Huge thanks to August’s sponsor, Mick, who wishes to recommend the book “Wild Free and Happy” by Richard Adrian Reese, which can be downloaded for free here. You can also find it in the PDF resource section at the excellent Post-Doom website.
“Collapse of critical Atlantic current is no longer low-likelihood, study finds…
“Scientists have warned previously that Amoc collapse must be avoided “at all costs”. It would shift the tropical rainfall belt on which many millions of people rely to grow their food, plunge western Europe into extreme cold winters and summer droughts, and add 50cm to already rising sea level.”
“The reduction in air pollution (aerosols, blue line) could lead to rapid slowdown of the AMOC.
“Global warming from greenhouse gases (GHG, orange) causes the AMOC to weaken.
“Aerosols more than compensated for that. Now aerosols are reduced, we could see accelerated weakening!” [Leon Simons]
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1961675499295391873
“The Korea Polar Research Institute announced on August 29 that it has confirmed the eastward spread of Siberian river discharge, organic matter, and sediment into the East Siberian Sea as a result of climate change…
“The research team attributed the phenomenon to the weakening of the Beaufort Gyre—a clockwise ocean current in the Beaufort Sea that normally prevents Siberian river water from spreading eastward.”
http://www.koreapost.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=45925
“The extraordinary abnormal warmth in SIBERIA expands East: The cold pole Verkhoyansk is still recording maxes >25C and Batamaj has recorded 7 consecutive maxes >25C and 2 more are on the way (never recorded >25C later than now).
“Even at 70N maxes still >23C. Unprecedented.
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1961148524373950812
“UK’s largest lake faces environmental crisis as rescue plans stall [Northern Ireland]…
“Lough Neagh’s recurrent algal blooms, which choke aquatic life, are caused by an overload of phosphorous and nitrogen entering the lough system. Sixty two percent of these derive from agricultural sources – including farm runoff, fertilisers and animal waste, while 24% comes from creaking wastewater treatment facilities and 12% from septic tank leakage.”
“Floods end UK’s hottest summer on record…
“On Tuesday, the Met Office said this summer would “almost certainly” be the UK’s warmest on record as the mean average temperature for the season stood at 16.13C, based on data up to Aug 25. If this season is confirmed as setting a new high for average temperature, it will mean all of the UK’s top five warmest summers will have occurred since the year 2000.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/08/29/floods-set-to-end-hottest-summer-on-record/
“Octopus bloom devastates UK crab industry amid marine heatwave…
““It’s like a perfect storm for us,” Tapper told AFP from Plymouth Harbour, where his three purpose-built crab fishing vessels are idled. The 53-year-old estimates his catch is down by half, and risks dropping by four-fifths in 2025.”
“How flash droughts driven by climate change sparked record wildfires in Spain.
“Unlike traditional droughts, which unfold gradually over months or even years due to prolonged lack of rainfall, flash droughts occur much faster. They typically emerge when low precipitation coincides with abnormally high temperatures, often during heatwaves, along with high winds and shifts in solar radiation.”
“Climate Change Is Transforming Summer in Europe…
“In Europe, which has warmed about twice as fast as the global average, climate change has begun to force difficult questions about the economic and cultural costs of adapting to a dangerously warming planet.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/28/climate/climate-change-summer-europe-heat.html
“New research has revealed how climate change is intensifying supercell thunderstorms in Europe.
“The study, published in Science Advances, warns that the Alpine region and parts of Central and Eastern Europe can expect a significant increase in storm activity.”
“100mph wind gusts nearly overturned an aircraft while it was stopped on the runway at Cagnano Airport in Corsica this morning.
“Dramatic footage shows the plane swaying and struggling to stay upright in the strong wind… storms have uprooted trees, damaged homes and triggered floods as emergency services are pushed to their limits.”
“Verretto, tornado destroys homes, businesses, and vegetation [N Italy].
“There isn’t a single home that hasn’t suffered damage. Even minimal damage. Of the approximately 150 homes in Verretto, a town a short distance from Casteggio, 30 suffered serious damage from Thursday afternoon’s tornado. Some were completely roofless, others destroyed…”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWGaGcu6PGE
“Water bomb in Margherita di Savoia [N Italy], dozens of calls to firefighters.
“Since late Friday evening, the province of Barletta-Andria-Trani has been hit by a violent meteorological event that has hit the municipality of Margherita di Savoia particularly hard , where heavy rainfall has caused widespread disruption.”
“Here we go: as forecast, spectacular switch from near cold record to near heat record in Eastern Europe.
“Minimum temperatures up to 27C in the Balkans, and also 23C in Slovakia and Poland, although some dropped later in the afternoon. Bielsko Biale missed its record at the last hour.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1961499841223143590
“Romania sees surge in extreme weather alerts…
““Climate change is amplifying the intensity of extreme weather events,” said Bogdan Antonescu, a physicist specialising in atmospheric physics, quoted in Greenpeace’s press release. “A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture and increases the energy that fuels storms.””
https://www.intellinews.com/romania-sees-surge-in-extreme-weather-alerts-398560/?source=romania
“Greece’s Water Crisis Deepens: Farmers in Larissa Left Without Harvest After Irrigation Fiasco.
“Greece’s breadbasket, Thessaly, faces crop ruin as poor water governance and climate extremes leave farmers without irrigation two years after storm Daniel [pictured]… “Farmers lost their crops. Larissa is heading into a difficult winter”, said Christos Souliotis, president of the Agricultural Cooperative of Thessalian Tomato Producers.”
“MEDITERRANEAN HEAT WAVE. Another scorching hot day (and night) in North Africa:
“Maximum temperatures >46C [114.8F] in Algeria and 45C in Tunisia. Minimums locally >33C. Tunisian 2nd largest city Bizerte had a RECORD HOT NIGHT: Minimum 29.1C.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1961096210116137429
“Drought-hit Morocco deploys floating solar panels to protect water reserves.
“Sun-baked Morocco, grappling with its worst drought in decades, has launched a pilot project aimed at slowing water evaporation while simultaneously generating green energy using floating solar panels.”
“Nigeria needs more than simply prayers to solve its food crisis…
“Daniel Obiora, president of the All Farmers Association of Nigeria, has echoed similar concerns, pointing out that the government’s failure to invest in dams and climate-adaptive farming practices has been a major factor contributing to the current food crisis.”
“Summer in winter continues in SOUTH AFRICA with tropical nights and records:
“Tonight the Minimum temperature at Mbazwana was 21.3C [70.3F], the hottest night ever recorded in winter.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1961392129936142577
“MIDDLE EAST also keeps being hot like an oven with max temperatures still peaking locally >48C and above all, extremely hot night, locally still >35C (Dubai min today was 35.1C / 95F).
“September will witness an avalanche of records also in the area.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1961422415407239501
“Worst-Case scenario: Fishermen walk across Tigris [Iraq].
“The Tigris River, once a vital waterway running through the heart of Baghdad, has receded to such low levels that fishermen are now able to walk deep into its bed in search of fish. Iraq currently holds only around eight billion cubic meters of water in its reservoirs — roughly 8% of the country’s total storage capacity.”
https://shafaq.com/en/society/Worst-Case-scenario-Fishermen-walk-across-Tigris
“Iraq to press Turkiye, Iran for water releases…
“According to a statement from Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani’s media office, the Council, chaired by al-Sudani, instructed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to formally approach Ankara over boosting flows in the Tigris and Euphrates, while also approving a technical ministerial meeting with Tehran to discuss releases from the Karun and Karkheh rivers.”
https://shafaq.com/en/Iraq/Iraq-to-press-Turkiye-Iran-for-water-releases
“Nine Million Afghans Affected by Climate Crisis, Says Aid Group.
“Nearly nine million people in Afghanistan have been affected by climate-related disasters such as droughts and floods over the past year, according to the German aid group Help – Help for Self Help. Western Afghanistan has been hit particularly hard.”
https://kabulnow.com/2025/08/nine-million-afghans-affected-by-climate-crisis-says-aid-group/
“Behind Pakistan’s repeated floods: Melting glaciers, depleted forests…
“Pakistan is facing a multitude of climate emergencies – its forests are shrinking, glaciers are melting faster than anticipated, and now catastrophic rains are devastating communities. Rampant deforestation has eroded natural buffers, while warming mountain temperatures weaken glaciers…”
“‘The water left nothing’: Pakistan’s Punjab province reels from deadly floods.
“Iman Salim is used to seeing flood waters in the field of lush lilypads next to her home in the village of Kamanwala. But nothing prepared her for this week, when torrential monsoon rains that broke a 49-year record lashed the area, flooding her house with water that rose above her chest.”
“‘Everything has been lost’: Kashmir floods, landslides kill dozens…
“Jammu recorded its heaviest-ever 24-hour rainfall on Tuesday – 380mm, compared with the previous record of 270.4mm in 1988 – triggering widespread devastation across the region… In Jammu, the floods surged through the city and swept away bridges on the Tawi, a major lifeline for the region.”
“Himachal monsoon toll rises to 310; roads, power supply hit across state…
“Road connectivity remains the biggest challenge. Over 670 roads, including three national highways, are blocked. In Mandi alone, 342 roads — including NH-03 — are shut, while Kullu has 131 blockages and NH-305 closed. In Kinnaur, NH-05 is blocked at Nigulsari Tranda.”
https://ddnews.gov.in/en/himachal-monsoon-toll-rises-to-310-roads-power-supply-hit-across-state/
“Bangladesh heatwaves hit health hard, making life a costly business.
“As climate change worsens heat stress in Bangladesh, families are seeing their medical, energy and transport bills rise, straining household budgets… Heatstroke, a potentially fatal condition where body temperature rises above 104°F (40C), is also becoming more common.”
“Hong Kong sees record number of tropical cyclone warnings this year.
“The Hong Kong Observatory issued a No. 1 standby signal on Thursday evening, marking the eighth tropical cyclone warning this year—the highest number recorded between January and August since 1946.”
“EAST ASIA ENDLESS RECORD HEAT: Temperatures still >40C [104F] in China,>37C in Korea and Japan (it will approach 40C again next days) with night minimums locally >30C!
“Tonight it was the hottest night in history in the South Korean town of Cheorwon with a minimum of 26.6C.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1961370956661674437
“Indonesia’s coastal island faces climate crisis amid seawall debate…
“The government describes the colossal wall as one of its “most vital” initiatives to help coastal communities in Java, which is home to more than half of Indonesia’s 280 million citizens, as well as the fast-sinking capital, Jakarta.”
“Victoria warned to prepare for ‘destruction’ with severe weather and snow forecast [Australia].
“Victoria warned to prepare for ‘destruction’ with severe weather and snow forecast. Gusts reaching up to 130km/h [80mph] expected to push further into south-eastern states on Saturday, bringing showers, hail and thunderstorms.”
“Over 11 gruesome kilometres, teams fill bag after bag of marine life killed by SA’s stubborn algal bloom.
“The circling, squawking gulls show where the bodies are buried. Early on a cold winter’s day, mucky foam and seaweed cover the sand at Grange beach – and the dead fish and leafy sea dragons. Every morning, council workers clear out the carnage…”
“Amazon Summit Shows Scant Progress.
“…more summits do not necessarily mean more results: At the 2023 event, Brazil’s goal of getting all eight countries to sign on to a target of zero deforestation was blocked by countries that reportedly included Bolivia, Guyana, and Suriname. (The remaining ACTO members are Ecuador, Peru, and Venezuela.”
“Garbage is a headache that has become a migraine for Conagua [Mexico].
“Residents across the country are suffering the consequences of flooding this rainy season, a phenomenon that has been aggravated by problems such as garbage accumulation and poor urban planning.”
https://politica.expansion.mx/cdmx/2025/08/29/basura-en-el-drenaje-e-inundaciones-conagua
“Explosion at Louisiana Oil Plant Leaves Black Community Coated in Toxic Fallout…
““They don’t care about us,” said Taylor, referring to both the industrial company and government officials. “There is no way people don’t get sick, because we need help over here and we’re not getting it.””
https://capitalbnews.org/louisiana-oil-plant-explosion/
“Despite the cold snap, record heat now outnumbers record cold by more than 3 to 1 in the US. In a normal climate, they’d be equal.
“After billions of years of natural hot & cold cycles, human forcing has now overtaken nature as the long term driving force of our present & future climate evolution…” [Jeff Berardelli]
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1961240301982339481
“Destructive hailstorms carved 400kmh scar across the Prairies [Canada].
“Two rounds of thunderstorms caused significant and widespread hail damage throughout southern portions of Alberta and Saskatchewan. The storms destroyed crops, shattered windows, and defoliated trees.”
“Before 2023, the global record for fire clouds in a single year was 102.
“But in 2023, Canada alone produced 140 pyroCb, the most ever recorded in one country. And that’s not counting dozens more in the U.S..” [Colin McCarthy]
https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1961241259177353560
“CANADA HEAT WAVE – intense heat spreads North and East to Alberta and Northwest Territories with temperatures >33/34C north of 60N latitude.
“This will just get worse with an early autumn heat wave which will rewrite climatic history by breaking multiple WORLD RECORDS.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1961584683914826109
“Scientist Shuts Himself in 104F Chamber in Quest to Study Heat Stress.
“Earlier this summer, Glen Kenny spent three days confined to a special chamber inside his University of Ottawa lab where the daytime temperature was set at 40C (104F). The purpose was to see how the researcher’s 61-year-old body held up in brutal indoor temperatures observed during a 2021 heat wave that killed hundreds of Canadians.”
I rely on donations and tips from my readers to to keep the site running. Every little bit helps. Can you chip in even a dollar? Buy me a coffee or become a Patreon supporter. A huge thank you to those who do subscribe or donate.
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
The Law of the Non-Subject
In Ottawa, a 61-year-old scientist locked himself in a chamber heated to 40 degrees Celsius for three days. That scientist was Dr. Glen P. Kenny, a prominent professor of Physiology at the University of Ottawa and director of the Human and Environmental Physiology Research Unit. He is known for pioneering research on body temperature, thermoregulation, and heat stress in humans.
And one day he thought… why not try it myself as a guinea pig.
The goal: to study how an older body reacts to extreme indoor heat. The outcome? That it’s heavy, and dangerous. That really says it all. Exactly the same was clear back in 2021, when hundreds of elderly Canadians died in their apartments during a heat wave. You don’t need a laboratory to understand that trapped heat can be lethal.
And yet a battery of sensors and models was deployed. Not to discover anything new, but to put numbers to what reality had already proven. It is the perfect illustration of the Law of the Non-Subject: as soon as an issue becomes too large or too threatening, the debate shifts to simulations, tables, and academic framing. The essence — that heat waves are already here and that people are dying from them — disappears behind the laboratory screens.
Thus even something as tangible as deadly heat becomes a non-subject. No longer about the weather outside, but about the experiment inside. No longer about how cities and societies cope with rising temperatures, but about how one man sweats for three days in a room.
The atmosphere couldn’t care less. Guinea pigs or not, it keeps warming — regardless of the conclusions drawn in the heat chamber.
Zip, this does seem to be an, at least somewhat, superfluous area of study. Perhaps there are applications that have not occurred to us.
“Exactly the same was clear back in 2021, when hundreds of elderly Canadians died in their apartments during a heat wave.”
This pending Canadian heatwave is going to be staggering for September. 😬
What a bummer, hey Doomer,
Brazil’s goal of getting all eight countries to sign on to a target of zero deforestation was blocked by countries
Pan, saw this yesterday in my surfing and connected the two
Isolated Amazon tribe seen near logging bridge site, alarming rights group
By Associated Press
Aug 28, 2025
BOGOTA, Colombia
AP
—
Members of an Indigenous tribe who live deep in Peru’s Amazon rainforest and avoid contact with outsiders have been reported entering a neighboring village in what activists consider an alarming sign that the group is under stress from development.
The sightings of members of Mashco Piro tribe come as a logging company is building a bridge that could give outsiders easier access to the tribe’s territory, a move that could raise the risk of disease and conflict, according to Survival International, which advocates for Indigenous rights.
The Mashco Piro are among the world’s largest uncontacted groups, living without regular interaction with outside society to protect their culture and health. Even a simple cold can be deadly to the group because it lacks immunity to common diseases.
Loggers who encroached on the tribe’s lands have previously been killed.
The “cancer” march continues it’s spread on the Petri dish we named Planet Earth.
The collapse can’t come soon enough for these folks….what a tragedy we call progress..
What a sorry state of affairs, Vince. How terrifying and bewildering the infringement of modern industrial civilisation must seem to these people.
Strange to think that “stone age” tribes like this probably have the best chance of making it out of the 21st century. “The first shall be last and the last shall be first…”
Very good read
Book overview
Anthropologist Kenneth Good went to the rain forests of the Amazon to study the Yanomami. He found more than one of the few remaining peoples untouched by modern “civilization.” During more than a decade of observation, Good found himself accepted, indeed virtually adopted, by the tribe and eventually fell in love with a young Yanomami woman. In the process, he made exciting new discoveries about the tribal people and about himself. Into the Heart is the fascinating story of his journey of discovery.
Into The Heart: One Man’s Pursuit of Love and Knowledge Among the Yanomami
I remember reading this book back in 1997 and recall how ignorant they viewed him and chuckled about his lack of sense. He realized they just had a different set of knowledge, but were just as intelligent.
He wedded a wife among tgem.moved to the US and she was very lonely and said people here were lonely and moved back with the child they had
Vince, a bit tacky, I know, but Sting always pops into my head when the Yanomami are mentioned because he has long championed their cause.
An old favourite of mine:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MxtYzo0OLXs&list=RDMxtYzo0OLXs&start_radio=1
“Worst-Case scenario: Fishermen walk across Tigris [Iraq].”
I used to think climate change would be merely a catalyst to accelerated net energy decline in the 2030s/40s. Now I fear the early stages of net energy decline within the next few years (2027-30) will coincide with rapidly unfurling climate catastrophe, leading into something resembling a full-on collapse scenario by the late 2030s.
Well, not long before we have conclusive evidence either way.
Jupiviv, at the very least we will be seeing “local collapses” or regional breakdowns leading to cascading effects worldwide in the 2030’s.
Yes sir
We may not have to wait until the 2030s.
From Alistair MacLeod:
Value theory tells us that low bond yields are good for equities, while high bond yields are bad. The chart above captures and confirms this relationship by rebasing both the S&P index and the long bond’s inverted yield to 1985. For most of the time, this negative correlation is close and confirmed.
The greatest exceptions were in 2020 during and shortly following covid lockdowns, when economic activity was suspended and bond yields were suppressed toward the zero bound by the Fed’s policies. The severe undervaluation of the long bond without a commensurate bullish equity response needs no explanation.
The second exception is today, with equities hitting new highs while the long bond yield is at the highest levels for 18 years. This disparity is at a record: either the long bond’s yield must fall sharply, or the S&P must collapse to correct it. In fact, this gap is more than twice as extreme than during the dotcom bubble and is probably at the highest level ever.
It is not unusual for equities to rise in the early stages of a bond bear market. It is the second phase of the bond bear which kills equities. And if, as now seems inevitable, long bond yields rise from here a severe bear market in equities is bound be triggered.
The shape of the next financial crisis is now becoming apparent. Rising bond yields, driven by increasing risk in the light of G7 government debt crises in the four major currencies will have the following consequences:
· A collapse in equities, the suddenness of which will be exacerbated by sudden awareness of the knock-on consequences.
· Liquidation of malinvestments in the private sector, leading to insolvencies, unemployment, and potential banking distress.
· Panicked collateral liquidation of equity stocks by banks as loans become uncovered.
· Economic slumps in all the G7, leading to lower tax revenues and higher welfare costs leading to soaring budget deficits, which in turn tightens the bond trap screws.
· A doom loop of rising bond yields, interest rates, deficits, collapsing financial collateral values, deepening economic slumps, corporate failures, and banking crises. Rinse and repeat, again and again.
· Financial and systemic contagion between G7 nations will ensure that none of them escape the collapse, and individual national remedies will be overwhelmed.
In a nutshell, the entire system of credit embodied in fiat currencies faces the prospect of a rapid collapse. Undoubtedly, governments, their finance ministries, and their central banks will move heaven and earth to prevent widespread bankruptcies and their systemic consequences by expanding ultra-short term government finance, undermining the value of their fiat currencies.
https://open.substack.com/pub/alasdairmacleod/p/gold-and-the-g7-debt-crisis
Rusty, I am myself doubtful that we avoid GFC 2.0 this decade, let alone the next. Tim Morgan’s most recent is in similar vein:
“The coming deconstruction of global money. The centre cannot hold [interestingly, this is the same Yeats’ quote with which David Korowicz begins his “Trade Off” paper. I wonder if this is just coincidence].
“It’s often said that the “World order” – the set of arrangements introduced after the Second World War – is crumbling. It would be foolhardy to assume that this chaotic de-structuring will not extend into the monetary system itself.”
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2025/08/06/308-the-coming-deconstruction-of-global-money/