Special sponsor for September is [you?]. Contact me here if you fancy a month atop the Climate & Economy wall of fame.
“The most important graph in the world has another 6 months of data!
“NASA CERES satellites measure how much sunlight Earth absorbs and how much heat is radiated back to space.
“The difference is heat accumulation, which has more than tripled over the past 26 years!”
[Leon Simons]
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/2095878888610058299
“The latest data is once again showing the preliminary global sea-surface temperature at a record high.”
[Prof Elliot Jacobson]
https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/2095902144843202771
“A Surge of Marine Heat Waves Threatens to Scramble Ocean Life.
“Fueled by climate change and a strengthening El Niño, record-setting marine heat waves are gripping oceans worldwide and playing havoc with sea life. Mounting evidence from recent events suggests the damage could be severe and long-lasting, both onshore and off.”
https://e360.yale.edu/features/marine-heat-waves
“‘A worrying snapshot’: Satellite image shows large patches of open water less than 40 miles from the North Pole.
“Large patches of open water were visible just 37 miles (60 kilometers) from the North Pole on Aug. 29, a NASA satellite image shows… “We can see open water at times at the North Pole but I don’t think it’s ever been this extensive,” Stroeve told Live Science in an email.”
“New island emerges in Norway’s Svalbard as glacier retreats.
“A new island has emerged in Norway’s Svalbard archipelago after the Austfonna glacier retreated, Norwegian public broadcaster NRK reported Friday. The island, covering roughly 0.45 square kilometers (0.17 square miles), was first identified in satellite images taken this summer…”
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/new-island-emerges-in-norway-s-svalbard-as-glacier-retreats/4047438
“Puffin numbers fall by 30% on Scottish island amid climate change concerns…
“NatureScot and the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology completed a count of burrows at the Isle of May National Nature Reserve in the Firth of Forth this summer… Pressures on seabird food supplies, poor winter survival and increasingly extreme weather conditions are all contributing to declines.”
“Ireland just had its hottest summer ever on record, for the second year in a row.
“It [was] 2.03 °C above the long-term average for 1961-1990. Met Éireann noted on Thursday that six of Ireland’s ten hottest summers have occurred since 2001, while provisional gridded rainfall data also shows summer 2026 was drier than average.”
https://www.irishcentral.com/news/met-eireann-summer-2026-temperatures
“UK subsidence claims surge after hottest summer on record…
“UK insurers are experiencing a surge in the number of homeowners making claims for subsidence after the hottest summer on record, with Hastings Direct reporting a near 140% jump to an all-time high for August.”
“Invasive tropical mosquito found breeding in east London…
“Aedes aegypti, which are normally found in tropical and subtropical regions, can transmit dengue, chikungunya and Zika virus in countries where these infections are circulating… This is the first time the species has been identified breeding in the UK…”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/03/invasive-tropical-mosquito-breeding-london
“HISTORIC!! 41 DEGREES [105.8F] IN FRANCE AND 298 RECORDS PULVERIZED.
“MOST EXTREME DAY IN FRENCH HISTORY; RECORDS LOCALLY BROKEN BY 4/5C; ABSOLUTELY DEMENTIAL. Records include Toulouse, Carcassone, Avignon, Lyon, Grenoble, Strasbourg etc.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095914335264555056
“France Allocates Over €1 Billion in Farm Aid After Heat Waves…
“The slump in farming output is hurting the wider economy, bringing France close to a recession in the first half of the year. The slowdown has further reduced the government’s room for maneuver as it seeks to contain a bloated budget deficit.”
“35.9°C [96.6F] Borda Vidal [864 m] = NEW SEPTEMBER NATIONAL RECORD FOR ANDORRA…
“Previous national record: 34.1°C La Comella (03-09-2026); Previous record for Borda Vidal: 33.7°C (03-09-2026)… Prior to 2026: 33.5°C (06-09-2016).”
[Thierry Goose]
https://x.com/ThierryGooseBC/status/2095975460903805174
“Drought drives up Swiss milk and potato prices…
“According to estimates by the Swiss Farmers’ Union (USC), total losses for Swiss agriculture will amount to CHF522 million in 2026. “This figure matches the losses recorded in 2003, another year characterised by a record-breaking heatwave,” a spokesperson told AWP.”
“HISTORIC HEAT WAVE IN AUSTRIA.
“Several records for September smashed with huge margins. 30C+ [86F] also at 1100m above sea level! Never happened before in September. Absolutely Historic. Table: Wetterblog. at.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095988825617002900
“Hungary records hottest month since [record keeping began in] 1901.
“August 2026 was the hottest month recorded in Hungary since 1901, with the nationwide average temperature reaching 24.9 degrees Celsius, the country’s meteorological service HungaroMet said on Wednesday… The prolonged drought has also weighed on agriculture.”
https://english.news.cn/europe/20260903/a8648f0c331f4edc98eecbad3c32b3de/c.html
“Visegrad countries call on EU for unified drought-relief actions.
“Representatives from the agricultural and food departments of Visegrad countries — Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia — have called on the European Union to take immediate, unified action and introduce necessary measures to alleviate the impact of the severe drought on farmers.”
“Firefighters are battling a fast-moving wildfire in Albania where flames are threatening homes and businesses.
“Helicopters have been deployed to drop water from above while ground crews work to contain the blaze. This is the latest blaze in a summer of devastating wildfires in Europe.”
“Spain matches September heat record at 45.7C as extreme heat grips country.
“Spain recorded its joint-highest September temperature on Thursday, with 45.7C measured in the southwestern town of El Granado as exceptional heat grips the country, according to Spain’s State Meteorological Agency (AEMET).”
“HISTORIC HEAT IN MOROCCO 47C IN AUTUMN.
“According to Severe Weather Morocco (FB Page) The 47.1C [116.8F] at Sidi Slimane is the first 47C in climatological autumn in 98 years. Several records of both High Min and High Max were smashed (see yesterday’s post).” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095828384534220846
“Mass burial reveals hidden toll of Algeria’s deadly ‘Black Wednesday’ wildfires.
“Photos and videos showing the mass burial of several dozen people have raised questions about the real death toll of the fires as Algerian authorities haven’t shared new numbers since August 26. A number of Moroccan social media accounts have also been sharing disinformation about the fires.”
https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20260904-mass-burial-algeria-black-wednesday-deadly-wildfires
“THOUSANDS OF RECORDS ALL OVER AFRICA. from Morocco to South Africa:
“ALGERIA – 47.2 Adrar, 42.2 Msila, MOROCCO: 46.5 Sidi Slimane, 45.1 Kenitra, 44 Kasba Tadla, 43.9 Beni Mellal, 43.5 Meknes… 45 [113F; DJIBOUTI HOTTEST SEPTEMBER DAY.”
[Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095597023693049861
“ONE OF THE MOST EXTREME EVENTS EVER SEEN WORLDWIDE:
“Monthly records broken by 7/8C in SOUTH AFRICA! Records for early September broken by up to 15C margins! Never happened anywhere in the world. We are witnessing something beyond any imagination. Weeks >40C [104F] in winter in dozens of stations.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095826608787423290
“Cape Town water crisis fears as City warns of restrictions within weeks…
“There is a bigger water-security story sitting underneath the household one. GroundUp’s Liezl Human reported this week that more than 100 climate activists and participants gathered at Vegkop Polyculture Farm during Cape Town Climate Week to discuss food and water security…”
https://www.2oceansvibe.com/cape-town-2/cape-town-water-restrictions-september-2026/
“Kenya Steps Up Crocodile Hunt As Rising Lakes Fuel Conflict…
“Lakes in Kenya’s Rift Valley have risen to levels not seen in at least half a century, with scientists attributing the surge to extreme rainfall linked to climate change. So our aim is to reduce the number of crocodiles, to minimise conflict, and also to balance this ecosystem, says Dominic Mijele, a Wildlife Veterinary Doctor at Kenya Wildlife Service (KWS).”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN MIDDLE EAST:
“After breaking nearly every record of all months of 2026, September has already broken nearly all records of Highest Minimums all over Middle East. Minimums still >35C and >30C at 1000m+ asl (Min 31.0 Bisha, Saudi Arabia Today). UNPRECEDENTED.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095796079652474976
“RECORD HEAT AGAIN IN THE MALDIVES:
“33.5C [92.3F] at Male AP yesterday broke the September record of highest Temperature. Maldives has been breaking records continously no-stop since 2015.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095423653022253502
“Pakistan monsoon death toll rises to 502 after another 24 killed in different incidents.
“Pakistan has been hit by one of the most severe monsoon seasons this year, with downpours triggering flash floods in the country’s southern, southwestern and northwestern parts. The death toll jumped to 502 on Tuesday after another 24 people lost their lives in different rain-related incidents in the last 24 hours…”
“Ganga water level breaches ‘highest flood mark’ at Patna’s Gandhi Ghat amid heavy rain…
“Several districts in Bihar are experiencing a flood-like situation as the Ganga, Gandak, Kosi, Burhi Gandak, Bagmati, Punpun and Ghaghra rivers are flowing above danger marks following heavy rainfall in the state and neighbouring Nepal.”
“Nepal’s Catastrophic Flood Heralds a New Age of Disasters…
“The Nepal disaster happened at an altitude that’s the lower limit of permafrost and after a particularly hot summer, said Christian Huggel, a University of Zürich professor who studies the cryosphere, the Earth’s frozen water systems including snow, ice and permafrost.”
“Fresh Flood Threat In Nepal: Landslide Blocks Chaulani River In Darchula.
“A massive landslide in Nepal’s Darchula district has partially obstructed the Chaulani River, prompting authorities to alert communities living downstream over the possibility of sudden flooding.”
“Climbers are melting Everest’s glacier with their urine, study warns.
“Heat from fuel burned at the Everest Base Camp and urine discharged directly onto the glacier was enough to melt 2,500 tonnes of ice and snow every year, according to new research.”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN MONGOLIA – nearly every single record smashed by 2/8C margins. Absolute insanity.
“More September records today include: 34.9 [95F] Buruun Urt, 34.5 Erdenetsagaan, 34.4 Matad, 33.0 Bayandelger. High Min 21.3 Bogd (1500m asl).” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095514195324268964
“Typhoon Saudel: days of flooding trigger fatal landslide in central China.
“At least one person was killed and 11 are missing after they were buried by a landslide in central China as the region continued to battle severe flooding caused by Typhoon Saudel. The landslide hit Gaoping, a town in a mountainous area of Jiangxi province, at around 4am on Saturday…”
“The massive 971 mm [38 inches] of rainfall in four days in Putian, Fujian Province, triggered the worst floods in the area’s history, destroying some ancient buildings.
“The water level of the Mulan River in Putian is 2.24 meters higher than the historical record.”
[Jim Yang]
https://x.com/yangyubin1998/status/2095857259901501497
“Persistent rainfall causes flooding and infrastructure shutdowns across Taiwan.
“Week-long downpours in Taiwan have resulted in widespread flooding and road and transportation shutdowns across the entire country. The Central Weather Administration (CWA) has issued heavy rain warnings for Keelung City, Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Yilan County…”
https://www.rti.org.tw/en/news?uid=3&pid=230194
“High risk of rain-triggered disasters in southern Kyushu [Japan].
“The Japan Meteorological Agency says the autumn rain front is near the southern coast of Honshu, and Tropical Storm Krovanh is located off Amami City, Kagoshima Prefecture. Weather officials have issued a Level Four Urgent Warning for landslides to parts of Miyazaki and Kagoshima prefectures.”
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/news/20260905de48285/
“Record flooding exposes gaps in Philippines’ flood control system amid fraud investigation.
“Recent storms caused more than $128 million in damage across the Philippines, while the agency responsible for preventing that damage faces an investigation into flood control projects that may have never been built.”
“In Cambodia, Floating Houses Are Stuck Aground as Climate Change Takes Hold…
“Researchers are seeing a change in Cambodian weather patterns as climate change takes hold across the world. The traditional monsoon season in June and July appears to be weakening, even as intense easterly storms return in September and October.”
“EXTRAORDINARY – every record pulverized in Thailand with absurd margins.
“Mind blowing MINIMUM 30.6 [87.1F] Tak – HOTTEST SEPTEMBER NIGHT IN THAI HISTORY broken for the 4th time in a row, after breaking every records of every month of all past years.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095799668500230575
“Southeast Asia’s extreme heat exposes holes in safety net for outdoor workers.
“When the day heats up, small business owner Chung Kee Wa, 68, changes how he tends his oil palm plantation in Yong Peng, in Malaysia’s southern Johor state. Oil palms younger than three years offer little shade, so he tends them in the early mornings and evenings…”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN MALAYSIA – every record destroyed again with absurd margins.
“All stations have smashed every record of all months of 2026. Today 36.2 [97.2F] Kuantan (previous record yesterday), 35.6 Sandakan etc..”
[Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095850987298623889
“Malaysia declares emergency in Sarawak as haze from Indonesia worsens…
“Under the order, 647 schools in Serian will close from Monday until at least the end of next week, alongside government and private offices, plantations, construction sites and quarries, with only essential services continuing to operate.”
“Wildfires creep towards Indonesia’s new capital, prompting calls for action.
“Wildfires have begun spreading near Indonesia’s new capital that is under construction, prompting project officials to urge the disaster mitigation agency to carry out cloud-seeding and water-bombing operations.”
“Sydney reaches 33C [91.4F] in potentially warmest start to spring since mid-1800s, while snow forecast in southern NSW.
“Summer heat is due to arrive early across much of eastern Australia with potentially record early September temperatures predicted for Brisbane and Sydney, while snow was expected in southern New South Wales.”
“New Zealand records third-warmest winter on record.
“Earth Sciences New Zealand’s winter climate summary showed the average temperature across the country over June, July and August was 9.7C – 1.1C above the 1991-2020 winter average. That made it the third-warmest winter since records began in 1909, behind 2022 (9.8C) and 2021 (also 9.7C).”
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/weather/1258085/new-zealand-records-third-warmest-winter-on-record
“Satellite images show how penguins’ diets are changing in response to Antarctic climate change.
“Since the 2010s, sea ice has declined precipitously around the continent, with several years setting new historical sea ice minimums. Less sea ice means fewer fish, which is bad news for penguins…”
“Lowell strengthens to Category 5 hurricane as forecast still calls for sharp turn to north or northeast…
““Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Lowell. Watches could be required for portions of the westernmost Hawaiian Islands on Saturday,” according to the advisory.”
“The Niño 1+2 Index near Peru and Ecuador has reached a remarkable, record-breaking 4.8°C above average, surpassing the record from 1983.
“Ocean temperatures are forecast to surge toward 6°C above average during October. There is no modern precedent for these conditions.” [Ben Noll]
https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/2096002824538833389
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN ECUADOR:
“Every record pulverized with insane margins, especially those of Highest Minimums. INSANE MINS 25.6 [78.1F] both at Guayaquil and Salinas – HOTTEST SEPTEMBER NIGHT IN ECUADOR HISTORY. 100% of all tropical countries are pulverizing records.” [Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095630817972097431
“Uruguay declared a nationwide health emergency on Friday after highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza was detected in backyard poultry, according to officials.
“Authorities ordered a nationwide “interdiction of the affected establishment” and imposed strict restrictions on the movement of non-commercial birds.”
https://news.az/news/uruguay-declares-nationwide-health-emergency-over-bird-flu
“Planned Bolivia-Brazil highway threatens Chiquitania dry forest.
“Brazilian businessman Eraí Maggi, known as the “soy king,” is a central figure behind this agricultural expansion into Bolivia. Experts warn the road will accelerate deforestation in the Chiquitania, the largest tropical dry forest in the Americas, in a country that already ranks second globally in tropical forest loss.”
https://news.mongabay.com/2026/09/planned-bolivia-brazil-highway-threatens-chiquitania-dry-forest/
“Guanacaste Bakes While the Caribbean Floods in Costa Rica’s Split August.
“August gave us two very different versions of Costa Rica’s rainy season, with unusually little rain falling around Liberia while parts of the Caribbean recorded some of their wettest conditions in decades. Liberia, the capital of Guanacaste and a major gateway for tourists visiting the northwestern Pacific coast, received just 26.2 millimeters of rain during the entire month.”
https://ticotimes.net/2026/09/03/costa-rica-august-rainfall
“DEADLY HEAT IN MEXICO – Heat indexes up to 55C+ [131F]!
“RECORDS – 42.6 Soto La Marina, 42.6 Ciudad Victoria, 41.0 Salinas Cruz, 35.5 Huajuapan De Leon, Min 30.8 Puerto Penasco.”
[Extreme Weather]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2096011681289634259
“Record Worth Breaking! Just one more week without a hurricane, and we break a 100+ year record for the latest forming hurricane – IF we even get one this year.
“The Atlantic has been laced with record storm shredding wind shear (red contours) in July and August. This is forecast to continue for at least the next 10 days, and possibly all fall.”
[Jeff Berardelli]
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/2095856116995432828
“Colorado Has Euthanized Nearly 300 Bears as Conflicts Continue to Rise.
“A prolonged drought has led to a record number of human-bear conflicts in Colorado — and it’s only getting worse. The state’s wildlife officers have called 2026 an “anomaly” for its massive spike of starving bears venturing into towns and breaking into homes in search of food.”
https://gearjunkie.com/outdoor/colorado-euthanized-nearly-300-bears-rising-conflicts
“Wells drying up at South Dakota homes and ranches due to heat and drought…
“…this year, perhaps the worst in recent memory, many shallow wells are running slow or have gone completely dry, forcing people to go to great lengths and expense to provide clean water for themselves or their livestock.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/rapid-city-black-hills-south-dakota-experts-pfas-b3044447.html
“HISTORIC AUTUMN HEAT WAVE – Records smashed all over North America from the Great Lakes (INSANE MINIMUM 79F in Chicago), Central Plains and all the way to MEXICO…
“Dozens of records of High Minimums on the plains (like Indianapolis Min 77F…).
[Extreme Temps]
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2095655485953159220
“The 10-year running average for CONUS September is now 67.53°F—and it’s very likely to climb even higher this year.
“Of the 93 Junes from 1903–1995, 26 (28%) were that cool or cooler. Think about that: today’s typical September is warmer than more than 1 in 4 historic Junes. September is now a BONA FIDE summer month.” [The Global Warmer]
https://x.com/TheGlobalWarmer/status/2095900440567099636
“State of emergency declared on Detroit’s east side after EF-2 tornado causes widespread damage.
“Detroit declared a state of emergency on the east side of town Friday after an EF-2 tornado toppled trees, damaged homes and buildings, and knocked out power for thousands of residents. The tornado is Detroit’s first in nearly 30 years.”
“The ‘end of the world’? No. But after a pair of deluges, it may have felt like it…
“The extraordinary rainfall came fast. At Buffalo Niagara International Airport, 1.77 inches fell between 7 and 8 p.m. Thursday, according to the National Weather Service − the second-highest one-hour precipitation total recorded at the airport since the weather service began keeping records there.”
https://buffalonews.com/news/local/weather/article_fb90659b-f403-4133-b79e-c217c3f43a4d.html
“How Thursday night’s DC storms became so violent — and produced nonstop lightning…
“Roaring winds toppled scores of trees, some onto wires, cars, and homes, rocked commercial jets stranded on Reagan National Airport’s runways, blew transformers, and cut power to more than 150,000 customers across the region. “I’ve never seen a storm like that in my life,” Charlie Wilson wrote on Facebook…”
“Toronto begins recovery after ‘100-year storm’ leaves behind massive flooding.
“Global News meteorologist Ross Hull said the average rainfall for August is roughly 78 mm of water. On Wednesday night, parts of Toronto received 150 mm in only a few hours…l City manager Paul Johnson said the quantity of rain that fell qualified the event as a “100-year storm” by Toronto’s definition.”
https://globalnews.ca/news/12046334/toronto-storm-recovery/
“Food supply chain is “insufficiently prepared” for upcoming extreme El Niño.
“The World Meteorological Organization is warning of major consequences in terms of precipitation, heat, and flooding. The food industry faces the threat of crop failures, as well as higher-priced raw materials, logistical disruptions, and new pressures on supply chains that are already (too) vulnerable.”
“Conflicts and extreme weather pushing global food prices higher, warns UN.
“Global food prices have hit a four-year high, the United Nations has warned. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) reported on Friday that its Food Price Index climbed for a third straight month to 133.3 points in August.”
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
As this El Nino progresses I think we are going to get a lot of headlines equivalent to “Never happened anywhere in the world”.
Below is an excellent review, and with plenty of references also worth following.
Why have climate impacts been underestimated?
“Records are tumbling and impacts not expected until mid-century are now hitting every continent – what happened?”
https://drtomharris.substack.com/p/why-have-climate-impacts-been-underestimated
“The historic underestimation [of climate change rate and impacts] to date is therefore a result of both:
– Qualitative: we discover new phenomena that were previously unsuspected; and
– Quantitative: the phenomena we were already aware of are larger, sometimes far larger in scale than first thought.”
“Changes and feedbacks can also be rate dependent, meaning that the incredible speed by which the planet is warming can itself create issues that a slower gradual warming would not encounter. A recent study on AMOC stability shows that it could remain stable even up to 5.5°C of warming if the warming rate was reduced significantly. Our current rate of warming shows AMOC collapse at just 2°C of warming in the same study.”
“Warming rate is also influencing the way oceans store heat. Faster warming traps heat at the surface, increasing stratification with far reaching impacts [and I’d add poorly understood and under represented in models or forecasts] … Furthermore, because climate disruption results from a major disturbance to a complex dynamic system, complex systems theory suggests that associated phenomena can host runaway dynamics …”
“The observed Earth Energy Imbalance exceeds what the models running SSP5-8.5 predicted up to this point, despite our emissions being substantially less.”
“For those that understand that SSP5-8.5 was an emissions scenario involving massive expansion of coal burning for the rest of the century, it’s removal makes perfect sense, since that is clearly not what is going to happen. It had nothing to do with climate predictions being over-egged or wrong. It’s actually a very clear example of the deliberate disinformation that deniers resort to …”
Also The Honest Sorserer’s latest:
Is This What The End of The Oil Age Looks Like?
https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/is-this-what-the-end-of-the-oil-age
“A quarter-century long period of shared prosperity, underpinned by a stable supply of oil, is coming to an ignominious end. More than two-thirds of the oil shipped worldwide now comes from countries which are either at war, under sanctions, or behind a blockade; resulting in a severely restricted petroleum supply, always at risk of getting even weaker. A new era of scarcity is upon us, which, at the world’s present state of severely depleted reserves of oil and mined minerals, weak economies, ballooning debt, and skyrocketing inequality means a worldwide economic contraction not seen in generations. If you were looking for the tipping point where centuries of growth finally gives way to the long decline of industrial civilization, look no further.”
“With 2026 the world economy has definitely reached an end to meaningful economic growth.”
At the end he says “The world economy won’t collapse, though”, and then gives another load of reasons why it quite likely might. At least we didn’t get “Another civilisation will rise” this time.
Also recommended:
Craig Tinsdale’s substack has a pretty good example of the confluence of climate, resource and economic collapse around the Rhine river.
Five Contracts, One River
https://ctindale.substack.com/p/five-contracts-one-river
and
The West’s Growing Precarity and Poverty
https://howtosavetheworld.ca/2026/09/03/the-wests-growing-precarity-and-poverty/
“What does it mean when a majority of people (those ‘below the median’) in most western countries are living from paycheque to paycheque, cannot afford to buy their own home, are at risk of having their life’s savings wiped out by a small market downturn even if they do own their own home, and could quickly drop into dire poverty or even homelessness if they lost their jobs or had to deal with one major medical or other crisis?” -I’d say it means we are heading for a global collapse with no way out, YMMV.
How to save the world link is not working for me.
I know what you mean.
Thank you, George – excellent links all. Glad to see your bête noire, ocean stratification, getting a nod in the Tom Harris piece.
The AMOC study he also mentions is very alarming, as we are are indeed on that “fast-forcing” trajectory and likely to hit 2C within a decade. And given that the warming rate is so critical, the mind boggles at what climatic upheaval might result from the sudden loss of global dimming following a collapse of industrial civilisation.
“France Allocates Over €1 Billion in Farm Aid After Heat Waves…”
And next time, or the one after that, they won’t be able to,
And the government will say ‘It’s over, please believe us, cus how can it possibly get any worse?!’
Et là tu te dis que c’est fini
Car pire que ça ce serait la mort
Quand tu crois enfin que tu t’en sors
Quand y en a plus et ben y en a encore……
Alors on danse.
Jupiviv, these are very tough times for French farmers. In spite of this largesse from the debt-strapped government, there will doubtless be more fiery protests this winter. The largest French farmers’ union is saying that it needs at least €2 Billion.
Some more French dance-pop; this with an epic 80’s nostalgia vid:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BD2imBF000s
I can speak to the Thursday night storm that swept the midwest and Atlantic states. I hate to use the phrase because I don’t want to sensationalize, but it really was unlike anything i’d seen. The sky was black by 6:15, winds of 80 mph, at least a full inch of rain in two hours, and i counted 31 flashes of lightning in 60 seconds from my porch. Only had mild leaks and flooding in the house, and lost power for about ten hours, but no major wind damage for our home. I was honestly surprised it wasn’t worse here
Thank you, John, for the on the ground intel. Glad your infrastructure mostly rode it out. Wild storms have been startling the hell out of Europe, too, over the summer. I recall this report from Colin McCarthy in Amsterdam at the end of June:
“I have truly witnessed an unbelievable thunderstorm outbreak in Amsterdam tonight. We’re going on 4 hours straight of constant lightning and downpours… The Netherlands just shattered its all-time lightning record, over 300,000 discharges in a single day…”
https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/2071202289281311040
BREAKING: ECMWF JUST TOOK EL NIÑO TO ANOTHER LEVEL.
The latest ECMWF Niño 3.4 plume, initialized 1 September 2026, is projecting the event to peak around +4.0°C above the 1991–2020 average in December.
That would be an extraordinary magnitude.
For perspective, ECMWF says the observed Niño 3.4 peak in November 2015 reached about +3.0°C.
So this model run is pointing toward a peak roughly 1°C above the 2015 event.
And the scary part?
🔥 The ensemble is heavily clustered above +3.5°C
🔥 Several members push beyond +4°C
🔥 Peak arrives right around Dec 2026
🔥 El Niño is already intensifying rapidly
This is still a forecast — not an observed record — and extreme ENSO forecasts carry substantial uncertainty. ECMWF itself cautions that unusually large anomalies require careful interpretation.
But if this signal verifies…
2026 could witness an El Niño unlike anything in the modern record.
The Pacific is entering uncharted territory. 🌊🔥
7:05 PM · Sep 5, 2026
https://x.com/gaurav_kochar/status/2096283485233381441/photo/1
Scarier may be that it looks like El Nino conditions could last into autumn 2027 so it will have affected two harvests and two rainy seasons.
https://youtu.be/NQR1TjmDKug?is=WD4AIcF7JlpPRN0M
Reason to resist Israel water crisis
A good update
Israel won’t exist in 15 years.
Put a pin in it.
More Central Banks are pulling their gold hoards out of the US and/or selling US Treasuries. Not a good sign as Central Banks are very conservative in their investing decisions.
Buckle up Buttercup! Trump is doing his best to trash the fiat currency US greenback.
If you can’t hold your PMs, you don’t own then.
Bob Shaw Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
Eco-modernists mostly ignore environmental damage from green technologies, but:
The carbon footprint of metal mining could be ten times larger than previously thought
Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Acid Mine Drainage Neutralization Are a Major Component of Metal Mining Carbon Footprints.
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.6c05684
The water footprints of the global minerals trade
“Water use in the production of minerals represents an underappreciated risk to national resilience in both producer and consumer countries. Unsustainable water practices can cause severe local shortages and environmental impacts, with knock-on effects for the stability of supply chains. ”
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/08/water-footprints-global-minerals-trade
Summarised best by ourcrisesincontext, who said eco-modernists are “creepy and I don’t like them” (though I would say Mark Lynas is a pretty good writer when he sticks to the facts).
Worried about microplastics and nanoplastics? No worries! The kids are on it. [Sigh 😭 ]
https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/mcvmagazine/issues/2026/sep-oct/qa.html
After reading all of the links above: Let us not ever forget that Trump proclaimed that CC is a hoax.
What an idiot!
I asked Google: what percentage of Americans still believe climate change is a hoax?
Between 12% and 15% of Americans outright deny that climate change or global warming is real.
Key Survey and Study Findings
Outright Denial: A University of Michigan study analyzing millions of social media posts estimated that roughly 15% of Americans do not believe climate change is real.
Similarly, recent data from sources like Forbes and polling aggregates note that about 12% to 14% of people believe there is no solid evidence the Earth is warming. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Skepticism on Human Causes: While total denial is low, a larger group is skeptical about the cause. Recent data indicates that around 22% attribute warming entirely to natural patterns, while others remain unsure.
General Concern: Overall, roughly 64% to 73% of Americans believe global warming is happening, and a majority express concern or recognize that it is driven by human activity.
AMOC collapse is gathering speed .
https://www.sciencefocus.com/planet-earth/atlantic-ocean-circulation-disaster
They say that the AMOC collapse would bring signifigantly colder temps to Europe, but we are seeing the opposite.
OMG! Krakatoa is going to cause a volcanic winter. Take that, global warming.