Special sponsor for June 2025 is [you?]. Contact me here if you fancy helping me out and spending a month atop the C&E wall of fame.
“Breaking News! Code Yikes!
“The latest “Total Column Precipitable Water” data just came out from ECMWF for May, 2025, and surprise! The 36-month running average just hit yet another record high. Wet times ahead! And dry too! [IOW our hydrological cycle is “amped up”, moving water around the planet more aggressively and often more unpredictably; JP]
[Prof Eliot Jacobson]
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lqxyj5lp222t
“May 2025 was the second warmest May on record after [El Nino-influenced] 2024, at around 1.4C above preindustrial levels in the ERA5 dataset.
“NH summer months generally show a bit less warming since preindustrial, as the world has warmed faster in winter months… With five months now in, it’s looking increasingly likely 2025 will end up as the second warmest on record.” [Zeke Hausfather]
https://x.com/hausfath/status/1930729841336234227
“No one should be surprised when a planet that accumulates heat more than twice as fast starts to see temperatures go up more than twice as fast.
“This isn’t rocket science, but we do need more of these NASA satellites. To keep us from going blind.” [Leon Simons]
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1931104765800591410
“Earth’s CO2 hits highest recorded level in human history – exceeding 430 parts per million for the first time ever.
“For the first time on record, monthly average CO2 levels exceeded 430 parts per million (ppm), according to experts at Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego. The monthly average for May 2025 reached 430.2ppm – the highest level since accurate measurements began 67 years ago.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-14787095/Earth-CO2-hits-highest-human-history.html
“The prominent areas of surface ocean warmth (relative to average) continue in the midlatitude basins of both hemispheres.
“Marine heatwave conditions have continued for quite a while now in the north-central Pacific. ENSO is neutral.” [Zack Labe]
https://bsky.app/profile/zacklabe.com/post/3lqwtlvcxkc2c
“Spring 2025 was Ireland’s warmest and sunniest on record, Met Éireann says…
“An average temperature of 10.62 degrees was recorded across the State, a full 1.5 degrees above the long-term average for the years between 1991 and 2020. The previous warmest spring was recorded in 1945.”
“UK farmers lost £1.19 billion in income from arable crops last year following the extreme wet and stormy weather, official figures show…
“It comes amid warnings that farmers could be facing another terrible harvest this year following the hottest spring on record and the driest conditions in decades.”
“England’s Reservoirs Drop Further After Driest Spring Since 1893.
“Reservoir levels across England fell far below the norm as the driest spring in more than a century raises further concerns about water supplies ahead of summer.”
“New UK AI datacentre could cause five times emissions of Birmingham airport.
“Elsham datacentre in Lincolnshire is on course to cost £10bn and its 15 power-hungry computer warehouses are projected to release five times the carbon dioxide of Birmingham airport, including from take-offs and landings.”
“Bossons Glacier [France] tonight. 😭
“The haemorrhage at its heart is increasing! Therapies don’t yet exist. Human reject them.” [Melaine Le Roy]
https://x.com/subfossilguy/status/1931114953173565454
“Switzerland faces growing drought risks.
“Climate-related risks in Switzerland are rising, driven by intensifying summer droughts and higher temperatures. That is the stark warning from a new report published on Thursday by the Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN).”
https://lenews.ch/2025/06/07/switzerland-faces-growing-drought-risks/
“Nine injured as storm causes violent turbulence on Ryanair flight over Europe.
“A Ryanair flight from Berlin to Milan was forced to make an emergency landing in southern Germany on Wednesday night after severe turbulence injured nine people, police have said.”
“Around 30,000 people in Poland’s south cut off from electricity after severe storms.
“It follows extreme weather events across the country, particularly in the southern region, where heavy rain, strong winds, and hailstorms caused damage to facades of residential and farm buildings.”
“Storm with huge hail in Leghin – the village, under siege by extreme weather [Romania].
“The village of Leghin was hit this afternoon by a violent storm, accompanied by large hail, which caused panic among locals. The pieces of ice, some the size of ping-pong balls, destroyed roofs, agricultural crops and damaged several cars.”
“MEDITERRANEAN HEAT WAVE:
“Another day with up to 43C in Northern Africa and 37C in the Balkans. The weekend will be historic: Exceptional heat in Morocco, Algeria, Spain, Balkans and Eastern Europe with up to 45C [113F] in Africa and 42C in Europe.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1930998388150956504
“The shaky foundations of Alexandria [Egypt] are being eroded by climate crisis.
“Dozens of buildings in the Egyptian city, the southern Mediterranean’s most-populated metropolis, are collapsing from coastal erosion and the infiltration of sea water in its aquifers.”
“Morocco’s agricultural, fishing sectors plunge in 2024 amid drought, climate strain.
“Agriculture, a long-standing pillar of Morocco’s economy, registered a sharp decline. Output in the primary sector shrank by 4.5%, led by a 4.8% decline in agricultural production. The fisheries industry, a source of growth in previous years, also ran out of steam.”
“EXCEPTIONAL HEAT IN THE GULF OF GUINEA:
“Record after record, every single day, since October 2024 in the area. June Hottest nights in history: Min 28.4 [83.1F] Cotonou BENIN and 27.5 Wa GHANA.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1930933721126854992
“Mokwa flood: ‘How my wives and children were swept off before my eyes’; survivors narrate woes [Nigeria]…
“The high intensity of rain led to the collapse of walls and fences of houses, and all barriers that would have saved structures on the ground. The resultant flood came with fury, sweeping away everything on its way-men, women, children and animals along with makeshift houses, farm produce and all.”
“RECORD HEAT AGAIN IN THE INDIAN OCEAN:
“For the second time this month the FRENCH SOUTHERN TERRITORIES broke their records of June hottest night – Tmin 26.9C [80.4F] Juan de Nova Island. In the past 2 years records have fallen there every month.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1930565994059042828
“Most corals in the Arabian Gulf could be lost this century to climate change, study suggests…
“The study also found that corals in the hottest parts of the world will not be able to expand fast enough into cooler areas to cope with the damage they will experience from the warming of the oceans.”
“EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN CENTRAL ASIA:
“48C IRAN; 41C KAZAKHSTAN and TAJIKISTAN; MINIMUMS up to 30C UZBEKISTAN…Tomorrow KYRGYZSTAN might record its earliest 40C in history.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1930650130425753637
“Pakistan urges India to restore Indus Waters Treaty in multiple letters.
“Pakistani authorities have written to their Indian counterparts several times since April to reconsider the decision to suspend the Indus Waters Treaty in response to the Pahalgam terror attack, people familiar with the matter said on Friday.”
“India Accelerates Indus Water Diversion Projects Amid Treaty Standoff With Pakistan…
“India’s assertive stance underscores a broader strategic recalibration, with officials citing national security and resource sovereignty as key imperatives. “Water is a critical resource, and we must prioritise domestic needs, especially when cross-border terrorism remains unchecked,” a senior official noted.”
“The link between leprosy and climate-change that we did not know about: an Indian story.
“Leprosy was eliminated as a public health problem in India as per the World Health Organization’s criteria of less than 1 case per 10,000 population, at the national level, in 2005. However now, experts say, it is quietly resurfacing, particularly in climate stressed States including West Bengal and Bihar.”
“Six tornadoes hit Northeast China in one day. Is this a sign of abnormal climate?
“Why are there so many tornadoes? This is not groundless anxiety. From the perspective of circulation, although tornadoes are not uncommon in my country, such a dense concentration in a single period of time is indeed worthy of serious interpretation.”
https://www.163.com/dy/article/K1AU84I10511ATND.html
“Waist-deep flooding hits 9 barangays in Mandaue; Lapu, Cebu cities gear up [Philippines].
“AT LEAST 44 families were evacuated to the Ibabao-Estancia gym on Friday, June 6, 2025, after heavy rains caused waist-deep flooding in several barangays of Mandaue City. The severe weather inundated multiple low-lying communities, with Barangays Ibabao-Estancia, Tipolo, Cabancalan, Pagsabungan and Subangdaku among those hardest hit.”
“‘It was our hope spot’: scientists heartbroken as pristine coral gardens hit by Western Australia’s worst bleaching event…
“At Rowley Shoals, Gilmour, who has been researching corals for 30 years, says a visit in mid-April presented a devastating and confronting scene. “It was several weeks after the peak heat stress. Some corals were still bleached white, but most had died. We saw that over vast areas,” he says.”
“Australia to see more intense rains as climate change worsens, analysis shows.
“Scientists have warned that extreme rains could become more common in eastern Australia, following heavy downpours from May 19-23 that caused widespread flooding, claimed five lives and left some 50,000 people stranded.”
“Rural VIC and NSW have experienced driest 24-month period on record affecting farmers [Australia].
“Shadow Regional Development Minister Anne Webster says the droughts in regional Victoria and New South Wales are “getting worse” and are causing an “enormous burden” for farmers. “We don’t have rain in our neck of the woods,” Ms Webster told Sky News host Chris Kenny.”
“Human noise is disrupting wildlife in Antarctica…
“Chronic noise can mask alarm calls, hamper chick-feeding coordination, and raise baseline stress. Over successive seasons, such subtle costs may tip breeding success below replacement levels.”
https://www.earth.com/news/human-noise-is-disrupting-wildlife-in-antarctica/
“RECORD HEAT IN OCEANIA:
“We are witnessing an insanity these days of June with all the tropics pulverzing records everywhere. MINIMUM 28.6C [83.5F] Manhiki is COOK ISLANDS HOTTEST JUNE NIGHT IN HISTORY; MINIMUM 28.3 Majuro is MARSHALL ISLANDS HOTTEST JUNE NIGHT IN HISTORY.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1930781911007240199
“Flood caused flooding in Luque [Paraguay].
“The intense rains and thunderstorms recorded early Thursday morning in Luque and other cities caused material damage, flooding of homes, schools, businesses, avenues, streets, and vehicles swept away by the rapids. More than 90,000 ANDE users were left without power.”
https://www.luquenoticias.com.py/2025/06/05/diluvio-provoca-inundaciones-en-luque/
“Amazon’s longest drought experiment reveals alarming forest decline.
“”We saw a really big decline in biomass, big losses and mortality of the largest trees,” said Rowland. This resulted in the loss of approximately 40% of the total weight of the vegetation and the carbon stored within it from the plot.””
“Climate change threatens banana exports, key to the Latin American economy…
“A report published in May by Christian Aid, titled Going Bananas: How Climate Change Threatens the World’s Favorite Fruit, found that 60% of banana-growing areas are at risk of disappearing within the next five decades due to extreme weather, rising temperatures, and pests.”
“Researchers race to understand new disease killing Caribbean corals at unprecedented rates.
“Stony coral tissue loss disease (SCTLD) is a novel coral disease that first emerged in Florida in 2014, and has now spread to 33 countries and territories in the Caribbean, including along the Mesoamerican Reef… Researchers are still trying to figure out exactly what causes the disease.”
“Caribbean beaches blighted by record masses of stinking seaweed…
“The brown prickly algae is suffocating shorelines from Puerto Rico to Guyana and beyond, disrupting tourism, killing wildlife and even releasing toxic gases that forced one school in the French Caribbean island of Martinique to temporarily close.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/03/caribbean-sargassum-seaweed
“A dozen vehicles are swept away by the rain in Santa María del Oro [Durango, Mexico].
“Heavy rains hit Santa María del Oro, Durango, on Thursday afternoon, causing the Ojo de Agua and Arroyo del Agua streams to overflow their banks, sweeping away at least 12 vehicles, food stalls, and farm animals. The storm lasted approximately 40 minutes…”
https://newsweekespanol.com/2025/06/06/una-decena-de-vehiculos-son-arrastrados-por-la-lluvia-en-santa-maria-del-oro/
“Strong tornadoes batter Texas as severe weather spreads east…
“More than a dozen tornadoes were reported west of Lubbock, Texas, on Thursday, along with hail as big as large grapefruits and winds gusting over 100 mph. The town of Smyer, west of Lubbock, logged winds gusting to 109 mph.”
“NASA scientists describe ‘absolute sh*tshow’ at agency as Trump budget seeks to dismantle top US climate lab.
“NASA scientists are in a state of anxious limbo after the Trump administration proposed a budget that would eliminate one of the United States’ top climate labs – the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, or GISS – as a standalone entity.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/05/climate/nasa-giss-lab-turmoil-trump-budget
“Rapid snowmelt and Trump cuts compound wildfire fears in US west.
“Unusually warm springtime temperatures have contributed to rapid reductions in snowpacks across the western US that rival the fastest rates on record, increasing concerns around wildfire season.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/05/wildfire-trump-cuts-climate-crisis
“Wildfires forced another 1,000 people to flee their homes in Manitoba, one of two Canadian provinces under a state of emergency that has led to thousands of evacuations.
“Smoke from Canadian wildfires has worsened air quality in eastern Canada and the U.S.”
“Check out just how far wildfire smoke has spread! Since late May, smoke has swirled more than 5,000 miles from Canada to Russia, according to my analysis using Copernicus ECMWF data.
“Smoky skies have also been spotted in parts of Europe, Greenland and the Arctic Archipelago.” [Ben Noll]
https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/1930964373797024198
“More bad news for sea ice monitoring (key satellite observations for tracking for sea ice):
“”The Defense Department has informed National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) that they will reduce the priority of processing the SSMIS data, resulting in likely daily data gaps.”” [h/t Zack Labe]
“Human Intelligence Created the Climate Crisis—But It’s Also the Solution [the article is not as stupid as this title makes it sound, even if its cautious optimism is, alas, unwarranted; JP].
“I don’t want my son growing up thinking that his species is in some way evil. I want him thinking humans are problem solvers, and that solving problems always creates new ones.”
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-we-solve-the-climate-crisis/
“Schwarzenegger: Hey, stop whining, do something on climate change.
“Actor and activist Arnold Schwarzenegger has told the BBC people should “stop whining” about US President Donald Trump’s approach to climate change… he said the president was not a barrier to change.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/ce80kyxd05wo
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
I don’t know if this is a new feature on my weather app but I noticed a section with data on temperature averages. It says today will be 8° above average for my location. 83 F. Totally survivable. Nothing to see here, move along.
Cassandra, over here we have rather a good site that shows you what the current temperature is relative to the historical norm at various weather stations around the UK, including Port Ellen on Islay:
https://istheukhotrightnow.com/
Here’s a (hopeful?) musing… what if the climate chaos becomes so overwhelming that nations are forced to stop manufacturing war? A world where war is unaffordable… “what world, what world “ ( says the wicked witch of the west as she melts)
*what A world, what A world
Texas Guy, unfortunately economic crises tend to make nations more belligerent rather than less, and you get the feeling that, even if industry collapses, we’ll still be finding creative ways to attack the hell out of each other, probably on a more primitive, localised basis.
Silver lining! 😂 🤔
Pakistan and India? And probably any countries dependent on glacial melt.
Wishful thinking, I’d suggest it will be the economic miracle to balance out the damage to the economy from pollution and environmental destruction.
Hank Green and his 8 year old son’s aversion to “evil.” Arnold and his “stop whining” tagline.
C&E’s last choices are always such hilarity.
Note to Hank: humans and evil have always co-evolved. Stop lying to your kid. Arnold: stop the HGH.
430 and Rising.
Martin, nice to see you back and sardonic as ever. 😂
I actually love Arnold Schwarzenegger and his relentless positivity. I’ve no idea why, as it is a trait that generally rubs me up the wrong way. Perhaps it is residual affection from his T2, Predator days. Here’s one of his motivational quotes to inspire C&E readers on to dizzying heights:
“Just remember, you can’t climb the ladder of success with your hands in your pockets.”
Come on. Too many negative waves. It’s easy, like he says, just follow the UK’s shining example: offshore all manufacturing; live somewhere with a long, windy coastline; import a lot of LNG but ignore the 10% burnt to produce the remainder; get electricity from an inter-connector that you can pretend is connected only to nuclear plants and not all the coal fired ones; redefine the most environmentally destructive and carbon intense generation method, wood pellets, as green provided the wood is grown abroad; numb your brain watching adverts with inanely grinning and infeasibly healthy looking bimbos of all ages and sexes enjoying carefree foreign travels and. cruise line vacations, content in the knowledge that aviation and shipping emissions are not counted against your country; feel smugly superior at achieving a nominal reduction in emissions even though it has been mostly forced on you and is only about 3% of what’s required; ignore the fact that so many sinks have become sources that emissions aren’t the real priority now; ignore the fact that concentrations of GHGs are already high enough to give at least four degrees of warming, and more likely a runaway to hothouse conditions; ignore water depletion, soil erosion, biodiversity loss, and other pollution as equally dangerous threats, all of which are exacerbated by efforts to counter climate change; never, under any circumstances, mention de-growth, overshoot, overconsumption or overpopulation.
George, nice. You’re giving Martin a run for his money there with the caustic wit. 😂
Unfortunately, the hypocrisy and delusion is as as bad as you suggest.
Run for the money? Nah. George issues the mother of all comments, what used to be called “the mother” back in the 60s.
My only semi-sardonic quibble is that, never fear, the opposition will creepily repurpose and redesign your own words after they get tired of ignoring them a la the elephant in the room,
And, even worse, your own side will do the opposition’s own work for them – witness “overshoot,” which is now used by Andreas Malm and confreres to denote the opposite of what it is. Not a compulsion leading to extinction, but as a strategy to persist by the corporate powers that be. Or something – you’d have to ask Mr. SUV-keyer himself what his redefinition is supposed to mean.
Two last things, as long as I’ve got the open mic for a second:
1. George’s “so many sinks have become sources that emissions aren’t the real priority now” is damn close to a defining epitaph.
2. “Evil” – a “progressive” law professor was challenged last week by one of the Republican geeks in the best geekfests of our times , that of Congressional hearings, to name which US Supreme Court justices were “evil” according to a podcast comment she made. Nope, she said she most likely didn’t call them “evil,” must have been a misquote, couldn’t call any of them that, not Alito, not Thomas, not Roberts, not Gorsuch.
Bonus:
Lewd I did live. Evil did I dwel.
Evangelist = evil’s agent
Martin, I hadn’t heard of Andreas Malm or his “Overshoot” book:
“Overshoot is a brilliant book in many ways. Andreas Malm and Wim Carton aim to show that the transition from a fossil-fuel-based energy system to one based on renewables – specifically, wind and solar – cannot be achieved within a capitalist system based on the production and realisation of capital value.”
https://theecologist.org/2025/jan/20/capitalism-and-climate-overshoot
Sounds like he thinks Marxism is the panacea.
A few Clever Apes dying from weather weirding will not get the attention of the monkey minds. Maybe tens of thousands of deaths in one AGW event might turn on the light bulb in a few baboon brains.
We’ve got a prime directive which we have ignored. What about the prime question; What does one do when it’s too late? Dying dumb might be the only solution.
Not to worry, political, economic & religious delusions are working out great, so far?
TR, the 2011 drought in Somalia was exacerbated by climate change and killed approximately 250,000 people… but climate change attribution is a sufficiently inexact science for cynics to airbrush it out.
Plus, as depressing as it is, people are inured to mass mortality events in Africa.
Have our devices silenced the revolution or is it pending?
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06-08/fossil-fuels-warming-planet-democracy-in-retreat-does-labor-care/105378134
https://youtu.be/Xv8FBjo1Y8I?si=n6Lvd57WPpoN4UcQ
Sean, Tracy Chapman’s wonderful rabble-rousing notwithstanding, I think more authoritarian creep is probably baked into the cake; punctuated with worsening flashes of civil “disobedience” and social unrest in turn inviting further repression.
Meanwhile, constricting government budgets are going to see more and more people fall through the cracks, Subcity style. Desperate times…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WFBbzPuwRug
Wow, finally .. a simplified version of “Surplus Energy Economics” that even me can understand..
https://warwickpowell.substack.com/p/value-is-energy
Oh.. and the “long form” version..
https://open.substack.com/pub/warwickpowell/p/systemic-exchange-value?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=hbvfh
Rain, I cheated and read the short version, which is still packed with interesting insights. I loved this summary:
“The economy is not a machine. It is not a market. It is not even a set of preferences. It is a circulating system of energy and information, embedded in a physical world governed by thermodynamic laws. If we continue to ignore these foundations, we will continue to build policies, institutions and systems that collapse under their own entropic weight.”
I only part company with him in his view that a switch to an entropy-reducing monetary and financial system can be orchestrated. Also, the global economy as a totality already self-organises to maximise its throughput of energy, so I am not convinced that ascribing EROEI values to sectors within it as if they are discrete has much utility, although I imagine it might be a helpful insight for investors.
I’ll try to find time to read the long version, though, as he may address that.
It is and will continue raining in Victoria over the next 3 days. Farmers are rejoicing 🙂
Thank you for that local intel, Wet Victorian, and welcome to the site.
When our warmest, sunniest and almost driest spring on record ended up here on Islay and we finally got some rain, the relief was enormous and felt atavistic. I imagine that is amplified tenfold for those poor Victorian farmers.
Howdy neighbour, we too, in the nation’s capital, but the rain never stopped here…our farmers are still struggling with heavy waterlogging…
But I’ll raise you, your rain, for one rare snowfall this morning…
I don’t like to comment on Sunday because I’m not sure many people check on an “off” posting day. But Robert Hunziker posted yesterday and I didn’t see it until later in the day. If I post it Tuesday it feels like it might be stale. On the other hand, many readers here are probably aware of some of the articles I post.
Nightmare of Nightmares: New (Big) CO2 Emissions by Robert Hunziker
Both the Arctic and the Amazon Rain Forest are now net sources of CO2.
Every time I hear (or read) Amazon Rain Forest I still think about the 4 lane highway being built through a protected area of the rain forest for COP30. It’s like the old saying, “Throwing the baby out with the bath water.”
Edward, it’s worth noting that the secretariat for COP30 has denied that the construction of Avenida Liberdade highway is specifically for COP30, arguing that it was approved in 2020 before Belem had been chosen to host.
The optics are terrible, though, particularly in conjunction with Brazil pushing ahead with oil-drilling at the mouth of the Amazon and rolling back environmental laws:
“The upper house passed the so-called “devastation bill” with 54 votes to 13 late on Wednesday, paving the way for projects ranging from mining and infrastructure to energy and farming to receive regulatory approval with little to no environmental oversight.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/may/22/brazil-environment-devastation-bill
“Might be stale” —? Strange world we live in where a three day old article might be considered stale. Thanks for posting it, Edward. I don’t want to read everything Dissident Voice published but I am always interested in Hunziker’s work.
“Solution: It’s all about burning fossil fuels. Figure it out!” I have figured it out: we’re all dead “men” walking!
PS I try to go back to the previous day’s C & E post to see if there are any new excellent comments, and there usually are.
I Just Want To Celebrate – Rare Earth
“I put my faith in the people[species]
But the people[species] let me down “