A heads-up that tomorrow I need to travel to the mainland for a medical appointment, so, with apologies, there will be no economic thread. I’ll be back on Thursday with another climate thread.
“In case you were wondering, this graphic gives the net excess Earth Energy Imbalance expressed in the equivalent of Hiroshima bomb heating, since the year 2001.
“We’re currently at 5.1 billion Hiroshimas of heating since February, 2001.”
[Prof Eliot Jacobson]
https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1795093330159706598
“This graphic of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomaly shows the years 1982-2022 in shades of blue and 2024 in red.
“I omitted 2023 to help give context for how fast things have changed.”
https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1795105624834871622
“Exceptionally early heat wave hits Finland.
““This is probably the first time ever we have issued a heat wave warning in May”, Iiris Viljamaa from the Finnish Meteorological Institute told AFP, adding that such alerts were normally issued in June at the earliest. Scientists say that recurring heat waves are a clear marker of global warming…”
https://phys.org/news/2024-05-exceptionally-early-finland.html
“Exceptional heat in NORWAY.
“Temperature reached 31.1C [88F] at Frosta and 18 new records for May were broken including Trondheim again.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1794775224493502945
“Britain is bracing itself for one of the wettest summers on record – with forecasters predicting there could be at least 50 days of rain in just three months… [this after our wettest eighteen-month period on record]
“If forecasters are correct, it could be the dampest summer since 1912 – when rain fell on 55 days across the summer season…”
“Wildfires: New legal requirements for French property owners…
“Starting on January 1st 2025, people looking to sell or rent property in areas susceptible to wildfires in France will have a legal obligation to inform would-be buyers and renters of prevention requirements from the very start of the transaction.”
https://www.thelocal.fr/20240527/wildfires-new-legal-requirements-for-french-property-owners
“Cape Verde bearing the brunt of the effects of climate change…
“In 2018, a severe drought hit the country where approximately one-quarter of the population relies on agriculture for their main income. Since then, rainfall has been scarcer and more unpredictable than in previous years prior, leading to a significant drop in food production and grazing land losses.”
https://www.africanews.com/2024/05/27/cape-verde-bearing-the-brunt-of-the-effects-of-climate-change/
“Drought ditches Morocco’s cereals harvest by 43% in 2024.
“The cultivated area shrunk to 2.47 million hectares, compared with 3.67 million hectares last season, the agriculture ministry said… Late rainfall and unevenly distributed rainfall were to blame for the meagre harvest.”
https://northafricapost.com/77635-drought-ditches-moroccos-cereals-harvest-by-43-in-2024.html
“BRUTAL HEAT IN AFRICA:
“SENEGAL Matam min 32.4 max 47.2 [117F]; MALI Yelimane min 35.7 max 47.0; ALGERIA In Guezzam min 34 max 46; Extraordinary 40.7C at Tamanrasset 1377m asl, May record destroyed… Gabonese capital Libreville recorded a minimum temperature of 27.9C which is the highest minimum ever recorded in Gabon in May.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1794799218353463593
“‘Crippling’ drought in Zambia threatens hunger for millions, says minister…
“Severe drought in Zambia is threatening hunger for millions of people, cutting off electricity for long periods and destroying the country’s social fabric and economy, the environment minister has warned…”
“Zimbabwe Says 60% of Its Population Needs Food Aid Until March…
“The country expects to harvest 744,271 tons of corn this year, almost 70% less than a year earlier. That also compares with a national requirement of 2.2 million tons of the staple.”
“Kenya: Farmers assess damage after deadly floods…
““I have been farming for 38 years, but I have never encountered losses of this magnitude. This is the most devastating level of loss I’ve ever witnessed,” says the 62-year-old mother of ten.”
https://www.africanews.com/2024/05/27/kenya-farmers-assess-flood-damage/
“Tens of thousands of students in Somalia’s central Hiran region have been forced to stay out of schools after heavy rains flooded the institutions.
“According to Somali education officials, more than 37,000 students in this region in central Somalia are no longer in school due to the impact of recent flooding. The area has been battered by heavy rains resulting in severe flooding in schools.”
“Residents Assess Damage, Begin Clean-up After Armenia’s Worst Floods In Decades.
“Business owners in the northern Armenian town of Alaverdi were taking stock of ruined goods after severe floods swept across the region. Hundreds of people have fled their homes, where water, electricity, and gas services were cut off…”
https://www.rferl.org/a/armenia-floods-damaged-businesses/32965965.html
“In Kazakhstan, ‘The Floods Are Over But The Problems Have Just Begun’…
“Beyond the immediate financial fallout in terms of handouts for the tens of thousands who lost homes, livestock, and other possessions in the floods, there is the longer-term impact on th environment and agriculture, with swathes of crop-growing land damaged by the deluge.”
https://www.rferl.org/a/kazakhstan-floods-problems-compensation/32965887.html
“Pakistan temperatures cross 52 C in heatwave.
“Temperatures rose above 52 degrees Celsius (125.6 degrees Fahrenheit) in Pakistan’s southern province of Sindh… Extreme temperatures throughout Asia over the past month were made worse most likely as a result of human-driven climate change…”
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/pakistan-temperatures-cross-52-c-heatwave-2024-05-27/
“Delhi reels under searing heat, parts of city record max temperatures above 48 deg C [118.4F].
“The national capital stayed under the grip of searing heat as maximum temperatures in parts of the city crossed 48 degrees Celsius on Monday with no respite from the heatwave condition in sight for the next few days.”
“A 72-year-old priest, fasting and performing ‘panch-agni tapasya (five fire austerity)’ for “world peace, welfare and freedom from drug addiction”, died due to excessive heat in Sambhal on Sunday…
“He was concerned about global warming and the rising temperature across the planet and was on a ‘tapasya’ for the well-being of humankind.”
“Record heat is sweeping all India not just the Northwest.
“The famous hill town of Cherrapunji (in local language is known as Sohra) one of the wettest places on earth, today had its hottest May day on record with 30.9C [87.6F].”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1794746691792613838
“At least 16 dead as cyclone hits Bangladesh and India.
“The region was hit by strong gales of 110km/h, torrential rain and tidal surges that have left low-lying areas flooded. Nearly a million people were evacuated as Cyclone Remal made landfall on Sunday evening.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckvv8q10vxvo
“Today, a total of 28 stations in China broke the highest temperature record for late May, of which 12 stations broke the highest record for May.
“Among the big cities, Chongqing’s temperature was 38.9°C [102F], tying the highest record in May!”
https://x.com/yangyubin1998/status/1794352816963928145
“Last night, many places in southern China were hit by strong convection.
“116.2 mm [4.6 inches] of rain fell in Danjiangkou, Hubei Province in one hour, and 160 mm fell in three hours in Yibin, Sichuan. Many places suffered from floods.”
https://x.com/yangyubin1998/status/1794721101668553063
“Rain forecast in buckets along Pacific coast as typhoon nears [Japan]…
“The maximum amount of rainfall expected during the 24 hours through 6 a.m. on May 29 is 350 millimeters [13.8 inches] in the Tokai region, 250 mm in the Kinki and Shikoku regions and 200 mm in the Kanto-Koshin region and the southern part of the Kyushu region.”
https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15283434
“Climate change turns up the heat on Japanese seafood industry…
“Aiki, 62, who has cultured kelp or more than 30 years, is concerned about the effects of the high water temperatures in Rausu, located on the Shiretoko Peninsula in Japan’s main island of Hokkaido.”
https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15244124
“Relentless record heat in Southeast Asia.
“Record monthly max temperature at Tanjung Selor INDONESIA with 35.8C [96.4F]. In the PHILIPPINES always scorching hot nights with 30C min at Manila AP again… In the Truong Sa/Spratly Islands of VIETNAM minimum temperature was 29.8C, the highest on record.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1794292323444265329
“Papua New Guinea: More than 2,000 people buried alive in landslide – as ‘major destruction’ hampers rescue efforts…
“…the United Nations had earlier said it estimated 670 people had been killed… Poor weather and overnight rains in the South Pacific nation’s mountainous region have sparked fresh fears the rubble could become dangerously unstable.”
https://news.sky.com/story/papua-new-guinea-more-than-4-000-people-impacted-by-landslide-13143217
“King Island, off Tasmania’s north-west tip, is experiencing its worst drought on record.
“Deb Delaney, recently appointed King Island’s drought coordinator by TasFarmers, says the scale of the drought is “absolutely massive”… most farmers have destocked what they can, but if conditions worsen over winter, they will need to start culling pregnant cows.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-27/king-island-worse-drought-on-record/103883084
“Waterborne disease outbreak after Brazil floods kills four.
“Authorities in the Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul have confirmed 54 cases of the waterborne leptospirosis disease after the region experienced unprecedented floods in the months of April and May. Four others have died.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cq559gexxy5o
“‘We’re leaving’: Brazilians pack up after repeat floods…
“After three floods in eight months, the couple has had enough and is leaving the Brazilian riverside town of Roca Sales for good. “We’re leaving because …I’m terrified. Any cloud, water, or rain and we think another flood is coming. We can’t live like this anymore,” the 50-year-old told AFP.”
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20240528-we-re-leaving-brazilians-pack-up-after-repeat-floods
“Historic heat in Central and South America:
“HOTTEST NIGHT EVER NICARAGUA: 29.0 [84.2F] Puerto Cabezas; HOTTEST MAY NIGHT IN COLOMBIA: 29 Providencia; HOTTEST MAY NIGHT IN GRENADA: 28.5 Point Salines; 29 Roatan HONDURAS.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1794833784493297836
“Belize Desperation Over Advancing Forest Fires…
“On Monday, the Toledo district of southern Belize reported growing despair among residents as forest fires rage through the area with widespread material destruction… people in places like San Miguel are crying out for urgent help…”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN MEXICO; 19 STATES >45c!
“Incredible 48.0C [118.4F] at Valle Nacional, hottest day ever recorded in Oaxaca State; Also stunning 48.0C in Veracruz State.
“There has never been anything remotely close to this.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1795267402613342678
“Mexico City recorded its highest-ever temperature [again!] on Saturday when thermometers hit 34.7 degrees Celsius [94.5F] as a deadly heat wave scorches the country…
“The previous record of 34.4 degrees Celsius was observed the day before at the same station in the capital, the weather service added.”
“Images: Thunderstorm leaves trees falling and flooding in Puebla.
“On the afternoon of Sunday, May 26, a storm accompanied by rain , strong gusts of wind, hail and electrical activity in the capital of Puebla caused flooding in streets and homes, falling trees, stranded cars and failures in the power supply.” [this after the spectacular hailstorm on the 24th].
https://www.unotv.com/estados/puebla/tromba-deja-caida-de-arboles-e-inundaciones-en-puebla/
“HISTORIC: Hundreds of US cities had their warmest spring night on record.
“After Florida, Alabama and Mississippi had their hottest night in spring, now Texas and Louisiana also had their spring hottest night in history.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1794845321476083994
“Millions in US face extreme-heat threat as experts urge better protections…
““We can expect another dangerous hot summer season, with daily records already being broken in parts of Texas and Florida,” said Kristy Dahl, principal climate scientist for the Climate and Energy program at the Union of Concerned Scientists.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/27/extreme-heat-health-risk
“US storms kill at least 21 across 4 states on Memorial Day weekend.
“Tornado-spawning thunderstorms that swept the Southern Plains and the Ozark Mountains have killed at least 21 people across four U.S. states as of Monday afternoon and wrecked hundreds of buildings, as forecasters warned of more severe weather.”
“Rancher and 34 cows shockingly killed in lightning strike: ‘It hit them all’.
“A lightning strike in Colorado killed a rancher and 34 of his cows in Jackson County on Saturday, adding to the death toll of devastating storms that have swept across the US over Memorial Day weekend.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/cattle-death-lightning-colorado-b2552206.html
“Okanagan [BC, Canada] producers eye new crops in face of climate pressures.
“Volatile weather prompt shift towards vegetables, flowers and other ground crops in B.C.’s Okanagan. The devastating losses for wine and some fruit producers in the Okanagan in the past few years has some growers shifting their focus…”
“Eight taken to hospital after turbulence on flight from Doha to Dublin…
“The incident occurred five days after a British man died of a suspected heart attack and dozens of people were injured when a Singapore Airlines flight from London encountered severe turbulence.”
“Humanity’s survival is still within our grasp – just. But only if we take these radical steps…
“On our current path, civilisation as we know it will disappear. If we meet current commitments only – net zero by 2050 – perhaps some form of humanity will survive, managing the challenges of continued extreme weather events…”
“Slogan of “In solidarity for a Green World” reflects spirit of our COP29 mission, says Azerbaijani President…
“”The slogan we have chosen for the Baku COP – “In solidarity for a Green World” reflects the spirit of our COP29 mission. As we are all facing this situation together, I call on all countries to act in solidarity to save our planet.”
“Hollywood movies rarely reflect climate change crisis. These researchers want to change that…
““I do worry that screenwriters might do it in a kind of rote way, which could be counterproductive…” Bechdel said. “But injecting an awareness of our communal plight into the stories we ingest seems like a no-brainer.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/ap-hollywood-justice-league-portland-maine-b2552311.html
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back with another “Climate” thread on Thursday.
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Wait for it, wait for it… Bam, Pan-O detonates a twin supermassive explosion at the end!
In reverse order, “In solidarity for a Green World” is pure fascist performance art, mocking any and all better-worldisms. Why did these Baku comedians not go for the full incantation – “Degrowth and Mutual Aid in Solidarity for a Green World – brought to you by the world’s corporate and state-corporate owners!”
Sir Prince Professor Doctor David King evidently just woke up from a fifty year nap after Limits to Growth was published. Welcome back aboard – thanks for the suggestions!
And the Sunday NY Times the voice of the continental elite, had a edited conversation piece with a youngish Ted-talker of color who said she “was not an optimist,” but we (humanity in a ridiculously idealized collective rational formulation) have a “full range” of possible climate outcome we can effect.
Let’s ask the frontline citizens of The Big Heat how things are turning out, if they are managing to survive…
“Welcome back aboard – thanks for the suggestions!” 😂
Re COP29, Azerbaijan relies on fossil fuel exports for 60% of government revenue. President Aliyev recently described its gas as a gift from God that will be needed for decades to come. He has also stated that the wind, solar and hydro build-out they are using to burnish their green credentials is primarily intended to decrease use of gas in Azerbaijan’s own power stations, so that more of it can be shipped to Europe.
He’s at least as satirical an appointment as Al Jaber was for COP28.
COP30 will be held in Brazil, South America’s largest oil producer. They have chosen the city of Belem because, “Holding COP 30 in the heart of the forest is a powerful reminder of our responsibility to keep the planet within our 1.5°C target.”
Virtue-signalling attendees jetting in from around the world may need parasols to protect them from all the heat-afflicted monkeys dropping out of the trees.
Isn’t this era fun!
“In solidarity for a Green World”
I have to admit even I was nauseated by that, and that’s not easy to do anymore. Not after years and years of “just put the word green/sustainable/renewable in front and everyone will love you”.
Then I remembered Peter Ward’s book “Under a Green Sky”. He describes a future of stagnant oceans choked with cyanobacteria and skies green with hydrogen sulfide. Basically the same thing that happened during past mass extinctions.
Well, that’s hilarious! They’re going to get their Green World after all! Yay!
Those last 2 entries got my attn as well … why is something all of a sudden considered good if someone coming up with the idea is brainless? It’s a mystery.
As for the idiotic phrase “solidarity in a Green world”, if our lovely pale blue dot were to actually turn green, it would mean it has gone gangrenous. I can’t think of a more perfect phrase to describe the Cyanobacterial poisoning from the blooms that result from anaerobic metabolism on a global scale that would cause such a transformation.
These bright green lies (The title of Derrick Jensen’s book debunking the pseudo-science of green tech), resulting in a world turned bright green, lies at the center of our fossil fueled trajectory to extinction.
https://robertlowrey.blogspot.com/2022/02/the-double-cross.html
Your work is exceptional. How you manage the time to do this everyday is wow. Must be a very organized human!
My wife would probably baulk at that description, Regan, but thank you for the kind words. 😂
I’ve never had a panic attack but I might now just having read today’s thread.
Sending you a virtual Valium + hug, Cassandra. ❤
🙏🏼
I think I’ll join you..
Thwaites ‘Doomsday Glacier’ in Antarctica is melting much faster than predicted
Stephen J. Beard
USA TODAY
A study released this week added new fears to the fate of an important glacier in Antarctica and its impact on sea-level rise.Daily powerful tidal forces lift the glacier up and down, allowing so-called seawater intrusions to seep farther beneath the ice sheet and weaken the sea floor ridges keeping it in place. At this rate of deterioration, the report predicts, it may take only 10 to 20 years before Thwaites retreats to a deeper part of its basin, which will speed up the seawater contact and hasten its demise.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the “Doomsday Glacier” because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels by as much as 10 feet globally, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions.
So the mainstream USA TODAY is providing the much for panic attacks to the people..
They can’t say they weren’t alerted to what’s happening…we all were.
Thank you, Justin for today’s and events from all parts of the world are being felt and causing untold misery ….we need to take radical steps… like you pointed out yesterday, that would likely cause a financial meltdown…we can’t deal with that can we now.????
Remember Dr Hanson promoting the idea of the progressive carbon tax as a method to transition to net zero…that was some time ago…can’t even touch that…
You are welcome, Vince.
There’s a new house under construction in the centre of Islay, overlooking the main bay (or Loch, as it is confusingly called). I drive past it often and am interested to see its progress. It’s going to be very smart but, my goodness, the elevation above sea-level looks minimal to my untrained eye.
You won’t get planning for a newbuild without a detailed flood risk assessment, so I assume they’ve done their homework in the context of life as we know it – but that lovely house is not going to be around for decades. 😕
“Hollywood movies rarely reflect climate change crisis.” We have plenty of paid climate scientist that won’t get paid if they don’t tow the profit making corporations’ line. Sorry, no more research money.
A couple of guys had their own ideas.
“Man cannot at his pleasure command the rain and the sunshine, the wind and frost and snow, yet it is certain that climate itself has in many instances been gradually changed and ameliorated or deteriorated by human action. The draining of swamps and the clearing of forests perceptibly affect the evaporation from the earth, and of course the mean quantity of moisture suspended in the air. The same causes modify the electrical condition of the atmosphere and the power of the surface to reflect, absorb and radiate the rays of the sun, and consequently influence the distribution of light and heat, and the force and direction of the winds. Within narrow limits too, domestic fires and artificial structures create and diffuse increased warmth, to an extent that may affect vegetation. The mean temperature of London is a degree or two higher than that of the surrounding country, and Pallas believed, that the climate of even so thinly a peopled country as Russia was sensibly modified by similar causes.” – George Perkins Marsh in 1847 Marsh speech. NO WAY!
He didn’t have a computer, cell phone, satellite, & other technology. Today’s scyentysts are so much smarter. GPM might tell today’s syintists to: Open you’re F***ing eyes!
“The general rule that emerged from the model was that if the quantity of CO2 increases or decreases in geometric progression, temperature will increase or decrease nearly in arithmetic progression. Linking the calculations of his abstract model to natural processes, Arrhenius estimated the effect of the burning of fossil fuels as a source of atmospheric CO2. He predicted that a doubling of CO2 due to fossil fuel burning alone would take 500 years and lead to temperature increases of 3 to 4 °C (about 5 to 7 °F). This is probably what has earned Arrhenius his present reputation as the first to have provided a model for the effect of industrial activity on global warming.” Svante Arrhenius in The Philosophical Magazine in 1896. >A might respond: “Sorry G.P. Marsh! The F***ers are still blind. They may never see until it’s too late.”
Wonder if any intelligent species in the distant future, from wherever, will figure out what sent this species into extinction? What would be the expression on their faces & the thoughts in their heads when they read “You can’t always get what you want”, but sometimes you get what you deserve.
Sometimes what one reads or hears might not make it to their brain. 😉
Little Bill: I don’t deserve this! To die like this… I was building a house!
Bill Muny: Deserve’s got nothin’ to do with it.
Little Bill: I’ll see you in hell Bill Muny!
Bill Muny: Yeah…
– from “Unforgiven”
Speaking of hell, are we there yet?
– Bird flu getting seriously out of hand. Cats have already died from raw milk. Dairy cows have been infected since January. It concentrates in the mammary glands which apparently have all the ingredients for a yummy human variety. Someone posted on reddit that people are deliberately drinking raw milk for that reason because sales are way up. Yay!
– Over 50degC in India. Can’t work outside after noon. Surfaces too hot to touch. Grid creaking under the AC load. Water only a few hours a day. Folks with money fleeing to the mountains which are, wait for it, also under a heat wave.
– The Amazon has been forested for the entire Cenozoic (65 million years). Seven million years ago the river started draining vast wetlands in the west converting them to forest. From “Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system”
– “The Amazon forest holds more than 10% of Earth’s terrestrial biodiversity, stores an amount of carbon equivalent to 15–20 years of global CO2 emissions (150–200 Pg C), and has a net cooling effect (from evapotranspiration) that helps to stabilize the Earth’s climate. The forest contributes up to 50% of rainfall in the region and is crucial for moisture supply across South America.”
– “Large parts of the Amazon forest, however, are projected to experience mass mortality events due to climatic and land use-related disturbances in the coming decades. potentially accelerating climate change through carbon emissions and feedbacks with the climate system”
Yes, mass mortality events. Expect more of that.