“World behind on almost every policy required to cut carbon emissions, research finds.
“Coal must be phased out seven times faster than is now happening, deforestation must be reduced four times faster, and public transport around the world built out six times faster than at present, if the world is to avoid the worst impacts of climate breakdown, new research has found.”
“One Huge Contradiction Is Undoing Our Best Climate Efforts.
“The world is still using more energy each year, our consumption ticking ever upward, swallowing any gains made by renewable energy. Emissions are still rising—more slowly than they used to but, nonetheless, rising… And so we are now in climate purgatory.”
“COP28 host the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has plans in place to extract 38 billion barrels of oil and gas between now and 2085 – with significant further reserves that could also be extracted in that time.
“If all oil producing nations followed such a strategy, the world’s carbon budget for 1.5°C would be exceeded many times over.”
“Ship traffic ramps up through the Northwest Passage as Arctic ice retreats…
“… more and more ships are sweeping across the Northwest Passage as a heating planet clears a path for boat traffic through the Arctic corridor, raising hopes for commercial viability as well as concerns about the environmental and social impact.”
“Thousands of Greenland’s glaciers are rapidly shrinking. Before-and-after photos reveal decades of change.
“When Laura Larocca visited Denmark in 2019, the climate scientist sifted through thousands of old aerial photographs of Greenland’s icy coastline, which were rediscovered in a castle outside Copenhagen about 15 years ago.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/12/climate/greenland-glaciers-before-after-climate/index.html
“Records are falling allover the world like never before and Canada is not missing the “party”:
“+1.8C [35.2F] today in the frigid settlement of Rankin Inlet in Nunavut is the highest November temperature on record.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1723794413728494061
“Another heavy snowfall buries Anchorage, closing schools and clogging already bad roads.
“Just days after [record] early-season snowfall buried Anchorage and much of Southcentral Alaska, a fresh storm prompted closures, triggered power outages and choked already compromised roads. Schools in Anchorage and Mat-Su shifted to remote learning Monday as downed power lines left more than 10,000 households and businesses without power…”
“Oregon’s drought crisis tends to grab headlines as large parts of the state face increasingly meager water supplies. But there’s a separate water problem…
“Thousands of Oregonians in Umatilla and north Morrow counties rely on private wells for drinking water, tapping into a massive underground aquifer. But pollution has steadily contaminated that groundwater source in recent decades, turning what was once safe water into a potentially toxic supply.”
“Drenching rain on its way to quench Louisiana’s worst drought on record.
“Exceptional drought – the US Drought Monitor’s most extreme category – is entrenched across 73% of Louisiana, according to data released Thursday. It’s the largest area of exceptional drought on record in the state.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/13/weather/gulf-coast-rain-drought-relief-climate/index.html
“A flesh-eating fungus is expanding its range in the American West – and scientists suspect climate change is driving the spread.
“At some point, Erik McIntyre inhaled the fungal spores. He couldn’t see them, or feel them, and it was weeks before he began to lose energy, to drop weight, to cough up blood at a karaoke bar in Arizona. Now that he’s paralyzed from Valley fever, in a nursing home at age 53…”
“Hottest November night in MEXICO.
“The Min of 28.0C [82.4F] at Arriaga in Chiapas (after maxes >37C) is the highest reliable Tmin in Mexico in November, at least among international stations. Mexico has been breaking hundreds of records every single month since June all over the country.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/17237808906254870
“October 2023 in French Guiana was exceptional: Record heat swept the whole country all the month beating nearly every record and reaching >39C [102.2F] for the first time in climatic history.
“Cayenne AP had just 13.1mm of rain, 75% less than normal.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1724163228941394314
“CLIMATIC HISTORY IS REWRITTEN:
“Insane MIN. temperature of 33.2C [91.8F] today at Ingeniero Juarez, northern Argentina… it’s the highest minimum EVER RECORDED IN SOUTH AMERICA CLIMATIC HISTORY. Beaten by a full 1C. This is just the beginning of worst heat wave in South American history.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1723322570357854441
“HISTORIC: Argentina, Paraguay, Bolivia and Brazil all with their hottest night on record…”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1723433327913295873
“Insane temperatures in Brazil tonight. NATIONAL RECORD of highest Tmin destroyed in pieces again: 32.7C [90.9F] the MIN temperature at Porto Murtinho, that’s more typical of Pakistan or Algeria.
“South America has never seen anything like or even close to this. More to come….”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1724124142864068996
“Southern Brazil hit by unusual hot weather in spring…
“The beaches of Rio de Janeiro were overcrowded as a temperature of 42.5°C [108.5F] made Sunday the hottest day of the year amid a high-pressure system that is causing a heat wave which is believed to be linked to climate change, it was reported.”
https://en.mercopress.com/2023/11/13/southern-brazil-hit-by-unusual-hot-weather-in-spring
“More heavy rain in northern France raises fears of new flooding…
“Officials said schools and nurseries in the department’s 279 towns will be closed through Tuesday, with a total of 388 establishments affected. The intensity of the rain is expected to increase Tuesday, the prefecture warned.”
“Exceptional warm spell in Spain and France:
“28.5C [83.3F] at Ceret in France, 26C also at >500m asl, 15 monthly records were broken… In Spain 32C Canary Islands, 29C Valentian community,28C in Catalonia, 27C Basque Region. In Morocco record with 31.2C at>1136m at Ouarzrzate.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1724094476497355114
“Extreme drought in northern Italy mirrors climate in Ethiopia.
“Extreme drought in northern Italy has doubled over the past two decades, creating a climate that increasingly mirrors that of Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa, research shows. Analysis of satellite imagery and data by scientists reveals how global heating is creating a “whiplash effect”, creating erratic extremes.”
“Tuscany Governor Eugenio Giani said Monday that the estimated cost of the damage caused by this month’s wave of extreme weather and flooding in the region, which claimed eight lives, has risen to around two billion euros.
“”If I add up what the mayors of the 30-odd worst-hit municipalities tell me, we are certainly close to two billion,” Giani said…”
“More record heat West and East of the Mediterranean.
“It’s mid November but nights are still stifling warm in Turkey. MIN temperatures tonight were 23.0C [73.4F] at Antalya Samandira, 22.4C Burnu Feneri. 12 stations had tropical nights. To the other side, Canary Islands rose >32C.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1724062595181588593
“‘A real hell’: The climate refugees of Libya’s floods and regional strife…
““The living are the ones who suffer; the dead are relieved,” Khadijah told Al Jazeera. Khadija is one of thousands of people from the flood-battered city who have taken shelter in government schools after their houses were destroyed. She says she feels humiliated.”
“While a suspected tornado was spotted spiralling in Mpumalanga on Monday afternoon, parts of Gauteng [South Africa] were hit by a hailstorm that left huge damage in some areas.
“In Midrand, several cars lost their windscreens when hailstones as big as golf balls pounded unsheltered vehicles.”
“At least five people were killed by flash floods caused by heavy and continuous rainfall in Arusha Urban district in northern Tanzania, a local official said Monday.
“The floods have also left 90 people homeless and caused damage to infrastructure, including roads and bridges.”
https://english.news.cn/20231114/d6868733e61544259f2e09132b2faae8/c.html
“France’s poorest island [Mayotte] is parched because of drought and underinvestment…
“Drop by disappearing drop, water is an ever more precious resource on Mayotte, the poorest place in the European Union. Taps flow just one day out of three… Diseases including cholera and typhoid are on the rebound, and the French army recently intervened to distribute water and quell tensions over supplies. The crisis is a wakeup call to the French government…”
“‘Staggering’ 347 million children facing water scarcity in South Asia: UN.
“More children in South Asia are struggling due to severe water scarcity made worse by the effects of climate change than anywhere else worldwide, the United Nations says… “Climate change is disrupting weather patterns and rainfall, leading to unpredictable water availability,” the UNICEF said in its report.”
“Rising temperatures, longer monsoon drive Bangladesh’s worst dengue outbreak…
“Rising temperatures and a longer monsoon in Bangladesh because of climate change are providing ideal breeding conditions for the dengue-spreading mosquito, experts said, as the country grapples with its worst-ever outbreak of the viral disease.”
“Record heat in LAOS.
“It’s the “cold season” (Laaduu Nao) yet it’s stifling hot day and night; today the Laotian capital Vientiane rose to 36.0C [96.8F],tying its record of November highest temperature (POR >100 years).”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1723756778960167338
“Record rains in Hong Kong put spotlight on policy flaws, incentives for underground car parks.
“Industry experts criticise basement car parks as vulnerable to flooding and fire, in addition to being expensive to maintain. But others say moving away from above-ground car parks has revived street life and improved Hong Kong’s urban environment.”
“Climate Change Will Test Tokyo’s World-Class Flood Defenses.
“Japan has financed enormously expensive infrastructure projects to protect cities from catastrophe, but old adaptation plans may not be enough against increasingly heavy rains… “Rainfall will increase, and such structures cannot prevent everything,” said Mikio Ishiwatari, senior advisor in disaster and water resources management…”
“There’s another wildfire burning in Hawaii. This one is destroying irreplaceable rainforest on Oahu…
“A wildfire burning in a remote Hawaii rainforest is underscoring a new reality for the normally lush island state just a few months after a devastating blaze on a neighboring island leveled an entire town and killed at least 99 people.”
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/wildfire-hawaii-destroying-irreplaceable-rainforest-rcna124809
“Australia on track for hottest summer on record…
“The extreme temperatures, coupled with a large amount of greenery from last year’s record-breaking rains, have already triggered increased bushfire warnings across Australia… Nine bushfire warnings are in place across Queensland, with residents told to ‘prepare to leave’ at Mount Garner near Cairns…”
“How Lockyer Valley’s ‘freak’ hailstorm devastated farmers [SE Queensland]…
“The Lockyer Valley copped the brunt of what’s been called a “freak storm” on Friday afternoon. The storm is being described as “tornado-like”, flattening everything in its path – including vegetable crops from pumpkin to broccolini.”
“Drought taking over as crop and livestock producers feel heat, with half of NSW drought-affected.
“This time last year, Richard Darcy’s property near Tullamore in the New South Wales central-west was underwater, resulting in a failed harvest… Now, he has been forced to release livestock on his crop in an attempt to salvage something from a “bone dry” year.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-11-13/drought-nsw-farmers-facing-challenge-after-floods/103069772
“‘People have mortgages for houses that don’t exist’: a year on from Eugowra’s flood [NSW]…
“You can still see the damage wrought by a “terrifying” wave of water that swept through the central west New South Wales town of Eugowra last November. Washed-out houses sit vacant, some with muddied furniture still inside. Some are far enough from Mandagery Creek that they seemed flood-proof, until the day they weren’t.”
“Anthropogenic climate change heightens risks of spatially compounding flooding and heat wave events: Study…
“Compound extreme events, defined as those where multiple climate extremes converge, often result in more severe and devastating impacts than individual events. Specifically, spatially compounding events, where different climate hazards co-occur across neighboring regions, have been a focus of concern.”
https://phys.org/news/2023-11-anthropogenic-climate-heightens-spatially-compounding.html
“I made a new graph of global 2-meter surface temperatures that includes data back to 1940.
“Just stunning.
“We now live on a planet that human civilization has never experienced before.”
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1723336259509391698
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
If you found value in this content, please help me continue this work by becoming a patron of my work via Patreon. And if you are already a subscriber or have donated – thank you! It is an enormous help as the cost-of-living crisis ratchets up here in the UK.
Insanity everywhere. Your work is priceless.
The highest lowest temperature caught my eye in Argentina..
Insane is right…most focus on the highs, but the low is as important.
Here in South Florida we have experiencing much the same.
Suppose it’s not brought out because of the island urban heat effect island..or whatever they wish to explain it away.
The fact remains, we are witnessing rapid dynamic shifts in the climatic system.
Yes, Justin’s blog is amazing…wish the general public paid attention.
That ain’t gonna happen, even so, looking in the rear view mirror now
These higher night-time temps are bad news for crops yields:
“…while the climate crisis is pushing daytime temperatures to record highs, those at night are rising significantly faster. This is a big problem for humans and animals, who struggle to cool their bodies at night. But it’s also a crisis for plants, which have fewer defense mechanisms available at night, posing a huge threat to the global food system.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/sep/01/heat-resistant-crops-hotter-night-temperatures-climate
Just noticed this
Climate change altering U.S. in profound ways, major report finds
headshot Andrew Freedman
https://www.axios.com/2023/11/14/major-new-climate-report-us-hit-hard-climate-change
A sweeping new federal report finds the effects of climate change are increasingly evident across the U.S., from the Florida Keys to Alaska, and argues for transformational adaptation policies and steep emissions cuts.
Driving the news: The Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5) shows how warming is rippling across regions and economic sectors, and emphasizes the steps governments are already taking to better adapt.
The report is likely to bolster the U.S.’s case for its own climate policies and the need for further actions at the upcoming COP28 summit in Dubai.
“Overall, we expect climate change to significantly impact the economic opportunities of nearly all American families — affecting their income, what they spend to maintain their standard of living, and the value of their assets, particularly real estate,” said Solomon Hsiang of UC Berkeley, the lead author of the economics chapter.
Why it matters: The congressionally-mandated report is the most complete and authoritative look yet at U.S. climate change impacts and responses. It’s the product of hundreds of authors from 13 federal agencies and academic experts.
The science assessment is the first since 2018, when the Trump administration released the fourth edition on Black Friday to minimize publicity.
Axios
“COP28 host the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has plans in place to extract 38 billion barrels of oil and gas between now and 2085 – with significant further reserves that could also be extracted in that time.
“If all oil producing nations followed such a strategy, the world’s carbon budget for 1.5°C would be exceeded many times over.”
Don’t you just love it? As if extracting it is the main problem. No mention of the fact that someone has to purchase it and burn it. That would be every country in the world.
JCNN
—
In the latest clear evidence that the world remains wildly off track when it comes to tackling the climate crisis, the UN has found that even if countries enact all of their current climate pledges, planet-heating pollution in 2030 will still be 9% higher than it was in 2010.
This reveals a stark gap between the course nations are charting and what science says is needed to avert the most catastrophic impacts of climate change.
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the world needs to decrease emissions by 45% by the end of this decade compared to 2010 to meet the internationally-agreed ambition of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. An increase of 9% means that target is way off.
Yep. It’s baked inn the cake…enjoy 🤤
“That would be every country in the world.”
Yes. Easier to point fingers than acknowledge our universal complicity.
Thank you for the nice compliments, VPK and Regan.
Even as the Crap28 conference gets going, the only viable presidential candidate for the US Republican Party claims that climate change is a hoax, while the green policies of his Democratic contender will surely bury us all. While we are appalled that’s The UAE is hosting the Crap28 conference, no one has a word to say about the fact that the best the USA can offer is a leader who is the only person in the world who watched fracturing spread like an amoeba over the North American craton while he was VP and is currently overseeing a rise in petroleum production that supersedes the output of the man who claimed (still does) that cc’s a hoax.
That is why “our best climate efforts” are being “undone”, since the fossil fuel reserves we are using to implement those ‘efforts” are directly responsible for the Arctic amplification’s doubling during the exact same timeframe that fracturing for oil exploded, creating a methane cloud and an LNG industry, neither of which was ever mentioned, still isn’t, when the prospect of fracturing the ground on a continental scale was broached, all while insisting that natural gas creates half the CO2 as burning coal.
As the rate of CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere accelerates, it seems to have gone unnoticed that methane gets hydrolized, such that after a decade or so it resembles flaring (ie, by breaking down CH4, it creates CO2 & H2O vapor … creating 2 powerful GHG’s in place of 1). That timeframe precisely corresponds with the rise in hydraulic fracturing; my thesis being that the CO2 concentration is accelerating because those megatons of methane are now being chemically transformed in the atmosphere into CO2.
It is this phenomenon that explains, not so much the doubling of Arctic amplification from twice the global avg to 4X’s that avg in the space of a decade, as the thundering silence with which this tipping point has been met yet ignored by the MSM.
Skimming the climate assessment just released its more of a cheer leader for green energy and resilience stuff. They claim that co2 levels have dropped while once in a dropping some facts and truth here and there. Not surprising since copout 28 is coming soon. Yeah meanwhile it’s awful warm in Seattle area we had one cold week now above freezing and warm.
I can’t find the data they are quoting in the press but the report had none so not sure where the data part for the report is.
Hi Heather
They are probably spinning data, lying, moving goal posts & changing definitions like was done with the definition of crude oil, for a number of reasons, in 2005.
I mostly just track yearly data. It’s all anyone needs. Anyone who is curious.
Anyone employed in the climate change industrial complex loves data. COP conferences are full of morons who give talks about the stupid data they compiled last year like how many GHG’s were produced by left hoofed burping & farting cattle in Sub Saharan Africa in 2022? Less than previously expected?
Below is the only real CO2 data needed for 2022
Carbon dioxide emissions reached a record high in 2022
“NEW YORK (AP) — Communities around the world emitted more carbon dioxide in 2022 than in any other year on records dating to 1900,..”
https://apnews.com/article/climate-emissions-global-warming-carbon-dioxide-coal-494ef490f16abe381ea2a4107f779670
~~~~
Spin titles will say something like – ‘2022 CO2 emissions increases less than feared’ or ‘Last year’s CO2 emissions – slowest rate of increase in a decade’.
PanO blazes out of the intro with a fearsome trio of big beat captures, but the crowd is not really dancing yet.
Where in the COP 28 COMIC CON is there a pavilion devoted to sustainable bombing? I mean, the US gov’t placeholders for the ruling transnational corps will be there, presumably some Israel and Russian and Ukrainian extremely junior interns types too, so how does the bogus conference “address” the extraction|production and now deployment of fossil fuel killing incendiaries in the desert UAE light? Can’t humanity just bomb its way to a just climate transition? Net zero at the end of a mushroom cloud?
Who rules these corporations and state corporations? Nobody. Nothing. They are ungoverned. There are no mechanisms of governance.
Canada says it can fight climate change and be major oil nation
FORT McMURRAY, Canada — “Thousands of wildfires in Canada have incinerated an area larger than Florida since May. Early estimates say the fires have released into the atmosphere more than three times the carbon dioxide that Canada’s entire economy does in a year. And they’re still burning. Canada’s leaders, including liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, have insisted for years that the country can both exploit its natural resources and lead the global fight against climate change. But the wildfires are putting a spotlight on its commitment to fighting climate change and its fossil fuel dominance.”
.
https://www.postandcourier.com/aikenstandard/news/nation/canada-says-it-can-fight-climate-change-and-be-major-oil-nation/article_79aa862c-23c3-566a-814f-f2043c06ed06.html
~~~~
‘Fight climate change’ has never been done to my knowledge and I have asked dozens of people and even had an open challenge for anyone to prove me wrong by providing the data that proves humans, some humans any humans, are fighting climate change. I said I would except data showing 3 consecutive years with reduced fossil fuel use and reduced greenhouse gas emissions as strong evidence, that humans are fighting climate change. There’s been a few one year mini dips in fossil fuel use & GHG emissions, but it weren’t from trying (GFC, Covid). Food security or lack of it will be the wake up call for most. Climate jacked record smashing disasters are very dramatic, get loads of coverage and are chipping away at the humans built world, but it’ll be food insecurity that triggers deep & intense panic. That’s when the culls will begin and all the warm-N-fuzzy save the world progressives will go deathly quiet, or lead the charge.
~~~~
Below is from the federal government – Natural Resources Canada
Canada’s record-breaking wildfires in 2023: A fiery wake-up call
“The 2023 experience:
Canada’s 2023 wildfire season is the most destructive ever recorded, and it’s not over yet. By September 5, more than 6,132 fires had torched a staggering 16.5 million hectares of land. To put that in perspective, that’s an area larger than Greece and more than double the 1989 record. Normally, an average of 2.5 million hectares of land are consumed in Canada every year. And unlike previous years, the fires this year were widespread, from the West Coast to the Atlantic provinces, and the North. By mid-July, there were 29 mega-fires, each exceeding 100,000 hectares.”
“The word ‘unprecedented’ doesn’t do justice to the severity of the wildfires in Canada this year,” says Yan Boulanger, research scientist in forest ecology at Natural Resources Canada. “From a scientific perspective, the doubling of the previous burned area record is shocking.”
““Climate change is greatly increasing the flammability of the fuel available for wildfires because the trees, fallen trees, and underbrush are all so dry,” explains Yan. “This means that a single spark, regardless of its source, can rapidly turn into a blazing inferno.”
From June 1 to 25, more land burned in southern Quebec than in the previous 20 years combined. These conditions led to the largest single fire ever recorded in southern Quebec, which consumed 460,000 hectares. With all this, it’s no wonder scientists are trying to find out what’s going on.”
https://natural-resources.canada.ca/simply-science/canadas-record-breaking-wildfires-2023-fiery-wake-call/25303
The disconnect & magical thinking continue. Hell, we passed Absurd a decade ago.
Be well, Doomers, be well.
How about some phrases that I’ve heard.
“Irreversible feedback loops.”
“We’re finished,through & done.”
“Too Late”,
“There’s nothing one can do.”,
“You can’t prepare for what’s coming.”,
“We’re fucked.”
“Overpopulation”
Bracing one’s self for an unstoppable force just might be a waste of time.
U.S.A.! U.S.A.! U.S.A.! The Usual Stupid Assholes? A lot of them are in my extended family. 😉
https://fortune.com/2023/11/14/national-climate-assessment-america-warming-60-percent-faster/
Shortly after the protestors made their presence known, Christie’s livestream of the sale was put on hold. Once back on air, Perrin resumed bidding for lot 511, a sketch by Fernand Léger that eventually fetched $20,160 (including fees).
Climate Activists Stormed the Stage During a Christie’s Auction in New York
Activists are targeting the rich “who continue to spend extravagantly” while others endure the impacts of climate crisis.
Jo Lawson-Tancred 10 hours ago
Two climate activists belonging to the group Extinction Rebellion stormed the stage during the Impressionist & Modern Works on Paper sale at Christie’s New York on Saturday morning, shouting: “No art on a dead planet!” Auctioneer Tash Perrin was unable to continue taking bids and left the rostrum until security had removed the protestors.
As the pair, who have been identified as Mun Chong and Jim Hicks, were escorted away, Chong continued to exclaim “end fossil fuels now” and “we are in a crisis.” A voice from the room responded “we are,” causing many of the spectators to break out into laughter.
“Study: Liquid natural gas, the great future hope of Robert Habeck’s Green energy policy, causes up to THREE TIMES more emissions than coal”?
https://www.eugyppius.com/p/study-liquid-natural-gas-the-great?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=268621&post_id=138803586&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=nm2q&utm_medium=email
Hah. I can well believe it.