Huge thanks to my sponsor for July, who has asked me to promote the excellent Environmental Coffeehouse YouTube channel. For the uninitiated, the channel covers climate, conservation, pollution, biodiversity, sustainability, and the intersection of environment, society, and policy.
“It’s not just El Nino and the tropical Pacific – sea surface temperatures globally are at record warm levels…
“…as you can see by this global SST anomaly map, with a few exceptions anomalous warmth is pretty much everywhere. A particularly warm “blob” continues over the northern Pacific where SSTs are as much as 5-6C above normal.”
“Yesterday’s Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature set the 60th consecutive daily record high for the Nino 3.4 region, and was 0.83°C higher than the previous record for July 28th, which came at the start of the 1997/98 El Nino.” [Prof Eliot Jacobson]
“Please don’t tell me that they’re going to extend the Y-axis again.
“Some models [specifically the CFS] are now threatening 5.6 °C in the Niño 3 region, while in the Niño 3.4 region maxing out at 4.9C.” [David Schlotthauer]
“Wales shores fill with sunfish, sea hares and venomous visitors as UK seas hit record heat…
“Ocean sunfish — the world’s second-largest bony fish — have been appearing repeatedly, while other recent sightings include a minke whale off Ceredigion and a grey triggerfish caught near Anglesey. Frankie Hobro, owner and director of Anglesey Sea Zoo, said the sunfish are “amazingly rare” to spot.”
“Half of England in drought as farmers warn food prices could soar…
“The Environment Agency says seven regions across central, eastern, and southern England are in drought after what is thought to be the driest July on record combined with soaring temperatures.”
“Major incident declared as large wildfire rips through Dunwich Heath.
“A major incident has been declared after a wildfire ripped through a coastal healthland. The fire at Dunwich Heath, near Leiston in Suffolk [near Sizewell nuclear plant], started just after 5.30pm on Wednesday. Suffolk Fire and Rescue Service said the flames spread quickly in a south-west direction…”
“Britain can’t stop climate change. Scrap net zero and embrace Mediterranean life [opinion piece]…
“….many in Britain would enjoy the kind of warmer climate predicted by modellers, if we (and the authorities) were properly equipped to cope. Millions head to the sun on holiday or to retire. In the era of air conditioning, refrigeration, greenhouses and reverse osmosis, southern regions of the world are blossoming economically and geopolitically…”
“Climate change is turning parts of Europe into an insurance nightmare…
“Either governments step in to protect citizens from soaring insurance premiums, straining public budgets; or people face being left with no protection at all when their homes are flooded or burn down.”
“Scorching heat returns to Poland as temperatures soar to 36°C [96.8F]…
“The latest spell of hot weather comes just weeks after an extreme heatwave shattered Poland’s national temperature record. On 28 June, the western town of Słubice reached 40.5°C, surpassing the previous national record of 40.2°C set in Prószków in 1921.”
“Germany: How weather extremes impact local agriculture.
“For many German farmers, the heat wave in late June couldn’t have come at a worse time. While barley was already ready for harvest across much of Germany, the drought struck other crops during a particularly vulnerable stage of development.”
“Danube River falls to record low in Budapest, snarling Europe’s freight artery.
“The record low was measured at 31 centimeters on Tuesday morning and later dropped to 26 centimeters at one of the stations on the Danube on Wednesday morning… The reading broke the previous record low of 33 centimeters, set in 2018.”
“Temperature records were broken in several places across Switzerland on Wednesday. In Engelberg in canton Obwalden, the temperature reached 29.1 degrees, exceeding the highest temperature ever recorded on July 29 by more than two degrees.”
“HISTORIC HEAT WAVE IN FRANCE 43 [109.4F] DEGREES – DOZENS OF RECORDS PULVERIZED.
“Once again, European climatic history is being rewritten. 95 Monthly records just today, just in France, eight of which are all time records (red ones; see list by Meteociel below).” [Extreme Temps]
“‘The breath just went out of us’: people return to their homes after wildfires near Madrid.
“Residents struggle to take in the devastation five days after El Morro was evacuated as fires burned across countryside west of Spanish capital… “What we saw when we got here was just Dantesque,” said Herraiz, 68. “It’s such a beautiful place but all of a sudden, it had come to look like hell.””
“Three firefighters killed on Crete and in mainland Greece as Europe battles wildfires…
“The arc of brutal fires, which runs from the Atlantic coast to the eastern Mediterranean, and from the Scottish Highlands to the south of Spain, has alarmed experts because many of the fires have been out of control and burning close to towns and cities.”
“Forest fire in Türkiye’s Mugla forces evacuations, clears hospital units…
“Under the coordination of the Mugla Governor’s Office, 373 personnel have been deployed to bring the fire under control. The operation includes five aircraft, 12 helicopters, 35 fire engines, eight first-response vehicles, 22 water tankers, 14 construction vehicles, 44 service vehicles and two ambulances.”
“The Mediterranean’s warming waters are drawing hundreds of invasive species…
““The Mediterranean of our grandfathers, of our elders, and of the Greeks, of ancient Greece is lost forever. So many of those changes are irreversible,” said Ernesto Azzuro, a marine biologist with the Italian National Research Council’s Institute for Marine Biological Resources and Biotechnology.”
“Climate-related crop losses top R1bn as extreme weather pressures South Africa’s farmers.
“The insurer Santam said farmers are increasingly contending with a combination of destructive weather events, including hail, strong winds, heavy rainfall, flooding and unseasonal conditions, making climate risk a constant operational challenge rather than a seasonal concern.”
“Uganda begins emergency food handouts after 19 die from hunger…
“A crisis has been building in the Karamoja region of Uganda as crops have failed without the season’s expected rains, leaving the region’s 1.5 million people facing acute food shortages and rising malnutrition.”
“Kenya investigating unexpected deaths of 15 elephants in national park…
“Kenya has previously recorded incidents of elephants being poisoned as a result of poaching and human-wildlife conflict. Preliminary tests on samples collected from the elephants by a laboratory at the University of Nairobi detected a “potential toxic substance…””
“The city of Rabak in White Nile State experienced heavy rains last night, causing several areas to be submerged in water.
“Circulating videos also showed a number of vehicles being flooded amid a heavy flow of rainwater. No official report has been issued yet regarding the extent of the damage or any human casualties.” [Arab Storms]
“El Niño-linked extreme weather deepens Tigray crisis as hailstorm kills child, displaces more than 10,000 people.
“A devastating hailstorm and heavy rain in Tigray Region’s Central Zone have killed a child, destroyed crops, killed livestock and displaced more than 10,000 people, adding to a humanitarian crisis already worsened by El Niño-induced climate shocks, conflict impacts and prolonged food insecurity.”
“Yemen’s valleys and farms are full of dangerous plastic waste…
““By God, this is a very serious problem,” said Yousef Abdullah, a 65‑year‑old farmer and orchard owner, speaking angrily to Al Jazeera. “If it remains unresolved, it will cause a disaster.” Yousef stood beneath the shade of date palms, surrounded by a blanket of plastic bags, bottles, and food wrappers.”
“‘The heat took him from me’: India’s death toll rises amid escalating heat crisis…
““The heat was terrible and that makes the work very difficult,” said Purilla. “When you drink water, you just sweat it out immediately. Sometimes we got dizzy – but what choice do we have?” It did not take long for the women to run out of drinking water.”
“Pune shatters 119-year July rainfall record as monsoon refuses to relent [southern central India].
“With the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting more rain in Pune and its suburbs till the end of the month, Shivajinagar is set to extend its record-breaking July. According to the IMD, the weather station had recorded 508.9 mm of rainfall…”
“Death toll from floods in India’s Assam state rises to 78.
“8 remain missing, over 1M affected in floods, say officials… The State Disaster Management Authority said it “continues” to monitor the flood situation across Assam. “Relief and rescue operations remain underway to support affected communities,” the authority said…”
“EXTRAORDINARY – 30C [86F] MINIMUM AT 1000m asl again IN MONGOLIA.
“In 150 years only ONCE Mongolia had 30C minimum, now it had it EVERY DAY OF THE PAST WEEK including WORLD RECORDS by latitude/altitude. MORE HIGH MINIMUMS RECORDS PULVERIZED – min 29.4 Sainshand and 27.5 Bayandelger.” [Extreme Temps
“Heatwave in Northeast China is becoming even more extreme at night!
“Today, 13 stations broke or tied July hottest Tmin records, with 8 of them broke all-time records! More record-breaking night-time temp are expected in Northeast China over the next three days!” [Jim Yang]
“Last records of HIghest Minimums for July and/or all time: Next days North and South Korea and Japan can all record unprecedented temperatures of 40/42C threatening their national records. Heat indexes will be hazardous, potentially deadly.” [Extreme Temps]
“Japan coral protectors race to save reefs from heat ‘bomb’…
“With the world’s oceans the hottest on record in June, and a major El Nino predicted this year, experts fear that 2026 could be even worse for the colonies of polyps and the rich variety of marine life that calls them home. On land, Japan is experiencing a severe heatwave with thousands of people needing hospital treatment over a week.”
“Korea has logged a record number of tropical nights so far this summer as an unrelenting heat wave continues to grip the nation, the state weather agency said Tuesday.
“The nationwide average number of tropical nights reached 7.8 between June 1 and Monday, marking the highest figure for the period…”
“Super Typhoon Dolphin Intensifies As East Asia Watches…
“Forecasts from both the KMA and the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) agree: Dolphin is on track to become a super typhoon, with some models predicting wind speeds could soar as high as 305 kilometers per hour [190mph] by July 31, 2026.”
“Record warm seas power three storms at once in the Pacific Ocean.
“Three tropical systems were churning across the Pacific Ocean early Tuesday, fueled by exceptionally warm ocean waters linked to an already record-breaking El Niño and a huge marine heat wave… Fausto, Genevieve and Dolphin…”
“This Year’s El Niño Could Spell Disaster for American Fishermen.
“Warming waters will severely disrupt food chains, leaving West Coast crews unable to catch commercial stocks, warn ocean advocates… “It’s rare that we have a heads up that we’ll get hit by a natural disaster like this, so we should be preparing. Fishermen are going to be hit hard,” said Rogers…”
“New movement has been detected in a landslide on New Zealand’s North Island that killed six people at the start of this year.
“Tauranga City said monitoring had showed a “significant regression” above Mount Maunganui Beachside Holiday Park… A massive landslide in this spot claimed six lives on 22 January after almost 300mm [12 inches] of rain fell in the area in just two days.”
“Antarctica storms becoming more frequent and intense…
“They found winter storms in the southwestern Ross Sea have become more frequent and intense over this period, as well as more variable – a succession of very stormy winters were interspersed every couple of years with unusually calm ones.”
“Tornado in the Ñuble region leaves homes and agricultural fields destroyed [Chile].
“From Senapred de Ñuble they confirmed that at least three tornadic clouds were recorded due to the frontal system that is registered in the area and that has included strong winds.”
“Tornado in Rio Grande do Sul [Brazil]: see images of the destruction caused by the phenomenon…
“The tornado that hit three cities in the Northwest of Rio Grande do Sul in the early evening of Tuesday (28) caused damage in the municipalities of Giruá, Sete de Setembro and Senador Salgado Filho.”
“A freezing Patagonia with -20C contrasts with +39C [102.2F] in BRAZIL. JULY RECORDS (There are dozens): 38.0 Rondonopolis, 37.6 Querencia, 37.2 Goias, 36.6 Porto Murtinho… 38C again also in PARAGUAY… Hotter next days.” [Extreme Temps]
“38.1C [11.6F] yesterday In Liberia is COSTA RICA HOTTEST JULY DAY ON RECORD. After breaking the June record and after breaking the January, February, March, April, May, June and July records of High Minimums multiple times each month.” [Extreme Temps]
“How a seaweed bloom is affecting tourism in Mexico.
“In Mexico, a record surge of brown, smelly seaweed known as sargassum has blanketed the idyllic coastline leading to a sharp drop in tourism. Workers are seen lining many beaches shovelling heaps of seaweed off the shoreline.”
“Caribbean bears brunt of £43bn climate-fuelled damage to developing islands…
“The figure is more than 90% of the total $57bn in economic damage caused by floods, storms and drought across 39 developing island nations in the Caribbean, the Pacific, the Atlantic, the Indian Ocean and the South China Sea, according to a study by development thinktank ODI Global.”
“The average overnight low across the contiguous U.S. is on pace to shatter the all-time July record by ~1°F. With records dating to 1895, that’s a very significant margin.
“July 2026 hasn’t just been hot during the day. The atmosphere simply hasn’t cooled at night. That’s a major reason this month is challenging 1936 as one of the hottest in U.S. history.” [The Global Warmer]
“…You read that right. On Monday, the National Weather Service reported that the temperature was a whopping 86 degrees at 6 a.m. at the weather station at Salt Lake City International Airport. That would have been the highest low in recorded SLC history before it dipped that night to “just” 82 degrees at 10:30 p.m. — tying the all-time record.”
“Part of Albany, New York surpassed its 1-in-1000 year threshold by almost 2”! And almost doubled the highest 24-hour rainfall of 5.60”.
“A reminder, this does not mean it only happens once every 1000 years. It means there’s a less than .1% chance it happens in any given year.” [Jeff Berardelli]
“Oregon is on track for its worst wildfire season yet.
“Thirty four major fires are burning largely on public range lands from near Bend, east of the Cascade Mountains to the Idaho state line. Dense smoke is blanketing the region and air quality advisories are in effect in the Boise, Idaho-metropolitan area, which is home to more than 700,000 people.”
“July is already Ottawa’s rainiest month ever recorded…
“Largely thanks to two “walloping storms” bookending this month, this July will officially mark the rainiest month Ottawa has experienced in more than 150 years of weather data collection, according to retired climatologist David Phillips.”
“Ontario’s worst wildfire season fuels calls for national agency to tackle threat…
“As more than 900 wildfires burn across Canada, prompting evacuation orders and pushing Ontario into its worst wildfire season on record, officials are renewing calls for the country to develop a national wildfire strategy through the creation of a federal agency.”
“Hundreds of records pulverized all over Russia. We are witnessing an event which is completely rewriting world climatic history. MUCH WORSE next days with nearly 40C in Upper Siberia: hundreds of records will be smashed with absurd margins.”
“How to deal with ‘doomism’ when it feels like the world is ending…
“…she is trying to remain hopeful. “I always come back to the same conclusion – if the people who care most about the future decide not to have children because they’re afraid, we risk losing a generation of people who are deeply invested in creating a better world.””
“Climate anxiety was consuming me. Then I learned to laugh about it…
“In the past few years, the UK’s National Health Service has even begun to offer standup classes as a mental health intervention as part of its expanding “social prescribing” program, in which patients are referred by healthcare providers to non-clinical services and activities…”
“Barclays has highlighted “opportunities” to profit from a devastating food crisis [courtesy of El Nino] that could leave more than 100 million people hungry…
“Writing to clients earlier this month, however, Barclays urged them to look on the bright side and see the coming catastrophe as a potential money-maker.”
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
Huge thanks to my sponsor for July, who has asked me to promote the excellent Environmental Coffeehouse YouTube channel. For the uninitiated, the channel covers climate, conservation, pollution, biodiversity, sustainability, and the intersection of environment, society, and policy.
“Breaking News! Code: y-Axis Alert!
“On July 25th, global sea-surface temperatures set a record high anomaly of 0.80°C above the 1991-2020 mean, breaking the previous record of 0.76°C set in January, 2024.
“I had to extend the y-axis to show yesterday’s SST anomaly.” [Prof Eliot Jacobson]
“El Niño Threatens to Push World Past 2C Warming Threshold.
“A powerful El Niño already beginning to roil weather around the world may push the monthly global average temperature past 2C of warming for the first time on record, according to projections published by a University of Miami-based ocean and atmospheric research center.”
“Warmer, drier, more flammable: what climate change means for Sweden’s forests…
“Because of Arctic amplification, warming is strongest in northern Sweden. According to SMHI, the whole country will get warmer, with the biggest increases in the north and in winter.”
“Swathes of Cairngorms unrecognisable after 12 days of ‘cataclysmic’ wildfires [Scotland].
“It is the jewel in the crown of the Highlands, one of Scotland’s most impressive natural landscapes, but 12 days on from the start of an enormous wildfire that is tearing through moorland and forest, the Cairngorms national park is unrecognisable.”
“NHS faces growing summer pressure as heatwaves take their toll.
“The NHS in Wales is facing increasing pressure as prolonged periods of hot weather continue to affect hospitals, ambulance services and frontline staff, according to the latest health performance figures.”
“July set to be the driest, warmest and sunniest on record [Reading Uni, UK]…
“Dr Stephen Burt, University of Reading, said: “Parts of Reading have remained rainless throughout July to date. With little or no rainfall in prospect for the next few days, the entire calendar month is likely to end without measurable rainfall in places.”
“UK restaurants under strain from extreme heat rush to install air conditioning.
“…operators said cooling systems were increasingly crucial to retaining staff and attracting customers as extreme heat becomes more commonplace. “Going forward, air conditioning will be a key focus for all new sites,” said Khalil Rehman, co-founder of pizza takeaway franchise Caprinos.”
“Europe’s Heat Dome Furnace Returns: Brutal 40+ °C Record Heatwave Builds Into August.
“As July transitions into August, the European continent is bracing for yet another intense heatwave and potentially historic escalation in the excessive heat. Driven by a textbook atmospheric Omega block, a monstrous, long-lasting fourth heatwave of the season will surge northward from North Africa…”
“France firestorm phenomenon: monster clouds that spawn lightning and new blazes.
“…the inferno was no longer simply being propelled by the weather. It was making its own. The thundercloud also produced violent, erratic winds capable of driving the flames in new directions. The phenomenon, called a pyrocumulonimbus is [was] rare in Europe…”
“France and Spain race to contain huge wildfires before fresh heatwave begins…
“Spain’s interior minister, Fernando Grande-Marlaska, said Monday and Tuesday were “absolutely crucial days” before temperatures rise again from Wednesday, prompting prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, to warn: “We face difficult hours, complex hours” ahead.”
“Giant swing opens high in Swiss Alps as ski resorts prepare for less reliable snow.
“The new BalancAIR attraction lifts three riders to a 90-degree angle at 2,110 meters before releasing them above the valley, part of a broader effort to draw summer visitors as climate change makes Alpine snowfall less predictable.”
“Covered roofs, broken windows, flying container – a tornado wreaked havoc during a storm on the west coast and in Glückstadt. [Germany; ironically town’s name means “Luck-town”]
“Due to a broken overhead line, train traffic to Hamburg is affected today… After the tornado that passed through the districts of Steinburg and Pinneberg on Sunday, the clean-up work is in full swing.”
“Violent storm over Genoa during the night: flooding, roads closed, motorists rescued. [Italy].
“A strong storm hit Genoa during the night, hitting Valpolcevera and the western city with particular violence. Numerous floods and fire interventions, while the Fegino stream, already responsible for several floods in the past, was once again frightening…”
“Italian Coast Guard Evacuates 700 People by Sea as Wildfires Approach [SE Italy].
“The Italian Coast Guard on Sunday, July 26, organized an evacuation of more than 700 people, including tourists, after people were fleeing to the beach and into the water as a wildfire approached a seaside town on the Adriatic.”
“Danube drought curbs 0.9 GW nuclear output in Balkans.
“(Montel) Drought conditions affecting the river Danube have led to the shutdown of nearly 1 GW of nuclear power generation in Romania and Hungary, with record low water levels affecting cooling.”
“Three Villages in Kosice Region Declare Emergency Over Hailstorm Damage [Bratislava].
“A storm accompanied by large hail caused damage in several villages in the Kosice region on Monday afternoon, prompting local authorities to declare a state of emergency in the villages of Palin, Zemplinska Siroka and Senne.”
“Severe weather kills one, injures 13 in Rostov-on-Don [W Russia].
“”Unfortunately, the bad weather brought not only destruction: 13 people were injured, seven of them were hospitalized, and one person died,” he wrote. About 100 incidents were recorded as a result of heavy rain and squally winds.”
“Torrential rains triggered flash floods and mudslides in Türkiye’s northern Kastamonu province, inundating residential areas…
“Floodwaters submerged residential neighborhoods and commercial properties, while vehicles and the main highway linking Kastamonu with the neighboring province of Bartın were also inundated.”
“EXTRAORDINARY 51 DEGREES IN ALGERIA – 2 weeks 49/50C and Minimums 35/36C; never seen anything like this in African history.
“ALGERIA – 50.6 [123.1F] Touggourt all time record; (50.4 Ouargla), Min 33.0 Tinalkoun; TUNISIA – 49.2 Tozeur all time record, Min 29.1 Sfax.” [Extreme Temps]
“Morocco faces repeated heatwaves and fears water shortages…
“In just three months, the country has experienced four heatwaves, with temperatures rising up to 12°C above seasonal averages and the thermometer approaching 50°C in some areas, according to the national meteorology directorate.”
“EXTRAORDINARY EVENT – 40c [104F] IN WINTER. WORLD CLIMATIC HISTORY REWRITTEN – insane mind blowing winter heat in SOUTH AFRICA.
“40C in Namibia, 36.1C in South Africa coast at Alexander Baai (MININMUMS 22/23!). Records pulverized. Temperatures are 10C ABOVE MID SUMMER AVERAGES!” Extreme Temps]
“Khartoum faces acute water crisis as Nile levels drop [Sudan]…
“A Khartoum State Water Corporation engineer told Sudan Tribune on condition of anonymity that technical teams are confronting unprecedented operating conditions. The receding river course has combined with heavy structural destruction to leave major treatment facilities severely impaired across the capital.”
“The water shortage crisis in Kabul has reached an alarming stage, with millions of the city’s residents facing severe difficulties in accessing drinking water.
“This situation, compounded by economic pressures, has heightened concerns about the future of the capital’s water resources. Kabul relies heavily on underground water sources to meet its needs…”
“Flooding forces residents to flee homes by boat in Pakistan.
“AFP journalists witnessed small motor boats chartered by volunteers ferrying residents to safety, but many more were left stranded in Muridke district in Pakistan’s most populous province of Punjab. “It has been four days, and no rescue team has reached us,” said 32-year old Iqra Salman.”
“The Meteorological Department on Tuesday warned of a moderate flash-flood threat in a few watersheds and neighbourhoods of Chamba, Kangra, Kullu, Mandi, Shimla, Sirmaur and Solan over the next 24 hours.”
“Why Assam is experiencing unprecedented flooding this year…
“In general, experts agree that with climate change, high intensity rainfall events of more than 50 mm or 100 mm in one day, which cause damage and floods, are becoming more frequent, and will increase in coming years.”
“Western parts of Salyan have been hit by drought due to inadequate rainfall for a prolonged period. Despite the monsoon reaching its mid-season, insufficient rain has begun affecting paddy, maize, millet and other monsoon crops.”
“Another 40C day [104F] with record hot nights. Dozens of Siberian stations pulverized their records of hottest nights with MINIMUMS >25C [77F] even north of 53N latitude.” [Extreme Temps]
“Western Siberia’s Tyumen region is bracing for potential catastrophic flooding this week after the Tura River, which runs through its capital city, surged to dangerous levels on Monday.
““The main waterway of Tyumen is behaving very unusually this year… There’s a lot of water, the entire floodplain is submerged,” Governor Alexander Moor wrote in a Telegram post on Sunday.”
“Flash Flood at Campsite in Northwestern China Kills 10, Injures 23.
“A sudden flash flood tore through a popular campsite in Gansu province in northwestern China on Sunday afternoon, killing at least 10 people and injuring 23 others after local authorities failed to evacuate tourists despite receiving advance weather warnings.”
“Japan sees temperatures over 40 degrees Celsius for record 5th [now 7th, actually] straight day.
“The mercury rose to 40 degrees Celsius or higher in six cities in central Japan on Saturday, including all four prefectures in the Tokai region, Shizuoka, Gifu, Mie and Aichi, marking the fifth straight day that temperatures of 40 degrees or above have been recorded in the country…”
“Record heat has been going on for weeks with records broken and rebroken and will just get worse with no end in sight in any foreseeable future. More JULY HIGHEST MINIMUMS – 28.2 [82.8F] Pusan, 27.7 Wando.” [Extreme Temps]
“NEVER ENDING RECORD HEAT IN SE ASIA. Thailand and Indonesia are living an insanity with hundreds of records smashed for over 1150+ consecutive days every single day.
“Last July records: THAILAND – 37.6 [99.7F] Suvanaphumi AP, High Min 29.5 Tak; INDONESIA (cool season) – High Min. 27.0 Poso.” [Extreme Temps]
“Thousands of households across several regencies have already gone weeks without rain, prompting the National Agency for Disaster Countermeasure, or BNPB, to urge regional administrations to strengthen drought preparedness.”
“Major orangutan study finds Sumatran population fell nearly 20% despite slower forest loss.
“The researchers found that habitat loss alone cannot explain the declines, pointing to additional threats such as killing, conflict and habitat fragmentation. The study is the first comprehensive reassessment of Sumatran and Tapanuli orangutans since a landmark 2016 survey.”
“Genevieve Becomes First Category 5 Pacific Hurricane Since 2024.
“Major Hurricane Genevieve has made headlines across the Pacific, not for threatening cities or causing destruction, but for its sheer power and rapid intensification far from land.”
“SUMMER IN WINTER IN PERU. We are already firmly under El Niño rule with the result of a completely non-existent winter along the Pacific coast of South America.
“Tonight it was the July hottest night in Lima, PERU with a full-summer minimum of 22.0C [71.6F]. There won’t be a single cold day.” [Extreme Temps]
“Chile lost 344,000 hectares of glaciers in 28 years: the retreat is equivalent to 21 times the area of Rapa Nui.
“A study by MapBiomas Agua-Chile revealed that between 1998 and 2025 the country lost 344 thousand hectares of glaciers, equivalent to 21 times the surface of Rapa Nui. The most affected region was Ñuble, which lost 91% of its glacier surface.”
“Uruguay prepares protocols for the risk of El Niño flooding in the spring.
“A central concern is the effect of rainfall in southern Brazil on the flow of the Uruguay River, which runs along the country’s western edge. Rio Grande do Sul has already recorded flooding episodes this month.”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN SOUTH AMERICA – mind blowing MINIMUM 28.7 [83.7F] Georgetown is GUYANA HOTTEST NIGHT IN HISTORY.
“40C IN WINTER – insane winter heat in BRAZIL with 38/40C Next days HUNDREDS of records in Brazil, Bolivia, Paraguay, Peru, Ecuador and Colombia.” [Extreme Temps]
“Between rains and hurricane winds [Maracaibo, Venezuela]…
“The regional president reported that the strong discharges caused the loss of 300 MW, caused electrical failures that took 36 circuits out of service and temporarily paralyzed the water supply in the Burro Negro and Tulé systems…”
“34.6C [94.3F] at Caravelle MARTINIQUE is a new record of July highest Temperature. Every single country in the Americas from Canada to Chile has been breaking records.”
“‘Mini Dust Bowl’ could be forming in the US, expert warns. Will El Niño make it worse?
“…Oregon, Idaho, Nevada, Wyoming, Utah, Colorado, New Mexico, Nebraska, Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle are seeing large swaths of “extreme” and “exceptional” drought, as of mid-July. For many of those states, the dry season is far from over.”
“EXTRAORDINARY – HOT NIGHT RECORDS smashed all across Central States.
“Records, including all time, broken with huge margins like Minimums of 76F in Colorado Springs and 85F in Salt Lake City and all across the Rockies… Another MINIMUM of 97F/36.1C in Phoenix, Arizona – the first time Phoenix has 2 consecutive Minimums of 95F, but also of 96F and even 97F. [Extreme Temps]
“Las Vegas has just endured 5 straight days of 110°F+: 112, 114, 113, 111, 110.
“The next 7 days look even worse: 111, 111, 112, 115, 117, 117, 115. That would make 12 consecutive days of 110°F or higher, the longest stretch of 110°F in city history.” [Colin McCarthy]
“Lake Mead inches from new record four years after historic low…
“On Monday afternoon, Lake Mead’s water level measured at 1,041.27 feet above sea level, less than a foot from its all-time low. The Bureau of Reclamation projected Lake Mead to dip below its historic mark by the end of the month.”
“Whales at risk, hungry pelicans: Marine heat wave hits California.
“Surface water temperatures along the California coast are now three to four degrees C above normal… The current heat wave has been ongoing for “about six months,” said Andrew Leising, a research oceanographer at NOAA. What makes it more worrying is that it coincides with the return of El Niño…”
“The active wildfires in Oregon and Washington have already burned ~1.2 million acres, an area nearly four times the size of New York City! And there’s nothing standing in their way with no rain expected, and a big heat dome growing over the SW into next weekend.” [Jeff Berardelli]
“Record-high water temperatures recorded on Niobrara National Scenic River [Missouri].
“The U.S. Geological Survey stream gage at Berry Bridge recorded a temperature of 91 degrees Fahrenheit on July 19, setting a new high. That record was broken just days later, when the water temperature climbed to nearly 93 degrees on July 26.”
“Chicago-area residents reported golf ball-sized hail as severe storms brought destructive and life-threatening wind gusts over 80 mph to parts of the area, leaving thousands without power Monday.
“The storms downed trees, flooded streets, grounded planes and left a trail of damage across several suburbs as they powered through the region.”
“Intense tornado tears through Appleton, Wisconsin…
“If the National Weather Service confirms EF3 damage, this would be Wisconsin’s fourth such tornado of the year. The tornado dissipated over Lake Winnebago between 12:20 and 12:25 p.m. after being on the ground for about 30 minutes.”
“Edmonton mops up — again — in what is officially the rainiest summer on record.
“Edmonton’s soggy summer has officially set a new seasonal record. The news from Environment Canada comes as the city mops up from a Saturday evening storm that rolled through the capital city region, dropping 30 millimetres of rain from 9 p.m. to 10 p.m.”
“Another B.C. community evacuated as massive wildfires merge…
“The Pear Lake wildfire merged with the Fiftynine Creek wildfire over the weekend and is now measured at more than 63,000 hectares. The fire also jumped Highway 97.”
“Antalya’s historic old town gears up for COP31 visitor influx [Turkey]…
“Historic boutique hotels in the district are approaching full occupancy for the conference period, as local authorities pursue projects to make the neighbourhood a model for sustainable, low-carbon tourism while preserving its historic character.”
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffeeor become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
Huge thanks to my sponsor for July, who has asked me to promote the excellentEnvironmental Coffeehouse YouTube channel. For the uninitiated, the channel covers climate, conservation, pollution, biodiversity, sustainability, and the intersection of environment, society, and policy.
“Earth is heating up faster than at any time in its history.
“…nowhere in the geological record is there evidence for the average temperature of our world climbing as quickly as it is now. This means 10 times faster than during the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, which marked extreme hothouse conditions 56 million years ago, and at least 20 times faster than at the end of the last glacial period.” [picture from current Bordeaux wildfires]
“Tree rings are best proxies for Holocene climate reconstruction!
“This work shows that NH Common Era natural variability was ca 4°C, extended to 5.5 °C during the 21st c.! What are considered ‘warm periods’ (RWP, MCA) aren’t really that hot compared to the 21st century!”
“We expect unusual sea surface temperature (SST) and global warming the rest of this year to make 2026 hotter than 2024 [ie the hottest year on record], despite 2024 being a peak El Nino year, while 2026 is only the lead-in year of an emerging El Nino.
“Beware the “surprise” record high being blamed on an extreme El Nino on top of global warming otherwise consistent with IPCC estimates.” [Prof Jim Hansen]
“Super El Niño Forecast Pushes Toward Record Strength as Winter 2026/2027 Signals Emerge.
“Latest data shows the 2026 El Niño is rapidly intensifying. Warm Pacific waters are expanding, and the new forecasts are pushing this event deeper into the Super El Niño category. Based on the latest data, this could be the strongest El Niño event in the historical record, with its atmospheric impacts already clearly visible.”
“Here’s today’s CFSv2 update on the projected El Niño strength, now peaking at 4.29°C above the 1991-2020 baseline.
“July’s rise is not yet playing out in actual Niño 3.4 SST measurements. The Climate 8-ball is expecting a big jump any day. Stay tuned!” [Prof Eliot Jacobson]
“Cairngorms National Park wildfire declared major incident as hundreds of villagers evacuated [Scotland].
“The wildfire has been raging since 15 July, but weather conditions experienced over the past 24 hours have aggravated the situation. Residents of Nethy Bridge are being sent to a dedicated respite centre at the MacDonald Aviemore Resort.”
“Drought declared in parts of Wales as July on course to be driest in nearly 200 years…
“Natural Resources Wales (NRW) said on Thursday that record-low river flows, back-to-back heatwaves and widespread wildfires have prompted the declaration of drought status in north Wales and the Upper Severn.”
“Dramatic satellite images show devastating impact of UK’s record-breaking heatwaves…
“Last month was England’s hottest June on record, the Met Office has confirmed, hitting 37.7C in Lingwood, Norfolk on the 26th. This surpassed the 35.6C set in 1957 and equalled the 1976 record. Sweltering temperatures have continued into July…”
“…the UK’s national grid operator has not only been issuing increasingly shrill warnings that it does not have enough energy to power the heat wave-induced demand for more energy generation, but is now contemplating stopping the sharing of energy with our continental neighbours, Denmark, the Netherlands, France and Germany.”
“The summer that spilled out of the bell curve: ancient climate statistics said it was impossible [western Europe].
It’s insane what we’re seeing this year compared to previous years… We’re no longer talking about a warmer-than-normal year. The climate has shifted to a range that the old statistics said shouldn’t happen. [Dr JJ González Alemán]
“Germany is introducing water restrictions as prolonged drought and recurring heatwaves put pressure on water supplies. Around 80 municipalities have imposed limits on activities such as filling pools, watering gardens and washing cars.”
“Alps glaciers melt at record pace amid Western Europe heatwave.
“Glaciers across the Alps and Pyrenees are facing record melting this year, as western Europe endures its third heatwave since May, with scientists warning that 2026 could rival or surpass the historic ice loss recorded in 2022.”
“‘Without us, they are doomed’: volunteers save fish from French rivers drying up in heatwaves…
““The situation is catastrophic, far worse than we thought,” said Le Bouter, of the Finistère fishing federation. Once they catch the fish, he and his team transfer them to tanks of oxygenated water then release them 10 or 12 miles downstream where the rivers are joined by tributaries, raising the water level.”
“More than 220,000 flee as wildfires “beyond the capacity” of firefighters continue in France and Spain.
“French President Emmanuel Macron has mobilised the military to assist in the response, as around 200,000 people have been evacuated from the Gironde and Landes regions of south-west France. Meanwhile, a fire near Madrid is “beyond the capacity” of firefighters to contain, according to Spanish officials, after three fires west of the capital have merged.”
“Severe Storms Cause Widespread Crop Damage in Evros [northernmost Greece]…
“Powerful winds, combined with sudden and intense hail in the afternoon, battered fields of cotton, corn, alfalfa, seed crops, vegetables and beans. Extensive damage was also reported to tree crops, particularly walnut orchards.”
“Water temperatures along parts of the northern coast have climbed above those in the Algarve, reversing what is normally expected during the summer [Portugal].
“The reason isn’t a heatwave in the north, but rather the absence of one of Portugal’s best-known summer weather features: the nortada, the strong northerly wind that usually blows along the west coast.”
“ANOTHER 49c DAY – North Africa has never seen anything like this heatwave.
“LAST RECORDS: TUNISIA 47.3 [117.1F] Gafsa, all time record; Min. 30.2 Djerba, high Min. MOROCCO: 47.2 Taourir,t all time record; LIBYA min. 31.4 Nalut, record high Min.”
“Deadly forest fires have been raging across Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia for more than a week, as an ongoing heatwave, dry conditions and strong winds fuel the flames and hamper firefighting efforts. Firefighters across the region are struggling to contain the blazes, which have burned vast areas and forced evacuations.”
“Chad’s desert east faces ‘dire need’ for access to water.
“In Chad’s far-flung east, a “dire need” for water blights lives and fuels deadly violence over access to wells in an impoverished and sweltering desert region… Chad, a largely semi-desert country grappling with major threats from climate change, began producing oil in 2003 but remains deeply poor…”
“On Tuesday scorching hot night at Makkah with a Minimum of 36.0C [96.8F], which is the July hottest night ever recorded at Makkah and one of the highest Minimums ever recorded in Saudi Arabia.” [Extreme Temps]
“Heat, winds and storms fuel wildfires across Kazakhstan.
“Kazakhstan is grappling with an intense wildfire season, driven by extreme heat, strong winds and thunderstorms, with hundreds of fires recorded across the country, authorities said.”
“On July 23, a heavy hailstorm hit the Yangikurgan district of the Namangan region, turning some roads white within minutes. Footage circulating on social media shows traffic disruptions and damage to fruit trees.”
“Pakistan monsoon death toll rises to 86 as more heavy rain forecast…
“The fresh weather warning comes after weeks of monsoon rains that have battered much of Pakistan, triggering flash floods, collapsing homes and damaging infrastructure.”
“Monsoon fury isolates Baltistan region [Pakistan].
“Monsoon rains and flash floods continued to batter Gilgit-Baltistan (G-B) on Friday, severing road links to entire districts, destroying homes, bridges and farmland, stranding hundreds of tourists and triggering shortages of food and fuel…”
“Gujarat [India] Under Water: 1,300 mm Of Rain [51.2 inches] In Just 48 Hours, 38,000+ Evacuated.
“Among the worst-affected areas is Umbergaon in Valsad district, which received an astonishing more than 1,300 mm of rainfall within 48 hours. The record-breaking rain submerged residential areas, damaged roads, and left several villages cut off from the outside world.”
“500% excess rainfall, not cloudburst, triggered upper Assam floods.
“Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma on Friday attributed the devastating floods in Upper Assam to unprecedented rainfall in Nagaland and parts of Assam, ruling out any role of cloudbursts or the release of water from hydroelectric projects.”
“Fourteen more new deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours from floods that started earlier this month in India’s northeastern Assam state, according to officials on Friday.
“The State Disaster Management Authority said the death toll has reached 61.”
“Sikkim tunnel disaster revives debate: How much can the Himalayas take?
“Three years after the catastrophic glacial lake outburst flood, the tragedy raises concerns over gross oversight, ignored geological warnings, and the true cost of ‘green energy’.”
“Bangladeshi flood victims wait next to bags of grains at a relief centre in Sarikandi…
“Millions of people made homeless in South Asia’s worst floods in one-and-a half decades were threatened by disease on Saturday as rising waters cut off access to food and drinking water.”
“Climate Change Deepens the Crisis in Madhesh [Nepal]…
“”First the rain and windstorms in April and May made life difficult, then came the intense heat in June,” Sada said. “We somehow managed to sow the seeds around mid-June. Even by mid-July, there hasn’t been enough rain. How are we supposed to transplant the paddy?“”
“El Niño Worsens Plight of Asia’s Rice Belt After War Price Shock.
“A dry spell is sweeping across Asia’s rice fields, dealing another blow to farmers grappling with steep fuel and fertilizer prices triggered by the war in Iran. From Vietnam to the Philippines, production of the region’s most important food staple is under threat…”
“Endless heat wave in the area – 28 more records of July highest temperature in China and July record hottest night at Chengdu. But even more incredible mind blowing MINIMUM OF 31.3C [88.3F] at Ekhn-gol – MONGOLIA HOTTEST NIGHT EVER.” [Extreme Temps]
“Toll from landslide in southwestern China rises to 11 dead, with 50 people still missing…
“The search continues but there have been no recent signs of life after many efforts to detect additional survivors from Friday’s collapse in Pengshui County at the edge of the city, the county government said in a statement.”
“Dashcam footage shows the moment a car in China was tossed through the air by a powerful tornado.
“It comes days after Typhoon Bavi, a storm that affected several regions in Asia, made landfall in Zhejiang on 11 July. It was the province’s strongest July typhoon since 1949, the State Council of the People’s Republic of China said.”
“Typhoon [Noul] Set to Soak Southern China With Heavy Rain This Weekend.
“A typhoon is expected to strike the southern Chinese coast to the east of Hong Kong this weekend, dumping heavy rainfall across a region that has already seen a wetter-than-normal month.”
“4th consecutive day >40C [104F]! All time records: 40.8 Kuwana, 39.5 Okazaki,38.8 Hagiwara, 38.1 Gojo, 37.1 Nimi. Plus 21 Monthly records (see below).”
“Today 37.2C 98.9F] at the Suvannaphum Int. Airport broke again its record of July highest temperature. Thailand has been breaking and rebreaking records non-stop since early 2023, in every region of the country.” [Extreme Temps]
“What can the Galápagos Islands’ animals teach us about the threats of El Niño?
“…“The main question I have is if these climate shocks become so frequent that the ecosystem passes a tipping point and switches to another state of perhaps low productivity and biodiversity,” says Witman. “That happens with ecosystems. They get pushed so far that they end up in an entirely new state.””
“Peru is bracing for an El Niño event that threatens the citrus blossom season…
“According to David Maticorena, CEO and founder of Agrocitrus, the current situation is different from the severe drought that occurred two years ago. “We are now seeing the exact opposite,” he stated, as the sector expects high temperatures and heavy rainfall from November onward.”
“Masked men invading and taking Amazon communities ‘hostage’ in organised crime surge, say local leaders…
“Indigenous leaders on the Brazilian-Peruvian border have said their communities are being “taken hostage” by organised crime groups who are running rampant across the region, destroying rainforest, building roads and trafficking drugs.”
“The Minimum Temperature at Salina Cruz (Oaxaca State) was 29.7C [85.5F] tonight which is the highest ever recorded in history. Record hot nights on the Pacific coast have been going on since last year, non-stop.” [Extreme Temps]
“Hottest nights in history across the Pacific. MINIMUMS: 26.8C/80F Lytton- The famous Canadian hot spot; 97F/36.1C Phoenix – Highest Minimum tied; 30.7C/87F Mazatlan- The famous Mexican tourist resort town.” [Extreme Temps]
“The planet’s strongest heat dome will soon tower over the Rockies and Plains.
“…another heat dome — predicted to strengthen Saturday into the most powerful one on the planet at that time — is threatening to break more records across the Plains and Rockies. Heat domes are towering and slow-moving areas of high pressure that trap hot air — and they often lead to heat waves.”
“Salt Lake City wants to limit non-residential water use to 200,000 gallons daily…
“”We have got to get our heads and our hands around the water crisis, and start to manage things more responsibly. It’s literally a human survival issue, so … I would be happier if we went even stricter,” said Salt Lake City Councilwoman Victoria Petro.”
“Arizona expected to take a 31% cut in Colorado River supplies…
“The bureau will be trying to at least reduce if not eliminate a massive deficit between the river’s annual flows and the amount of river water that cities, businesses, farms and tribes take from it.”
“Oregon firefighters brace for windy and hot weather as they battle dozens of blazes.
“Firefighters battling two of the largest blazes burning in Oregon were bracing for windy and dry conditions forecast to arrive in some areas of the state Friday and into Saturday.”
“Thousands of lightning strikes trigger fresh wildfires in western Canada…
“Nearly 34,000 lightning strikes over the past week led to a series of fires and evacuation orders in southern British Columbia. There were 25 evacuation orders and 90 active wildfires in the province as of Friday morning, and authorities said warming and drying conditions could cause them to grow.”
“Anchorage ties record for wettest July, with more rain likely…
“A recent extended period of rainy weather in Anchorage and Southcentral Alaska led to flood watches in Anchorage and concerns in Talkeetna, Ninilchik and Seward about flood or landslide impacts.”
“Trump ally floats Republican pitch for sun-blocking technologies…
““If I were in this current White House, I’d say, ‘Well, we should support SRM because it’s a good insurance policy for continued fossil fuel use,’” said George David Banks, referring to solar radiation management, a largely theoretical response to global warming that involves spraying reflective particles into the stratosphere.”
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffee or become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
Huge thanks to my sponsor for July, who has asked me to promote the excellent Environmental Coffeehouse YouTube channel. For the uninitiated, the channel covers climate, conservation, pollution, biodiversity, sustainability, and the intersection of environment, society, and policy.
“Global sea-surface temperatures just reached their 50th consecutive record hot day and are expected to continue to rise for another month.
“This is so far beyond ‘bonkers’ (technical climate science term) that the Climate 8-ball has decided to start drinking early today.” [Prof Eliot Jacobson]
“It’s unreal to see this El Niño continue to astonish. Take a look at the subsurface heat build up in the last few frames of this. The anomalies are backing up, and heating up, like a traffic jam, in the Central Pacific. There’s a ton more fuel left in this tank!
“…Gob·smack·ing /GAHB-smack-ing/ (adjective). Definition: When subsurface El Niño anomaly map Legend needs to be increased to +9C/+16°F above climatology to measure said Godzilla El Niño event.” [Jeff Berardelli]
“The Southern Oscillation Index is on pace for its lowest July value since records began in 1876 and the eighth-lowest value of any month on record. This signals a full-fledged atmospheric response to El Niño.” [Ben Noll]
“Weather in Latvia swings to extremes: after drought, record rains arrived…
“… the situation changed dramatically in the summer. In June, some areas still experienced below-normal precipitation, but several towns ranked among the wettest in history… the current season is characterized not only by the total amount of rain but also by its high intensity.”
“National Drought Group steps up response as latest heatwave impacts water supplies and nature [UK].
“The recent extreme weather is having a severe impact on our environment and affecting water supplies and food production, the National Drought Group heard yesterday.”
“Stranded houseboats and grounded cruise ships: Europe’s rivers are shrinking amid heat and drought.
“Houseboats lie perched on desiccated riverbeds, receding water levels have left wide stretches of newly exposed riverbank and the shipping sector is bracing for trouble. The low-lying Netherlands is used to grappling with too much water; now it’s struggling with too little.”
“Climate crisis-driven heat ‘sucking soils dry’ as extreme drought hits Europe.
“Record-breaking heatwaves meant the hot atmosphere strongly evaporated water from rivers, lakes, soils and plants – conditions made 80 times more likely by global heating in western Europe and 40 times more likely in eastern Europe, the study showed.”
“Food price fears after Europe’s heatwave destroys estimated €2bn of crops…
“The reduction of 9m tonnes would mean the 27 EU member states and the UK will record their smallest harvest since 2018, and represents lost crop production larger than the combined total forecast grain production of Austria, Ireland and the Netherlands.”
“Spain and France battle raging wildfires, face high risk of more.
“Spain and France are at high risk of more wildfires in coming days, according to weather forecasters, while still fighting to contain deadly blazes that have already ignited amid soaring summer temperatures.”
“Spain prepares for 47C heatwave as holiday destinations face brutal temperatures…
“The country has already experienced devastating wildfires, with over 26,000 hectares of land burned on Monday alone, and 13 fatalities reported in a previous blaze near Bedar. Spain’s highest recorded temperature was 47.6C in the Guadalquivir basin on 14 August in 2021.”
“Swiss Rhône Glacier suffers one extreme year after another.
“The snow reserves that built up this winter on Switzerland’s glaciers have already been used up. The Rhône Glacier in canton Valais is a testament to the scale of this phenomenon.”
“Hailstones like tennis balls, incalculable damage in the Teramo area: a state of natural disaster is requested [Italy]…
“Incalculable damage also to agriculture, right in the middle of the production season, due to hail, as reported by Coldiretti Teramo, which reports heavy consequences in numerous other municipalities in the area.”
“The mayor of Nevesinje municipality Milenko Avdalović said today that the unprecedented storm that hit Herzegovina yesterday caused material damage estimated at millions.
““We still don’t know what caused the greater material damage, because agricultural crops were also damaged, a large number of cars were destroyed, as well as residential buildings,” Avdalović said…”
“Storm Clean-up Continues Across Bulgaria After Torrential Rain, Hail, and Hurricane-Force Winds.
“Recovery efforts are continuing across Bulgaria after powerful storms swept through large parts of the country overnight, bringing torrential rain, hurricane-force winds, intense lightning, and large hail.”
“The expert said the unusually large number of insects in urban areas is linked to several environmental factors, including climate change, changes in city environments and light pollution. Similar to moths, the locusts are attracted to artificial lighting…”
“NOAA has categorized the ongoing marine heatwave in the Mediterranean as a Category 4, extreme marine heatwave.
“Sea surface temperatures are exceeding 5°C (9°F) above normal in several parts of the Mediterranean Sea, with water temperatures now reaching 31°C (88°F).” [Colin McCarthy]
“A longer, hotter reality surrounds marine heatwaves, new study finds…
“Nardi found that these periods of sustained warming can last for weeks to months at a time, with a distinct marine heatwave embedded between them. The study revealed that in many cases, these pre- and post-heatwave phases contributed as much or more cumulative heat exposure than the MHW phase itself.”
“Sicily’s Cyclone Harry tests Italian mandatory insurance plan.
“Italy’s newly established mandatory natural catastrophe insurance scheme (Nat-Caf) has faced a major policy and consumer confidence crisis following Cyclone Harry, because the standard government-mandated contracts strictly exclude cyclones and sea storm surges.”
“Mass evacuation near Agrigento as scorching heat and gale-force winds fuel dozens of blazes across Sicily and Sardinia.
“The Italian islands of Sicily and Sardinia are grappling with a wildfire emergency, as scorching temperatures and strong scirocco winds have sparked dozens of blazes threatening towns, hospitals and infrastructure.”
“Malta has recorded three consecutive days with temperatures of 42°C [107.6F] or more, setting a new record [this triggered a grid outage].
“On Wednesday, Malta and Gozo entered the seventh day of the heatwave, with temperatures reaching 42°C at about midday. The temperature reached 42.7°C on Tuesday and 42.3°C on Monday.”
“Six killed in Algeria forest fires: interior ministry…
“The ministry said it had deployed resources to fight the remaining fires. Much of northern Algeria has been gripped by an intense heatwave, sparking hundreds of forest fires. Dozens have been killed by wildfires in recent years.”
“Power Blackouts Sweep North Africa as Heat Strains Aging Grids…
“With electricity demand surging, the unusually sweeping outages in recent days highlight the three nations’ struggles to keep decades-old facilities running and, in some cases, show an acute shortfall of fuels in a region home to some of the world’s biggest energy reserves. “
“Even camels can’t cope: Africa’s ships of the desert hit by rising temperatures…
“”I can see my camels suffering from extreme heat,” Ali Umer, a camel herder from Semera in Afar, told the BBC. “They get blisters on their feet, their eyes become watery and the hot sand burns their skin and eats up their hair when they are sitting,” said the 40-year-old who owns around 500 camels.”
“Incredible 51.0C [123.8F] at Yanbu SAUDI ARABIA NW Coast: first 50C and 51C in history! EGYPT HISTORIC HOT NIGHT; MINIMUMS: 34.4 Abu Simbel, 32.4 Shalatin – hottest night in history for both.” [Extreme Temps]
“One Person Drowns, Another Rescued After Flash Floods Sweep Them Away in Ibb, Central Yemen…
“Ibb has experienced rainfall of varying intensity over the past several hours, triggering flash floods that inundated streets and residential neighborhoods. Authorities have warned residents to stay away from flood channels and culverts during periods of heavy rain.”
“Tbilisi receives 1.5 times monthly rainfall in 8 hours, Environment Agency says [Georgia]…
“The heaviest rainfall was recorded near Building I of Tbilisi State University, where 110 mm [4.3 inches] of precipitation fell in around eight hours — a record July figure for Tbilisi at that monitoring location.”
“‘It will get worse’: World’s second-coldest capital faces record heat.
“Experts warn that the extreme heat reflects a broader climate trend that is increasing health, water and food security risks across Central Asia. Summer in Astana is only halfway through, yet residents of the Kazakh capital have already endured two record-breaking heatwaves.”
“Rescuers search for survivors amid risk of fresh floods in Afghanistan.
“Teams searched the rubble of houses on Tuesday after sudden waters cascaded down mountainsides the previous day, killing at least 23 people. This year’s monsoon season is causing chaos across the region, with Afghanistan among the most vulnerable to the effects of climate change.”
“Rains wreak havoc on KP, GB and Punjab as death toll rises to 37 [Pakistan]…
“While people were still grappling with the impact of the catastrophe in many districts, including Gujranwala and Sialkot, which received record 245mm and 139mm rainfall, India increased the release of excess water substantially without officially confirming the data.”
“Landslides, flash floods kill over 26 in Indian-administered Kashmir…
“Authorities on Wednesday closed the 250-kilometer (155-mile) Jammu-Srinagar National Highway, the region’s main all-weather road linking Kashmir with the Jammu division, after landslides and falling rocks rendered several stretches unsafe.”
“Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma says the damage is far greater than anticipated and more bodies are being recovered and more rains forecast… The ongoing wave of floods in some eastern districts of Assam has been the worst in 60 years, the State government said on Wednesday…”
“49.8 [121.6F] Turpan Dongkan – national record in CHINA for the main network. All time records also 40.9C Alaer, 33.5C Mushi and 32.7C Tianchi. 28 stations recorded their July highest temperature on record and 5 their hottest night!” [Extreme Temps]
“China again issues alerts for rainstorms and severe weather…
“The National Meteorological Center said some areas in Hebei, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui, Hubei, Guangdong provinces and Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region could receive 100 to 180 millimeters of rainfall from 2 pm Wednesday to 2 pm Thursday.”
“Japan records first ‘cruelly hot day’ as temperatures pass 40C.
“Japan recorded its first “cruelly hot day” after temperatures climbed past 40C in three cities, weeks after the national weather agency introduced the term to warn people about dangerous heat… For Gujo and Toyota, the readings were the highest ever taken at their weather stations.”
“A powerful tornado ripped through Batam, Indonesia on Tuesday. A powerful tornado violently tore through the PT VME Process construction site, sending workers scrambling for safety in this Asian country.”
“Deadly Chilean Storm Severs Key Highway, Floods Arid Regions [expect more of these].
“Prolonged winter rains in Chile’s normally arid north-central regions have swelled rivers and triggered mudslides, blocking parts of the copper-exporting country’s main highway and killing at least 10 people. Tens of thousands remain cut off in isolated villages…”
“Rivers overflow and flood cities… Intense storms hit ten municipalities in the state, leading hundreds of people to seek safe shelter [Rio Grande Do Sul, Brazil].
“Rio Grande do Sul counted 1,099 people out of their homes after the heavy rains that hit ten municipalities in the state. In Serafina Corrêa, for example, the Carreiro River entered flood level near the head of the bridge.”
“Tree rings from the Amazon show that the world’s largest rainforest has developed wetter wet seasons and drier dry seasons over the past four decades.
“The findings point to intense seasonal swings that can cause significant harm to biodiversity and suggest that widespread drying out across the entire Amazon basin is unlikely.”
“Panama Canal’s El Niño Concerns Prompt Carrier Surcharges, New Draft Restrictions.
“With a possibility for lower water levels at the Panama Canal’s locks later this year, major ocean carriers are prepping to offset any cost increases by imposing surcharges on customers.”
“Every single day of the year is a record day in Mexico. Today 43.1C [109.6F] at Culiacan, Sinaloa State, is a new record of July highest temperature. What’s next?”
“Texas likely sets new power demand record during extreme heat.
“According to the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the power grid set an unofficial record for demand Wednesday. The triple-digit heat will continue across much of the state through at least the weekend.”
“As Lake Powell shrinks, marinas are having to adapt to dwindling water levels…
“Lake Powell is currently about 23% full and is about 33 feet (10 meters) from reaching water levels so low that hydropower can’t be produced. The reservoir could break its all-time record low in early September.”
“The problem was persistent warmth. Every major river basin in the West experienced either its warmest or second-warmest winter on record, according to federal agencies. Often, rain fell instead of snow even at elevations higher than 8,000 feet above sea level, where winter rain is historically rare.”
“Fires, floods and record heat: This is the summer of compounding disasters.
“…this summer proves we don’t have to wait until the future for climate change to smack us in the face. From torrid heat waves, to deadly flash floods, to raging wildfires and their associated acrid smoke — the signs are all around us, right now.”
“Torrential rain in West Virginia prompts National Guard deployment in statewide emergency.
“Torrential rains have caused flash floods across West Virginia, inundating homes and businesses, washing out bridges, and prompting numerous water rescues. Governor Patrick Morrisey deployed 100 National Guard members and declared a state of emergency for all 55 counties.”
“Milwaukee on track for second-driest July on record, drought worsens…
“Dry soils are stressing lawns, gardens and crops, while streams and ponds have begun to show the effects of the ongoing moisture shortage. The dry vegetation has also increased the risk for grass and brush fires, especially on breezy days.”
“New wildfire threatening Boston Bar, B.C., quadruples in size overnight…
“The Anderson Creek fire joins a wildfire complex already burning in the area, on either side of the Fraser River. The Brunswick Creek and Ainslie Creek wildfires together spanned an area of about 218 square kilometres (21,888.6 hectares) as of Wednesday, according to BCWS.”
“Keep those fans out of storage, because more heat could be coming to Nunavut [Arctic, Canada].
“The mercury rose across all three of Nunavut’s regions from July 3 to 7 with record-breaking temperatures of 27.5 C hitting Kugaaruk on July 5. In Iqaluit, the temperature hit 25.1 C, just short of its record-breaking temperature of 26.7 C, set on July 21, 2008.”
“Fears for endangered right whales grow as moratorium clears a key hurdle…
“Environmental groups warn this delay could prove catastrophic for the vanishing species that is vulnerable to entanglement in fishing gear and collisions with boats, with only about 380 whales remaining.”
“I can’t work in the farce of climate change cruise tourism anymore’: why Antarctic guides quit their dream jobs…
““To this day, Antarctica … stays in the forefront of my head as the most incredibly raw environment that deserves all the care and protection. And I just think tourism and us being there was doing the opposite of that completely.””
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffeeor become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
Huge thanks to my sponsor for July, who has asked me to promote the excellent Environmental Coffeehouse YouTube channel. For the uninitiated, the channel covers climate, conservation, pollution, biodiversity, sustainability, and the intersection of environment, society, and policy.
“Cloudy skies have slowed global warming – but that may be changing.
“An increase in low-lying clouds has been shading the ocean and cooling the planet. But this feedback may now be reversing, which could accelerate global warming.”
“The earth has stopped being as shiny. Insurers are worried.
“Earth is reflecting less sunlight back into space than it used to – and the rate at which the planet is absorbing extra energy has more than doubled since 2000. For insurers, that is not just an abstract climate-science curiosity. It is a data point that goes to the heart of how catastrophe models, pricing and long-term underwriting assumptions are built.”
“Earth’s waters are quietly running out of oxygen, scientists warn.
“Oxygen is disappearing from oceans, lakes, rivers, and coastal waters at an alarming rate, threatening aquatic life and weakening the natural processes that help regulate Earth’s climate. Scientists warn that this widespread deoxygenation is closely connected to other major planetary threats, including warming, pollution, biodiversity loss, and ocean acidification.”
“Slowdown in Arctic ice melt ends after largest winter decline on record.
“A previously recorded slowdown in Arctic sea ice decline has ended, according to a new study, with the largest year-to-year wintertime reduction ever recorded… Sea ice area in September, when it reaches its annual minimum, has halved since 1979, when satellite measurements began.”
“Floods Sweep Russia’s Urals After 40-Year Rainfall Record Falls.
“Russia’s Urals region has set a new 40-year rainfall record, with flooding affecting 28 municipalities. Rainfall in the Sverdlovsk region has continued almost without interruption since the beginning of June, The Caspian Post reports, citing the Baza Telegram channel.”
“‘Very high’ wildfire risk extended after Arthur’s Seat and Cairngorms fires.
“The warning for the Central Highlands, Southern and Eastern Scotland will remain in force until Friday, having initially been in place for five days. The decision by the Scottish Fire and Rescue Service and the Scottish Wildfire Forum comes as emergency services continue to battle large blazes across the country.”
“‘My shirt was wringing’: National Express bus drivers speak out on 40C conditions [UK]
“Three bus drivers working in the West Midlands said the conditions in their vehicles had been “unbearable” and criticised the absence of adequate air conditioning, which threatened the safety of employees and passengers.”
“Marine heatwave impacting wildlife in sea around Channel Islands.
“The heatwave has been fuelled by the “heat domes” that brought record-breaking air temperatures in May and June, on top of long-term ocean warming due to climate change. Sea Fisheries said Guernsey’s water temperature earlier in July was 17.7C (63.8F), 2.7C higher than the average for the same week between 1980 and 2019.”
“Repeated heatwaves fuel eco-anxiety and anger among youth: ‘It feels like we’re living in a dystopia’ [France]…
“”I find myself in fits of uncontrollable tears when I think this is probably the coolest summer I will ever experience again,” confided the Paris resident, who, struggling to cope during the third heatwave, had to urgently book an appointment with a psychologist.”
“Fast-moving wildfire in southern France forces evacuations, burns homes in Var region.
“A fast-moving wildfire in southern France forced dozens of residents to evacuate on Sunday as more than 600 firefighters and water-bombing aircraft battled the blaze. Fanned by strong winds and dry vegetation, the fire near Draguignan burned 10 homes, damaged nine others and slightly injured one firefighter, authorities said.”
“Firefighters battled to contain a fast-spreading wildfire north of Spain’s capital, Madrid, on Sunday.
“The country is still reeling from one of the deadliest wildfires in modern times that killed 13 people and destroyed 7,000 hectares in southern Almeria province earlier this month.”
“Mallorca suffers the hottest night in its history in Palma.
“Palma has experienced the hottest night in its history, as the minimum temperature at the Portopí weather station did not drop below 27.7°C [81.9F] and humidity exceeded 90 per cent, meaning the heat index was much higher.”
“Glacier du Casset (NE Face Les Agneaux, 3,664 m asl) Juillet 2007 | Juillet 2026 [French Alps].
“At this pace in the Alps, all mountain glaciers (≠ valley glaciers) located entirely below 3,500 m will be gone within next two decades at most!” [Melaine Le Roy]
“Swiss plan to turn snow cannons onto forest fires.
“If a fire were to break out in the region, local fire services could quickly coordinate with the ski lift operator. According to Buchs, water could be delivered across the area through the network within a short time. Snow cannons could also be used as sprinklers to help extinguish or prevent fires during dry periods.”
“Cars swept away as powerful flash flood hits Romania’s mountain town of Bușteni.
“A powerful flash flood swept through the mountain town of Bușteni, Prahova Valley, on Sunday afternoon, July 19, carrying cars, rocks, and debris through the streets and temporarily blocking traffic on the busy DN1 national road. Emergency crews rescued several people trapped by the floodwaters, while dozens of homes were inundated.”
“Bad Bunny concert in Milan abandoned because of hailstorm.
“Videos posted on social media showed large hailstones hitting people at the sold-out show, along with strong winds and driving rain, after the star began his set at Milan’s Snai La Maura Hippodrome… the organiser said ticketholders would be reimbursed.”
“Rain, hail and wind on the crops of Brescia: vineyards and corn fields affected [Italy].
“The heat has granted a respite, but the bad weather has raged in particular on the Lower Garda and Valcamonica putting the crops at risk. The fears of Coldiretti Brescia for the consequences on agricultural production.”
“Another record-breaking heatwave in Sardinia, with Orani reaching 47.6 [117.7F] degrees.
“Record temperatures continue in Sardinia, particularly in the Nuoro area. After last week’s hottest temperatures in Orani, one of Italy’s hottest cities, temperatures exceeded 47 degrees Celsius today in the birthplace of artist Costantino Nivola: 47.6…”
“Yesterday: 43.3 [109.9F] LuqaHOTTEST JULY DAY IN MALTA HISTORY; ALGERIA: Hottest night in history in the coastal town of Skikda: MIN 33.1C; Monthly Max. record: 46.2C Bejaya.” [Extreme Temps]
“Tunisia scorched by record-breaking heat wave, temperatures near 50 degrees Celsius [122F]…
“The central governorate of Kairouan recorded 49.7 degrees Celsius, surpassing its previous record of 49.2 degrees. In the northeastern governorate of Zaghouan, the temperature hit 48.6 degrees, topping its prior high of 48 degrees.”
“EXTRAORDINARY – July Records smashed all over southern Africa:
“Namibia, Zambia, Botwana, Zimbabwe, Madagascar, Malawi up to TANZANIA where the National record of July highest temperature was pulverized: 33.8C [92.8F] Tabora 1200m asl. Most extreme event in Southern Africa winter.” [Extreme Temps]
“Egypt says Nile issue is existential, rejects Ethiopia’s unilateral moves…
“In an interview with Al Arabiya and Al Hadath, Abdelatty said Egypt and Sudan had still not received technical studies on the safety standards of the Ethiopian dam or its environmental impact, arguing that unilateral actions by an upstream country violated international rules governing shared rivers.”
“EXTRAORDINARY EVENT – 50 DEGREES AT DAY 35 AT NIGHT IN CENTRAL ASIA. DOZENS OF WORLD RECORDS SMASHED.
“UZBEKISTAN HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY – 46.7 Buhara… 44.6 Jhangy Jer KYRGYZSTAN HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY… INSANE MINIMUMS: 35.0 Djangeldi is UZBEKISTAN HOTTEST NIGHT; 33.7 Achisaj 43.5N 822m asl is KAZAKHSTAN HOTTEST NIGHT… 29.5 Parkhar TAJIKISTAN HOTTEST NIGHT.” [Extreme Temps]
“Extreme heat grips Central Asia: how countries are responding.
“In Tajikistan, residents have reported localized power outages, while parts of Kyrgyzstan have faced temporary electricity cuts because of record consumption. Uzbekistan has restricted hazardous outdoor work during the hottest hours of the day, and extreme temperatures have damaged several highways in Kazakhstan.”
“Authorities in southwestern Afghanistan were yesterday searching for 14 people missing in the desert after five other migrants trying to reach neighbouring Iran died in the heat, police said. The group departed more than a week ago in Nimroz…”
“Afghanistan floods kill at least 20 people, with more than 100 missing.
“In Parun, the provincial capital, a further 105 people including the mayor were missing… Ashiqullah Safi, the head of an NGO based in the town, said the flood had “completely destroyed the municipality”, including hotels and dozens of shops.”
“Flash floods wreak havoc in Siran Valley, Balakot [Pakistan].
“Flash floods triggered by cloudburst during a fresh spell of monsoon rains wreaked havoc in Siran Valley and Balakot on Sunday, damaging houses, hotels and roads in several areas.”
“Himalayan states battle monsoon fury: Red alert in Himachal, floods ravage Arunachal.
“Heavy monsoon rain is battering India’s Himalayan states. Himachal Pradesh is under an IMD warning for heavy to very heavy rainfall… Meanwhile, Arunachal Pradesh’s crisis is deepening — fresh floods and landslides hit East Siang and Kamle districts, affecting 25 villages in just 24 hours.”
“‘When I get home, my whole body aches’: extreme heat saps health and wages of India’s poorest workers…
“Analysis done by the International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED), and shared exclusively with the Guardian, found that extreme heat is acting as a “poverty multiplier” for hundreds of millions of workers in India’s informal sector.”
“Bhutan farmers race against time as water shortages delay paddy transplantation.
“By mid-July, farmers in Khagochen village under Kana Gewog, Dagana, would normally have completed paddy transplantation. This year, however, prolonged dry conditions have left many terraces uncultivated, with some fields still planted with maize as farmers wait for rainfall to restore water supplies.”
“Hundreds of records have fallen so far this month. Today 21 more monthly records, including 6 all time records. Tomorrow temperatures over 50C [122F] in Xinjiang. HISTORIC.”
“Shanghai battles widespread flooding after thunderstorms.
“Shanghai roads were flooded after thunderstorms brought torrential rain to the city on Sunday. More than 200mm (7.9 inch) of rain fell within five hours in Yangpu district, inundating underground supermarkets and malls.”
“Japan is living one of its most extraordinary heat waves in history with dozens of records smashed every single day. 243 stations >35C [95F] today ! Last Monthly records of High Max and High Mins: those of Kamigori and Tsuyama are also all time records.” [Extreme Temps]
“Japanese firms sell ‘fridges for humans’ to cope with heatwave.
“With temperatures in Japan nudging 38C and the government issuing heatstroke alerts, two Japanese companies have teamed up to create a solution to the extreme heat – a human refrigerator.”
“More records of July highest Temperature: Max. 36.7 [98.1F] Suvannaphum Airport; high Minimum: 29.0 Tak. Records have been falling in Thailand no-stop since early 2023.” [Extreme Temps]
“Australian ski resorts smash July climate records with temperatures 12C above average.
“Ski areas of Mount Hotham and Falls Creek set July records for their hottest daytime and night-time temperatures and Thredbo also set a new hottest July day, according to the Bureau of Meteorology.”
“Antarctica [very nearly] breaks decade-long cold record with Earth’s lowest temperature.
“Concordia Station, perched high on the Antarctic plateau, plunged to 119 degrees below zero (−84.1 degrees Celsius) on July 18. According to reports, that’s the lowest temperature recorded anywhere on Earth since 2012, and it came within half a degree of Concordia’s all-time record.”
“Chile declares state of emergency over deadly rainfall.
“At least 10 people have died… The “increasingly serious” conditions prompted President Jose Antonio Kast to declare a state of emergency in the affected areas on Monday, he announced to the press.”
“PARAGUAY HOTTEST JULY NIGHT EVER 41.6 Pozo Hondo (Sinarame); HOTTEST JULY DAY IN ARGENTINA (semi-official) 38.5 Rivadavia… HOTTEST JULY DAY IN URUGUAY… 41.6 [106.9F] Pozo Hondo (Sinarame).” [Extreme Temps]
“Absolutely insane winter heat wave in ARGENTINA. In the coldest month of the year, the city of Salta [26C / 78.8F] had its HOTTEST NIGHT IN HISTORY for any month, beating the record of summer hottest month by 4C!
“This is one of the most incredible and anomalous events in world climatic history.” [Extreme Temps]
“From rivers to mangroves, microplastics are contaminating the Amazon…
“In a single lake in eastern Manaus, researchers found microplastics in the intestines of half the jaraquis — the most consumed fish in Amazonas state. The contamination is related to irregular waste disposal and lack of sewage collection and treatment, which allow household residues to flow directly into water bodies.”
“The storm could trigger flooding and storm surges in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana and Mississippi as it drifts west towards Texas. Some areas could receive 8in (20cm) of rain by Friday, and “isolated” tornados could spawn in Florida, say forecasters.”
“Officials in Santa Cruz County say days of heavy rainfall caused deadly flooding in the sister cities of Nogales, Arizona and Nogales, Mexico over the weekend.
“Santa Cruz County Undersheriff Gerardo Castillo said search crews were dispatched late last week after bystanders reported seeing a woman in the Nogales Wash, which flows from the Sonoran side into the U.S.”
“Couple and 3 sons killed in flash flooding at scenic Utah canyon.
“The bodies of five family members have been recovered from a southern Utah canyon after heavy rains triggered flash floods on Friday, according to local authorities. The victims include a fire captain from Provo, Utah, his wife and their three sons…”
“….a new scientific study by the group, Tell The Dam Truth, describes how the massive damming of the Colorado River is a source of greenhouse gas emissions. Not only do the reservoirs and hydropower turbines themselves emit GHGs, but the dry-up of two million acres of wetlands in the Colorado River Delta in Mexico, caused by the dams, is the biggest source of GHG emissions in the whole system.”
“‘People are literally swimming’: New York City paralyzed by flash floods as water pours into subways.
“Parts of New York City were left underwater on Saturday as heavy thunderstorms triggered flash flooding across the metropolitan area, disrupting subway lines and grounding hundreds of flights ahead of the World Cup final.”
“More than 200,000 acres were burning across Oregon on Monday as firefighters continued battling multiple major wildfires across the state, using a brief break in the weather to strengthen containment lines before hotter, drier conditions return.”
“Canada issues air quality warnings over US wildfire smoke after Trump tariff threat…
“Officials in the Canadian province of British Columbia warned in an alert on Saturday evening that smoke from US fires, spurred on by thousands of lightning strikes in the north-east, was creating smoky conditions as polluted air drifted north.”
“Kimberley, B.C., city of about 9,000, placed under evacuation alert as nearby out-of-control wildfire grows.
“The alert covers all properties within Kimberley’s municipal boundaries, affecting roughly 9,000 people. Residents are not being ordered to leave but are being told to prepare in case conditions worsen.”
“Rapidly thawing permafrost is acidifying streams across North America…
“Thawing permafrost means acidic groundwater can seep through the soil and react with water, oxygen and soils or bedrock containing sulphide minerals. The chemical reactions resulting from this interaction produce springs containing acid and metals.”
“July could end as the wettest on record, with more rain heading our way…
“Nearly an inch of rain fell across Anchorage Sunday, with very little dry time experienced. While yesterday evening provided some relief from the rain, more widespread activity returned overnight and into this morning. Today is shaping up to be similar to Sunday, in that most of the day will keep rain in the forecast.”
“The peak Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly is now forecast to be 4.28°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. The Climate 8-ball is taking the Under.” [Prof Eliots Jacobson]
“From ‘Super El Niño’ to Europe’s extreme heatwave: How this year’s weather shocks are rattling commodity markets.
“Markets are underestimating the impact of climate volatility across asset classes, commodity strategists warn… Investment strategists say that the higher temperatures, drought, heavy rainfall and other extreme weather events resulting from El Niño are set to upend bets on commodity assets.”
“I can’t state this enough: Our estimates of high climate sensitivity are based on the best estimates of available observations.
“There is a high probability (from a risk perspective) that climate sensitivity is even higher than our seemingly ‘higher’ (than e.g. IPCC’s +3°C for 2xCO₂) estimates. Uncertainty is rarely our friend, with relation to climate change.” [Prof Jim Hansen collaborator, Leon Simons]
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar?Buy me a coffeeor become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
Huge thanks to my sponsor for July, who has asked me to promote the excellent Environmental Coffeehouse YouTube channel. For the uninitiated, the channel covers climate, conservation, pollution, biodiversity, sustainability, and the intersection of environment, society, and policy
“The deep ocean is changing our climate far faster than we realised.
“Deep below the ocean’s surface, turbulent swirls of water – invisible to the naked eye and no bigger than a coin – are driving some of the most consequential forces in our climate system; and they are doing so far faster than science previously understood.”
“Well, another record to historic shattering westerly wind burst is looking very likely next week with never-ending westerly wind burst activity through now until early August.
“This will act to reinforce El Niño, which is already nearing very strong levels. On top of that, SST anomalies off the coast of Paru are reaching near 7-8.5 C above average. I’m now fully confident this El Niño will break all-time records by Fall & Winter 2026-2027.” [David Schlotthauer]
“Dozens of all time or monthly records were smashed again today (nearly 100 since yesterday) with another 34C day (and another one tomorrow in Sweden). Temperatures up to 30C [86F] at 800m asl, a record for Scandinavia!” [Extreme Temps]
“Cairngorms wildfire is ‘not contained’ and still burning hard, residents warn [Scotland].
“A devastating wildfire that has been ablaze for three days in the Cairngorms is still “burning hard”, residents have warned. Community leaders criticised the Scottish government for describing the incident as “contained”, despite flames spreading further through the national park.”
“Firefighters into the seventh day of tackling a “vast” moorland wildfire have admitted they cannot say when the blaze in Greater Manchester will be put out.
“More than 100 firefighters and volunteers are fighting the fire on two fronts at Dovestone and Swineshaw.”
“North Sea hits record 20.4°C [68.7F] amid marine heat wave.
“The North Sea hit an exceptional temperature on Wednesday morning. Seawater reached 20.4 degrees Celsius at 8 a.m. at a KNMI measurement station off the South Holland coast, setting a record for this time of year. The sea has been under a heat wave since May 24.”
“In hot water: what happens to marine life during heatwaves…
“Aside from obvious negative consequences for people, such as more drownings in open water, marine heatwaves can affect sea life of all sizes, from microscopic plankton to huge whales.”
“A supercell tornado has flipped two lorries in France while deadly storms are lashing Germany, causing several fatalities as freak wildfires rage across Europe.
“Strong winds and particularly violent hailstorms struck the Loire department in the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region of France, with a tornado causing havoc to the north.”
“Food prices are set to rise again [Europe] and this summer’s extreme heat is a big part of the reason why.
“…economists say this summer’s extreme heat is now a bigger threat to next year’s supermarket prices than the recent Iran war, as damaged harvests could outweigh the fading impact of higher oil and fertiliser costs.”
“The European Union has unveiled proposals that would slow cuts to businesses’ greenhouse gas emissions limits, as part of a major climate policy overhaul.
“The reforms would relax the rules of the bloc’s emissions trading system (ETS) to give businesses more time to reduce their carbon output than previously planned.”
“EU set to delay fines for breaking methane rules after US pressure.
“The EU is set to recommend a three-year delay on penalties for energy importers that do not comply with the bloc’s new methane emissions rules, after fierce lobbying from the US and member states that raised fears about gas supply risks.”
“Drones, AI and white paint: Europe races to protect infrastructure from heat.
“European governments and transport operators are deploying AI, drones, white paint and heat-resistant materials to protect roads, railways and airports from extreme heat. The measures reflect how climate change is exposing the limits of infrastructure built for a cooler continent.”
“Insane temperatures of 35/38C from midnight to dawn in various parts of Eastern Spain with strong ponent wind. In the meanwhile the cold Foronda in the Basque Region has a min of 20.4C, first Min >20C in July.” [Extreme Temps]
“Spain’s largest wildfire of the year burns 12,000 hectares in Zaragoza.
“The Cinco Villas wildfire in Zaragoza has burned 12,000 hectares and forced the evacuation of six villages. Guadalajara and Madrid are battling two other wildfires, with more than 2,000 people ordered to remain indoors.”
“Violent storms in the north have claimed one life, whilst the south is facing record heatwaves [Italy].
“Thunderstorms in the Triveneto region; severe storms in Emilia-Romagna with wind gusts exceeding 100 km/h and in Lombardy, where a tornado struck the Bergamo area; sunshine and extreme temperatures in the rest of Italia.”
“Bus heat causes passengers to feel ill [Sardinia; Cagliari broke its all-time heat record with 45.2 / 113.4F].
” We are calling for an extraordinary check of all air conditioning systems on the electric vehicles in the Quartu fleet (but, obviously, also in Cagliari), and the immediate recall of any vehicle with faulty or inefficient air conditioning systems.”
“The Mediterranean Heatwave Continues to Shatter Records
“Several cities in Algeria and Tunisia recorded new all-time high temperatures, eg Algeria: 49.1° [120.4F] Bou Saâda – Highest temperature ever recorded; 48.1° Tizi Ouzou – Highest temperature ever recorded.” [Arab Storms]
“Forest fires are a common sight in summer in northern Algeria but the phenomenon is exacerbated by droughts and heatwaves, linked to human-driven climate change… On Wednesday, local media reported the death of a 59-year-old municipal worker who was taking part in firefighting operations.”
“The vanishing forests on Liberia’s cocoa frontier.
“…plantation land is cleared by pouring gasoline on the base of native trees and setting their roots on fire so they wither and die. This is the method that migrant cacao workers from nearby Côte d’Ivoire have brought into Kwa.”
“Combination of locusts and water shortage devastate Mudug farmers.
“Farmers in Hero-Dhagahley village in Somalia’s central Mudug region have been devastated by a deadly combination of locusts and water shortage that has ruined their crops, vegetables and fruit that were close to harvest.”
“Sudan blames “temporary” Nile drop on Ethiopian dam cuts…
“Ethiopia completed construction of the GERD in July 2025 despite long-standing objections from Sudan and Egypt over unilateral moves. Both downstream nations continue to demand a legally binding agreement on the dam’s filling and operation to secure their water shares.”
“Iranian strike damages a Kuwait desalination plant, exposing water vulnerability in dry Mideast.
“It’s the latest attack on essential infrastructure across the Middle East that have exposed extreme vulnerabilities in one of the world’s driest regions, which relies almost exclusively on technology to produce freshwater that sustains cities, hotels, industry and some agriculture.”
“Drained Under Soviet Rule, Aral Sea Has Become a Huge Source of Emissions.
“The Aral Sea sits between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan and was once the fourth-largest inland body of water on Earth. For the past 60 years, though, humans have bled it nearly dry irrigating cotton crops, leaving behind a salty plain the size of Ireland.”
“UZBEKISTAN: 48.7 [120F] Buzaubaj, Uchkuduk Min 34.1, Max. 47.3! 43.7 Jang Jer KYRGYZSTAN HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY, 40.1 Talas 1200m asl: KAZAKHSTAN: 46.6 Arys, 43.4 Bakanas, 46C at 51 latitude and Min 28.5 Balhash 47N! 47.8 TURKMENISTAN; 45 TAJIKISTAN.” [Extreme Temps]
“Climate Change: Dengue And Flu Are No Longer Just Seasonal Threats In India…
“The link between climate change and infectious diseases is becoming harder to ignore. Rising temperatures help mosquitoes survive longer and reproduce faster, while erratic rainfall and prolonged wet periods create ideal breeding conditions.”
“India’s Weak Monsoon Revives Push for This Ancient Food Staple.
“When India’s monsoon made a weak start last month, Malleshappa Chatham took a calculated gamble. The veteran farmer set aside an acre of his smallholding for millet — an ancient grain prized for its resilience that’s enjoying a newfound popularity with health-conscious consumers.”
“Due to heavy rainfall for some time in the federal capital Kathmandu, various roads and intersections have been submerged. Due to the inability of water to drain from the roads due to rain, water has accumulated in places like ponds.”
“Following continuous torrential rains in the Changbai Mountains [NE China], the Mudanjiang River basin experienced its largest recorded flood, with some areas in Ning’an County submerged.”
“Rescue teams are searching for survivors after a landslide in Chongqing’s Pengshui County killed eight people and left 34 missing. Persistent rain, unstable boulders and buried homes have made the operation slow and dangerous.”
“Another avalanche of records of July hottest nights including the historic all time High minimums of Miyazaki (min 28.3C / 82.9F) and Otawara (25.4C). 35 records have fallen in few days.” [Extreme Temps]
“Deadly flash floods wreak havoc in northern Vietnam as heavy rain threat persists.
“Flash floods striking early Friday morning left a trail of widespread destruction across Lai Chau and Son La provinces. The disaster has claimed at least one life, with five other people currently reported missing.”
“Torrential rain in Seoul triggers flood warnings, road closures as heavy downpours hit Korea…
“The downpour that began Friday brought significant rainfall across the province. As of 7 a.m. Saturday, cumulative precipitation reached 160 millimeters in Gimpo, 155 millimeters in Paju, 149 millimeters in Yangju and 147 millimeters in Dongducheon.”
“Australia shark bites rise as heavy rain, murky water, and warmer seas bring sharks closer to shore…
“In Australia, extreme rainfall, worsened by rising global temperatures, may be one important driver. After Sydney’s record January downpour, Scientific American said the deluge “flushed sewage and other waste into the nearby coastal waters, attracting baitfish, which in turn lured sharks closer to shore.””
“Torrential Rains and Widespread Floods Leave 3 Dead and Thousands Without Power in Chile.
“President José Antonio Kast visits hardest-hit regions as emergency teams brace for unprecedented seasonal rainfall levels… rising floodwaters inundated primary roadways, severely paralyzing regional transportation and complicating ongoing search and rescue efforts.”
“As announced, an extreme meteorological event in South America is happening: deluge in Chile west of the Andes and brutal summer heat in the other side… crazy MINIMUMS – HOTTEST JULY NIGHT IN HISTORY IN ARGENTINA and URUGUAY. [Extreme Temps]
“End of soy moratorium could add 1.4m hectares to Amazon deforestation.
“The researchers argue that ending the moratorium could fuel land speculation across the Amazon. They identified 9.1 million hectares of forest on private land highly suitable for soy that could legally be cleared, plus another 28.7 million hectares of public forest that could become speculation targets.”
“Illegal mining advances in the Amazon and corners park rangers in Ecuador.
“What was once territory guarded by park rangers has turned into a battleground for control of illegal gold mining. Monitoring patrols, conservation work, and species recording are no longer routine. Today, those who guard protected areas face threats, encounters with armed men, and the presence of criminal organizations…”
“Record heat keeps sweeping the whole of Central America every single day since the beginning of 2026. Records for July smashed all over Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama including 37.0C [98.6F] Managua and 37.1C David.” [Extreme Temps]
“Puerto Rico announces emergency water rationing as drought worsens.
“Puerto Rico announced water rationing measures on Thursday as a drought grips the U.S. territory, worsening chronic water shortages that have forced the governor to declare a state of emergency.”
“Latest Precipitation Models Still Seem to Underestimate Risk as ‘1,000-Year’ Rain Events Pummel Texas.
“Last week, days of torrential downpours created the region’s second major flooding disaster in as many years. Four-day rainfall totals in the towns of Uvalde and Sabinal set records and ranked in federal models as 1,000-year rain events…”
“At least 2 dead in catastrophic flooding in Texas Hill Country.
“Parts of Texas Hill Country received over 2 feet of rain – around a year’s worth – in just a few days, prompting several flash flood emergencies. At least two people died and there were more than 230 water rescues, officials said.”
“The Colorado River’s 2 biggest reservoirs just hit a new record low.
“Lake Powell and Lake Mead hit a grim milestone this week. The combined storage in the nation’s two largest reservoirs has dropped to a level not seen since 1956… “It is humbling and potentially disturbing to think about…” said Schmidt, the director of the Center for Colorado River Studies at Utah State University.”
“Water agencies in the agriculture-heavy San Joaquin Valley fear the bill could require them to accept water-carrying golden mussels into facilities that have not yet been infested, then leave them responsible for preventing damage and paying for repairs.”
“The wildfire situation across North America just got worse.
“Tens of thousands of lightning strikes across the Pacific Northwest has ignited dozens of new wildfires across Oregon and Washington.” [Colin McCarthy]
“A Record-Warm Winter and Summer Heatwave Are Stoking Montana’s Wildfire Risk…
“Instead of a simple progression from the cold temperatures and moisture of winter to drier, warmer seasons, scientists say the state’s fire risk is now shaped by the erratic interactions of record-warm winters, shrinking snowpack, spring rainfall, prolonged heat and the timing of summer thunderstorms.”
“Flash flooding in Cincinnati leads to 40 water rescues, road closures…
“During the heavy rainfall July 17, Oakley, Madisonville, Mount Lookout, Hyde Park and Pleasant Ridge neighborhoods were hit hard. McKinley asked residents in those areas to stay indoors.”
“Trump threatens Canada with higher tariffs over wildfire smoke pollution…
“”This is Willful Negligence, and becoming a yearly occurrence, costing the United States Billions of Dollars,” Trump said on Truth Social on Friday, adding that the “cost of this pollution must of necessity be added to the TARIFFS Canada is currently paying.””
“Ontario Wildfires Burn On, and New Ones Spring Up.
“Premier Doug Ford of Ontario said that there were 191 active fires across the province on Friday and that 81 of them were not under control. Mr. Ford responded sharply to criticisms of his province’s handling of the fires by Republican politicians in Michigan and Ohio…”
“In the Canadian Arctic, an experiment aims to stabilize thinning sea ice…
“For now, work has been limited to a 1-square-kilometer (0.4-square-mile) test site, with thickening attempted on only about a quarter of that area. At the beginning of the 2026 melt season at the end of May, the sea ice was 50 centimeters (20 inches) thicker than the untreated sea ice, according to Ceccolini.”
“Last May the Government-backed Advanced Research and Invention Agency (ARIA) – a high-risk high-reward “moonshot” agency championed by Dominic Cummings – awarded £56.8m to 21 climate-cooling projects… As such it is the largest single state-backed research programme for solar geoengineering in the world.”
“‘Forever chemicals’ – the national cancer scandal brewing in a Lancashire town.
“Residents within a kilometre of the AGC Chemicals Europe factory in Thornton-Cleveleys in the north of England, have found themselves at the centre of what is quickly becoming a national scandal… Today, more than 17,000 [Pfas] contaminated sites have been identified across the UK and Europe…”
“Help, my sofa is killing me! The toxic chemicals hiding in your home…
“The UK’s highly prescriptive fire safety rules mean that our furniture and soft furnishings contain more flame-retardant chemicals than anywhere else in the world. Our curtains, cushions, mattresses, bedding and building materials are full of toxic chemicals, and have been since the 1980s…”
“We need creative help to understand and reverse human-induced climate change…
“…artists are often called upon at times when societies are in need of a paradigm shift. Our need to understand and reverse human-induced climate change is such a strong inflexion point in our history that we need all the creative help we can get.”
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
“As far as I know, your work is unique in pulling together stories from all over the world. Very sobering but a better and more complete view. Terrific and necessary work. Thank you!” – Simon
“With the inundation of so much depressing news, Justin Panopticon presents it in a succinct format that one can quickly go thru and see the big picture of climate and economics/politics to stay current and if a particle topic is of interest one can delve into the details… I try never to miss any of his posts…I am a Patreon of his work.”
– Karina S.
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About This Site
Weekday updates on both climate change and the global economy. Stay current with what’s happening around the world with a quick scan of top news.