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“Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation…
“The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the climate system and a future collapse would have severe impacts on the climate in the North Atlantic region… We estimate a collapse of the AMOC to occur around mid-century under the current scenario of future emissions.”
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-39810-w
Quote from Prof Stefan Rahmstorf back in June:
“Just attending a 3-day workshop on the danger of abrupt ocean circulation changes. Discussions are quite worrying. E.g. in 35 to 45 % of high quality models, convection in the open North Atlantic collapses in the 2030s due to global heating. -> Major climate disruption.”
https://x.com/rahmstorf/status/1797976625247879278
“It takes >3000x as much energy to heat water by 0.5 °C than it does for air!
“This record jump (+0.27°C!) in North Atlantic Sea Surface Temps of the past 12-months is all from after the June and July daily temperature spikes, which got lots of media attention… we could still have another ~5 weeks of warming in the pipeline!”
https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1818693482354991573
“New record low temperature for July set in Scotland…
“Last night, the thermometer registered a low of 1.7C in Tyndrum and Tulloch Bridge. It was so cold last night that Bishopton in Renfrewshire set a new July low with 5.1C, beating its previous record of 5.3C set in 2001.”
https://news.stv.tv/scotland/new-record-low-temperature-for-july-set-in-scotland
“A farmer from Shropshire has said the industry must adapt to changing weather patterns, following significant rainfall this year which has led to crop failure for some.
“He said milder winters had also led to more pests surviving which might not otherwise make it through the colder months.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy94zzypj43o
“In Normandy, a new stormy episode is hitting the department. Significant rainfall and strong gusts of wind were observed this Wednesday, July 31. Violent storms are currently affecting Normandy.
“In Evreux, 28.6mm of rain fell in 30 minutes, the equivalent of more than two weeks of precipitation for the month of July in this area.”
“All train services are suspended on France’s south-east rail axis after a tornado hit the eastern part of the country early on Wednesday morning.
“All trains are halted on the Paris-Lyon line – the TGV Sud-Est axis – on Wednesday after severe damage… Storms hit much of northern and central France overnight on Tuesday.”
https://www.thelocal.fr/20240731/trains-halted-after-tornado-hits-rail-lines-in-france
“Extreme ‘heat dome’ hitting Olympics ‘impossible’ without global heating…
“The “heat dome” causing scorching temperatures across western Europe and north Africa, and boiling athletes and spectators at the Olympic Games in Paris, would have been impossible without human-caused global heating, a rapid analysis has found.”
“Climatologist Georgi Rachev said in a television interview that this will be Bulgaria’s warmest summer since there have been meteorological observations.
“Temperatures will again reach and exceed 40°C in the first 15 days of August, Rachev told bTV in an interview.”
https://sofiaglobe.com/2024/07/31/climatologist-bulgaria-faces-warmest-summer-on-record/
“Evacuations as wildfires return to Greece’s second-largest island [Evia]…
“Hundreds of firefighters backed up by helicopters and water-carrying planes battled a huge wildfire on Greece‘s second-biggest island for a second day on Tuesday as authorities ordered the evacuation of two villages.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/greece-fires-evia-weather-heatwaves-b2588067.html
“Forest fires rage near Albanian coastal town, spurring evacuations…
“Albanian firefighters and soldiers battled to control spreading forest fires near the coastal town of Shengjin on Tuesday, prompting authorities to evacuate residents. The fire was still active after several days and helicopters were deployed to try and extinguish it…”
“Large fire breaks out in Rome near public TV station and court of justice…
“A large fire broke out in Rome on Wednesday on a hill near the Italian capital’s court of justice and a public TV broadcasting centre, forcing the evacuation of several buildings and offices, firefighters said.”
“Sardinia declared a state of emergency on Tuesday due to a persistent drought crippling the island and creating a lack of drinking water.
“The tourism hub has not seen rain for weeks as temperatures in the region continue to rise. The island is expected to see heat of 40 degrees Celsius in the coming days.”
“Barcelona recorded its hottest ever day as a heat wave engulfs Spain…
“Spain’s second-biggest city reached 40C (104F) Tuesday, breaking a record set 42 years earlier, according to the Spanish meteorological agency AEMET. Temperatures are forecast to climb to as high as 43C in parts of the country on Wednesday.”
“Wildfires rage in Spain as heatwave peaks…
“Hundreds of firefighters backed up by waterbomber aircraft sought to contain two wildfires that have raged since Tuesday in eastern Spain, and much of the rest of the country is on red alert for heat and fires.”
https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/wildfires-rage-spain-heatwave-peaks-2024-07-31/
“Moroccan climate experts warn that the severe heatwave will continue…
“This period between the end of July and August will record higher temperatures,” said climate expert Mustafa Aisset. He added that because of the direct impact of climate change on weather, the country will experience more heatwaves and they will be hotter and longer than they are currently.”
“Kenyan villages hit by floods see rise in tropical diseases.
“In Kenya, devastating floods have brought new dangers to poor communities. The floods triggered outbreaks of neglected tropical diseases like intestinal worms and snail fever, posing serious health risks.”
https://www.dw.com/en/kenyan-villages-hit-by-floods-see-rise-in-tropical-diseases/video-69811959
“Flash Flood Capsizes Boat in Ethiopia, Leaving 12 Dead.
“The wooden vessel was carrying passengers across the Tekeze River, which borders Ethiopia and Eritrea, to attend a funeral. The boat capsized on Saturday after being hit by a flash flood. There were 26 people on board when the accident occurred.”
https://newscentral.africa/flash-flood-capsizes-boat-in-ethiopia-leaving-12-dead/
“Dubai’s Brush With 60C [140F] ‘Feels Like’ Heat Shows Dangers Ahead…
“More than 1,300 pilgrims died at the annual Hajj gathering in Saudi Arabia amid soaring heat this year, which has also hit agriculture in Egypt and closed offices in Iran. Dubai has already suffered the fallouts of extreme weather in April this year, with record rains lashing the city…”
“Record heat spreads everywhere (204 countries/territories have broken monthly or all time records these days!).
“TAJIKISTAN: MIN. of 29.4C [84.9F] at Parkhar today: Hottest night in history and hottest in Tajik plain (30C min In July 2021 at higher elevations with thermal inversions).”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1818261604133195797
“The supertornado “Aigul”, which raged in Nizhnekamsk [Tatarstan, Russia] yesterday, ruined the St. Petersburg University of Civil Aviation for 34.5 million rubles. And left it without training aircraft.”
“The institution had only four light-engined Diamond-42 aircraft on its balance sheet – all of them were broken by the wind.”
“Rain with hail in Kazan [Russia] flooded the city center…
“The central streets of the city were flooded, and cars were moving almost half in water. “The weather is raging today, there was a lot of hail, and the downpour continues,” the city mayor’s office said.”
https://www.vedomosti.ru/society/galleries/2024/07/30/1052951-liven-gradom-kazani#140737497167705
“Flash floods wash away neighborhoods in northern Pakistan, kill 35 people…
“Torrents of rainwater wreaked havoc on swaths of scenic Chitral district of northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, where heavy precipitation and flash floods washed away houses, bridges and livestock on Wednesday, disconnecting dozens of suburban villages from the city.”
“Torrential rains on Thursday drenched Lahore as the metropolis received more than 350 millimetres [13.8 inches] in three hours, breaking a 44-year-old record, with a person also losing their life due to electrocution in Nishat Colony.
“Heavy rains have caused rainwater to enter homes in the Tajpura area, inundated roads, and disrupted commuting early in the morning.”
https://www.geo.tv/latest/556943-44-year-record-broken-as-350mm-rainfall-lashes-lahore
“Ten dead as freak torrential rains flood Delhi, forcing schools and offices to close…
“The Meteorological Department issued an alert as Delhi recorded over 100mm rain [4 inches] in a span of an hour yesterday while the government announced the closure of schools. Residents were advised to stay indoors after waterlogging in several areas choked traffic.”
“South India landslide death toll rises to 277…
“The tragedy unfolded after two days of incessant rainfall, triggering three massive landslides within a span of just four hours in the Wayanad district… The landslides have wreaked havoc, sweeping away numerous homes, destroying roads, and collapsing a bridge.”
https://news.az/news/south-india-landslide-death-toll-rises-to-277
“How decline of Indian vultures led to 500,000 human deaths…
““Vultures are considered nature’s sanitation service because of the important role they play in removing dead animals that contain bacteria and pathogens from our environment – without them, disease can spread,” says the study’s co-author, Eyal Frank…”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c28e2pvzn3lo
“NEARLY 50 DEGREES IN CHINA – as forecast by your author more than 2 weeks ago, here we got another scorching heat wave with 49.5C [121.1F] in Xinjiang Northern China.
“All time records keep falling: 41.9 Yutian; 38.9 Yanqi; 32.6 Bomi. Tomorrow it can be the 2nd hottest night in history of China.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1818317326380646598
“China had its hottest month in observed modern history in July, Chinese state media reported, mirroring record hot weather seen around the world last month.
“Temperatures averaged 23.21 degrees Celsius (73.78 degrees Fahrenheit) last month, eclipsing the 23.17C in July 2017, China’s national television broadcaster reported on Thursday.”
https://kfgo.com/2024/08/01/china-records-hottest-month-in-recent-history/
“State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters activated a Level-IV emergency response to floods in northeast China’s Heilongjiang Province on Wednesday.
“In the coming days, heavy to torrential rains are expected in parts of Heilongjiang, increasing the overall risk of floods and geological disasters.”
“Recent rains in North Korea flooded thousands of houses and vast farmland, state media says…
“The recent heavy rains in northwestern North Korea flooded thousands of houses and a vast extent of farmland and left many residents homeless and living in makeshift tents, North Korea’s state media reported Wednesday.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/north-korea-ap-south-korea-seoul-kim-jong-un-b2588556.html
“During a prolonged heatwave, localized heavy rainstorms hit the Tokyo area. The cloud tops appeared to have reached near the tropopause.
“A rain gauge in a Tokyo suburb [Nerima] recorded 53.5mm in an hour, breaking the previous record for July’s hourly rain.”
https://x.com/sayakasofiamori/status/1818645734390169607
“Heatwave withers lake, threatens rice crop in Malaysia’s north as climate crisis bites.
“A climate change-driven heatwave has caused critical water shortages in northern Peninsular Malaysia, threatening rice yields, exposing submerged graves and depleting dam reservoirs to dangerously low levels.”
“Cerrado’s current drought impossible without human-caused climate change.
“Since early 2000s, Brazil’s Cerrado has been suffering severe drought episodes, with water shortages affecting hydroelectric power, agriculture and water access. Its water supply has also been under pressure from encroaching agriculture and deforestation.”
“CARIBBEAN HEAT WAVE:
“TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO had its hottest July night in history with a minimum temperature of 27.9C [82.2F] in the Tobago Airport… 35.4 Canefield DOMINICA HOTTEST JULY DAY again; 34.3 Carravelle MARTINIQUE- station July record.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1818755270463381943
“Hailstorm in Morelia [Mexico] Causes Flooding and Evacuation of Victims.
“In Morelia , Michoacán, a strong hailstorm caused the water level in the Carlos Salazar neighborhood to reach almost a meter in height and residents were evacuated by boat.”
“Death Valley, California, just set the record for the warmest month ever recorded on Earth.
“Their average temperature was 108.5F (42.5C). Their previous record, also the previous world record, was 108.1F (42.3C) set in July 2018.”
https://x.com/Climatologist49/status/1818832736419037295
“Denver-area wildfire turns deadly as California’s Park Fire torches an area larger than Los Angeles.
“While California battles the fifth-largest wildfire in state history, a trio of wildfires near Denver has forced hundreds of evacuations and claimed at least one life.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/31/us/wildfires-california-park-colorado-quarry/index.html
“Portland sees hottest July on record…
“The biggest culprit this record July was the heat wave early in the month. Portland broke records five days in a row as temperatures sat above 100-degrees for three days. Summer heat is expected to return to the Portland, Vancouver metro area by the start of August.”
https://www.koin.com/weather/portland-sees-hottest-july-on-record/
“Record heat is set to drive the cost of fruits and vegetables higher [US].
“While inflation in the US has been cooling since hitting a four-decade high, the temperature outside continues to climb. It’s been one of the hottest summers on record for much of the country and the planet…”
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/30/economy/produce-prices-extreme-heat-waves/index.html
“‘Apocalyptic’ floods in Vermont destroy homes as two dozen rescued by boat…
“Thunderstorms and torrential rain brought another wave of violent floods Tuesday that caved in roads, crushed vehicles, pushed homes off their foundations and led to dramatic boat rescues in north-eastern Vermont, nearly three weeks after flooding from Hurricane Beryl.”
“Toronto officially records its rainiest month ever…
“Only two weeks after a series of training storms caused major flooding across southern Ontario, Tuesday’s disturbance ushered in a very muggy air mass, increasing the threat of flooding across the region, once again.”
“HEAT WAVE IN EASTERN CANADA – the day before yesterday Gaspe in Quebec had 36.1C [97F] its hottest day in climatic history.
“Very hot days (up to 35C) and tropical nights in the islands including the province of Newfoundland and Labrador. MIN 20.9C at Gander yesterday, highest on record.”
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/1818618947693879672
“An Alaskan community’s slow and costly move to higher ground.
“In southwest Alaska, on the banks of the Ninglick River, the native Yup’ik Village of Newtok sits on permafrost that is melting as the climate warms. Schaeffer: “They have extreme sinking of the village as well as extreme erosion, and so therefore they have no choice but to move. They have had miles of land lost to the river.””
“Antarctic temperatures soar 50 degrees above norm in long-lasting heat wave…
“…[This is] the second major heat wave to afflict the region in the past two years. This historic warm spell could persist for another 10 days, and is an ominous example of the major temperature spikes this polar climate could experience more frequently in a warming world.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2024/07/31/antarctica-heat-wave-warming-climate/
“Extreme Weather Sends Insured Losses 70% Above Historical Norms…
“Meteorological, socioeconomic and underwriting data all point to a changing risk pattern associated with severe weather events, Munich Re said. There’s a greater frequency of storms and fires fueled by climate change, with more built-up areas leading to a bigger risk of property damage.”
https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/international/2024/07/31/786306.htm
“Global methane emissions rising at fastest rate in decades, scientists warn.
““The growth rate of methane is accelerating, which is worrisome,” said Drew Shindell, a climate scientist at Duke University and lead author of the study. “It was quite flat until around 20 years ago and just in the last few years we’ve had this huge dump of methane. It’s made the job of tackling anthropogenic warming all the more challenging.””
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jul/30/methane-emissions-study
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You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an ”Economic” thread.
Nowhere to run.
Professor Guy McPherson just confirmed that again in his latest video on YouTube.
But there are positives to it all…sarcasm
Washington
CNN
—
The US economy is on the verge of an extremely rare achievement.
Economic growth in the first half of the year was solid, with the economy expanding a robust 2.8% annualized rate in the second quarter, according to fresh Commerce Department figures released Thursday, which are adjusted for inflation and seasonal swings.
Stocks surged in the morning after the economy’s powerful show of resilience
We must have a cost/benefit frame of reference as an associate of Willard Watts of the website “Watts Up With That”, kept repeating to me in our 13,000 comment exchange in the Rolling Stone article Global Warmings Terrifying New Math . That was a long time ago and I imagine Evan Jones, if still alive, is still contesting the same today
Damn you are brave, trying to reason with such people!!!
Side note: please consider posting comments with link to one of Panopticon’s daily climate threads on McPherson’s channel and/or elsewhere that is relevant. P is trying to attract more readers. Thanks for consideration!
I am friends with Guy and sent him a climate and an economy post to his email. He said he knew about the “blog” and was not interested in reading any posts.
His interest is peer reviewed science. What we read here just proves what a few scientists have predicted, actually happening Now. Enjoy the rest of your time on Magnificent Planet Earth, we are well into the 6th mass extinction event. Happy, Peaceful Now
“I am friends with Guy and sent him a climate and an economy post to his email.”
Thank you for the networking assistance, Amira. ❤
I’ve followed Guy & his reports on peer reviewed studies for years. It’s easy to report the problems. It’s even easier to not mention the biggest problem. I won’t say it, because 8 billion baboon brained, monkey minds can’t handle the truth. One problem I see is that syentysts are as much in denial as the masses of the ignorant. Can’t wait to see how their hypocritical (as in not stating the truth & nothing but the truth) education is going to save their brilliant minds & those they love from their denial of CAGW (Clever Ape Global Warming).
What happens to a species when it creates to many of it’s special self? We are finding out. While CAGW is causing horrible physical suffering, I’ll do what I can to cause as much emotional irritation, because this species deserves it. How many pregnancies are there in the world that will lead to unnecessary suffering of infants & young children in the near future.
I’m moving away from the saying; “It’s not my fault.” to “Fuck’em!”, seems to be the mind set of this species. I didn’t know that a whole species could have the same psychotic break at the same time.
My newest personal motto; “That’s right! We bad,we bad.” 😉
Note that 20 years exactly corresponds with the growth of hydraulic fracturing, 1’st in the US, followed by Russia (right on the doorstep of the Arctic, which subsequently went, in the space of less than a decade, from warming 2’ce as fast to warming 4X’s (conservatively) faster than the rest of the planet).
In 2005, Halliburton, setting the template Melonhead Musk would adopt, siphoned the enormous resources the Bush/Cheney junta was funneling to it via non-compete contracts to supply the Iraqi invasion, started drilling in North Dakota’s Bakken, with spectacular results.
But no oil comes without methane. And that enormous cloud of methane was billowing from the Bakken in such stupendous quantities that even with flaring (flaring BURNS methane, creating CO2 and water vapor) increasing to such an extent that the US soon enough knocked the Russians from their perch as the most egregious of violators of flaring standards. The rise in methane is from the methane that DOESN’T get flared, but seeps unburnt from the fractured earth and the flaring towers.
Prior to 2005, the US was panicking over its natural gas deficit, with prices soaring above $8/cb, now less than $2, with an LNG industry that is still growing, even as the presidential candidates debate its continued expansion. Before 2014, there was no such industry in the US, today it rivals the largest of the LNG exporters in the world.
Without hydraulic fracturing, that $35 Trln US deficit you posted in yesterday’s listing could not be serviced.
Just as the FED enabled the 2008 financial crash, the reliance on fracturing by two of three the Petro States that supply a full third of the world’s oil supply, the unspoken, but, (just as prior to 2008) fully recognized dependence on a calamitous outcome to enable current prosperity for a dwindling percentage of humanity, the increase in methane emissions ( with growing contributions from the host this year’s Keystone COP conferences, Azerbaijan) is still to continue.
All the blather about the energy transition is exactly that, as the utter silence on the continued fracturing of the earth’s crust even in the face of the earthquakes it is causing in the Permian as they desperately step up the pace of drilling to stave off the inevitable slide down the wrong side of Hubbert’s peak, illustrates.
So it’s not “made the job of tackling anthropogenic warming all the more challenging”, it’s made even mentioning the cause of its escalation (climate scientists have cautioned that the increase in methane emissions adds a .5 degree of warming/decade, offering a complete picture as to why in the last 2 decades the rate of warming has gone off the charts, as those charts didn’t include such an increase, yet such a correlation is never made … in any of the 20 years of fracturing and flaring on an unprecedented scale.
Yes yes yes, Rob! I keep screaming in my head when I read about various politicians’ (both sides) plans for more fracking. The good stuff is gone, guys! And everything you outlined so well, Rob
Thank you, Kali, energy companies wish to fracture both the English and Dutch countryside’s as well; for the moment forestalled, but methinks the forces of a fractured future will eventually prevail.
It is indeed a strange fate we have bequeathed ourselves:
2https://robertlowrey.blogspot.com/2020/05/strange-fate.html
Rob, I did wonder if you would spot that article when I posted it. This one looks more specifically at US emissions:
“US oil and gas facilities are pumping out four times more planet-warming methane gas than estimated by regulators, according to research underscoring the gulf between reality and compliance with new environmental rules.
“Data published by the Environmental Defense Fund on Wednesday estimates leaks, flaring and venting of methane at US onshore oil and gas operations at 7.5mn tonnes per year — enough wasted gas to meet the annual energy needs of more than half of American homes.”
https://www.ft.com/content/58e7a24a-2526-4e83-8a6a-ed8ba1f7229b
Will do, Kali, that’s a capital idea and Harry already was present on Gails OFW blog, which is definitely not AGW friendly. I no longer post there myself for obvious reasons. Peak Oil News is another too, but it’s a shadow of it’s former self.
Yes, that was an intense exchange Evan and myself undertook. Doubt RS saved any of them, but it provided me an exercise of the futility of communication. Has the New Testament changed human spiritual relationships on the whole?
So, as the Honest Sorcerer just posted in length that it won’t likely to occur…largely due to the population levels and diversity, we can sit in our circle and use blogs like this as an outlet to let off some steam
Gail believes that climate change is a ‘conspiracy’?
Yet believes in the biggest conspiracy of all: Christianity?
Yeah, folks moving to higher ground… Sort of begs the question, what happens when you run out of “higher” ground?
Here in Juneau we have plenty of higher ground, mountains of it, but good luck building anything on it. Maybe tree-houses. If they don’t burn down. Or crushed by avalanches.
Meanwhile the billions and billions of dollars of stuff we’ve spent decades building out, mostly for the exclusive use of people in cars, well, guess what? Most of it was built on either tide-flats or flood-plains.
The main N/S highway was built directly on top of a tide-flat. A mere few feet of earthen berm between a major artery and the salty brine of Gastineau Channel. Same thing with the airport.
We could move the whole thing out to Mendenhall Valley. You know, that place where stuff routinely gets wiped-out by glacial lake outbursts. Shame that, the whole Juneau Icefield melting away…
Yeah, “higher ground”. Good luck with that.
After you and I are done with crying for today, perhaps we should have a good laugh at the folly of humankind, Jerry.
“Most of it was built on either tide-flats or flood-plains.”
Tsunamis are apparently a risk, Jerry:
“The biggest threats to Juneau will come with no warning, according to Tom Mattice, Juneau’s emergency programs manager. We recognize here in the city that our greatest threat is from a localized tsunami. That’s going to be a no-notification event,” Mattice said…
“The offshore tsunami map shows up to 16 feet of flooding around much of Gastineau Channel. The inshore tsunami map predicts up to 50 feet of flooding along the channel.”
https://www.ktoo.org/2018/01/27/no-warning-system-risks-localized-tsunami-juneau/
Go to YouTube & search sinking cities videos. Pumping water out of aquifers with a few lbs’ of concrete & asphalt & all the trappings built over them, might not be the wisest thing one can do.
Cities might not sink as fast if the fat morbidly obese would lose weight. Think how much smaller cities would be if some individuals were much smaller. When I have to grocery shop, I’m always afraid I’ll fall into a sinkhole with all the very healthy? shoppers. I can talk about the fatties. I was only one soda & a candy bar away from 300 lbs.
Having this much fun with sarcasm in the end times should be illegal.;-)
Seems already as of August 1st, July 2024 has smashed numerous records monthly heat averages, daily heat averages, daily and monthly rainfalls, etc etc etc… the acceleration is really picking up, almost palpable now!
P.S. Thank you for mentioning the plight of the nomadic Yup’ik tribes having to leave Newtok, Alaska. These communities (such as “Tuk” in Canada as well) so often bear the brunt of abrupt climate change while contributing next to nothing to it.
Justin, my apologies – your comment was stuck in moderation, and you are welcome.