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Marine Heat

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Cassandra
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@snufkin I am trying to remember what I have read or seen about the impacts of sunspots and the solar cycle. I think Paul Beckwith has had some things about it but I can't find it at the moment. https://www.youtube.com/@PaulHBeckwith

My recollection is that, yes, they have an impact that won't help matters, but the impact is very small compared to other components of climate change. Maybe someone more knowledgeable can chime in.

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Panopticon
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@cassandra, Sam Carana's conclusions tend towards "worst case" but her latest includes a nod to sunspots (they are a factor, albeit fairly minor relative to the human forcing, as you say):

"The peak of the next El Niño may well coincide with a high number of sunspots."

https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/04/runaway-temperature-rise-by-2026.html

 

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Cassandra
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@panopticon Thanks! That's probably where I saw it.

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Snufkin
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@panopticon Thanks! That's interesting.

I suppose the prospects for the next couple of years are bad enough even without the minor contribution from the sunspots.

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