Huge thanks to Gerry for being this month’s sponsor. He has asked me to post the following: Still alive in ’25 – we’re all in this together! Find supportive community and resources at postdoom.com (founded by Michael Dowd; RIP).
“What the global elite reveal to Davos sex workers: High-class escort spills the beans on how wealthy ‘know the world is doomed, so may as well go out with a bang’…
“Convinced that a climate change apocalypse is upon us they shamelessly spend their vast wealth on expensive escorts in Switzerland… which they fly to in their environmentally-unfriendly private jets.”
“A third of the Arctic’s vast carbon sink now a source of emissions, study reveals.
“…ecosystems in the region are increasingly becoming a contributor to global heating as they release more CO2 into the atmosphere with rising temperatures, a new study published in Nature Climate Change concluded.”
“Study finds rocky seashore species in Scotland affected by climate change.
“An increase in the temperature of Scotland’s seas over the last decade has been found to be changing the types of animals and plants found on rocky shores in Scotland to those that favour warmer waters, according to a NatureScot study published today.”
https://www.nature.scot/study-finds-rocky-seashore-species-scotland-affected-climate-change
“Wow! According to data from flightradar, BA274 flying Las Vegas to Heathrow has just hit a speed of 814mph thanks to extreme jetstream winds!
“The subsonic speed record is 835mph, with the jetstream strengthening later, this record is under threat.”
https://x.com/bbcweather/status/1882013275132477779
“Storm Eowyn is an absolute beast barrelling toward Ireland this Friday…
“…with the European model predicting wind gusts up to 140 mph (225 km/h) just offshore and colossal waves reaching heights up to 70 feet (21 m).”
https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1882325336907772022
Unfortunately, I am also in Eowyn’s crosshairs with the Met forecasting winds of over 100mph tomorrow – extremely rare, even here. Power-cuts are probable, so if I go silent on you this is why.
“Southern UK is hit with a TORNADO warning today… before Storm Eowyn blows in tomorrow – as experts fear a ‘one-in-100-year’ storm will rip across British isles with ‘off-the-scale’ 125mph winds.
“High speed winds are expected to cause power cuts, travel disruption and damage to buildings, as well as a potential danger to life caused by flying debris.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14315067/Tornado-warning-England-Storm-Eowyn-weather.html
“Reeves says growth eclipses net zero as Heathrow runway decision looms.
“Economic growth is more important to the UK government than net zero, Rachel Reeves has said, dropping a heavy hint that she intends to shrug off climate concerns and reaffirm her backing for a third runway at Heathrow.”
“Dutch court orders government to cut nitrogen emissions…
“A Dutch court ordered the government on Wednesday to drastically cut nitrogen emissions in the Netherlands by 2030, in a ruling that could hurt construction and will put pressure on farmers to reduce livestock. The case was brought by Greenpeace…”
“Revealed: US climate denial group working with European far-right parties…
“MEPs have been accused of “rolling out the red carpet for climate deniers” to give them a platform in the European parliament, amid warnings of a “revival of grotesque climate denialism”.”
“Mt Adamello and Mandrone Glacier [Italy’s largest]
1891 | 2020
“Hard to comprehend the scale of ice loss, even at high altitude (Adamello is 3554m)!”
https://x.com/subfossilguy/status/1882049125635752439
“Storm Garoé strikes Spain again: Tornadoes, torrential rain, and flooding fears as country braces for more chaos…
“The weather is also wreaking havoc in parts of Andalucía, Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Extremadura, and Galicia, where it continues to chuck it down.”
“Wooow! My first ever waterspout + lightning barrage.
Taken around 22:17 local time from Paphos [Cyprus].
https://x.com/kairokiitsak/status/1882164616484327827
“Record warmth in the Mediterranean again.
“MINIMUM temperatures >18C [64.4F] in Northern African coast and new January record at Tangier MOROCCO with a minimum of 17.9C. Next days temperatures up to 25C+ in SPAIN, >30C in Egypt, >40C in Chad.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1882050593595998483
“GHANA AGAIN – three months breaking records continuously, every single day, in every station.
“Last record to fall: 39.1C at Ho today, hottest January day on record. It’ll be hotter tomorrow in the whole area, so let’s expect more records to come. >40C [104F] in Togo, Ivory Coast, Chad and Cameroon.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1882230361675255890
“Beat the heat and stay hydrated: Cape Town faces extreme heatwave.
“As temperatures continue to soar across Cape Town with daytime temperatures between 37- and 42-degrees Celsius [107.6F] members of the public are urged to protect themselves.”
“Donkeys are dropping dead in severe Zimbabwe drought…
“Zimbabwe is battling a severe drought that has dragged on for over a year, locking animals in a desperate state of hunger and thirst. The smattering of rain in Bulawayo has not reached outlying areas where animals have no food and no water.”
https://animalsurvival.org/appeal/zimbabwe-mares-drought-jan-25/
“Meet Kenya’s climate refugees.
“More than 320,000 people have fled to Kenya’s Dadaab Refugee Complex from unlivable conditions brought on by prolonged droughts, floods, and conflict in Somalia to the north. As temperatures rise, these humanitarian crises will intensify, exacerbating inequality and instability.”
https://theecologist.org/2025/jan/23/meet-kenyas-climate-refugees
“EXTRAORDINARY MALDVES – national record of hottest January day broken again!
“Two years of records broken and rebroken continuously every day of the month, all months of the year. 33.8C [92.8F] Hanimaadhoo today destroys the January 2024 record.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1881728304727949352
“Iran Faces a Harsh Summer Ahead.
“Water scarcity has become one of Iran’s main crises. Due to declining rainfall in recent years and mismanagement of water resources, it is predicted that the upcoming summer will pose even more serious challenges in this regard.”
https://iranfocus.com/iran/53192-iran-faces-a-harsh-summer-ahead/
“Heavy rain caused Guangdong [SE China] landslide, report finds…
“Rainfall in April last year was unusually concentrated in most parts of Guangdong, with the Meilin weather station, about 700 meters from the disaster site, recording 740.5 millimeters for the month. It was the highest amount since records began.”
https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202501/23/WS67919602a310a2ab06ea8b85.html
“Hundreds block Cambodian highway to protest irrigation water shortage…
“Cambodian farmers have faced several droughts over the last 20 years. At least 1.1 million hectares of rice crops were affected and more than 30,535 hectares were seriously damaged by drought during the 2023-2024 dry season.”
https://www.rfa.org/english/cambodia/2025/01/21/cambodia-villagers-demand-water/
“ENDLESS RECORD HEAT IN SE ASIA.
“It ‘s been 23 months now with thousands of records broken every single day. Last “victim” was the Mindanao hill town of Malaybalay PHILIPPINES with its hottest January day in history with 34.4C [93.9F].”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1881975092445667384
“Death toll in deadly flooding and landslides in Indonesia rises to 21…
“Waters from flooded rivers tore through nine villages in the Pekalongan regency of Central Java province and landslides tumbled onto mountainside hamlets after torrential rains on Monday.”
“INSANE RECORD HEAT NEVER ENDS IN AUSTRALIA.
“More and more records of highest minimum temperatures today (and more to come next days) in this historic heat wave. That includes the all time highest Min of 27.0C [80.6F] at Donnybrook (115 years of data).”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1881995359901405431
“Wild storms flattened trees across south-east Queensland while a heatwave has persisted across the state.
“Wind gusts of up to 93km/h were recorded sending heavy rain sideways at Coolangatta. “We just had a little tornado come through,” one Coolangatta local said.”
“Unusual phenomenon reported that left thousands of dead fish stranded on the shore of a beach in Arica [Chile].
“The incident occurred on Chinchorro beach, and many people went to the area to collect these fish to take them home. However, the Health Advisor of the region called on people not to take them or consume them.”
“Exceptional heat in Rio de Janeiro BRAZIL.
“Several areas of the city last night remained above +27C/+28C [82.4F] of minimum temperature, on par with the 2014 records. Next few days will remain hot day and night.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1882111228191056080
“Rio Zoo Provides Ice Pops To Animals During Heatwave.
“A Rio de Janeiro zoo is taking measures to ensure the well-being of its animals as Brazil experiences scorching temperatures. To help the bear, jaguar, wolves, and monkeys cope with the heat, the zoo has introduced a refreshing treat in the form of ice pops.”
https://www.inkl.com/news/rio-zoo-provides-ice-pops-to-animals-during-heatwave
“The year the rainforest dried up: how the climate crisis beached Brazil’s floating communities [photos].
“The community of São Francisco de Marina became almost completely isolated due to the drought. The floating houses ran aground, and the channels were so shallow that it was no longer possible to travel along them by boat.”
““Absurd increase” in Brazil forest fires last year…
“Wildfires in Brazil last year burned an area larger than Italy, according to the MapBiomas monitor… “It was an absurd increase,” said Ane Alencar, coordinator of MapBiomas, adding, “Once a forest is hit by fire, it takes years and years to recover”.”
https://www.graphicnews.com/en/pages/46702/climate-brazil-wildfires-exploded-in-2024
“Microsoft secures deal to restore Amazon rainforest and offset AI emissions…
“Increasingly energy intensive data centres still obtain power from grids where oil, coal and gas are burnt for fuel. This means tech companies seeking to meet their green pledges rely on buying carbon credits…”
https://www.ft.com/content/3ac7e92f-bea5-4460-8791-23a2697d8b80
“At least 10 dead as record-breaking snowstorm sweeps across the South.
“Florida saw its most snow on record, with 9.8 inches of snow recorded in Milton, northeast of Pensacola. Pensacola also saw an all-time record for the city with 8.9 inches.” [“This is more snow in one day than Pensacola picked up in the previous 124 years combined.” @gdimeweather]
https://abcnews.go.com/US/wednesday-us-weather-snow-south-gulf-coast/story
“New all time record lows were set Wednesday morning. National Weather Service Meteorologist Stacey Denson says single digit temperature readings were recorded across southwest Louisiana.
““In Lake Charles this morning we got down to six-degrees, which is the second coldest ever, and then Lafayette and New Iberia were the coldest on record, ” Denson said.”
“Hughes Fire in LA County explodes to over 10,000 acres near Castaic, with tens of thousands urged to evacuate…
“Los Angeles County Sheriff Robert Luna said 31,000 people were under mandatory evacuation orders and 23,000 more under warnings. Roughly 4,500 inmates from Pitchess Detention Center were evacuated during the fire.”
https://www.cbsnews.com/losangeles/news/hughes-fire-castaic-los-angeles-county-updates/
“Apartments for $20,000 a month: residents scramble after wildfires deepen LA’s housing crisis…
“Now, with more than 15,000 structures estimated to have burned to the ground, most of them residential buildings, the pressure is on to find alternative housing for tens of thousands of people who either lost everything or cannot go back to their homes…”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/22/la-wildfires-housing-crisis
“Just South of Greenland — the Sub-polar North Atlantic is on fire:”
[Prof Eliot Jacobson]
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lgb7wljdms2j
“Since March 13, 2023, global sea surface temperatures have been setting daily records compared to the pre-2023 record high for each day, with the exception of 5 days in late December, 2024.
“Thanks to @leonsimons.bsky.social for the idea to graph this.”
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lgdm2zqugk22
“NASA data shows that the rate of global warming over the past 15 years was about 9 times as high as between 1880 and 1970!
“There is more and more evidence that the rate of global warming has doubled since 2010!”
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1882151145172586766
“Global warming has accelerated, a lot!
“The first 19 days of 2025 were on average +1.74°C above pre-industrial. That’s about 0.1°C warmer than the same period last year when we had an El Niño; now we have a La Niña.”
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1881673061126287438
“Orange rivers, longer days: Nine ways our planet changed in its hottest year yet…
“Last year was the hottest in history… As the effects of climate change intensified last year, some impacts on humanity were immediate and brutal… Others are yet to make their implications known.”
“Why we still don’t know the mounting health risks of climate change…
“At the fundamental level, gene expression can be altered by environmental stressors. For example, studies show1 that people who were exposed to bouts of hot, dry weather while in the womb have an increased likelihood of high blood pressure as adults…”
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-00149-5
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
The acceleration in warming seems perfectly consistent with either a permanent drop in albedo (whether from aerosols, clouds, ice are some combination) or increased ocean stratification so that less heat is being taken to depth. It is not consistent with an expectation that things are going to revert to the recent mean, or maybe to just a bit worse than that. I’d say it’s much more likely future warming will be closer to 1 degree per decade (and accelerating) than 0.4 (and also accelerating).
George, I would agree that even a reversion to the pre-2023 mean seems unlikely. We have lurched forwards far too dramatically these past two years, with ENSO conditions apparently no longer the dominant driver of perturbations in our trajectory.
Some thoughts on Art Berman’s latest blog.
Berman has got a good few things wrong in his time. He wrote something about incorrect measurement of tank levels which, as someone who has worked at a tank farm, I can say was utter drivel. He’s also not very good when it comes down to. molecules and chemistry. In his latest blog I had some trouble following what he was actually saying. A meme is spread by imitation, whereas some one looking at an oil production bell curve for a well, field, basin, country etc. will conclude that depletion is going on, which limits the maximum production, and it must also apply globally. They don’t need to be influenced by anyone else. Depletion is a fact of life and an observable phenomenon.
Discoveries, and hence reservoir additions, have only gone in cycles as new regions have been opened to exploration and exploitation. It’s questionable whether there are any such left of any significance. Conventional discoveries have been slowly declining this century and a linear trend would put them at zero sometime in the early thirties.
“Technically recoverable” is a meaningless category and just confuses things. For instance there is enough reduced (i.e. “burnable”) carbon in the environment to use up all the oxygen in the air more than ten times but is never going to be burnt and neither is technically recoverable oi.
NGLs are not oil but fall within “total liquids”. They are produced as a byproduct of natural gas and would not be able to power civilisation as it is presently structured.
Overall global production is the sum of local production and is not evenly distributed. There may be large proportions of global reserves that are inaccessible locally because of political (e.g. Venezuela), environmental (e.g. the Arctic) or social (e.g. shale under Paris, reservoir under Bagdad) reasons.
We have a steadily falling EORI, currently averaging about twelve, and a lot lower for frontier discoveries. At about five companies won’t look very hard because the risk of dry holes is too great, with wells costing over a hundred million and the time cost of money maybe trebling that before any subsequent discovery will pay it back.
A better estimate for remaining reserves is probably Rystad, but even it has a large proportion of “undiscovered” in the Middle East. I think this is the only way to reconcile claimed reserves with observed production history. In every audited country reserves decline, but in unaudited OPEC they stay flat. There is no evidence that this “undiscovered” portion is being found or is even being looked for.
George, thank you for your thoughts. This is an important point: “Overall global production is the sum of local production and is not evenly distributed.”
Peak oil is already a reality for many individual nations, the UK included. It’s also worth pointing out that, whatever supplies may be postulated, the global economy may well have already passed its production peak:
“The global peak in oil production was reached in November 2018 at 84.6 mb/d. As of September 2024, global oil production has decreased by nearly 4 mb/d to 80.8 mb/d. The total liquids supply is flat, but NGLs are not a good replacement for crude.
“This decline in production suggests potential supply constraints and could impact oil prices and related investments.”
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4749707-global-monthly-crude-oil-production-peaked-in-2018-yet-institutions-are-forecasting-a-glut
Epic round-up of news.
I need to read that first link out loud on my channel.
Thank you, Doom Wizard.
Unprecedented winter dryness fuelling unprecedented LA fires; unprecedented snow for Florida; and 105mph winds bearing down on yours truly… things are indeed getting epic.
Hello Pan…
That does make for a very interesting article and book by Balthus (I think). We know it but still it always scares me:) Surely it is a disconcerting ‘inside’ account of the psychological dynamics of the elite in times of crisis. It is an “old wine in new bags” and a classic manifestation of “downfall psychology”, a mixture of fatalism, hedonism and cynicism. The belief that the world is “beyond salvation” leads to a psychological flight into dating “very expensive escort ladies” very intelligent and so on. .
Psychologists would say it reflects a deep-seated existential fear, in which the elite, despite their power and resources, see themselves as spectators of an inevitable catastrophe. Instead of taking action, they opt for a hedonistic lifestyle, where luxury and pleasure seem the only antidote to their existential insecurity. A mechanism often seen in societies that feel the end approaching: ‘after us the deluge.’
There is some chatter about sustainability, but flying private jets but it’s all about the hookers. A paradox explained by cognitive dissonance, where they justify themselves by believing that “it’s too late anyway” or that “the damage is limited to others.”
It really is moral disintegration by the way. This phenomenon, known as “othering,” enables empathy to be eliminated. Ah just picture one of those sad nights in Davos with the “male” elite trapped in their own morality in all sorts of areas. Soon they will be back ‘home’ keeping up appearances. But as you know from Shakespeare and Bergman it produces little more than destruction and especially uncontrollable desperate fears
Historically, on this scale, it does typify societies in late stages of decline. The emphasis on excess and excesses, such as luxury escorts and exorbitant spending, recalls the decadence of the late Roman Empire and the Weimar Republic, among others. Such behavior can be seen as an attempt to maintain the illusion of control and grandeur while the foundations beneath them fall away.
A cynical fearful club, numb and fixated on pleasure. Total moral erosion, raising the question of whether the elite have not long since decided they would rather dance on the edge of the abyss than try to avoid it.
‘Leaving Las Vegas’ is the counterpart that for us middle-class little people is the highest achievable and oh well even further down the ladder … I’d rather not talk about that at all.
We live in a horrible world… but I will order the book.
Well good luck with the storm Eowyn…. Part of a “climate change” that doesn’t exist!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leaving_Las_Vegas
Thank you, Zip. It’s going to be a wild one. Again, my apologies to all if a power-cut or other drama calls me to fall silent.
Re the downfall psychology of the elites, your comments reminded me of the last days of Nazi debauchery just prior to the fall of Berlin:
“General Burgdorf, a commander in the army, drops round to see if General Krebs fancies a drink. He’s closely followed by Hitler’s private secretary, Martin Bormann, who’s also ready to hit the bottle.
“Along with the two generals, he’s been spending most of his time sitting in the bunker corridors, drinking schnapps.
“From time to time, all three cruise over to the Reich Chancellery, where a kind of mass hysteria, fuelled by an endless supply of alcohol in the cellars, has led to a relaxing of sexual inhibitions.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3036203/Hitler-s-24-hours-want-beautiful-corpse-said-Eva-amid-frenzy-sex-drinking.html
One of my favorite books is ‘Kaputt’ written by Curzio Malaparte….Nothing new under the sun
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curzio_Malaparte
High-class escort spills the beans on how wealthy ‘know the world is doomed, so may as well go out with a bang’
How much credibility does a high-class escort possess? Aren’t they skilled at saying what people want to hear?
I don’t think the wealthy are concerned with climate change or think about it much. There may be a small percentage of them that might be aware; however, the vast majority probably pay little or no attention to climate change and impacts.
Edward, the article is hearsay posted for interest; I wouldn’t want to sell it as any more than that.
However, I wouldn’t discount her honesty just because she is an escort. Pillow talk can be very revealing. And what the Daily Mail, and I’m sure many of its readers, would want to hear is that these WEF elites all know climate change is a ruse intended to trick the rest of us into “owning nothing and being happy”.
High class escorts and Douglas Rushkoff. That’s the only ones they tell.
We are truly fracked when even the Daily Mail starts believing in climate change! Regardless, the story itself hits all the beats for the lower-upper-middle-class readership of that “news” source. Their voyeurism of the “lifestyles of the rich and famous” is unquenchable, which is why they are also the type of people who read Fanny Hill, watched ‘Dallas’ and stream ‘Succession’.
The theme never changes – carefree libertinism with a tinge of sadness and regret, eventually boiling up to a moral reckoning that changes the incredibly handsome playboy billionaire into a responsible man of industry who genuinely loves his surprisingly average-looking secretary-turned-wife.
Truly fracked indeed, Jupiviv. 😂
Thank you for the reminder re Succession, btw. I need to find time to watch that show.
Re-watch Dallas instead, imo. Joan Collins wasn’t “fierce”, she was incandescent.
I actually managed to watch most of this video I fast forwarded a bit in the middle.
Near the end the author claims that he does not want to sugar coat reality. Well maybe he did not coat his video in sugar but he certianly sprinkled some powdered sugar over it. None the less the video does move in the right direction. Leaving the audiance with a level of hope that climate change can be stoped near the end of the video. But the flim only threatens humanity with one billion dead mostly poor people and a billion and a half climate refuges over a an unspecified period of time. Of course what goes unsaid is that once the major tipping points have been reached. according to him probally by 2032, rather then understanding (stating) that they have already been reached then the temperatures do not stop rising even if we stop making fires. That would of course imply even billions more dead and billions more refuges (who are sumehow supposed magically recieve welfare payments once they are refuges) and those numbers are eventually going to hit the middle class once enough billions are involved.
The only scant hope that is not actually a lie is that we do not know exactly how fast the permafrost will melt and we do not know exaactly how fast the sea level will rise and we do not know exactly when there will be a shortage of fossil fuels and we do not know exactly when really important crops like wheat, rice, corn and soy beans will be decimated, and we do not know exactly when supply chains will break down and we do not if nuclear weapons will be launched. That is the message of hope that the residents of planet earth should be hearing.
Ahh crap I forgot to include the link to the video. Here it is
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ0JDk1p6Zg
Wishing you and yours safe passage through this storm, friend. We’ll look forward to hearing all about it from you when you’re back on.
Go Steelers!
Effective today, we are banning Twitter links. In the interest of discussion and news, you may post screenshots instead.
https://www.reddit.com/r/steelers/comments/1i6n71l/effective_today_we_are_banning_twitter_links_in/
OMG! NO! ” The economic damage…”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvX0Rr6Fwjc
Thought I’d come here and share one more link. See below. Keen website! Great links for those keeping their finger on the pulse of the planet.
https://weatherwest.com/archives/43181
Thanks, Survivalist. My apologies – I don’t think you’ve commented before, so WordPress held you in moderation.