“How unpredictable weather is squeezing the arteries of global trade… Shipping costs are climbing as the world grapples with the effects of climate change…
“Last year, a historic drought in the Rhine derailed European trade. Earlier this year, water levels in the Mississippi hit an all-time low. Storms have triggered a wave of port closures across China. And wild weather in Brazil has triggered the collapse of a port on the Amazon river…
“While the world’s inflation crisis is receding, higher shipping costs could reignite it, says Ariane Curtis of Capital Economics.”
“Panama Canal queue grows 13% in the space of 24 hours…
“Panama-based dry bulk operator Sagitta Marine warned that the ACP’s slot booking process which heavily favours large shipowners could lead to inflationary pressures for consumers across much of the Americas… “This is effectively sidelining the myriad of smaller ships carrying cargoes that keep the lights on, the local economy functioning and people fed in developing countries,” he said.”
“US supermarkets are suffering a widespread blueberry shortage – sending prices soaring to $6 per pound.
“Extreme heatwaves in Peru have sparked a lackluster harvest causing US supply of the berries to tumble by 70 percent. Peru is the largest blueberry exporter in the world and supplies around 1.3 billion globally. Around a third is sent to American grocery stores.”
“Mexico City imposes severe, monthslong water restrictions as drought dries up reservoirs.
“Abnormally low rain has dropped the Cutzamala system — a network of three reservoirs serving over 20 million residents in the Valley of Mexico — to historic seasonal lows. The system is 44% lower than it should be at this time of the year.”
“In South America’s Andes, a shrinking Lake Titicaca rings climate alarm bell.
“The lake, once seen as a deity by the pre-Columbian people that lived on its shores, is an important ecosystem for wildlife and a water source for millions of people, including in the city of El Alto, some 40 kilometers (25 miles) to the east. But its water levels are now reaching record lows…”
“The Amazon — the lush, tropical basin that holds the world’s biggest river, rainforest and a fifth of its fresh water — is running dry…
““In my lifetime looking at drought impacts and fires, I’ve never seen so many wildfires happening so close to Manaus, a region that was not considered that flammable — or flammable at all — in the past,” said Paulo Brando, an associate professor at the Yale School of the Environment.”
“The worst heat wave in South American history kicks off: Records will be obliterated in a large scale, including the hottest nights.
“Yesterday BOLIVIA had its highest Min. temperature in climatic history with 30.1C [86F] at San Jose de Chiquitos. Robore had its hottest day with 42.6C.”
“SOUTH AMERICA Heat wave:
“Records in Argentina, Paraguay, Bolivia and Peru (see list below),monthly and also all time like: 46.0C [114.8F] Las Lomitas, ARGENTINA, 44.1C San Jose, BOLIVIA and 43.5C Concepcion, PARAGUAY… Next days can be the hottest in South American history.”
“Argentina calls and SOUTH AFRICA answered today with its own 46C.
“46.0 [114.8F] Vioolsdrif; 45.5 Augabries Falls 635m; 42.8 Twee Rivieren 882m… But all this is nothing to what South America will experience in the next days.”
“Somalia floods: UN warns of ‘once-in-a-century event’.
“More than 1.6 million people in Somalia could be affected by the recent unusually heavy seasonal rains, the United Nations has warned. The UN has released $25m (£20.5m) in aid, describing the floods as a “once-in-a-century event.””
“Flash floods kill 14 in Northern Kenya…
“The regional head said so far 30,000 people have been displaced by the heavy rains across the region. He said locals require urgent relief supplies that include food and non-food items but because most of their areas cannot be accessed by road, the government is working with other partners to airlift the same.”
“As heat waves sweep South Asia [they take] their toll on women…
“… the heat resulted in a daily increase of over two hours of caregiving and other household work for the women, which ate further into their work time. Meanwhile, a study of excess deaths during a 2010 heat wave in Ahmedabad [India] found significantly more women than men had died.”
“Record heat in TAIWAN:
“Exceptional 35.8C [96.4F] at Kaohsiung Inner Gate: it ties the Taiwanese November record; 33.9C in the main historic observatory of Kaohsiung destroyed its monthly record… The heat is also exceptional in Southern China, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand and Myanmar.”
“Indonesia is still with extreme heat:
“In Java 39.2C [102.6F] at Jatiwangi close to all time national record; In Sumatra 36.6C at Palembang ties its monthly record and it’s 0.2C from all time record. In Sulawesi 36.8C at Kendari is also 0.2C from its all time record. Rainy season is late.”
“In Borneo, the ‘Power of Mama’ fight Indonesia’s wildfires with all-woman crew…
“Research shows women and children are already disproportionately exposed to ambient air pollution, owing primarily to the indoor burning of fuels in Indonesia’s rural areas. Outside the home, children under 5 are more susceptible to wildfire smoke because they take more breaths…”
“Brutal heat in Australia; after South Australia, today it’s New South Wales and Victoria.
“Minimum temperatures remained >28C [82.4F] in some NSW areas while maxes are close to 44C at Wilcannia. The extreme hot air mass has swept the southern half of Australia all the way from West to East.”
“Beachgoers have been met with an eerie sight along Australia’s east coast this week as hundreds of dead muttonbirds have washed up along the shoreline.
“Scientists have a number of theories, with some suggesting weather, like wild winds or heatwaves, could have disrupted their migration and others suggesting climate change and warmer ocean temperatures have made their food source of fish more scarce.”
“Australia offers Tuvalu islanders climate change visas.
“Tuvalu, a nation of low-lying atolls nestled in the South Pacific home to 11,000 people, is among the nations most at risk from rising sea levels and is predicted to be largely underwater by the end of this century. The scheme will see up to 280 Tuvaluans provided with visas each year…”
“Mt Ruapehu records driest October on record, rainfall in Whanganui also below normal [NZ]…
“Conditions got drier further inland across Whanganui and Ruapehu, with the NIWA weather station at Chateau Tongariro recording the lowest amount of rainfall for the month on record at a total of 95mm, only 34 per cent of normal.”
“Drought blamed as Maui pond turns bright pink…
“A pond in Hawaii has turned bubble-gum pink, in what scientists believe may be the result of “halobacteria” thriving on water with unusually high salt levels due to drought. Staff at the Kealia Pond National Wildlife Refuge on Maui have been monitoring the pink water since 30 October.”
“Second day in a row with 9.0″ snow for Anchorage. This is the 4th time on record with consecutive days of 9″+ snow in any month. The snow depth of 21” is easily the greatest for so early in the season.
“The season-to-date snow of 27.4″ already exceeds the 25.1″ for all of 2014-15.”
“A new study by a team of NASA scientists researching large-scale climate change in Alaska and Canada, a project of NASA’s Arctic-Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE), found significant methane hotspots over the burn scars from wildfires in Alaska’s tundra.
“The region studied is the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, one of Earth’s largest deltas, where the rivers flow into the Bering Sea on Alaska’s west coast.”
“Salmon are vanishing from the Yukon River — and so is a way of life.
“There have been salmon in the Yukon, the fourth-longest river in North America, for as long as there have been people on its banks… But as temperatures in western Alaska and the Bering Sea creep higher, the Yukon’s salmon populations have plunged.”
“After a record year of wildfires, will Canada ever be the same again?
“Canada’s extraordinary year of wildfire finally appears to be slowing down, leaving behind a weighty legacy of charred northerly forests, acrid smoke and a huge pulse of carbon emissions that will have reverberations for the climate around the world.”
“Climate change could bring more lightning to forests in northern reaches of the globe, increasing the risk of wildfires, a new study shows.
“Researchers found that lightning is the main cause of fires similar to those seen in parts of Canada this summer. These forests limit climate change by trapping planet-heating carbon.”
“Kentucky under state of emergency as dozens of wildfires spread amid drought conditions.
“Just two days after being reelected, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear has issued a state of emergency as firefighters battle dozens of wildfires. More than 30 wildfires are burning after the governor said ongoing drought conditions “intensified” the threat.”
“U.S., already hit by 25 disasters of $1 billion each, could see more flooding this year.
“This year’s major disasters included flooding events in the Northeast and in California, a deadly wildfire in Hawaii, Hurricane Idalia in August, a drought and heat wave event that gripped the South and Midwest, and a flurry of severe storms around the country.”
“New Orleans ties for 2nd longest streak of 2023 extreme heat in the world, study says.
““No person alive in the city has ever experienced a summer like this,” said Ben Schott, the director of the National Weather Service in New Orleans… Houston had the longest streak… The Crescent City tied with Jakarta and Tangerang in Indonesia, according to the study.”
“With +0.6°C over the past 10 years, there was more warming over Northern Hemisphere mid latitude ocean surface than during the preceding 70 years!
“What if the aerosol termination shock [as per Hansen et al] is even worse than we thought?”
[please forgive my including volcanic activity in this thread but it does have the potential to impact both economy and climate]…“Iceland declares state of emergency, evacuates residents over threat of volcanic eruption
““It is clear that we are dealing with events that we Icelanders have not experienced before, at least not since the eruption in Vestmannaeyjar. We faced that together, we will face this together and we will not lose heart,” the Civil Protection Agency added.”
“Northern Ireland’s farmers should ‘mummify’ rotting potatoes to dry them out and prevent the spread of infection throughout their stock, DAERA have said.
“Record rainfall in October has exacerbated problems on many farms which were already experiencing issues after the wet summer, with potato growers particularly affected.”
“[More] heavy rains flood homes and crops in northern France.
“Days of heavy rains in northern France have caused local rivers to overflow and flood houses and fields, prompting the evacuation of residents, with some having to be airlifted to safety. More than 100 towns are on red alert, and some 200 schools in the region have been shut. Rescue workers have also had to evacuate cattle.”
“Lack of rainfall forces Malaga to resurrect emergency water sources from 1995 drought.
“Malaga city council has been forced to tap into emergency water supplies from the 1995 drought as the province continues to suffer from a lack of rainfall… atest data on water levels in the province’s reservoirs reveal that the reserves are at 19%, with 115.97 cubic hectometres stored.”
“Spain will see highest November temperatures since 1950 across Valencia from next week…
“This Friday, average values of above 14ºC degrees are expected; Saturday between 15 and 16ºC; above 17ºC this Sunday and Monday; and exceeding 18ºC on Tuesday. After this unprecedented warm period for mid-autumn, AEMET says that from next Wednesday temperatures will progressively drop again…”
“Tropical diseases move north. As Earth warms, the creatures that spread neglected tropical diseases are gaining a foothold in Europe…
“In Europe, the main concern is mosquito-borne viruses. These include West Nile, dengue and chikungunya… Two decades ago, most cases were imported, but now people are acquiring the viruses locally.”
“‘Be prepared for all outcomes’: Inside the saga of a supervolcano that’s waking up [Italy].
“Forget Italy’s most famous active volcano, Mt. Vesuvius, which destroyed Pompei in 79 AD. The most dangerous volcanic threat in Italy right now is one you’ve probably never heard of: Campi Flegrei, or the Phlegraean Fields.”
“Global warming–induced sea level changes could increase earthquake risk.
“[The scientists] postulate that rapid changes in sea levels due to the melting of expansive ice sheets during these climate intervals may have played a significant role in triggering seismic events. One theory is that this may result from stress release due to glacial unloading, as the weight of ice over the landmass reduces with melting.”
“El Niño is now ‘strong’ but acting strange. What that means…
“…there’s an important wrinkle right now: The atmosphere hasn’t really responded to the building El Niño the way it typically does. At least not yet… Here’s why: There’s an unusual blob of warmth in the western Pacific.”
“October 2023 was 2.0°C warmer for the Northern Hemisphere than the average October in 1951-1980!
“Breaking the previous record by 0.58°C! This is what uncharted territory looks like.”
“Not much Cop28… Basically nobody in Britain believes world leaders will act on promises made at the most important conference in human history.
“Just one per cent of the British public are certain that commitments made at Cop28 will result in climate action, a new poll reveals… The research also suggests little confidence that Britain would keep to any commitments agreed…”
“Food, soil, water: how the extinction of insects would transform our planet.
“A new study doubles the number of species at risk of extinction to 2m, driven by the latest data on insects. Losing these tiny creatures would have huge implications for life on Earth.”
“Microplastic-eating plankton may be worsening crisis in oceans, say scientists…
“After exposing marine and freshwater species of rotifers to a variety of different plastics of different sizes, they found all could ingest microplastics of up to 10 micrometres (0.01mm), break them down and then excrete thousands of nanoplastics back into the environment.”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
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