier this year some famous climatologists told the world’s media that nothing unforeseen was happening to our weather, but if the temps didn’t come down in August with the end of El Nino, then we might be in a new climate scenario and need to reassess models.
“Follow up now?” [Jem Bendell]
https://x.com/jembendell/status/1839885615351160945
“Britain’s tropical rain and parched Amazon are new norms in a messed-up climate…
“On my return to the UK from Brazil I’ve seen how northern latitudes are behaving like the equatorial margins… Mini-tornadoes, flash floods and the dumping of a month’s worth of rain in a single day… If that sounds unnatural, it is.”
“Baltic Sea marine heatwaves threaten ecosystem amidst record temperatures…
“…temperature anomalies are not limited to the waters of the Gulf of Finland. This phenomenon has affected the entire Baltic Sea, as evidenced by elevated temperatures in other regions: Germany, Denmark, Poland, Russia, Sweden, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia.”
“Jet stream shifts are linked to fires, failed harvests and the plague [for Europe]…
“Extreme weather caused by shifts in a jet stream seems to have brought summers of fires, failed harvests and rampant disease across Europe over the past 700 years. That is the conclusion of an analysis of tree ring data, which also provides worrying clues for what the future holds under a changing climate.”
“”Europe saw its warmest summer on record in 2024”- Climate change delivered ‘stark contrasts’ say Copernicus…
“While Ireland was wetter and cooler than usual, other parts of the continent were found to have suffered record breaking heat stress… the northeastern Atlantic off the northwest coast of Ireland was also colder than usual…” [Slowing AMOC?]
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/europe-saw-warmest-summer-record-135742248.html
“UK weather: Tornado warning for London commuter belt as flooding hits roads and train lines…
“Images posted on social media showed tracks at a train station in Shropshire completely submerged and abandoned cars on an empty motorway in Gloucestershire.”
“One of the UK’s largest water companies is considering shipping supplies from Norway to the UK.
“Southern Water said the idea was a “last-resort contingency measure” in case of extreme droughts in the early 2030s. Up to 45 million litres could be brought to the UK per day under the proposals.”
“Floods: Seine-et-Marne hit by heavy flooding [France]…
“The streets of Saâcy-sur-Marne (Seine-et-Marne) turned into a torrent on Friday, September 27. In a few minutes, the rain caused the Grand Morin river in the department to overflow. In the Tresmes area (Seine-et-Marne), residents have been flooded for the third time since the beginning of 2024.”
“Minimum temperatures up to 25C / 77F in the Balearic Islands, unprecedented for the 2nd half of September (close to monthly records too).
“In the other side of Europe, not less exceptional the minimums up to 18C in Belarus. In both cases both are well above the July average.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1839611270984565014
“‘Absolute chaos’: counting the cost of a deadly wildfire in northern Portugal…
“The fires are out in Albergaria-a-Velha now, their embers washed away by the heavy rain. But their reek still carries on the damp air, rising from the sooty earth, the scorched tree trunks, the burnt-out cars and houses, and the puddles of black and acrid water.”
“Melting Alps Glacier Means Switzerland and Italy’s Border Has to Move…
““Significant sections of the border are defined by the watershed or the ridge lines of glaciers, firn or perpetual snow,” the Swiss government said Friday in a statement. “These formations are changing due to the melting of glaciers.””
“Forni Glacier (Ortles-Cevedale Group, Italy) 2005 – 2022.
“What used to be largest Italian glacier, before/after the three parts have split.
“The eastern part (left) is not visible here. Remnants of the 2020 rock avalanche well visible!”
https://x.com/subfossilguy/status/1838569782284603651
“Italy floods: Grandmother and baby missing in Tuscany as Veneto region declares state of emergency…
“The floods in Tuscany and the Veneto come days after the Emilia Romagna region was struck, with some areas submerged for the third time in just over a year. Extreme weather continues to pummel northern Italy bringing storms and torrential rain.”
“Turkey’s lakes drying up amid groundwater overuse, climate change…
“When Murat Uludag was a teenager about 40 years ago, there was so much water in central Turkey’s Lake Kulu that it was dangerous to swim in it…. it has already dried up due to groundwater overuse and climate change.”
https://www.deshsewak.org/english/news/173829
“Russian drought threatens 2025 grain crops…
“Russia’s winter crop sowing is in a very difficult situation due to severe drought, which is expected to seriously affect next year’s harvest, analysts and farming company executives said on Friday. The Sovecon consultancy warned earlier this week that wheat sowing rates in Russia have fallen to an 11-year low…”
https://www.reuters.com/world/russian-drought-threatens-2025-grain-crops-2024-09-27/
“‘Nothing left’ – Floods leave trail of hunger in West and Central Africa…
“The floods tore through Halima Mustapha’s home in northeastern Nigeria late at night, giving the 27-year-old mother and her family no warning. They fled minutes before the building collapsed, unable to take even the most basic necessities. “We have not experienced this kind of flooding before,” says Mustapha…”
https://www.wfp.org/stories/nothing-left-floods-leave-trail-hunger-west-and-central-africa
“At least four people are dead and dozens of flights and trains have been cancelled after heavy rainfall flooded the streets of Mumbai this week, prompting a red alert.
“Some parts of India’s financial hub of 21 million people received over 250mm [9.8 inches] of rain in just six hours…”
“Pune’s Shivajinagar area Wednesday shattered its 24-hour Sept rainfall record that had stood for 86 years.
“The IMD station recorded 131mm rainfall, with the bulk of it pouring down in less than three hours, from 2.30pm to 5.30 pm, reports .”
“The Valpoi rain gauge station [Goa] has set a new record this monsoon, surpassing 200 inches of seasonal rainfall with a total of 5,505.4mm (approximately 216 inches).
“This milestone comes after a torrential downpour over the past three days, contributing substantially to the total.”
“Schools feel the heat as closures increase with extreme weather events [India]…
“In 2023, Meghalaya had to close its schools because of a heat wave – the first time it has done so for this reason. The state typically has pleasant weather and is known for its heavy rainfall but in recent years it has been witnessing a shift in its weather patterns…”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN SRI LANKA.
“Near all stations had their September highest minimum in history. MIN 28.5 [83.3F] Ratmalana LANKAN SEPTEMBER HOTTEST NIGHT EVER max. 36.8 Jaffna max. monthly record (data since 1860s!).”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1839627507009523895
“Fierce heat in CHINA ahead of a drastic temperature change, with up to 38.8C [101.8F] and 77 stations at record heat levels for late September.
“More records expected tomorrow before the sudden arrival of cool air and the autumn.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1839659324076859716
“Deadly Thai floods intensified by climate change, La Niña displace 150,000 families…
“The severe and prolonged flooding that has deluged Thailand is devastating hundreds of thousands of residents and prompting calls for long-term solutions, including measures to mitigate the long-term impact of climate change.”
“Landslide in Indonesia kills at least 15 people and leaves dozens buried at illegal gold mine…
“Several major landslides have already hit Indonesia this year, killing dozens, including two such incidents in Sumatra. At least 43 people were killed when flash flooding led to mudslides and a deluge of cold lava through mountainside villages on the island in May.”
“Water Stress in Chile Threatens Agriculture and Mining…
“Over the last fifteen years, water scarcity in Chile has escalated dramatically, with a prolonged dry period known as a “megadrought” starting in 2010 and persisting as of 2024. The drought has reduced average rainfall across the country…”
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/water-stress-chile-threatens-agriculture-and-mining
“SOUTH AMERICA HEAT WAVE – it’s ECUADOR turn.
“High temperatures >36C in the Amazon region and minimums >25C.
3 tmins in a row >25C at Nuevo Rocafuerte last one 25.5C, hottest September night in Ecuador. Monthly record max 36.0 at Nueva Loja.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1839712478457942148
“Raging wildfire covers Ecuadorian capital in smoke…
“A wildfire raging in Quito has forced residents to flee their homes and Ecuador’s president to make an emergency return from abroad, as heavy smoke spreads across whole neighborhoods of the capital city.”
https://www.egyptindependent.com/raging-wildfire-covers-ecuadorian-capital-in-smoke/
“As wildfires consume South America, experts warn of a new normal…
“Since May, blazes have ravaged forests and savannahs across Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Paraguay and Peru as drought has created tinderbox-like conditions in many places. Even the world’s largest tropical wetland, the wildlife-rich Pantanal, has been smouldering for months.”
https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/wildfires-consume-south-america-experts-warn-new-normal
“Aerial photos capture devastating before-and-after impacts of drought on Amazon…
“When The Associated Press photographed the Negro River and surrounding areas in late June and early July, it was nearly 27 meters (88.5 feet) deep at the port in Manaus. In just three months, it fell by nearly half, to 13.9 meters (45.6 feet) as of Thursday.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/brazil-drought-amazon-forest-b2619599.html
“South America Drying Up Due To Drought, Weakness Of Dependence On Hydroelectricity Now All Too Apparent…
“Historically, the region experiences drought cycles due to natural phenomena like El Niño, which reduces rainfall. However, scientists have identified that this year’s drought is more extreme due to global warming, driven largely by deforestation and greenhouse gas emissions.”
“Hurricane John causes at least five deaths, floods in Mexico’s Acapulco…
“Hurricane John left several people dead and neighborhoods underwater after hitting the beachside Mexican city of Acapulco, which was still recovering from a devastating storm [Cat 5 Hurricane Otis] in 2023, authorities said on Sept 27.”
“HISTORY OF CLIMATOLOGY REWRITTEN – Unbelievable 48.5C/119.3F Plutarco Elias Calles, Sonora MEXICO.
“WORLD HEAT RECORD FOR LAST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER and Latest 48C in Hemisphere history.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1839733172034007233
“Among the many records broken in Mexico is that of Culiacan in the Sinaloa State – with 41.8C [107.2F] it had its hottest September day in history.
“Tomorrow it will be even hotter with possible 114/115 in Phoenix ,7/8F above the highest temperature ever recorded this time of the year!”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1839823344817824218
“Grim new death records as brutal heat plagues US south-west into the autumn…
“Brutal heat continues to plague the south-west US, with excessive heat alerts lingering long into September as parts of the region set grim new records for deaths connected to the sweltering temperatures.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/27/heat-wave-death-record-southwest
“”Everywhere I look, devastation” – Floridians reel from Hurricane Helene…
“A wall of seawater from the deadly Hurricane Helene forced Briana Gagnier and her family to swim out of their home on Florida’s Gulf Coast… “Everyone was screaming and panicking,” she told the BBC. “Whatever your worst idea of what this storm is – that is what we’re seeing.””
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crm2k04m2gxo
“At least 43 dead as Helene cuts destructive path through southeastern US…
“Before moving north through Georgia and into Tennessee and the Carolinas, Helene hit Florida’s Big Bend region as a powerful Category 4 hurricane on Thursday night, packing 140 mph (225 kph) winds. It left behind a chaotic landscape of overturned boats in harbors, felled trees, submerged cars and flooded streets.”
“Tennessee Dam Near Failure After Heavy Rain From Helene…
“The Nolichucky Dam in eastern Tennessee was on the brink of failure early Saturday, and the authorities urged the residents of communities downstream to evacuate immediately after extreme rainfall from Helene caused waters in the area to rise to record levels.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/28/weather/helene-tennessee-nolichucky-dam-evacuation.html
“Hospital patients in Tennessee airlifted in dramatic rescue amid Helene floods…
“An urgent evacuation was launched as the storm effects of Hurricane Helene were felt far and wide, with the state emergency agency and the national guard responding to the situation that quickly unfolded at Unicoi hospital in Erwin, Tennessee…”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/27/tennessee-hospital-helene-floods
“First-ever Flash Flood Emergency issued for Atlanta…
“Atlanta was been issued its first-ever Flash Flood Emergency as the now Tropical Storm Helene batters the area with strong winds and heavy rain… Authorities are urging residents to seek higher ground immediately.”
“An incredible 3 to nearly 4 feet of rain estimated by Doppler radar over the last 3 days on the peaks of the mountains near Asheville North Carolina from Hurricane Helene.
“Results in the worst flooding there in memory” [and September 2024 is now the wettest month in Asheville’s history].
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1839863902261182925
“It’s Minnesota’s warmest, driest September on record and it’s not even close…
” Typically, we measure the differences between the top or bottom months and seasons in tenths of degrees, but this September is likely to be warmer than the previous No. 1 spot by a full degree, which is huge. Oh, and the previous No. 1 spot was September 2023…”
“COP29 host’s own climate plans are ‘critically insufficient’, says expert group…
“Campaigners have expressed concerns about the selection of yet another country that is heavily reliant on the sale of oil and gas to oversee the world’s most important climate negotiations. Questions about human rights followed after several arrests of government critics.”
https://www.ft.com/content/8ca61260-743a-4e4b-8699-e937a07d7cfc
“Bentley boss – people still want luxury cars with gas engines…
“Bentley only two years ago was committed to launching five electric vehicles this decade on the road to becoming a pure EV brand as soon as 2030. However, the slowdown in EV growth this year has the automaker rethinking those plans.”
https://www.motorauthority.com/news/1144559_bentley-boss-people-want-luxury-cars-with-gas-engines
“Silicon Valley Renegades Pollute the Sky to Save the Planet…
“Some restless entrepreneurs are releasing pollutants in the sky to try to cool the planet… “We’re stealth,” said Luke Iseman, one of the co-founders of Make Sunsets, delighting in their anonymity as he rode in the back. “This looks like just another R.V.””
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/climate/rogue-solar-geoengineering.html
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
“This looks like just another RV”
And so it begins. How eerie that I was once shaken to my boots (years ago) when I stumbled on a random doom-scroll about the real nuclear threat that faces us.
All someone with a malicious intent would need is a strong source of radiation, something stolen from a hospital would be sufficient. Then they simply un-shield it, throw it in the back of their plain, non-descript box van, and drive around randomly inside a major city somewhere.
Once it is discovered that the entire city had been rendered radioactive, well, bob’s your uncle, mass panic and boom! The whole city shuts down and is evacuated.
Now it’s “geoengineers in RV’s” for fucks sake!
Sort of reminds me of the movie “Repo Man” from the 80’s with Emilio Esteves.
I wonder if the RV’s have aliens in the back? Don’t open that boot!
“Now it’s “geoengineers in RV’s” for fucks sake!”
For some reason, I pictured them as insanely stoned, stifling giggles as they went about their secret geo-engineering shenanigans.
Anyway, mad props to Jem Bendell for taking on the “Mann-ly” crowd.
Yes, excellent question, inquiring minds would like to know: Just how far away from the El Ninio, that had already faded by March, do we have to get before certain folks, who really should know better, finally start to get a clue?
No doubt it will sound something like: “Sudden step-changes in the Earth system of this magnitude were always predicted by the climate models. This is well within what we expected to happen!”
Ugh.
From Nov 2023:
“Mann said the warming the world is seeing is what has long been predicted and is not the indication of something unusual or acceleration.”
https://www.voanews.com/a/is-global-warming-accelerating-experts-disagree-/7339957.html
I suspect we’ll see some furtive goalpost-shifting.