I do apologise to anyone who was foxed by the incorrect month in the headline; now fixed. Had a senior moment.
“BREAKING… The Earth’s Energy Imbalance from NASA satellite data reached 1.97 W/m² (12-month mean)! I called this the most important graph in the world. This helps to explain all the records currently being broken around the word!
“Two years ago NASA and NOAA published a paper (Norman Loeb et al. 2021) that the rate of global heat uptake had doubled since 2005 up to 2019… They estimated that the Earth’s Energy Imbalance would decrease with La Niña and a negative PDO. The opposite happened.
“In our preprint paper ‘Global warming in the pipeline’ (lead by and co-authored by Norman Loeb) we write that this recent increase can likely be attributed to the decrease in sulphur emissions from global shipping [as far as I can tell, as a layman, this is certainly an issue but the extent/apparent rapidity of the impact are still somewhat contentious].
“But I didn’t expect we would already touch 2 W/m² (12 month mean June 2022-May 2023) by now. This helps to explain all these records being broken simultaneously. This is a clear indication of more heat in the (surface) of the Earth system.”
https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1684966795826929666
“Ocean temperatures are off the charts. Here’s where they’re highest.
“The Earth’s oceans have never been warmer… Marine heat waves are affecting about 44 percent of the global ocean, whereas only 10 percent is typical… Baffled scientists are unsure what exactly has caused the rapid spike in ocean temperatures first detected in March.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/07/28/ocean-temperature-maps-heat-records/
“This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in around 120,000 years, scientists say.
“As vast swaths of three continents bake under blistering temperatures and the oceans heat to unprecedented levels, scientists from two global climate authorities are reporting before July has even ended that this month will be the planet’s hottest on record by far.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/27/world/july-hottest-month-record-climate/index.html
“Extraordinary photos of July’s extreme weather.
“It is a summer of extremes. Burning temperatures followed by raging fires. Wild storms and torrential rain. And a run of broken climate records… UN chief Antonio Gueterres has warned the world has now entered an era of “global boiling”.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources/idt-bcea7bff-641f-4cbf-b091-26491409fbdc
“Meltwater from Antarctic Glaciers Is Slowing Deep-Ocean Currents…
“…diminishing glaciers in West Antarctica—primarily the Amundsen Sea—are freshening the shelf waters in the Ross Sea and slowing the production of bottom water, according to research led by Kathy Gunn, a physical oceanographer at the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation in Hobart, Tasmania.”
https://eos.org/articles/meltwater-from-antarctic-glaciers-is-slowing-deep-ocean-currents
“In other news, the Arctic just hit a modern-day record high 2-meter temperature of 5.813°C (42.46°F), which is 3.33σ above the 1991-2020 mean.“
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1684908137755856896
“Even the coldest of Svalbard fjords show effects of climate change….
“A recent study led by PhD student Èric Jordà-Molina from Nord University suggests that warming impacts are being felt even in the far north of Svalbard. Results indicate that marine heatwaves are at least partially responsible for periodic mortality events in seafloor communities.”
“The warmth is not just grippling the Lower 48 United States but also Alaska where the Central/Northern areas have been with a long warm spell.
“On 18 July Bettles (lat 66,5N, above the Arctic Circle) rose to 92F/33C, 1F from its all time high and the last 9 days they had all >79F.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1684669751224676352
“Landslides and uncertainty: As Nunavik’s permafrost thaws, locals and researchers focus on adaptation…
“”Cameron says those changing temperatures, causing winters to be shorter and summers longer in Nunavik, is also thawing the permafrost… Due to the thaw, Cameron says the community has experienced two landslides just this year.”
“Canadian wildfires produce catastrophic carbon emissions this year.
“… the greenhouse gas emissions from these fires are equivalent to about 1.11 billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent. Additionally, about 1/8 of these wildfires occurred in permafrost areas, promoting the release of methane stored in the permafrost… wildfires also release air pollutants such as PM2.5, PM10, organic aerosols, and black carbon.”
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/997046
“‘They will eat anything’: Grasshoppers and heat continue to deteriorate Saskatchewan crops…
“According to the crop report released Thursday, topsoil moisture in hay and pasture lands as well as croplands continues to decrease. “Strong winds, drought stress, hail, extreme heat, grasshoppers and gophers took their toll on some crops this past week,” read the report.”
https://globalnews.ca/news/9861531/saskatchewan-grasshoppers-heat-crop-report/
“Phoenix’s record heat is killing off cactuses.
“…a saguaro can appear “fairly normal” or feel somewhat squishy before it suddenly collapses and reveals it has been rotting from the inside out due to heat-related stress… McCue said since 2020, when record temperatures caused stress in many of the saguaros, she and her team have seen more of the garden’s cactuses die.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/27/us/phoenix-arizona-heat-saguaro-cactuses/index.html
“Not much else needs to be said re: Phoenix heat, but it boggles my mind that America’s hottest major city will obliterate its previous record hottest month by almost 4˚F. In the realm of monthly mean temperatures, that’s truly incredible.”
https://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/1684931727100129280
“Think July was hot in the desert SW? Aug says hold my beer.
“A monster heat dome likely by next weekend – the most intense yet this summer. Magenta indicates where all-time record heights are forecast.”
https://twitter.com/WeatherProf/status/1685060519655333889
“Looks like the 46-day streak of days with 100°F+ heat indices in Miami will end today. This blew past the previous record of 32 consecutive days.”
https://twitter.com/BMcNoldy/status/1684662485914210305
“Florida has some of the most amazing rain contrasts.
“After their wettest July day on record Thursday, & the (potential state 24-hour record) rain event from mid-April, it’s Ft. Lauderdale’s wettest year-to-date. Just 175 mi. away, it’s Sarasota’s driest year-to-date.”
https://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/1684909651995799552
“Exceptional heat in Central America.
“Temperature at San Miguel in El Salvador rose to 41.8C [107.2F] yesterday: this is the HIGHEST TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED IN CENTRAL AMERICA IN JULY.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1684590087907028992
“A drought alert for receding Lake Titicaca has Indigenous communities worried for their future.
A 70-year-old man’s feet sink into the soil as he passes abandoned boats where there used to be the water of Lake Titicaca. The highest navigable lake in the world has receded to what Bolivian authorities say are critically low levels due to a persistent drought.”
“Rhine water levels plummet after record temperature across Europe.
“Water levels on the Rhine have fallen to 1.6m (164cm) this week after record heatwaves across Europe have caused levels to plummet, resulting in a restriction in navigation for cargo vessels attempting to use the vital waterway. This is far below the 2.1m mark when the Rhine officially enters “low-water” status…”
“Human remains found on a glacier close to Switzerland’s famous Matterhorn have been confirmed to be the body of a German climber missing since 1986.
“The discovery is the latest in a number of long held secrets that the Alpine glaciers, now rapidly shrinking due to climate change, have revealed.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66334788
“Southern Europe and north Africa count heavy cost of wildfires.
“After more than a week of fierce wildfires, once again southern Europe is counting the heavy costs to livelihoods and its environment, as the extreme heat recedes and temperatures drop by up to 10C.”
“Church of the convent of Santa Maria di Gesù built in 1426, reduced to rubble as wildfires rage in Palermo [footage].”
https://twitter.com/Earth42morrow/status/1684653804338438144
“New Heatwave with Up to 47 Degree [116.6F] Temperature to Hit Several Provinces Across Morocco.
“High temperatures between 44 and 46 degrees will hit southern provinces including Tata, Zagoura and Errachidia, while Assa Zag, Es-Semara, Boujdour, Oued Eddahab and Aousserd are set to experience heatwaves between 45 and 47 degrees from Sunday to Tuesday.”
“Extreme Heat wave in North Africa since weeks.
“Today in Algeria brutal heat with 49.6C [121.3F] at Hassi Messaoud, 49.5C at Adrar, 49.1C at Ouargla and Timimoun. All time records: 45.8C Bechar 809m asl; 39.5C Midelt (Morocco) 1508m asl… It will get even worse next days.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1684995480034414593
“Istanbul sees record heat of 23 years as country fights wildfires.
“Istanbul has recorded the highest temperatures in 23 years, with 44.1 degrees [111.4F] on July 26, as the firefighting crews continue to battle massive wildfires in several parts of the country, including a four-day-long one in the southern province of Antalya’s Kemer district.”
“Iraq facing severe droughts as Turkey cuts off rivers Tigris, Euphrates.
“The ground water in Syria and Iraq has been unable to replenish itself in recent years due to several dry winters and Turkey’s dozens of dams on the Tigris and the Euphrates reducing flow into the southern countries.”
https://medyanews.net/iraq-facing-severe-droughts-as-turkey-cuts-off-rivers-tigris-euphrates/
“Syria fishermen despair at water loss, river pollution.
“Tabqa Dam – Around war-torn Syria’s biggest freshwater dam reservoir, fishermen say their catch is now a fraction of what it used to be as environmental pressures have decimated aquatic life… The flow of the Euphrates — one of the region’s mighty streams, where the world’s earliest civilisations flourished — has been further impacted by upstream dams in Turkey.”
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230727-syria-fishermen-despair-at-water-loss-river-pollution
“Wildfires break out in the woodlands of Latakia province in Syria.
“Firefighters have been working to put out major wildfires that broke out in the woods of Latakia in northern Syria. Footage published on Wednesday showed huge flames taking over the woodlands in the town of Mashquita and large plumes of smoke rising from a distance.”
“Telangana [India] records highest ever rainfall in a single day as state battles floods.
“Telangana recorded the highest-ever rainfall in a single day with Mulugu district recording 649.8 mm [25.6 inches] by 8am on Thursday… the earlier record was 517.5 mm at Wajedu in the same district of Mulugu on July 2, 2014.”
“Philippines: 26 people killed after overloaded ferry capsizes amid Typhoon Doksuri winds.
“Officials said it remained unclear how many people were aboard the M/B Princess Aya, which capsized on Thursday in Laguna de Bay in Rizal province, east of Manila. The boat overturned just 46 metres from shore…”
“Just now, the center of Typhoon Dusurui passed the Haixia No. 2 buoy in the Taiwan Strait, and recorded a 10-minute sustained wind speed of 49m/s, gust of 61.3m/s, and minimum air pressure of 930.9hpa.
“This is the lowest air pressure record in the history of the Taiwan Strait!”
https://twitter.com/yangyubin1998/status/1684614873458888704
“Hong Kong and Macau are having the worst heat wave in their history: Minimum temperatures up to 32.2C [90F] at Etar de Macau and 31.7C at Kai Tak in Hong Kong.
“Maximum temperatures up to 38.8C in Hong Kong and 38.0C in Macau. Nearly 40C in Vietnam as well.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1684511394471849985
““Double” Heat Wave in China: both the North and South are with record hot conditions.
“Min. temperatures again >31C in Macau and max. 39C in Southern China with stifling humidity. In Xinjiang near 50C again and all time record broken at Naomahou Lake 45.4C [113.7F].”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1684879632980385793
“Heat records were broken mainly in western Japan on Thursday. Tokyo, meanwhile, reached 36.9C/98F, once again renewing the record for the highest number of temperatures above 35C/95F in July.
“Normally, El Nino brings a cooler summer to Japan, but this year is unusual.”
https://twitter.com/sayakasofiamori/status/1684503218817228800
“Climate change-driven extreme weather events impacting HIV control in Asia Pacific.
“”Climate change and related disasters as upstream factors can affect all aspects of HIV, primarily leading to the increased vulnerability to HIV and decreasing coping ability,” Izumi said. While the overall trend of HIV infections has declined, in some countries such as the Philippines, new infections are rising.”
“Dengue is breaking records in the Americas — what’s behind the surge?
“…rising temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns might help to explain the trend, researchers say. Dengue’s main vector, the Aedes aegypti mosquito, thrives at temperatures around 30 °C and in humid conditions, which have become more frequent in the past few years as a result of record heat and extreme weather events.”
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02423-w
“Dangerous fungus is becoming more prevalent. Scientists believe climate change could be to blame…
“Candida auris is a globally emerging public health threat that can cause severe illness, including bloodstream, wound and respiratory infections. Its mortality rate has been estimated at 30% to 60%, and it’s a particular risk in healthcare settings for people already with serious medical problems.”
“Climate change and malaria: predictions becoming reality. The impact of climate change on malaria is becoming increasingly evident, from spreading vectors to increased transmission after floods. Udani Samarasekera reports.”
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)01569-6/fulltext
“Extreme heat and pollution can double the risk of a heart attack…
““We’re seeing record-breaking heat after record-breaking heat year after year,” said Catharina Guidice, an emergency medicine physician. “It’s getting hotter, lasting longer and happening more frequently. Heat makes cardiovascular disease worse. Pollution makes it worse. The two together are worse than each one independently.””
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wellness/2023/07/27/extreme-heat-pollution-heart-attack-risk/
“G20 environment meeting ends without agreement on climate crisis.
“No consensus reached on key points, including curbing emissions and scaling up renewable energy, despite record temperatures and wildfires across the globe… The failure to reach an agreement comes just a week after the G20, a bloc made up of 19 countries and the EU, disagreed on phasing down fossil fuels.”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
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29 May?!?
Thank you! Fixed. 🙂
Collapse (too) Might Come Sooner Than Expected
“I’ve been writing long and extensively about peak oil for some time now, still, after so many years spent on researching the topic, I had to realize that I might’ve missed an important point. A kind reader, and an astute scholar of the global energy system, Dr Louis Arnoux, has brought another perspective to my attention. He and his team of engineers and scientists at the Fourth Transition Initiative are focusing more on the useful energy oil provides to civilization (as opposed to counting barrels), and view the global energy supply and use system (GESUS as they call it) as one interconnected mechanism with feedback loops and a complex behavior of its own. Their calculations suggest a rather unexpected turn of events — well before a theoretic maximum oil-output could be reached — putting quite an abrupt end to our way of life. So here is a different version of the story of our global energy system and the role of oil in it.”
https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/collapse-too-might-come-sooner-than-expected-eb3f16e8542d
I read all serious analyses of Overshoot consequences & timing.
FamousDrScanlon, thank you. Zip was recommending this just the other day. I really must take the time to have a proper read of it but this date for the global economy reaching a “dead state”, where the “entire global energy system would cease to be self-powered” jumped out at me:
“..this could happen as early as 2030… Which is not too far away to say the least.”
https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/collapse-too-might-come-sooner-than-expected-eb3f16e8542d
Panopticon,
I don’t blame any mistakes I make commenting on old age codergerism, it’s just poetic lysense. 😉
….
AGW doesn’t care about anything the G20 does or doesn’t do.
I’m waiting until the elites,leaders & their families meet global warming face to face. I believe I’m hung up on the phrase: “There shall be weeping & gnashing of teeth.” & no group deserves it more. Wonder if money & power makes one immune to the laws of science/nature?
I’m in awe of intentional denial to maintain one’s wealth & power when they have no affect on what’s in the pipeline. Brace yourselves! Rough ride ahead! May not be any survivors.
I don’t envy governments. Our converging crises and the dearth of viable solutions inevitably make inept hypocrites of them, at the mercy of increasingly angry and confused electorates. Some politicians may, of course, be inept hypocrites anyway, in which case I feel less sorry for them. 😆