“2023 was hot! How hot will 2024 be?
“About +1.66 °C if the year-on-year increase of 2023 to 2024 is equal to the increase during the 2015-2016 El Niño.
“+1.7°C in 2024 shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise, though.”
“It looks like I won’t be able to properly close out 2023 using ERA5 data until January 6th.
“As of Dec. 28th, 2023 is 1.48°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC baseline. December, in particular, is about to set a new monthly record, at 1.76°C over the baseline. And the 28th is 1.97°C over.”
“Beaver ponds may exacerbate warming in Arctic, scientists say. Rising temperatures have spurred an influx of beavers to Alaska and northern Canada ‘on a huge scale’…
“…in the Arctic tundra of Alaska alone, the number of beaver ponds on streams have doubled to at least 12,000 in the past 20 years.”
“Toronto just set December records for rain and fog, and the winter is expected to stay grey….
“Senior climatologist David Phillips says the city recorded more than 200 hours of fog over 17 days last month. The city has never seen that much rain or fog in December, Phillips says. “It’s been more like what you’d expect in Vancouver, or maybe Halifax,” he told CBC Toronto.”
“These U.S. cities had their hottest year on record in 2023…
“During the planet’s hottest year, many U.S. cities also experienced their warmest weather on record in 2023. They spanned from Texas to the Northeast and included Austin, Baltimore, Houston, Miami, New Orleans, New York and Tampa.”
“Death Valley Snow Forecast Could Shatter All Records.
“Snow in Death Valley is extremely rare. The only time any measurable amount of snow fell there was more than 100 years ago, when a half inch of snow was recorded on January 29, 1922, according to the NWS… But that record could be broken later in January, according to a forecast by weather-modelling service WXCharts.”
“Over 6,000 Hawaiians still homeless five months after Maui wildfires.
“The American Red Cross is currently housing displaced residents in empty rooms in hotels and condos… “A lot of people I know, Lahaina is home,” Keao Shaw, who owns a charter boat business on the island, told The Wall Street Journal. “They want to come back to West Maui as fast as possible but there’s nothing to rent.””
“1-2 January 2024 will be remembered for being among the most extreme days in climatic history: Hundreds heat records broken in the tropical areas of Oceania, Asia, Africa and Americas.
“In FRENCH GUIANA 1 January hottest January day on record at Maripasoula with 34.6C [94.3F].”
“Record after record. Now, the Caribbean: Hottest January day on record in DOMINICA with 32.9C [91.2F] at Canefield today. These past 3 days in the tropics have been by far the most extreme in the whole world climatic history, nothing get close.”
“Bermuda’s wettest year in 121 years finished with the island racking up 77.36in of rain, according to the Bermuda Weather Service.
“After a sunny start to 2024, the downpours continued yesterday with thunderstorms and powerful southwesterly winds sweeping across the island.”
“Siberia’s melting permafrost in photos:
“Siberia is heating up around twice as quickly as other parts of the world. The rapid change is causing the frozen ground known as permafrost that coats about two-thirds of Russia to thaw for the first time in ages.”
“RECORD COLD. After so many heat records, 2024 also starts with a harsh cold spell in Scandinavia. with -43.6C [-46.5F] Kvikkjokk just broke its all time lowest temperature.
“It is also the lowest temperature in January in Sweden since the record cold spell of 1999.”
“Denmark’s January storms could be fourth extreme weather event in three months.
“As many as three ’20-year weather events’ have occurred in Denmark since October 2023, with blizzards and heavy rain across the country this week threatening a fourth such occurrence. Danish emergency services say they are “sleeping with our boots on” as the latest wave of severe weather elicits flooding and snowdrifts in corresponding regions of Denmark.”
“Scotland’s climate is changing faster than scientists predicted, with increasing likelihood of more frequent and more extreme weather events, according to new analysis by The James Hutton Institute in Aberdeen.
“Experts at the independent research organization say weather patterns in Scotland have changed substantially since 1960…”
“Last year was the UK’s second warmest on record, according to provisional data from the Met Office.
“This puts it just behind 2022, which recorded an average temperature of only 0.06C higher. For both Wales and Northern Ireland, 2023 was their hottest year on record.”
“Hundreds of flood warnings and travel disruption after Storm Henk…
“There is likely to be little let-up in the wet weather; the Met Office has issued a yellow warning for rain across much of southern England from 12:00 GMT on Thursday until 03:00 on Friday. The forecaster says further flooding, travel disruption and power cuts may occur.”
“Walkers have described seeing a “huge landslide” at a seaside village.
“Luccombe, on the Isle of Wight, is the latest section of the island’s coast to collapse after Ventnor suffered a landslip in December. Ann Heard, from Shanklin… said she walked the cliff path with her husband every day. “I’ve never seen that happen before,” she said.”
“Floods and snow hit Northwest Europe after latest Atlantic storm.
“ARQUES, France, Jan 3 (Reuters) – Parts of northwestern Europe struggled on Wednesday to cope with the impact of the latest in a series of Atlantic storms which dumped rain or snow on already saturated ground, while northern Scandinavia experienced extreme cold.”
“The Czech Republic’s weather service said Tuesday that the average temperature for 2023 equalled a 2018 record as the hottest since measurements started almost 250 years ago.
“The average temperature in Prague reached 12.8 degrees Celsius (55 degrees Fahrenheit) in 2023, the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute said.”
“The Romanian environment ministry has officially declared 2023 as the hottest year on record in the country, with an average temperature of 12.5 degrees Celsius.
“This is 2.3 degrees higher than the average in the period 1981-2010, the ministry said. The years 2012-2023 were also the warmest 12-year period in the history of meteorological measurements in Romania.”
“Spain’s drought emergency is growing. Experts warn that it’s not a matter of if an emergency situation will be declared, but when…
“Catalonia is one of the worst hit regions. Intense heat waves plagued the summer and though autumn and winter are the wettest seasons of the year, the level of the reservoir that serves the Barcelona metropolitan area has dropped alarmingly.”
“La Viñuela Reservoir in Axarquía Reaches Record Low…
“The year 2023 concluded in Málaga province as the driest since record-keeping began in 1961, with no rainfall and exceptionally mild December temperatures. Accumulated rainfall until November barely reached 175 millimetres, a mere 41 per cent of the normal 424 millimetres.”
“Drought Beyond Rules: Moroccans Must Adapt or Dry Up…
“The World Bank warns that Morocco, one of the most water-scarce countries globally, is quickly approaching the absolute water scarcity threshold of 500 cubic meters per person per year by 2030, impacting almost every aspect of its socioeconomic development.”
“Congo declares state of emergency over devastating floods and landslides.
“A state of humanitarian emergency has been announced in the Republic of Congo, following flooding caused by heavy rains that’s been pouring for over a month. The government also announced the release of an emergency fund estimated at 4 million dollars to provide aid to disaster victims…”
“The Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) said on Wednesday 2023 was the hottest year on record in the country.
“Tanzania experienced an increase in average temperatures by 1°C last year, TMA said and linked rising temperatures with prolonged overhead sun and drought in some parts of the country.”
“Zimbabwe’s battle to control a skin-burrowing worm faces a new challenge: climate change.
“Bilharzia, a parasitic worm that uses snails as a vector, is endemic to Zimbabwe, and could get more difficult to manage as weather patterns and temperatures shift, experts say.”
“Tropical Cyclone Alvaro has displaced hundreds of people and affected thousands others after making landfall in Madagascar.
“It is the latest in a litany of weather phenomena to afflict the Indian Ocean island. After forming in the Mozambique Channel on December 30-31, Alvaro made landfall over the southwestern-central coast of Madagascar on January 1.”
“Endless record heat all over the tropics: Today again the island of MAYOTTE writes history with an insane minimum temperature of 29.6C [85.3F] at Dzaoudzi Airport, by far the highest Min ever recorded in the territory.
“Few hours of 2024 and hundreds of records in 4 Continents have fallen.”
“New day new record in Agalega Island, MAURITIUS. Yesterday 35.2C [95.4F] was the hottest January day on record.”
“Climate change, not regional factors, disrupting rainfall: official [Iran].
“Climate change rather than regional factors is responsible for disrupting rainfall patterns in the country, Darioush Gol-Alizadeh, head of the national center for weather and climate change affiliated with the Department of Environment, has said.”
“China breaks heat records in 2023 as sweltering weather baked cities from north to south…
“China’s searing heat led to 127 national weather stations breaking records for daily high temperatures in 2023, state media reported on Tuesday. Beijing smashed a 23-year-old record in July with 27 consecutive days of temperatures above 35 degrees Celsius (95 Fahrenheit).”
“2023 warmest year of all time for S. Korea.
“Last year’s temperature exceeds the previous top record of 13.4 C set in 2016. The record-breaking temperatures last year had been expected, given the mean temperatures nationwide were higher than average years all throughout January-November, and six months ranked within the top 10 temperatures last year.”
“Top End cooks as Darwin records warmest start to a year in almost 90 years.
“A delayed start to the wet season has resulted in stifling heat in Darwin amid the city’s hottest start to a year since 1935, Weatherzone data has revealed... January 1 was the city’s hottest January morning since 1933. Tuesday was also Darwin’s hottest January day in eight years at 35.6 degrees.”
“Records non stop all over the tropics like never before. Two islands, one in the Pacific and one in the Indian Ocean had their hottest days in history both with exactly 35.0C [95F]:
“Taro Island SOLOMON ISLANDS; Tromelin Island FRENCH SOUTHERN TERRITORY.”
“Weather-related incidents such as hurricanes, winter storms, wildfires and floods are expected to be the top factor in why supply chains face major disruptions this year.
“Extreme weather events outpaced environmental regulations and trade wars between the U.S. and China, which came in second and third, respectively, according to Everstream Analytics’ annual 2024 Risk Report released Wednesday.”
“How Terrestrial Turds Lead to Marine Maladies. Diseases from land animals are killing marine mammals at an alarming rate. Can we stem the flow of feces?
“…Why parasites associated with land animals are showing up with increasing frequency in marine mammals, many of which spend the majority of their lives kilometers from shore, is a medical dilemma to which answers are only starting to emerge.”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
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