“Brazil has recorded its hottest ever temperature – 44.8C (112.6F) – as parts of the country endure a stifling heatwave.
“The record was hit on Sunday in the town of Araçuaí, in Brazil’s south-eastern state of Minas Gerais… According to the National Institute of Meteorology (Inmet)… Araçuaí’s high of 44.8C had beaten the country’s previous record of 44.7C, measured in 2005.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-67482423
“‘Hell de Janeiro’: scorching heat highlights Brazil’s glaring inequality.
“It felt like 58.5C [137.3F] in Rio on Tuesday – and the soaring, indeed dangerous, temperatures are hitting the poorest hardest… Following Brazil’s hottest July, August, September and October on record, this week’s temperatures were expected to “rewrite climate history” in the country.”
“Torrential rains in Brazil leave at least six dead…
“The fatalities occurred in the states of Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul, and major property damage in the latter was reported as thousands of people sheltered in gymnasiums, deputy governor Gabriel Souza said on X, the former Twitter.”
https://phys.org/news/2023-11-torrential-brazil-dead.html
“Breaking News: RECORD… WORLD CLIMATIC HISTORY REWRITTEN… MINIMUM temp. of 34.6C [94.3F] at Mariscal Estigarribia PARAGUAY, Chemorrenegaiterei!
“It beats again the record of the HIGHEST MINIMUM IN SOUTH AMERICA. No event in world climatic history compares to what South America is living.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1725857288718553456
“At least 21 dead after heavy rain causes flash flooding in Dominican Republic…
“Torrential storms over the past 48 hours have caused flooding, damaged infrastructure and brought down houses in the Caribbean nation, in what President Luis Abinader has called the “largest rainfall event ever” in the country’s history.”
“Never ending record heat in Mexico: Unprecedented temperatures for November with records smashed with huge margins all over the country. More records fell:
“37.8 [100F] Rio Verde 991m; 33.4 Orizaba 1260m; 32.3 Jalapa 1365m; 30.5 Tulacingo 2200m yesterday.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1726760598174576904
“America’s glaciers are disappearing…
“…about a quarter of the glaciers are gone. And what I mean by gone is, yeah, some of them disappeared entirely. Others just became little snow patches. And then there’s others that just shrank below our threshold area, which is, like, 0.01 square kilometers.”
https://www.npr.org/2023/11/19/1214042366/americas-glaciers-are-disappearing
“Those with smaller farming operations often pay the price of extreme weather.
“Following historic rainfall and flooding earlier this summer, farmers in Graves County, Kentucky sustained field damage and crop loss… Human-caused climate change is only anticipated to amplify the number and intensity of those extreme events…”
“Warming winters: How climate change is making allergy seasons worse and longer…
“”As climate change happens and temperature levels start going up, we’re seeing a much earlier start to allergy season and often the season then becomes protracted and last a lot longer,” says Dr. Sebastian Leghvani, a New York City Allergist…”
“Last month was the most anomalous on record for temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere…”
https://twitter.com/ZLabe/status/1726326683534508496
“UK says new science initiative to work on climate-resilient crops…
“The summit, a joint initiative between Britain, Somalia, the UAE, the Children’s Investment Fund Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, is due to be attended by representatives from more than 20 countries.”
“Flooded Fields Delay European Sugar Harvest and Risk Beet Losses…
“Europe’s flooded fields are delaying sugar harvesting and threatening to wipe out 15% of beet crops still to be collected in France, one of the region’s biggest growers of the sweetener.”
“Extreme weather and falling demand are pushing wineries into the red…
“Jordi Ustrell expects his vineyard’s tinder-dry plants to produce about half of their usual 15,000 bottles of wine this year… Ustrell is one of scores of European winemakers struggling to grow enough grapes as extreme and unseasonable weather becomes more commonplace. High input costs and declining consumption are adding to the woes…”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/19/business/global-wine-production-falls/index.html
“Marine heatwaves hit Mediterranean…
“The Black Sea is experiencing very large temperature anomalies of 4C-6C above normal… Such heatwaves can influence the marine ecosystems of a region, but also have an impact on weather patterns, with the relatively warm waters providing extra energy to the weather systems.”
“Extreme Weather Kills 2 in Bulgaria, Leaves Many Without Power…
“A state of emergency has been declared in the Black Sea city of Varna, where officials said the extreme weather poses serious risks to the population. The port city was struck by gale-force winds and torrential rain mixed with snow.”
“Turkey searches Black Sea for lost sailors following deadly storms…
“The storms that broke out in northwestern Turkey caused havoc over the weekend, destroying another cargo ship, forcing the evacuation of a prison, and killing at least nine people. A Cameroon-flagged vessel split into two…”
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/20/stormy-weather-kills-9-in-turkey-leaves-11-sailors-missing
“After their harshest October heat wave in history, Morocco and Canary Islands have experienced the warmest spells on record in November with temperatures 30/36C [96.8F] all week.
“Today was one last day with 32C for both, but a cooling is on the way from tomorrow.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1726704789030146447
“A disappearing island: ‘The water is destroying us, one house at a time’ [Sierra Leone]…
“As recently as ten years ago, it still measured some 2,300 feet from end to end. What’s left today is a patch of sand barely 300 feet long and 250 wide. The forests are gone, swamped by saltwater.”
“Intense heat wave in Southern Africa with temperatures reaching temps of 43C [109.4F] in South Africa, Zimbabwe, Mozambique and Malawi.
“The heat will last most of the week, intensifying and further spreading to Nambia, Botswana, Madagascar and Tanzania.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1726591372143259827
“France begins massive handouts of bottled water in drought-stricken Mayotte.
“Months into an historic drought on the Indian Ocean islands of Mayotte, France is ramping up its distribution of bottled water. From Monday everyone on the archipelago – no longer just its most vulnerable residents – will be entitled to a one-litre bottle per day…”
“Precious water: As more of the world thirsts, luxury water becoming fashionable among the elite…
“…even as extreme heat dries up more aquifers and wells and leaves more people thirsty, luxury water has become fashionable among the world’s privileged, who uncap and taste it like fine wine.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/ap-india-bhutan-new-delhi-men-b2450832.html
“Zimbabwe declares state of emergency amid cholera epidemic…
““People have dug wells close to pit latrines, especially in mushrooming settlements and other suburbs which do not have running water. This means their drinking water is contaminated,” Mr Makone said. The epicentre is Harare’s densely populated suburb of Kuwadzanam…”
“Somalia flood toll climbs to 50: disaster agency…
“Flash flooding in Somalia has killed 50 people and driven nearly 700,000 from their homes, a government official said, with heavy rains starting Tuesday expected to worsen the country’s plight. The Horn of Africa region is experiencing torrential rainfall…”
https://www.arabnews.com/node/2412486/middle-east
“Israel’s Mount Canaan breaks 73-year rain intensity record amid storms.
“Rain intensity in the Mount Canaan region near Safed hit a 73-year record on Sunday. The most rain that fell in a 20-minute period was 22 mm, 28 mm in 30 minutes and 38 mm in an hour.”
https://www.jpost.com/environment-and-climate-change/article-774140
“Iraqi provinces announce public holiday amid heavy rain…
“Videos shared on social media showed wet weather, including thunderstorms. Torrential rain caused flooding and disrupted traffic, with some videos and images showing cars floating away in the torrents. More thunderstorms have been forecast this week.”
“EXCEPTIONAL EVENT… Central Asia is living something mind blowing: It’s 5am in Ashkabad, the capital of former USRR Republic of Turkmenistan and the temperature is almost 29C [84.2F] with similar heat in other areas of the country.
“Nothing even close has ever happened in November.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1726766836140708026
“Historic: 20 DEGREES IN SIBERIA…
“Incredible warmth for a 18 November with the highest temperature ever recorded in Siberia in the second half of November today: 19.9C [68F] at Krasnoshchekovo, Altai Republic. Who could expect to wear a T-shirt in Siberia in Mid-November?”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1725901532325916764
“Three people were killed as hurricanes with winds reaching 38 metres per second hit several regions in Russia’s Siberia on Sunday.
“A fallen tree crushed two people to death in their car, in the Russian city of Novokuznetsk, TASS news agency quoted a regional official. The third victim was killed in Altai Krai, the regional emergencies ministry said in a statement, adding three people were hurt.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/two-killed-hurricanes-rage-russias-siberia-2023-11-19/
“Record warmth is sweeping most of tropics from Indonesia to the Indian Ocean.
“Yesterday the Indian atoll of Minicoy rose to 34.5C [94.1F], destroying its November highest temperature on record.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1726245122583810063
“Bangladesh battles record dengue deaths as disease pattern changes…
“Bangladesh is undergoing its worst-ever dengue outbreak in history, with hospitals packed to the brim and the death toll rising. Last Wednesday, the country recorded 24 deaths – the highest in a day – from the mosquito-borne disease.”
“‘There are no crops to celebrate’: climate crisis wipes out a way of life in Taiwan’s mountains…
“…mountain communities like Nantou are particularly vulnerable to extreme weather, and things are getting worse amid the climate crisis… some are beginning to wonder how much longer their traditional way of life can continue.”
“New Heat Wave in Western Australia:
“Today the long term station of Bidyadanga had a MIN temperature of 29.0C [84.2F] which ties its highest in November in climatic history. The heat wave will be intense and long lasting in the West but cold spells will affect Central/Eastern Australia.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1726436216235565151
“Record-breaking heat set to hit southern hemisphere as summer begins.
“The northern hemisphere experienced a sweltering summer due to climate and meteorological patters. Scientists say the south will not escape. Andrew King, a climate scientist at the University of Melbourne, Australia, says… coupled with the El Niño conditions, the full effect of the changing climate is “emerging properly”.”
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03547-9
“The key monitoring region (Niño 3.4) in the central equatorial Pacific has just risen to over 2.0˚C above average for the first time during this El Niño event.
“The last time that this part of the ocean was this unusually warm was in February 2016.”
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1726601288572363162
“Global daily average temperature 2C above pre-industrial norm for first time [and on two consecutive days].
“On Friday the temperature reached 2.07C above the temperature average for 1850-1900, a larger increase than at any other time in recorded history, while provisional figures show the following day to have reached 2.06C.”
“World facing ‘hellish’ 3C of climate heating, UN warns before Cop28…
“Guterres said: “Present trends are racing our planet down a dead-end 3C temperature rise. This is a failure of leadership, a betrayal of the vulnerable, and a massive missed opportunity.”
“Could spraying chemicals into the atmosphere really stop or reverse global warming?
“…Some of the risks related to stratospheric aerosol injection include the possibility of “termination shock”, a rapid rebound of global temperatures to pre-stratospheric aerosols injection levels should the decades-long treatment be interrupted. Geoengineering could also change weather patterns around the world.”
https://www.aol.co.uk/news/could-spraying-chemicals-atmosphere-really-152547340.html
“Study shows dire outlook for amphibians: 40% threatened with extinction…
“The highlight this time is the increasing role of climate change in the global decline of amphibians, considered the most threatened of all vertebrate animals. No less than 40% of their species are at some risk of extinction.”
“Oil producers accused of stalling progress on plastics pollution treaty…
“Oil-producing countries have stalled efforts to draft the first legally binding international agreement on cutting plastic pollution, proposing to move the focus to waste management rather than scaling down production, according to official observers at week-long UN talks in Nairobi.”
https://www.ft.com/content/8f10535d-25e3-4090-8ff7-cd51b51b5bfd
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
If you found value in this content, please help me continue this work by becoming a patron of my work via Patreon. And if you are already a subscriber or have donated – thank you! It is an enormous help as the cost-of-living crisis ratchets up here in the UK.
Simultaneous with the record temperatures in the Southern hemisphere, the CO2 measurements for the week have been reading @ double the 2.5 ppm’s/year: > 5ppm’s above last year’s values! That has never happened before.
As they talk about regeoengineering the environment, the major energy dynamic of the globe = environmentally disastrously-produced fracked oil from the US is shipped thousands of miles to China to manufacture goods to be shipped around the globe; this oil production method releases a torrent of natural gas that is burned for heat, to generate electricity, and manufacture ethylene for feedstock to the petrochemical industry which uses it to wrap the globe in dissoluble plastic. Both US presidential candidates have no plans whatsoever to change this situation, with Trump trumpeting plans to, contrarily, goose production, (which is wishful thinking).
With the abandonment of the concept of peak oil, siting the fracturing Bonanza as proof of its erroneous nature, the corollary to it has been all but ignored: if you incinerate all those buried hydrocarbons, burning coal and natural gas to expedite oil’s extraction, the release of those stores will at some point overwhelm the ability of photosynthesis to draw it down sufficiently, suggesting 350.org should really be called 450.org, as we are approaching the latter, and will never see the former again.
The result of persistently high overnight temperatures in the Southern hemisphere doesn’t bode well, as they exceed the optimal temps for most vegetation, resulting in less CO2 conversion to O2.
So what we’re seeing now as an anomaly, will, likely before the end of this decade, become the norm … and that doesn’t even take methane into account, nor Western Asian/Russian unfettered hydrocarbon production. None of the renewable/green energy scenarios come close to even putting a dent in this dynamic, contrarily, they exacerbate it: every single one of them.
I second that: good recap, Rob. Keeping it real on C & E!
Rob, re fracking, Argentina’s new President will be doing everything he can to maximise revenue from their Vaca Muerta field:
“Many, including probably Milei himself, are hoping Argentina’s energy exports would help reduce the country’s overall trade deficit… And the President-Elect, who takes pride in declaring himself to be a climate skeptic, has promised to unshackle Argentina’s energy industry from red tape.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/gauravsharma/2023/11/20/can-president-elect-javier-milei-turbocharge-argentinas-energy-industry/
Thanx for that datapoint, Pan. It reenforces my (completely unproven) hypothesis that where fracturing is implemented, the rise in methane that inevitably and permanently ensues ensures the rise in Local temperatures a full generation sooner than would otherwise have been the case.
By the time the fake ipcc numbers catch up to reality we will be toast! But lets keep up the political circus going a bit longer.
Thanks for pointing out the fact 350.org should be renamed 450.org and counting…..Rob, nice recap and we are indeed existing in a fascinating period 😷 of conflicting directions.
Found the solution for all the Clever Apes’ problems.
“Tuck your heads between your legs & kiss your ass goodbye.”
350.org ———>> 450.gon
~~~~~~~
Problems, Predicaments, and Technology
What Are GeoDestinies?
“…I’ve been working on reading a greatly detailed book about our predicaments and combined with the general realities I outline in this blog, I’m feeling a bit down about how these trajectories are proceeding. So, if you are also not feeling great about these predicaments, I can safely bet that like me, you are just a tad bit too clear-eyed and you are seeing beyond all the hype and distraction currently filling mainstream media right now. I’ve never had any doubts about exponential change and that it will (and is doing so already) outpace any ability we might have to adjust, adapt, or mitigate the circumstances we find ourselves in the midst of. This book I mention is GeoDestinies by Walter Youngquist, and it is an experience in humility, literally.”
“How many “final warnings” must be issued? I’m pretty sure I posted the study this article discusses already, but for anyone who hasn’t seen it yet, there it is. I could look up more recent studies, but the one by James Hansen I published many months ago has now been peer-reviewed and represents a distinctive view of where we’re headed. Even before Hansen’s study, I posted material highlighting our trajectory and how the rate of change is what is most important and how this rate is much faster than any other mass extinction period in Earth’s history.”
https://erikmichaels.substack.com/p/what-are-geodestinies
Plenty of links in the article.
With rate of change (climate environmental), speed kills.
~ ~ ~
SkS Analogy 1 – Speed Kills: How fast are we going?
Posted on 25 January 2022 by Evan
This is an updated version of Analogy 1, which illustrates the impact of the rate of increase of CO2 on the natural world’s ability to adapt. The original version is here.
Tag line
Speed Kills
Elevator Statement
Deceleration from 60 mph to 0 in …
30 seconds (base rate): Normal exit from a freeway; no drinks spilled; life goes on.
3 sec (10 times base rate): Slam on the brakes. Loose items end up on dashboard. Those not wearing seat belts do ungraceful face plants. Survivable injuries.
0.3 sec (100 times base rate): Like running into a parked car. Crumple zones in both cars absorb much of the energy, but people are seriously injured, some mortally.
0.03 sec (1000 times base rate): Like running into a brick wall. You get the point.
Climate Science
Increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations cause global warming. Global warming drives climate change. The rate of increase of CO2 concentration is important, because it determines the rate of global warming, and therefore the rate at which natural systems must adapt. Figure 1 shows CO2 concentrations from the end of the recent ice age to the present. Think of Fig. 1 as the Keeling Curve with historical context, illustrating how rapidly CO2 is rising relative to the most recent deglaciation rate. If we limit the rate of increase of CO2 to that experienced during a deglaciation cycle, we expect nature will adapt; the further away we move from this base rate the more difficult it is for nature to adapt, because rapid rises of temperature are often associated with extinction events.
https://skepticalscience.com/SkS_Analogy_01_Speed_Kills_Part1_How_fast_are_we_going.html
Thanks for all.