“What’s beyond Code UFB? [Un-F***ing Believable]
“Yesterday, a new record-high for the global sea-surface temperature was reached at 21.12°C, beating the previous record of 21.10°C.
“New records should continue almost daily for about the next six weeks, please forgive me if I don’t report them all.”
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1753436586354827463
“Insurers and reinsurers, such as Swiss Re and Munich Re, could find themselves in hot water due to record sea-surface temperatures, according to a report from Bloomberg Intelligence.
“These rising temperatures, coupled with a weakening El Niño, pose a significant threat of increased catastrophe claims, potentially outstripping recent price adjustments.”
“January 2024 was the warmest January on record in the JRA-55 dataset, at 1.56C above preindustrial levels.
“It beat out the prior 2016 record (during the super El Nino that year) by around 0.06C, and was 0.42C warmer than January 2023.”
https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1753647992358543409
“The jump in global temperatures in September 2023 is difficult to explain by natural climate variability alone…
“The global mean temperature in September 2023 was 0.93° C warmer than the 1991–2020 average, breaking the previous record set in 2020 by a margin of 0.5° C. This was the largest margin by which the previous monthly record has been broken in any calendar month.”
https://phys.org/news/2024-02-global-temperatures-september-difficult-natural.html
“I’ve been feeling like I’m on the outer edge with my estimation of current decadal warming at 0.30°C, rising to 0.35°C by 2034, whereas mainstream is 0.20°C.
“But in this video James Hansen repeatedly states current decadal warming is at 0.4°C – 0.5°C.” [Prof Eliot Jacobson; Hansen video link at base of thread]
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1753506815843979663
“Norway’s worst storm in 30 years with 120mph gusts leaves trail of destruction.
“There have been reports of power cuts, damage to homes, schools closing and the windows of a hotel blown out by Storm Ingunn… A Norwegian record was set on Wednesday night for mean wind, according to the country’s media. The mean wind is an average wind speed over a certain time period, usually 10 minutes.”
“Stekenjokk in the north of Sweden recorded wind speeds of 186.4 kilometres per hour, or a category three hurricane, on Thursday morning.
““It’s a new Swedish record if the figures can be confirmed,” meteorologist from the SMHI weather agency Linnea Rehn Wittskog told TT newswire.”
https://www.thelocal.se/20240201/hurricane-warning-as-storm-ingunn-breaks-swedens-wind-speed-record
“UK Unprepared for Heat Waves as 2024 Set to Be Hottest Yet.
“The UK government is doing little to prepare for hotter summers and the dangerous consequences associated with heat waves predicted to become more frequent, according to a key parliamentary committee.”
“Catalonia cuts water use by 80% in agriculture, 5% in homes amid record drought.
“Residents of the eastern Spanish region of Catalonia will be banned from washing their cars and filling up empty swimming pools under a raft of measures announced on Thursday to alleviate the region’s worst drought on record.”
“January was the warmest month in history in the province of Malaga.
“With an average of 12.7 degrees Celsius recorded across the whole of Malaga province, January 2024 hit an all-time record as the hottest in history. The last four weeks were more than 3 degrees above average and 2.2 degrees above the record of a year ago…”
“Democratic Republic Congo’s worst floods in decades leave tens of thousands in temporary shelter.
“In January, the government declared a hydrological and ecological catastrophe after the Congo River overflowed, flooding the capital, Kinshasa. The country’s president, Félix Tshisekedi, who won his second term in office in December after a contested election, last week ordered ministers to deal with the crisis.”
“Deadly combination of war and drought leaves Ethiopia facing famine.
“It’s already been ravaged by war. Now Ethiopia’s Tigray region is on the verge of famine – with at least two million people at risk of starvation and death. Elders and international aid agencies are comparing the crisis to the mid-1980s…”
https://www.channel4.com/news/deadly-combination-of-war-and-drought-leaves-ethiopia-facing-famine
“SOUTH AFRICA seems to have a factory of heat waves, one after another.
“Up to 46C [114.8F] in the Northwest and an exceptional 43.8C at Worcester, its hottest day in climatic history.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1753425105005482086
“Second day of February and records falling everywhere: Today 34.5C [94.1F] at Agalega Island, MAURITIUS it’s the highest temperature ever recorded in February in the island.
“The island broke the records of every single of the past 8 months.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1753484604739391895
“Indian farmers are killing themselves in record numbers. Is climate change to blame?
“…In recent years, climate change has emerged as a contributing factor to the rise in distress among farmers. Severe weather events, including drought, erratic rainfall, and flooding, have steadily increased across the country, where agriculture remains the largest employer, supporting about 250 million households.”
“The death toll from landslides and floods triggered by torrential rain in the southern Philippines in the past week has risen to 14, official tallies showed Saturday.
“Rain has pounded parts of Mindanao, the country’s second-largest island, on and off for weeks and forced tens of thousands of people into emergency shelters… “I haven’t experienced that kind of heavy and continuous rain before,” provincial information officer Fe Maestre told AFP.”
https://tribune.net.ph/2024/02/03/death-toll-from-mindanao-landslides-floods-rises-to-14
“Records of highest minimums temperatures are sweeping the whole of Oceania. Today minimum temperature of 28.0C [82.4F] at Point Stuart, NT, Australia and 27.5C at Merauke and Saumlaki in INDONESIA, hottest February night on record.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1753674685055893843
“Ex-tropical cyclone Kirrily continues to threaten parts of Queensland with dangerous and “life threatening flooding”, amid fears a new cyclone could be brewing off the east coast.
“A severe weather warning was issued for the southwest Gulf Country near the Northern Territory on Saturday morning, as the system makes its way further southwest.”
“Gascoyne communities endure double heatwave during worst drought on record in Western Australia.
“Temperatures hit and exceeded 46 degrees Celsius [114.8F] in multiple locations across the region, which stretches from Exmouth to Shark Bay on WA’s central coast, and inland to Gascoyne Junction, 1,000 kilometres north of Perth. There’s little relief in sight…”
“New record heat wave in AUSTRALIA. 42.8C [109F] at Manjimup in SW Western Australia yesterday it’s its hottest day in climatic history.
“Other records were broken in newer stations.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1753312564036132899
“The deadly sharks becoming more common in Sydney waters.
“Tiger sharks are swimming further along Australia’s east coast as ocean temperatures increase, expanding their range south and coming closer to shore. The warmer waters off the NSW coast are also attracting bull sharks, which are spending more time in Sydney Harbour.”
“Heat waves in Chile and Argentina, fires in Colombia: What is happening in South America?
“…The scenario has provoked alarm, and there are questions about how to interpret what is happening… Recent El Niño events, including this one, are being created from an ocean that is already warmer. It is as if you had a tub with hot water and you put more hot water in it…”
“‘Everything is melting’: Argentines seek cool as heat wave strikes…
“Hundreds of people flocked to rivers and doused themselves under colorful showers to contend with the heat, as an official red alert was issued for high temperatures around the country. “Not even the air conditioning is enough,” said 47-year-old Sergio Pavon.”
“Chile has declared a state of emergency as it battles spreading forest fires in the centre of the country that have so far killed at least 10 people.
““All forces are deployed in the fight against the forest fires,” President Gabriel Boric posted on X as he announced the measure, adding that emergency services would meet on Saturday to assess the situation.”
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/3/chile-declares-state-of-emergency-over-raging-forest-fires
“February has just started but records of high temperatures are always falling… Today 33.9C [93F] at St Laurent do Maroni FRENCH GUIANA is its highest temperature ever recorded in February.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1753146513683869757
“‘Prepare now’: California’s next storm may bring ‘life-threatening’ flooding.
“Officials across Southern California are warning residents to prepare for what could be “life-threatening and damaging flooding” beginning Sunday, as a storm system fueled by a massive atmospheric river brings heavy, sustained rainfall and dangerous waves to an already soaked region.”
“Seattle just had the warmest week in January on record.
“Seattle’s average temperature in the past week was 53.8 degrees… This after Seattle experienced its warmest December on record… “After seeing the 2023 climate analysis, I have to pause and say that the findings are astounding,” said NOAA Chief Scientist Dr. Sarah Kapnick…”
https://www.kuow.org/stories/seattle-just-had-warmest-january-week-on-record
“Climate change top of mind for many Minnesotans during warm winter…
“”I don’t think there’s a single corner of this region that will be untouched or hasn’t already experienced some sort of impact from climate change, just in the last 10 years alone,” said Lisa Barajas, Executive Director of Community Development with the Metropolitan Council.”
“Driest January on record for La Ronge [Saskatchewan].
“La Ronge experienced the driest January out of 59 years of record keeping. That’s according to data from Environment and Climate Change Canada which shows La Ronge had 3.4 millimeters of precipitation last month compared to a normal rate of 18.7 mm.”
https://larongenow.com/2024/02/02/driest-january-on-record-for-la-ronge/
“Billions of litres of water are used yearly by Quebec’s mining and metal industry, data reveals.
“Quebec has lifted the veil of secrecy around the province’s biggest water users, revealing that billions of litres of water are withdrawn yearly by the mining and metal industry, along with pulp and paper manufacturing… Calls for more transparency have mounted in recent years after towns in the south of the province struggled with water shortages…”
https://www.cbc.ca/news/climate/quebec-water-withdrawal-data-1.7102173
“Transition Minerals: A Cautionary Tale from Greenland…
“The melting of the Arctic ice cap has intensified interest in Greenland’s natural resources. Kvanefjeld, an area in southern Greenland, has the potential to become one of the world’s largest producers of rare earth magnet metals… At the same time, extraction activities would pose significant environmental risks…”
https://www.ejiltalk.org/transition-minerals-a-cautionary-tale-from-greenland/
“Potential benefits of climate change on navigation in the northern sea route by 2050.
“This research employs climate change model simulations and the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System framework to investigate the navigational feasibility of diverse ship types along Northern Sea Route during the calendar years 2030, 2040, and 2050, under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios.”
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-53308-5
“Amazon is warning investors that the climate crisis may have a material effect on its business.
“In the risk factors section of its 2023 financial filing released Friday, Amazon added language that says climate change could cause its sales and operating results to fluctuate, making it harder to sustain growth or resulting in decreased revenue.”
“Trees are struggling to “breathe” and store CO2 as the climate warms…
“Max Lloyd, Assistant Research Professor of Geosciences at Penn State and the study’s lead author, elucidates this worrying trend. “Trees in warmer, drier climates are essentially coughing instead of breathing. They are sending CO2 right back into the atmosphere far more than trees in cooler, wetter conditions,” he explains.”
https://www.earth.com/news/trees-struggling-to-breathe-store-co2-hotter-climate/
“Wheat blast spread globally under climate change modeled for the first time.
“An international team of researchers, surrounding professor Senthold Asseng from the Technical University of Munich (TUM), has now shown that further spread of the fungal disease wheat blast could reduce global wheat production by 13% until 2050. The result is dramatic for global food security.”
“Could a scotch egg help solve climate change?
“On this episode of ClimateCast, Tom Heap visits the home of afternoon tea, Fortnum and Mason, but there’s something different about the menu. Its scotch egg is made from cultivated meat – that’s meat grown in a lab… Cultivated meat is technically not yet legal in the UK – but as pressure mounts to change our diet – could this be the future?”
https://news.sky.com/story/could-a-scotch-egg-help-solve-climate-change-13062390
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Thanks for today’s C & E report, which could also be termed the Death & Destruction report, if we really wanted to be accurate.
The video with Dr. Paul and the nattily-hatted Dr. Hansen was excellent, though it seemed to be missing a laugh track. I’m not referring to when the sub-titles auto-generated “Jew engineering” for “geoengineering,” but in so many other places. “We should really be involving young people in decisions” from Dr. Hansen was stand-up genius! Gut-bustingly funny! Imagine young people taking over corporate suites, elbowing aside Jamie Dimon and Xi Jinping – yeah right!
And Beckwith’s “three-legged stool” – hilariously preposterous! A three-legged stool without legs – what is that?
What’s with all the deadpan earnestness and smiling from these two? Each of you two fine scientists couldn’t be further away from the halls of power, yet as all the graphs and videos slide into the carbonic sinks of the Climatastrophe collapse, you talk with bonhomie as if the overlords are finally, finally about to listen? Can you tell the good news to the families of the suicided Indian farmers?
Damn. Harsh. But I hear what you’re saying.
I didn’t mind listening to them chat. They seem like good people, the sort you’d be happy to have round for Sunday lunch, and obviously they know a thing or two about climate science.
40 mins of Jim Skea or Michael Mann, on the other hand, would be bad for the blood pressure.
Was listening to Dr. Hansen years back, well over a decade ago, and pretty much is saying the same about young people…those back then are full fledge adults now. The key point in his book I bought, “Storms of my Grandchildren” was a one liner that pointed out if we don’t get our human numbers under control all, is for nothing.
So, looks as if the human yeast ain’t going to do that willingly….so…
From my memory, his book is still worth looking at…the man did what he could and got attention around the world…His appearance before Congress will go down as a milestone in
the dustbin “of soon to be extinct” human History…
PS…His solutions of a carbon tax and small nuclear reactors was the best intentions.
However, our culture of more consumption of goods and services was a no go from the start..China needs to burn more coal to continue the title of workshop of the world.
Thank you again for your work, the outcomes are pretty much what Dr. Hansen foretold in his book.
You are welcome, Vince.
Also, re James Hansen, I have to applaud him for being so cogent and switched on at 82. I hope he’s around to enjoy his own vindication at Mann’s expense. Won’t be long…
“Death & Destruction report,” caused by the Death & Destruction species.
I honestly don’t know what to think anymore. I’m conflicted because, on the one hand I think James Hansen et al. are doing fantastic work and it is unbelievable he would get branded “alarmist”, especially given recent events. On the other hand, do we really need the same warnings every year? The same warnings that are pretty much dead-on-arrival every year? I dunno. I guess one can’t tear ones eyes away from the horror of a super-slow-motion train wreck…
Completely unrelated: For some reason I was struck today about the scale of the infrastructure involved.
People have been investing trillions of dollars and trillions of tons of resources over the last few decades into creating a built environment on a vast global scale, no small part of which is for the exclusive use of people in cars. That’s what’s so compelling about those “Earth from space at night” photos, you can actually SEE the scale of our built environment and the amount of energy involved.
Now we are finding out the hard way that a huge portion of that investment probably doesn’t have much of a future and people will be forced to either abandon it or watch it get destroyed, or both. Look what happened to Acapulco.
Until now I viewed collapse as a “Limits to Growth” thing, but now that the climate crisis is becoming so destructive I’m waking up to the possibility that our civilization could be physically destroyed and become the mother of all “stranded assets”, especially coastal cities.
I can handle Jim Hansen, though his warnings are getting repetitive, but I just can’t handle Paul Beckwith… I find his voice, or accent, or something, just grating.
“Until now I viewed collapse as a “Limits to Growth” thing, but now that the climate crisis is becoming so destructive I’m waking up to the possibility that our civilization could be physically destroyed and become the mother of all “stranded assets”, especially coastal cities.”
I’ve also been too enmeshed in geopolitical-economics in recent times. I’ve also long thought collapse was a bit of a ‘race to the bottom’ between climate disasters and ‘limits to growth’ economics.
All that $$ money printing, just to recycle it back through the north-american military hardware industry and affiliated elites in the cross-atlantic countries – speaking of unnecessary carbon energy-intensive industries!
No planning, no objectives, by the latest aggressive narcissistic “empires” who only have one tool, ie hammers — so see every problem as a nail to be smashed.
I was reading some excerpts from Glen Dieson’s latest book (not yet published, but being marketed with promo excerpts) speaking of the decline of the US/Western Empire(s), as it slowly loses influence in both hard and soft power. All it has left, is its ability to bomb, bomb, bomb … (ie Hammers on nails), not to ‘win’ of course, they don’t care about winning or losing, because the longer these conflicts go on, and on, and on… the money just keeps flowing back to the US WMD industry… they only withdraw once the money starts to run out, like 20 years in Afghanistan and even then they stole the last of the money 24-hours before they pull out.
Dieson also looks at things, I hadn’t recognised before – like the decline in US education over the last 2-3 generations.
All it can do is destroy these other far away countries, and/or create economic, political and social chaos so the countries are so weakened, they can’t focus on development or trade etc or cooperate with neighbours, in developing local climate-change and economic or financial solutions that may soften landings and help with adapting to the inevitable energy decline and climate chaos. The US doesn’t even need the oil and gas of the Middle East, they just want control of it, supply and pricing – so they can turn it on and off to other countries who won’t do as they are told, just like they turn the $$ on and off to ‘punish’ countries who wont do as they are told.
Some are more optimistic than I am, they believe the rise of other countries in Africa and Eurasia, through BRICS+ and alternative financial/economic systems etc etc will *eventually* win out as their economic plan is totally dependent on regional peace and co-operative projects, but I can’t see the US-Empire (including western Europe & Israel) just going “gently into the night” during its decline. Any country that pokes its head above the parapet and tells the US to bugger off and just leave us alone, gets the HAMMER “diplomacy”.
One talking head podcast analyst I was listening to, was saying
“Desperate dying empires result in desperate war crimes”.
That last line – yes, scary. Very sorry my country is such an absolute f$cking nightmare.
Oh Kali – no need to apologise for something you have no control over, its not the fault of the general 99% of American people, or the British, or the French etc, none of us plebs can take responsibility for our ruling classes or the mass media and education they control, that is designed to mass “manufacture consent” as Noam Chomsky explains.
But the latest attacks on Syria and Iraq, were a ‘low blow’, a sucker-punch, they hit the legitimate National armies of Iraq and Syria, not the non-State “militias”. Both countries have been asking diplomatically since 2018 for US bases to leave. (The US bases are there under illegal occupation under international law anyway).
Scyintists that have not reported on peer reviewed studies that Guy McPherson has posted over the years & tried to get the point across that we are vertebrate mammals & aren’t immune to the laws of nature,are welcome to die dumb.Too bad their egos won’t be able to stop what is coming for their families & friends.
My favorite post on C&E are about insurance companies that have & are about to cancel more policies. Getting into someone’s wallet might get their attention about what they have done to their habitat. How’s that capitalism working out? Go ahead insurance companies, “Get this party started.”, & cancel on the deniers & the intentionally ignorant.