“‘Truly staggering’: World breaks hottest day record for second day in a row… The world’s average surface air temperature reached 17.15C (62.87F) on Monday, inching past the new record that had just been set on Sunday of 17.09C – a difference of 0.06C…
“Karsten Haustein, climate scientist at Leipzig University in Germany, called it “remarkable” that the record had been breached even though the world was no longer feeling the impact of El Nino.”
“A slight temperature drop makes Tuesday the world’s second-hottest day…
“Global temperatures dropped a minuscule amount after two days of record highs, making Tuesday only the world’s second-hottest day ever… All three days were hotter than Earth’s previous hottest day in 2023.”
“Both the North Pacific and North Atlantic have astonishing marine heat anomalies right now.
“The purple shading are sea surface temperature departures of 15 degrees F. I sampled a +17F SE of St John’s (Dark red is +10-13F).”
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1816306340081357091
“The dangerous effects of rising sea temperatures…
“Scientists are increasingly concerned that the world’s oceans are approaching the limits of their capacity to absorb heat… Scientists are now trying to understand what has driven the rapid anomalous rise in sea temperatures, why that heat has lingered and whether the world’s seas will cool again.”
https://www.ft.com/content/76c3747d-f068-467a-98f9-4ed687dcb575
“Climate change threatens Maine’s iconic lobsters.
“Climate change has been warming the Gulf of Maine more than three times faster than 99 percent of the ocean. Warmer waters initially meant more lobster, but by 2050 conditions may become challenging for lobsters to survive in.”
“Water temperatures near UK last year were hottest on record, say scientists…
“The water near the UK’s coasts was hotter in 2023 than scientists have ever before recorded, a report has found, with children today experiencing a hotter and wetter climate than that in which their parents and grandparents grew up.”
“[Scotland’s] Whisky industry ‘at risk’ as drought events could double by 2050…
“The James Hutton Institute, which led the research commissioned by Scotland’s Centre of Expertise for Waters (CREW), found that the number of water scarcity events in Scotland could double by 2050 and encouraged sectors such as whisky and farming to do more to adapt.”
https://www.thenational.scot/news/24470424.whisky-industry-at-risk-drought-events-double-2050/
“The UK’s record breaking weather in the past 12 months can be blamed on climate change, the Met Office has revealed.
“In its annual State of the Climate report, the forecasting body said 2023 had the hottest June on record, the joint warmest September on record, and the year as a whole was the second warmest on record for the UK.”
“Germany records its wettest year ever: What’s needed to protect citizens during deadly floods?
“Germany has just gone through its wettest year on record, with rainfall up by 35 per cent. An average of 1,070 litres of rain per square metre fell across the country from July 2023 to June 2024, compared with the 1961-1990 average of 789 litres.”
“Tourists evacuated from Italian camping village as wildfire spreads…
“About 1,000 tourists have been evacuated from a camping village in the southern Italian region of Puglia after a vast wildfire broke out in an area of forest close to the complex.”
“Devastating forest fires cause millions of euros of damage in North Macedonia….
“North Macedonia has suffered millions of euros in damage due to extensive fires over the past few weeks, with Mount Serta being the worst affected area. A vast forest area has burned, and experts estimate it will take a century to restore the lost vegetation.”
“Crete urgently needs a comprehensive water resources management plan or it faces severe drought…
“In a statement released on Wednesday, the UOC team described current conditions on the southern Aegean island as “extreme”…”
“After Losing Crops to Drought, Sicily Fears Losing Tourism, Too…
“Parts of southern Italy and other Mediterranean regions, including Greece and southeastern Spain, are experiencing one of their worst droughts in decades… the lack of rainfall has been made worse by the higher temperatures caused by climate change.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/world/europe/drought-farming-tourism.html
“Venomous ‘rabbitfish’ invades Malta’s waters amid warming seas…
“The alien rabbitfish population has “exploded” in numbers… The fish, which has venomous spines, is now so common that local fishermen have named it ‘qawsalla’ (rainbow) due to its variable colouration, according to marine biologist Alan Deidun.”
https://timesofmalta.com/article/venomous-rabbitfish-invades-malta-waters-amid-warming-seas.1095627
“IBERIAN PENINSULA EXTREME HEAT:
“45.6 [114.1F] El Granado SPAIN; 45.5 Alvega PORTUGAL; Record high MINIMUM 28.6C Portalegre in Portugal; max. 42.3c MADRID Ciudad Universitaria (microclimate); MOROCCO ALL TIME RECORDS: 48.3 Kasba Tadla; 47.7 Beni tie; 37.8 Ifrane.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1816179996269916246
“Climate change imperils drought-stricken Morocco’s cereal farmers and its food supply…
“Golden fields of wheat no longer produce the bounty they once did in Morocco. A six-year drought has imperiled the country’s entire agriculture sector, including farmers who grow cereals and grains used to feed humans and livestock.”
“Water Scarcity Is About to Upend Politics Across North Africa…
“In June, the residents of Tiaret, a small town in western Algeria’s interior high plateau region, decided to make their discontent known. After sustaining weeks of cuts to the town’s water supply, hundreds of people demonstrated in front of a local administrative building.”
https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/north-africa-water-scarcity/
“Continued tree cutting in Egypt sparks fury as heatwave hits record highs…
“Simultaneously, with the persistent rise in temperatures beyond normal levels in Egypt, the pace of tree and park removals from the streets of Cairo and other cities has accelerated. These removals are to build bridges, widen paved roads, or even set up kiosks and fast-food outlets, which has sparked anger on social media.”
https://www.newarab.com/features/tree-cutting-egypt-sparks-fury-heatwave-hits-record-highs
“Is Scorching Israeli June the Cause of Three Dozen West Nile Virus Deaths?
“West Nile virus has surged in Israel this year, with over 540 infections and 36 fatalities. A new report from the Taub Center, released Wednesday, updates the number of confirmed cases and highlights factors contributing to the virus’s spread, such as climate change…”
“A year of drought, storms and floods across East Africa…
“Between 2021 and early 2023, Somalia suffered through the longest-recorded drought in its history. Crops and cattle perished, pushing the nation to the brink of famine and killing at least 43,000 people, while displacing more than 1.5 million more. Then came the floods.”
https://geographical.co.uk/news/a-year-of-drought-storms-and-floods-across-east-africa
“Hundreds killed in Ethiopia’s deadliest recorded landslide… The desperate search for survivors of a landslide in southern Ethiopia continued on Tuesday.
“At least 229 people have been killed, swept away in its path on Monday.”
“RECORD HEAT MIDDLE EAST…
“SAUDI ARABIA: Sharurah 700m asl: Min 34.7 [94.5F] Max 47.0 – Hottest day and night in history together; Najran 1200m asl min 32.0! TURKEY Records High MINIMUMS 31.2 Adiyaman,30.0 Mersin.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1816077881102991502
“Gujarat: 8 killed, over 800 relocated amid torrential rains; train services hit…
“As many as eight persons were killed in rain-related incidents and more than 800 people evacuated after swollen rivers and overflowing dams cut off several villages and inundated low-lying areas in large parts of Gujarat amid torrential downpour on Wednesday…”
“Flooding Kills 14 in Southwest China.
“Heavy rain in Sichuan province caused flooding over the weekend, affecting over 1,500 residents of Malie township. By Monday afternoon, 14 people had been killed while 25 were still missing. The disaster also damaged or destroyed 40 houses and dozens of miles of roads.”
https://www.caixinglobal.com/2024-07-24/gallery-flooding-kills-14-in-southwest-china-102219499.html
“iPhone City Under Water…
“Heavy rainfall caused widespread flooding on Monday in Zhengzhou, capital of Central China’s Henan province… In 2021, flooding killed hundreds of people in the city, where iPhone-maker Foxconn has one of its main assembly plants.”
https://www.caixinglobal.com/2024-07-23/gallery-iphone-city-under-water-102219135.html
“DEADLY HEAT IN CHINA: Terrible conditions with near the worst feel-likes ever recorded in the world: brutal Temp Humidity Indexes: 63.9C [147F] Puyang and 63.5C at Xinyi!
“BEIJING hottest night in history TMIN 29.4, Zhoukou 31.2c: JULY HOTTEST DAYS: 40.8 Xiangtan,40.6 Wufeng; 40.3 Ningxiang, 40.3 Changsha.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1816097060640415877
“JAPAN HISTORIC HEAT WAVE: hundreds of records falling every single day in this impressive endless heat wave in Japan.
“Records of July highest minimums yesterday: It includes records of Mins 29.0 [84.2F] Osaka, 24.3 Muroran 26.9 Aomori, 26.2 Onahama, 28.0 Izuka.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1816041941831647708
“Thousands stranded by floods in Philippine capital as deadly typhoon prompts calls for climate action…
“Some parts of Metro Manila – home to 13 million people – have reported floods as high as one-story buildings, with some residents spotted waiting for rescue on roofs, according to the official Philippine News Agency.”
“Typhoon Gaemi: oil tanker and cargo ship sink amid stormy seas.
“A tanker and a cargo ship have sunk and three other vessels run aground as Typhoon Gaemi made its way across Taiwan, unleashing torrential rainfall and whipping the island with winds that caused significant flooding and left three people dead.”
“Extreme rainstorms of 1,308 mm have occurred in southern Taiwan in 24 hours [due to Typhoon Gaemi]!
“It is expected that the rainfall will exceed 2,000 mm [approximately 80 inches] over two days!”
https://x.com/yangyubin1998/status/1816335530772291986
“Fierce storm topples tree at Cambodian Angkor temple complex, killing 1 and damaging statues…
“One person was killed and three others were injured at Cambodia’s famed centuries-old Angkor temple complex when a large tree was blown down onto their vehicle during a fierce rainstorm, the government said Wednesday.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/24/asia/angkor-temples-cambodia-storm-intl-hnk/index.html
“SOUTHEAST ASIA ENDLESS RECORD HEAT:
“16 months of continuous record heat in THAILAND… Tonight it was the July hottest night in history in the Phuket Airport with a min. temperature of 28.9C… HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY (for any month) for the port of Medan one of the biggest cities in INDONESIA today with 36.5C.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1815909344044515764
“Report: Nearly 1,000 cities in Brazil suffering from severe drought…
“Brazil is currently facing a severe drought, with more than 1,000 cities nationwide experiencing special or severe drought conditions, according to a report released by Brazilian government departments on July 24.”
“EXCEPTIONAL WINTER HEAT IN SOUTH AMERICA:
“Dozens of records are smashed every day with full summertime temperatures in mid winter. Record heat in BOLIVIA: 38.1 [100.6F[ San Jose; 37.5 Magdalena; 37.4 Puerto Suarez; 37.0 Cobija.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1816225475619914223
“Flash Flood Claims Lives of Ten Migrants in Panama…
“Navarro lamented the death of the migrants: “Ten more lives lost due to irregular and inhuman trafficking through the Darién. We must bring order to these areas, end this trafficking as soon as possible, and clean up nature,” said Navarro.”
https://ticotimes.net/2024/07/24/flash-flood-claims-lives-of-ten-migrants-in-panama
“Heavy rains in Naucalpan leave floods and dozens of cars trapped [Mexico].
“Traffic on the Periférico Norte side road from Naucalpan to Mexico City is paralyzed… At the corner of Periférico Norte and Jardín Street, dozens of cars were trapped in the water, which also penetrated the parish of San Bartolomé Apóstol.”
“Texas braces for devastating flash floods, up to 6 inches of rain in hours…
“This Wednesday morning, most rivers in the Houston area have reached an all-time high for this date… Additional rounds of heavy rain are expected today, with at least a 15-40% chance of flash floods from just south of Corpus Christi to the Texas-Louisiana border.”
“West Nile Virus survivor shares traumatic experience as more cases reported in North Texas…
“The attorney’s voice has not been the same since the incident, with a frozen vocal cord and other lasting impacts on his body. “I have an asymmetric weakness. I can probably lift about 25 pounds,” Lemoine said.”
“Exceptional heat in MONTANA and CANADA with up to 110F in Montana and North Dakota and 105F/41C in Canada (Coronach).
“Some records were missed by few decimals or 1F (Wolf Point). Historic warm night in Calgary, Alberta Canada with a MIN of 19.1C/67F, highest minimum in history.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1816259953897906208
“Wildfires rage in Pacific Northwest US and western Canada.
“The 11,000 km sq (4,200 sq mi) Jasper National Park in Alberta and the nearby local municipality are under evacuation orders due to a wildfire south of the town. The town of Williams Lake, British Columbia, was threatened by a fast-moving fire that broke out on Sunday.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/cj7d8pkyp4do
“As if setting a global surface temperature record wasn’t enough for one day, for the first time this year Antarctic sea-ice extent is more than 2 million km² below the 1991-2020 daily mean, now at -5.35σ.”
https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1815732398715531594
“Scientists call for greater study of glacier geoengineering options…
“Antarctica and Greenland’s ice sheets are melting fast and even if we manage to reduce carbon emissions and limit global heating to 2C, it is not clear if that will be enough to prevent ice sheet collapse… geoengineering glaciers may be a way to buy us vital time…”
“We need a Fossil Fuel Treaty now… We must move away from hydrocarbons – fast and fairly…
“Such a treaty would enforce strict limits on fossil fuel extraction, promote a just and equitable transition to clean and fair energy sources which will continue to facilitate economic growth, and hold countries accountable for their contributions to global heating.”
https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2024/7/24/we-need-a-fossil-fuel-treaty-now
“Fossil fuel extraction compatible with climate action, says COP29 host Azerbaijan…
“…the summit’s chief executive Elnur Soltanov suggested that the Paris climate accord — under which countries agreed to keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius and ideally to 1.5C — does not necessarily mean reducing fossil fuel production.”
https://www.politico.eu/article/fossil-fuel-extraction-cop29-azerbaijan-climate-action-oil/
“Can a colossal extreme weather event galvanize action on the climate crisis?
“…We’re living in a real-life disaster movie where we’ve already passed the stage where the hero scientist warning of impending disaster is ignored. We’re now in the part where the disaster that the scientist foresaw is actually hitting…”
“New study confirms mammal-to-mammal avian flu spread…
“”…we are seeing evidence of efficient and sustained mammalian-to-mammalian transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1,” said Diego Diel, associate professor of virology in the Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences …in the College of Veterinary Medicine.”
https://phys.org/news/2024-07-mammal-avian-flu.html
“Leishmaniasis: this neglected tropical disease is spreading fast…
“The cutaneous form causes sores on the skin that may develop into painful ulcers, and the mucocutaneous variant affects the membranes of the nose, mouth and throat, causing wounds that can permanently disfigure the patient. However, the most serious is the visceral form… which can cause death.”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an ”Economic” thread.
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House is definitely on fire.
This is fine.
The roof, the roof, the roof is on fire,
The roof, the roof, the roof is on fire,
The roof, the roof, the roof is on fire,
We don’t need no water let the motherfucker burn,
Burn motherfucker burn. – Bloodhound Gang
A massacre in Papua New Guinea. Young men raping and killing dozens of helpless women and children. Something about a land or water dispute.
What caught my eye was the name of their gang. Apparently it translates as “I don’t care”.
That’s it, isn’t it? I saw it living on the rural Oregon coast. People, men and women, get to a point of such total alienation and despair that they just give up. They don’t care anymore. Why should they? No one cares about them. Drug and alcohol abuse. Domestic abuse. Mental illness. Vandalism. It always ends up being the police that have to deal with it, and guess what? They don’t care either.
Is that how it ends? An entire race just gives up and says: “I don’t care”…?
That is a bleak story, Jerry, and I say that even as someone with a pretty good line in bleak stories. The Guardian points out that, “The country’s population has more than doubled since 1980, placing increasing strain on land and resources, and deepening tribal rivalries.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/24/at-least-26-killed-in-papua-new-guinea-village-attacks-including-16-children
PNG also recently made headlines for a landslide even more lethal than the Ethiopian ones mentioned in the thread above, and for mass riots and looting back in January.
“When people lose everything & have nothing left to lose,they lose it.”
Frankfurt, Germany
Climate protest mires flights at Germany’s Frankfurt airport as police thwart linked action in London
July 25, 2024 / 6:40 AM EDT / CBS/AP
— Germany’s busiest airport canceled more than 100 flights Thursday as environmental activists launched a coordinated effort to disrupt air travel across Europe at the height of the summer holiday season to highlight the threat posed by climate change. Frankfurt Airport said flights were halted for safety reasons after climate activists breached security fences, triggering a response from police, firefighters and airport security officers.
All runways were back in operation by 7:50 a.m. local time, the airport said in a statement on its website. About 140 flights have been cancelled so far, but further disruptions are expected throughout the day, the airport said.
“We sharply condemn these unauthorized demonstrations, and we reserve the right to take legal action against the participants,” the airport said. “Their activities pose severe danger to flight operations — possibly putting human life at risk.”
Now, now, putting human life at risk is our major concern… safety first…
Have to feel for these activists, seems one has to act out and break conventions to be noticed..meanwhile
OPEC sees oil demand growing by 25 million barrels per day, or bpd, in the developing world through 2045, with China and India alone contributing 10 million bpd.
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais called for continued investment in fossil fuels to prevent a shortfall, pushing back on predictions of peak oil demand by 2030.
The International Energy Agency has warned that the world will face a massive surplus of oil in the coming years as production increases while demand slows
I don’t pay much attention to the IEA. They are politically motivated and this forecast is wishful thinking, intended to cheerlead their Clean Energy Transitions Programme. OPEC is more likely to be right but our increasingly shaky financial system is the wild card when it comes to oil demand (and indeed a whole lot more than that).
Re climate activists, the two young ladies who threw soup over a Van Gogh have just been found guilty and are due to be sentenced in September by the same judge who imposed draconian 4/5 year sentences on Roger Hallam and friends:
“Two climate protesters from Just Stop Oil who threw tinned soup at Vincent van Gogh’s “Sunflowers” painting in London’s National Gallery in 2022 were on Thursday found guilty of criminal damage, media reports said.”
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/uk-climate-duo-threw-soup-154052256.html
Well, there are always differing views. This is the information Age, after all, with the chitter-chatter of Talk Talk available 24-7 on the ubiquitous glass screens that accompany our earthly travails.
While I am so excited to join the wonderful folks at COP 29 in their bold, world-changing, epic call to pause all global warfare CO2 bombing and killing for the duration of upcoming COP 29, I’m rally not sure what would happen to those days’ worth of profits for the global, American-led armaments and surveillance industry. What’s the Vegas line on the chance of that happening.
Here is the good news version of C&E:
https://substack.com/home/post/p-146945542
If you’d like, here are some “takeaways” to stick on your head.
“If you combine various models for fossil fuel depletion with climate change (as NASA did in 2008) you have a hard time pushing the atmosphere much beyond 450 ppm of carbon dioxide. We are currently at 420 ppm, up from 280 ppm for the last few thousand years. This means that global warming should peak at non-catastrophic levels sometime in the next century and that the “Venus by next Tuesday” models are implausible.
“At any rate resource limits will mean these pollutants will stop being produced at some point, and even “forever chemicals” are broken down by microbes.”
” By contrast, our modern financial system has become so detached from the physical economy and unrestrained from any notion of internal logic that digital currencies are for all intents and purposes infinitely flexible. The only thing that will kill them is either the collapse of the computational infrastructure that makes them possible, or increasing numbers of people abandoning the formal economy to eke out an existence in the informal economy.”
“Peak oil is very much a slow creeping disaster, outside of occasional spikes in oil price or shortages at the petrol station that stir the masses from their slumber. Then the prices drop a bit, and we go back to watching the dashed white line running to the horizon, automatically steering our ton of hurtling metal, barely conscious of our destination.”
No worries, mates!
Thanks, Martin. There is a lot missing in that analysis but it is probably healthy to read something at least somewhat optimistic once in a while. 😂
Let me add, because it’s a bit lazy to take issue with an analysis and give no reason, that my primary problem with it is that it treats each systemic threat discretely, ignoring the inevitable interplay between crises and the ways in which they can cascade.
For example, is the investor/lender confidence that allows the financial system to keep levitating really going to hold if nukes are flying?
I remembered that David Korowicz wrote a very good paper clarifying why peak oil cannot indefinitely be a slow, creeping disaster:
“It may at first seem counter-intuitive, how could a potential small yearly decline in energy flows through the global economy, which integrates our global civilisation, lead to a major collapse? …To understand this we need to understand our growing globalising economy has evolved a very particular and unique structural form which we and our institutions participate in, but cannot control. And this structural form is adaptive to economic growth.
“If an energy constraint means it cannot grow, it does not just get smaller, it starts to break up.”
http://theoildrum.com/files/Tipping%20Point.pdf
That’s a very healthy response, and well-stated.
The problem for me is that I lack the electrical wiring in my brain that others possess to gather and obtain granular-level details about all these inter-connected geobiophysical streams of data, so I can’t really take on these galaxy-brain yea-sayers. Only 450, huh? Is that what turned David Wallace-Wells into a greenwashing cheerleader?
Even the mighty and estimable Norman Pagett must be wondering ten years or more after writing The End of More how this oil-based global economy keeps beating the direcasts.
Whatever happened to the Peck’s Bad boy of OFW, Fast Eddy, by the way?
https://fasteddynz.substack.com/
That substack post. OMG! 🤦🏻♀️
I think as the infrastructure gets destroyed things will become non functional. I am already seeing apps not working and businesses not fixing them. I also see bigger scandals as the politicians have no answers to big failures such as in Houston’s constant grid failures. I think ai will cause more problems and people will not trust google or ai search results coming from it. It will not fix any of problems that the technocrats claim as they try to save their own asses. I also see tons of other scenarios coming out of these too as things collapse.
Nothing more entertaining than watching all the political talking heads in the U.S. not realizing that they are not “Ten feet tall & bullet proof.”
The rest of the 8 billion don’t realize that they have a shelf life.
On the misery this species is suffering & is going to suffer; “Here’s a Quarter call someone who cares.” – Travis Tritt’s album “It’s All About to Change”. The change doesn’t appear to be positive.
When we start having fun, let me know, I don’t want to miss out. 😉
More excellent work Harry.
The northern summer seems to encapsulate our recent years down under, of extreme fires and record precipitation. The Chinese record “feel like” temperatures are alarming.
I’m not conspiratorial but none of your information is reported in mainstream media. It seems the silence is deafening and that’s most alarming. It may be 10 months old and you may have reported it here but it’s worrying. Despite all the politics, some of the more enlightened leaders must realise the deep merde our species is in?
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/aug/30/office-of-national-intelligence-climate-crisis-security-threats-report-anthony-albanese-labor-government-refuses-to-release
Summer down here will return with a vengeance, and that’ll be interesting, once our region stops balancing the heat anomalies of the globe.
As an amateur weather nerd, even though it’s winter in Australia, one can still see summers heat transfer to Antarctica of northern hemisphere heat occurring. Popcorn or fiddles is all I can suggest.
Sean, thank you for the compliment and welcome to the site; I don’t think you’ve commented before, which is why WordPress held your comment in moderation.
Those “feel like” temps in China jumped out at me, too. You might expect that in the Persian Gulf but in northern Henan, China?!
Hahahahahaha!
“Fossil fuel extraction compatible with climate action, says COP29 host Azerbaijan. The summit’s chief executive Elnur Soltanov suggested that the Paris climate accord — under which countries agreed to keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius and ideally to 1.5C — does not necessarily mean reducing fossil fuel production.”
Well what the hell DOES it mean then?? The ff industry will sanction any absurdity to keep the oil flowing until the end.
Nina, I don’t think Azerbaijan’s heart is really in COP29.