“It’s hard to overstate just how exceptionally high global temperatures are at the moment. They have blown past anything we’ve previously experienced by a huge margin…
“Daily global surface temperatures over the past week have been a full 1C above the recent 1991-2020 baseline period use in the JRA-55 reanalysis dataset, or around 1.9C above preindustrial.”
https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1706304241957048322
“Do people understand how crazy it is that these records [ie record high sea surface + air temps and record low global sea ice] are being shattered SIMULTANEOUSLY and CONTINUOUSLY for months?
“If the extreme weather around the world is shocking to you now, hold onto your hats. 2023 is just a warm-up.”
https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1708002013370331326
“Strong El Niño expected to drive record-breaking global surface temperatures and trigger climate crises in 2023–2024.
“A strong El Niño event is going to wreak havoc on global surface temperature and trigger several climate crises in 2023–2024, according to researchers from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.”
https://phys.org/news/2023-09-strong-el-nio-record-breaking-global.html
“The hottest summer in human history [until next year] – a visual timeline [picture is of the Haiti floods in June].
“From June to August 2023, a series of extreme weather events exacerbated by climate breakdown caused death and destruction across the globe.”
“This just keeps going up! Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature is now +1.48°C above the 1979-2000 mean.
“The 1979-2000 NH mean temp is already about 0.6°C higher than 1850-1900. So it looks like the Northern Hemisphere is running well above +2°C!”
https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1707635890288206210
“Canadian wildfire smoke covers Nuuk [Greenland].
“Canadian wildfire smoke has blanketed the skies of Greenland’s capital, Nuuk. Residents of the Arctic Island, which is located hundreds of kilometres from Canada’s coast, describe a strong smell of burnt wood diffused in the air.”
https://www.wionews.com/videos/canadian-wildfire-smoke-covers-nuuk-wion-climate-tracker-640519
“The unique combination of wildfire smoke drifting from Canada, and clouds in the wake of Storm Agnes led to unusual sunrises across the UK on Thursday [not very good picture is my own].
“Many waking could have been forgiven for mistaking the sun for the moon, as they were greeted by the sight of a white sun against a grey sky.”
https://www.itv.com/news/anglia/2023-09-28/why-does-the-sun-look-white-and-the-sky-look-grey
“October could see warmest start on record for parts of Atlantic Canada.
“A persistent high-pressure ridge has enveloped the Maritimes for the past week, with the hottest stretch of weather flaring up as soon as we flip the calendar into October. Some record-setting temperatures are on the line.”
“New York declares state of emergency amid heavy rainfall and flash flooding.
“The New York boroughs of the Bronx, Brooklyn and Queens were especially badly hit with streets flooded, cars abandoned and buildings inundated, and much of the city’s public transport network ground to a halt. The NWS reported “multiple reports of water rescues and motorists” stranded in flood waters…”
“The previous, previous 150-year-old hourly rainfall record in Central Park has now been broken three times in 2 years. (1.94″ in Henri-2021, 3.15″ in Ida-2021, and now 1.96″ in 2023).”
https://twitter.com/jaycordeira/status/1707769396972957929
“Arizona’s 2023 monsoon driest on record for Phoenix.
“Arizona’s 2023 monsoon season left a lot to be desired, from below-average rainfall numbers across the state to record-setting heat streaks, and the spectacle that often provides widespread relief to the region was sorely missed.”
“Summer 2023 was officially Houston’s hottest on record…
“”Last summer was hot, but things cooled off considerably in August,” said Lanza. “What’s unique about this summer is how persistent the heat has been. Since mid-June, it’s just been non-stop.” Lanza credits the heat to a combination of warm temperatures in the Gulf, drought and climate change.”
“The Mississippi River is starving for rain. Its prospects are grim.
“Water levels on the Mississippi River are nearing historic lows for the second consecutive year, triggering a drinking water emergency in Louisiana as ocean water flows upstream, unimpeded by the river’s uncharacteristically weak flow.”
“Another incredible record in Mexico.
48.5C/119.3F at Chinipas on 25 September, WORLD RECORD heat for this time of the year and latest 48C+ ever recorded in Northern Hemisphere climatic history, 1 day later than Makkah ,Saudi Arabia (48C 24 September 2016).”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1707438956508324305
“It’s like whack-a-mole, you know it’s happening somewhere, it just takes a moment to find it [he is referring to air temps in the tropics].
“And you should be kind to moles anyway.”
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1707727957001642164
“Ships refuelling further out from congested Panama Canal, Monjasa says.
“Shipowners are moving their bunkering operations further offshore in a bid to beat Panama Canal congestion, according to fuel supplier Monjasa. Vessels take on 5m tonnes per year at the Cristobal and Balboa anchorages, but have seen waiting times spike due to low-water restrictions.”
“HISTORIC IN PERU – after more than 60 years, Peru broke its national record of highest temperature.
“41.4C [106.5F] yesterday 27 September at Tingo de Ponaza (San Martin). It dethroned the 41.1C at Neshuya of 1963. Peru has been with record heat conditions for months. This is the cherry on top.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/170739569099587176
“Bolivia: hottest winter on record ends in drought for half the country…
“On Monday, Bolivia recorded its hottest ever September temperature of 40.3C. Temperatures are expected to reach as high as 45C in some parts of the country this week. By December, there is a “high probability” Bolivia’s iconic Lake Titicaca will be 64cm below the drought alert level, breaking a low water record set in 1998 by 33cm.”
https://www.savethechildren.net/news/bolivia-hottest-winter-record-ends-drought-more-half-country
“In the line of fire: Indigenous brigades battling forest blazes in the Amazon.
“Preserving the world’s largest tropical forest poses an immense challenge for the governments of Latin America. This task is exacerbated by the inefficiency of public policies and the escalating land conflicts that plague various Brazilian biomes. In response to these threats, Indigenous peoples have taken matters into their own hands…”
“More records to add in Brazil.
“42.4C [108.5F] on 25th September at Oeiras ties the highest temperature ever recorded in the PIAUI STATE; Monthly Records: BRAZIL 39.6 Crateus etc.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1707911733287768246
“Photos: Amazon rainforest faces a severe drought affecting thousands.
“The Amazon rainforest in Brazil is in the grips of a severe drought that may affect around 500,000 people by the end of the year, limiting their access to food, drinking water and other supplies. Water levels have already dropped, and dead fish now float atop some of the rainforest’s winding rivers.”
“Livelihoods and nature at risk as Lapland warms quickly, irrevocably.
“According to the analysis, as the temperature rises, natural habitats change and disappear when, for example, palsa mires and permafrost melt. Open areas become bushy and grassy as the Arctic nature becomes greener.”
“Several European countries record hottest September temperatures ever.
“Austria, France, Germany, Poland and Switzerland announced their hottest Septembers on record on Friday, in a year expected to be the warmest in human history as climate change accelerates.”
“A New Heatwave is Forecast for Western Europe – Unseasonably High Temperatures develop under the Heat Dome as we head into October 2023…
“Keep in mind that, meteorologically speaking, Europe is now heading into its second autumn season month, so these forecast temperatures are extremely high for this period.”
“Europe has almost run out of local olive oil supplies and is set for more shortages, after extreme weather damaged harvests for a second year.
“The world’s largest producer has said it is having to import supplies from South America to keep up with demand.”
“Rhine water level to drop below safe limit after dry September.
“Quantum Commodity Intelligence – Water levels on the Rhine river are forecast to drop below their safe lower limit by mid-October after Germany recorded its driest September since records began in 1882, slashing barge intake levels and boosting freight rates.”
“Switzerland’s glaciers lose ‘mind-blowing’ volume of ice in just two years.
“Glaciers in Switzerland are shrinking at a “mind-blowing” rate. A total of 10% of their ice volume has disappeared over a period of just two years as a combination of low snowfall and soaring temperatures cause unprecedented melting, according to figures released Thursday.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/28/europe/switzerland-glaciers-ice-loss-climate-intl/index.html
“‘The earth is sick’: Storm Daniel has passed, but Greeks fear its deathly legacy…
“Thessaly is the source of a quarter of Greece’s agricultural production, and a leading disaster management expert told Greek state television that after the storm it would take at least five years for the plain to become fertile again. Worries of shortages and price hikes were brewing.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/29/storm-daniel-thessaly-greece-long-term-impact
“Flooded homes, streets as another storm hits battered central Greece.
“Torrential rain battered central Greece, flooding streets, homes and businesses in the port city of Volos and on the island of Evia, just three weeks after devastating Storm Daniel killed 16 people in the wider region… “People can’t stand this anymore. I cannot understand nature’s rage. Protect yourselves,” said Mayor Achilleas Beos, urging people to stay home.”
“More record heat in Southern [and equatorial] Africa:
“Yesterday Majunga in Madagascar rose to 37.9C [100.2F]. Kenya is close to its national record high for September too with temperatures up to 38C at Lodwar and Mandera. South Africa will have cold and hot spells alternating:>40C in West coming next week.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1707770835761533057
“South Africa floods kill at least 11 people.
“Extreme rain and strong winds across South Africa’s Western Cape province have caused flooding, torn off roofs, destroyed crops and damaged roads this week. It is estimated that the 48-hour rainfall totals between Sunday and Monday were between 100mm to 200mm (4-8in) in this region.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/29/weather-tracker-south-africa-floods
“Seahorses, Shellfish Wash Up on South African Beaches After Western Cape Floods.
“Large numbers of endangered seahorses as well as rare abalone and other shellfish washed up on beaches in South Africa’s Western Cape province after floods from a storm that brought record rainfall. The floodwater from swollen rivers diluted the seawater close to the coast, weakening the animals…”
“Fears Libya’s Derna death toll may hit 20,000.
“As international aid slowly starts to reach Libya’s devastated port city of Derna, questions are raised over exactly how many people have perished, with some officials estimating fatalities from the city’s two dam collapses could hit 20,000, equivalent to a fifth of the city’s population.”
https://muslimnews.co.uk/newspaper/top-stories/fears-libyas-derna-death-toll-may-hit-20000/
“Eastern Libya’s Rulers Crack Down on Protests—Not Shoddy Infrastructure.
“Libyan authorities invited journalists to cover the floods. Their window of welcome quickly closed… In Derna, journalists were harassed, detained, asked to delete photos, interrupted during live broadcasts, and questioned.”
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/09/29/derna-floods-libya-lna-protests-journalists-recovery-efforts/
“Extreme heat wave in Egypt – today 46.0C [114.8F] at Aswan, 45.8C at Kharga.
“Stfling hot nights too with 33.3C of overnight Tmin at Aburdees. These 46C are unprecedented for this time of the year in the Sahara. October Egyptian national record might fall on day 1st.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1707835057258324149
“Flash floods ravage Istanbul [again].
“Torrential rain and severe flooding have wreaked havoc in Istanbul, Türkiye’s largest city, with scores of houses and workplaces inundated, especially in the northern part of the province… In some parts of the city, the water levels rose up to half the height of vehicles.”
https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/flash-floods-ravage-istanbul-186662
“Climate Change: Hottest Summer On Record Brings Unwanted Changes For Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s Farmers [Pakistan].
“Usually, during May, June and July, farmers in the Mardan district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa grow and harvest fruits and vegetables, including muskmelon, tomatoes and other crops. But this year, unpredictable rains, heat waves and even the odd hailstorm affected crops’ quantity and quality.”
“Drought-hit Indian farmers protest against sharing of [Cauvery] river water.
“Farmers battling drought in India’s southern state of Karnataka began a day-long strike on Friday to protest against the sharing of water from a river that also runs through the neighbouring state of Tamil Nadu. Police urged calm with all schools and public places staying shut, as thousands of farmers and trade union members held rallies…”
“In Vietnam, flooding has inundated provinces of the central and north-central parts of the country over the past few days. Thousands have been left stranded.
“Heavy rain has been falling since Sunday… The capital, Hanoi, has been swamped by an intense downpour. Streets are awash and traffic has come to a halt.”
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20230928_32/
“Record heat all over Asia, from Indonesia (reaching early 38C) to Myanmar with 39.0C [102.2F] today at Shwebo (September record tied) to Nepal passing though the Koreas.
“65% of countries/territories this month broke at least one monthly heat record.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1707387137685864894
“Tokai region [Japan] sees 35 degrees [95F], record high for late September…
“The records marked the latest day in the year for the Tokai region to be suffering under extremely hot weather… About 300 locations nationwide experienced temperatures exceeding 30 degrees despite it being late September.”
https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15016313
“Malaysia Says Indonesian Forest Fires Causing Transboundary Haze.
“Haze from hundreds of Indonesian forest fires has reached Malaysia, shrouding some areas of the country and causing air quality to drop… Forecasters are predicting the return of El Nino in coming months, bringing drier weather to Southeast Asia and more favorable conditions for fires.”
“Historic day in Western Australia, after Sydney now PERTH had its hottest September day on records with 34.9C [94.8F] AP and 34.3C City Metro.
“Exceptional Temperatures up to 41.7C at Mardie and 39.0C at Geraldton. Records were obliterated, in some cases with huge margins…”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1706987213320327328
“Concerns are brewing for summer as Australia swelters through its driest ever September and temperature records are set in several states…
“Rainfall across Australia has been about 70 per cent below average overall… The Murray-Darling Basin, a major source of Australia’s food and water supply, has been particularly dry, receiving rainfall that was about 85 per cent below its September average.”
“Antarctic winter sea ice hits ‘extreme’ record low.
“Sea ice that packs the ocean around Antarctica hit record low levels this winter, the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) says, adding to scientists’ fears that the impact of climate change at the southern pole is ramping up… “It’s not just a record-breaking year, it’s an extreme record-breaking year,” said NSIDC senior scientist Walt Meier.”
“Microplastics in clouds may be contributing to climate change, research suggests…
“”Overall, our findings suggest that high-altitude microplastics could influence cloud formation and, in turn, might modify the climate,” the scientists wrote in the study, published in the journal Environmental Chemical Letters.”
“‘We’re not doomed yet’: climate scientist Michael Mann on our last chance to save human civilisation…
“One motivation for the book, Mann says, is the rise of climate doomism… Our climate fate hangs in the balance, Mann says: “There’s fairly compelling evidence from the past, combined with the information from climate models, that if we can keep warming below 1.5C then we can preserve this fragile moment…””
“Hot take: a climate scientist who keeps saying that instant (2020?..) net-zero will stop global warming is equal to a doctor who keels telling lung cancer patients they would be fine if they stopped smoking 30 years ago.
“Total disregard of reality and gross negligence.”
https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1707307900547322298
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
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Our world will not be habitatable at this rate by 2030
This should have been posted yesterday..
It’s not just cars — here’s the hot commodity much of the U.S. can’t afford
A majority of places in America have fallen victim to a sharpening crisis.
Jena Warburton19 Hours Ago
Food in general is up 4.3% as of this August compared with the year-earlier month. Here’s a breakdown of how different aisles and departments rose over the past 12 months:
Cereals and bakery: increase 6%
Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs: unchanged
Remaining products (ranging from dairy to beverages): increase 0.3% to 4.8%
Food away from home: increase 6.8%
Transportation similarly rose 10.3% over the same period but shelter, which rose 7.3%, “was the largest factor in the monthly increase in the index for all items less food and energy,” according to the CPI.
Here are some fast facts from the survey:
On average, at least 35% of average wages are required for home ownership expenses (highest level since 2007)
Most lending standards require 28% debt-to-income; 35% is considered “unaffordable”
In 2021, this metric stood at just 21%
The nationwide median home price is $351,250
Median home prices in 574 of the 578 counties studied in Q3 are less affordable than in years past (up from 552 counties in Q3 2022)
Lenders r benchmark expenses as a percent of wages at around 28%.
The average 30-year-mortgage rate sits at 7.31% as of Sept. 29, 2023. The average national income is $71,214.
Jena Warburton
BY JENA WARBURTON
Jena Warburton is a senior reporter and editor at TheStreet. She covers retail, investing, restaurants, banking and financials. Jena graduated from Trinity College with a bachelor’s in American Studies.
Doubt the common folk will be able to afford much with the way things are headed
Thanks, Vince. I probably should have included that. Home affordability in the US has been a big story recently.
Justin that was on me…forgot to post it myself..you’re doing fantastic keeping us all with the latest. Yes, home affordability is a crisis here along with insurance..
Related to climate change damages. My car insurance just went up over $150 for a six month renewal…it’s ten years old and now will be paying close to $2,000 a year just for car insurance. The collision and comprehensive is very little to the price of it because of my high deductible..
Never mind home insurance….
“‘We’re not doomed yet’: climate scientist Michael Mann on our last chance to save human civilisation…
which is of course a
“Total disregard of reality and gross negligence.”
In the Mann article, he goes on to say (im paraphrasing), “Vote blue no matter who!” What a moron.
Imagine a world, if you can, where Matt Gaetz is the moral, rational voice in the room.
https://news.antiwar.com/2023/09/27/house-kills-gaetz-amendment-to-ban-transfer-of-cluster-bombs/
For the ignorant, like me, who have never heard of this person:
“Matthew Louis Gaetz II (born May 7, 1982) is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the U.S. representative for Florida’s 1st congressional district since 2017.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matt_Gaetz
Yes, this is the bizarre world we live in since the onset of the pandemic. Strange times!
Hello Pan,
In the link an extensive interview With Michael Mann. It is more interesting than the ‘doomer’ piece in our ‘favourite’ newspaper. 🙂
By the way, I have a deep distrust of scientists who go on and on about the endless paleo ‘history’ of the planet. ‘What can we learn from the ‘oxygen crisis’ that turned the earth into an ice ball? Yes yes…. say. Anyway on a sunny and warm Saturday afternoon with the ‘heathy’ air blowing with a southern Sahara wind with dust and sand particles just worth reading.
Other than that, I’ll just stick to what our friendly Las Vegas professor Elliot Jacobson says about ‘doomers’. 🙂
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/09/renowned-climate-scientist-michael-e-mann-on-what-doomers-get-wrong/
Mann actually sounds like he’s pretty obsessed with doomers these days. I’m no psycho-analyst but perhaps on some level he understands that his optimism is ill-founded.
check that! Or he’s on the payroll of some conservative thinktank or deep state agency.
Damn, did you want to inject that li’l ol’ smokium nonsense from a perfesser with an establishment position to maintain at all costs, just to lighten the party a little?
There is not a single data point to justify Mann’s irritating anti-doomism. It’s just risible bullshit. Who’s this “we,” and how does the non-sociologist Mann imagine it stopping an ultra social species from its long-established destructive social reality of ecocide?
Pan gives us the truth, and the facts that underlie each day’s accelerating amplification of that horror. Surely humanity can face at least some of that truth, and reject nonsensical, puerile dreaming.
Other than Pan, the int’net is a means to promote popular stupidity.
Mann is the equivalent of the NYT’s Paula Krugman; reading his corporatese is reminiscent off the likes of Krug in the face of the “nobody could have seen it coming” financial crisis: completely oblivious and hellbent on making sure the public is too. As the scale of energy procurement, as evidenced not only by fracturing, but so-called “green” solutions, continue to allocate ever-larger swaths of the planet (think ethanol-from-food crops, solar installations the size of cities, bio-diesels’ clearing of vibrant rainforests to plant mono-crops of palms for palm oil, wind farms) they are used for the equivalent of feedstock to the fossil fuel regime. They were never meant to replace it, but to make its continuance possible. This is obvious from the fact that as quickly as the pseudo-green energy contribution to energy production grows, overall energy use grows even faster, which in turn means that ever-increasing stores of the world’s energy resources are consumed for the sole purpose of producing more energy: the ion age accelerates everything we do, none more so than ecocide.
“Damn, did you want to inject that li’l ol’ smokium nonsense from a perfesser with an establishment position to maintain at all costs, just to lighten the party a little?”
As Pintada alludes to above, I was juxtaposing Mann’s article with Leon Simon’s remark about a total disregard for reality. No prizes for guessing who I feel has the more credible position, although I’m still not clear what Leon is advocating by way of solutions.
I would agree with Rob that in the context of our modern civilisation “green energy” is oxymoronic – a mirage that just enables further ecocidal growth. On that basis, Mann is a wolf in sheep’s clothing.
Leon Simons is a Dutchman and a handy seller of ‘modern hot air’ You can hire him for a speaking engagement for 950 euros 🙂 And then you’ll hear all sorts of things!
“Solutions”?
Is that what we’re after here?
I could have sworn you said “solutions.”
Am I hearing right?
One things is for sure – nobody in their right mind should even fantasize about such a word in either the climate or economy spheres of the super system.
Terminal condition. How long to love for the patient? A while yet. Out of our hands.
I am glad that i am not the only one seeing through the lies of the ipcc monkey show! These disasters appear to be getting exponentially worse by the week. I am not sure how much longer industry civilization can survive at this rate!
Welcome Back!!! From the first line, we’ve had records broken continuously for months! and 2023 is just the warm-up. Big things in store for 2024 (Super El Nino? BOE? )
Thanks, Justin. 2024 is going to keep me busy on these climate thread; that’s for sure.
Mann is a 1st rate LYING HOPIUM DEALER. He’s creating a saleable IMAGE, not promulgating Truth. We have ALREADY PASSED 1.5. I am beginning to see Hopium as one of the most evil things EVER. What is more vile than false hope?!?
I agree, Jimmy. I think they do it to prevent the masses from having massive panic. They are trying to keep BAU going as long as they can.
Who in the whole wide world has solutions anyway??? But lots are trying.
See the Norrsken Impact week videos posted so far. Lazard, Hagens, Schachtenberg in particular.
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLmU9o-ErVTVxCrVaJvdtjbaNW8l8Wkfrm
But really there is no Green New Deal, ‘get out of jail free’ cards in the deck. See readgnd.com for more on that.
A small question to the 8 billion monkey minds, what are you willing to give up to save the only habitat in which you & your loved can survive in? New subdivisions are being finished on the Moon & Mars,be one of the first to move in. There are talks in the works to develop Europa.
I just deleted some of this continuing brilliant comment. 😉
All that needs to be said is; “Too late.”.
Hey Pan, I was a little surprised by the inclusion of Mann in this one 🙂
I’m also a doomer, but have a little bit of personal teeny-weeny hopium in that it will take longer than most doomers think.
The collapse is ongoing, but Mann is IMHO, only partially right, I agree with it still being slower than “runaway”.
Hold on and brace for a really bad few “peak” years, say 22-26.
As for the heat in Australia, the national (continental) average records, include the northern third of the continent, which is all within the central equatorial tropical band – the planetary band which went ballistic temp-wise, all across the planet this year both north and south of the equator itself.
The tropical band across Australia hence upped national averages – most of the temperate south had a ‘normal’ winter within the natural variations. Same in Brazil, the northern provinces of Brazil are in the tropic band and so have increased their national averages.
But the tropical ’23 heat spikes has seriously impacted our Aussie spring/summer tropical fruit crops – it remained too hot at night during the “dry season” winter months. Shortages and massive price increases for mangoes, pineapples etc , even watermelon? (Lucky for me – I don’t like tropical fruit much, but having raised 3 kids on cheap, plentiful truckloads of tropical fruits in season, my heart does go out to families this summer).
Where I live, in the elevated hilly south-east – the classic El Nino strong dry westerly winds have arrived over the last couple of weeks. Almost on cue with the Australian metereological announcement – we don’t declare official El Nino until the dry westerlies arrive.
but the collapse has been well under way for so long, and in so many middle and low-income countries.
And all those across the middle in the tropic band.
They just can’t afford much in the way of “recovery” from their disasters (eg Libya), unlike Australia for example, with its annual/seasonal National Summits of First Responders for coordinating resources, plans, peoplepower etc, for disaster management at local, regional and national levels – and which also has some strategic reserves for the diesel needed, for the necessary ‘armies’ of heavy earth-moving machinery.
I believe the Global North can “model, muddle & puddle” on for quite some time, with efforts of ‘recovery’ and ‘mitigation’ – at least in their ‘preferred city’ regions & critical agriculture regions- rebuilding, relocating etc… plenty of scope for “money-printing” in “our” countries, but I suspect such efforts will have to be ‘rationed’ and patchy over geography-
Like parts of England, slowly abandoning dying infrastructure in smaller coastal, & hinterland regions, towns, villages and ex-industrial cities, to keep London and a few others, looking as pretty and functional as possible for as long as possible.
And “our” biggest issue, at least in the northern hemisphere, is the continually increasing numbers of migrating humanity trying to find food, water, safety in the Global North.
Whereas Australia has massively increased localised regional legal migration, easing visas etc – mostly from India, Vietnam & surrounding south-east Asian countries, (and the sinking South Pacific Islands which has been ongoing as a slow relocation to PNG for decades).
Like many other countries, we have been facing a ‘housing crisis’, after decades of non-investment by State govts which manage housing polices and programs, but the federal government has now (finally after months of argument with Greens), stepped in with establishing a Housing Future Fund (ie ongoing investment fund) starting with several billions in federal capital for the first 3 years.
But I’m not sure where all these tens of thousands of new immigrants are going to live in the meantime.
But hey? Australia is in fiscal surplus!! Yayayayayayay….
Who says “dirty mining” doesn’t pay?
“I’m also a doomer, but have a little bit of personal teeny-weeny hopium in that it will take longer than most doomers think.”
With regard to climate change I find that I occasionally must remind myself that, yes, Rain is correct. So, Lou dang it, you are watching a geologic process and geologic processes take time – don’t forget again. Even a volcano, which seems to be pretty fast acting, no doubt spent decades or centuries accumulating magma and pressure prior to the little burp that follows.
Lou says, “But Pintada, “we” have been watching this since 1853 when Svante did the math. And this El Nino sure looks scary.”
Pintada says, “Don’t McPherson this thing! A century and a half – two centuries – is nothing in geologic time. This El Nino could simply fizzle. So far, it is just hype.”
Lou says, “Then there are all the knock on effects, food shortages, climate refugees, drought, civil strife, war. It is happening, and we a on our way out.”
Pintada says, “Now you are conflating inevitability with immediacy.”
Lou says, “Well, you got me there.”
Lou and I have a contentious and occasionally rocky relationship, but eventually, I can be made to come to consensus.
Anyhow, Zip mentioned that his part of France is very warm this fall. We are seeing the same here. Today, the average high is 69, but the forecast is for a high of 78. Today the average low is 31 but the actual low was 54. The forecast low was 32 – LOL – they seem to have got that slightly wrong. In fact, they (“they” meaning WeatherUnderground.com) have been predicting freezing lows 3-4 days out, but as time progresses the prediction keeps moving into the future.