“Scorching October puts 2023 on track to be hottest year in 125,000 years.
““When we combine our data with the IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change], then we can say that this is the warmest year for the last 125,000 years,” C3S’s Deputy Director Samantha Burgess said. Copernicus’s dataset goes back to 1940.”
“October 2023 was the warmest October on record globally, with an average surface air temperature of 15.30°C, 0.85°C above the 1991-2020 average for October and 0.40°C above the previous warmest October, in 2019.
“The global temperature anomaly for October 2023 was the second highest across all months in the ERA5 dataset, behind September 2023.”
“Zooming in on Octobers only, shows that October 2015 more or less turned into a new baseline temperature.
“And the Earth’s Energy Imbalance is much higher now. Will all Octobers from now on be above +1.6C?”
“Probably linked to this westerly wind burst and the strengthening El Niño, the forecast for global mean temperature shows an upward spike in the coming days.
“Time will tell whether this spike is short-lived, as in October, or longer-lasting, as in September.”
“El Nino to last until April 2024, pushing record temperatures.
“The ongoing El Nino weather pattern is set to last until at least April 2024, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Wednesday, pushing up temperatures in a year already on track to be the warmest on record. The WMO said there was a 90% likelihood that the naturally-occurring event will continue through the northern hemisphere winter…”
“After 133 days of continuous record high Northern Hemisphere temperatures, we’ve just broken the highest autumn anomaly, +1.6°C above the 1979-2000 average.
“We are in uncharted territory.”
“October 2023 wasn’t just the warmest October on record, it was the moistest on record too…
“You have probably heard about October 2023 being the warmest October on record by a wide margin, but what about atmospheric moisture? …Higher atmospheric moisture content loads the dice toward extreme rainfall events.”
“Rising humidity has boosted storm potential in northern hemisphere.
“Unstable atmospheric conditions that are ripe for thunderstorms and sometimes tornadoes have increased across the northern hemisphere in the past 40 years. The finding is one of the best indications yet that strong storms are getting more frequent…”
“Luminous ‘mother-of-pearl’ clouds explain why climate models miss so much Arctic and Antarctic warming…
“We found a special type of cloud appears over polar regions when greenhouse gas concentrations are very high. The role of this type of cloud has been overlooked so far. This is one of the reasons why our models are too cold at the poles.”
“Greenland’s northern glaciers are in trouble, threatening ‘dramatic’ sea level rise, study shows…
“As the ocean warms, Greenland’s last remaining ice shelves are rapidly weakening, destabilizing the nearby glaciers and threatening potentially “dramatic” consequences for sea level rise, according to the study published Tuesday in Nature Communications.”
““Heart breaking” damage to UK farms in the wake of storms.
“Farmland in parts of the country remains submerged in floodwater following recent storms Babet and Ciaran – putting farmers under financial and emotional strain and prompting calls for government action.”
“UK ill-prepared for havoc future storms could wreak, scientists warn…
“Experts believe a warming atmosphere caused by emissions from burning fossil fuels will make storms more frequent and severe in the UK. This autumn, storms have caused thousands of homes in the UK to flood, and last week almost 150,000 households were left without power.”
“‘Exceptional’ floods hit dozens of towns in northern France…
“Two rivers — the Aa and the Liane — were placed on red alert for flooding in the northern Pas-de-Calais department after heavy showers overnight from Monday to Tuesday. Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin said on X (formerly Twitter) that seven people were injured but did not provide further details.”
“Belgium’s traditional horseback fishers see climate change in their nets.
“The coastal village of Oostduinkerke is the last place in the world where horseback shrimp fishing is still practiced – today as a UNESCO-recognised centuries-old tradition rather than a commercial enterprise. The fishermen and women’s proximity to the coastal waters has made them front-line witnesses of how climate change is altering the ecosystem of the North Sea.”
“Forest fires still raging in November [Greece].
“The number of fires in recent days may not seem a whole lot when compared to August, but the fact they are taking place in November is unusual. There were 39 agroforestry fires on Monday, 30 the day before and 55 on Saturday.”
“Drought threatens Türkiye’s agricultural future, ministry warns…
“Recommendations include raising public awareness about water conservation, licensing unregistered wells, and ensuring all water sources used for irrigation, including those for religious purposes such as mosques and fountains, are utilized judiciously.”
“Insane heat in Libya with 37.1C [98.8F] at Ghat at 700m asl. Another record for November.
“This heat in November is totally unprecedented and shows no signs to abate next days. Nights can still hover 30C on the Red Sea like in summer.”
“South Africa Declares National Disasters After Fall Floods, Storms.
“South Africa classified floods and storms that hit three coastal provinces in September and October as national disasters, allowing the government to free up funds to assist with reconstruction… South Africa proclaimed a climate-related disaster early last year after floods in the eastern KwaZulu-Natal province killed more than 400 people…”
“October 2023 in the Reunion Island had an average temperature of 21.95C [71.5F] ,+1.8C above normal and was the warmest October on record.
“The territories of Mayotte and Tromelin Islands also had their warmest October [Mayotte now using bottled water due to ongoing drought].“
“Climate change: Intensity of ongoing drought in Syria, Iraq and Iran ‘not rare anymore’.
“High temperatures caused by climate change are driving an ongoing drought in the Middle East, according to a new rapid attribution analysis by the World Weather Attribution service… Low rainfall and high temperatures have caused crops to fail and driven water shortages across the region, pushing millions of people into food insecurity.”
“As drought takes hold, villages in Gadag district [Karnataka, India] empty out…
“As severe drought turns vast swathes of land barren, villages in Gadag district are resembling old age homes with many farmers and daily wage workers migrating to cities to earn a living.”
“Karnataka violates CWMA order, releases less water.
“The Karnataka government continues to violate the direction of the Cauvery Water Management Authority (CWMA) to release the due share of water to Tamil Nadu, leaving no option for the lower riparian state except approaching the Supreme Court.”
“Every day is a record hot day in Thailand: Today hottest November day on records at Phuket and Krabi, two famous southern tourist beach resorts towns:
“37.0 [98.6F] Krabi; 35.9 Phuket… Thailand has been at record hot levels for 8 months.”
“Drought ‘already here’ as Australia has driest three months ever…
“Australia just had its driest three months on record, and it’s not going to let up soon. The Bureau of Meteorology’s November drought statement, issued yesterday, showed just how parched the country is, with some areas experiencing record-low levels of rainfall.”
“‘Underwater cyclone’ spinning 50km off Sydney coast, climate experts warn…
“The underwater cyclone is “prompting fears from the scientific community that a record-breaking marine heatwave may be in store”, according to the council. “The science can’t be any clearer, our oceans are in deep trouble,” report author and the Climate Council’s research director Simon Bradshaw said.”
“A penguin-killing virus at Moeraki’s local reserve has led to all newborn chicks being transferred to Dunedin [NZ].
“A disease that caused respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) in chicks, combined with a marine heatwave, killed half of the penguins hatched at Katiki Point Reserve last year.”
“Acapulco was built to withstand earthquakes, but not Hurricane Otis’ destructive winds – how building codes failed this resort city…
“Since powerful hurricanes are rare in Acapulco, Mexico’s building codes didn’t require that their exterior materials be able to hold up to extreme winds. In fact, those materials were often kept light to help meet earthquake building standards.”
“Panama Canal Queue Jumper Pays Record $4 Million to Skip Line…
“Japan’s Eneos Group paid $3.975 million in an auction Wednesday to secure the crossing, bidding documents show. That comes on top of the regular transit fees companies pay, which can be hundreds of thousands of dollars more… A queue of ships waiting to use the canal has been growing in recent months amid a deep drought.”
“Fula River Flooding Claims Lives in the Dominican Republic…
“The Fula River flooding in Monseñor Nouel, República Dominicana, has claimed at least two lives and left four others missing. The sudden surge in the river’s water level, triggered by torrential rains on Tuesday afternoon, swept away unsuspecting individuals.”
“Historic heat in USA, Mexico & Caribbean: 35.0 [95F] Canefield DOMINICA NOVEMBER NATIONAL RECORD.
“MEXICO records all over the country even at high elevations: 32.0 Morelia,Aguascalientes and Guanajuato (2000m); 29C Pachuca (2450m asl). In Texas Abilene reached 93F/33.9C.”
“HISTORIC November Heat Wave… 107F [42C] in Mexico (incredible record 90F/32C at 2000m asl in Guanajuato).
“97F Texas, 87F Missouri, 85 Indiana, 84 Illinois… Dozens records fell/tied in several States today…”
“Super fog is continuing to create dangerous driving conditions in Louisiana.
“Relentless drought conditions fueling the persistence of marsh fires burning in parts of southeastern Louisiana are causing a continuation of super fog events on regional highways during peak commute times.”
“Mississippi River hit record-low levels in October.
“A relatively warm October and expanding drought conditions across the Lower Mississippi Valley helped drop water levels to historic lows along parts of the Mississippi River last month. The U.S. also confirmed another billion-dollar disaster in October, bringing the total to a record 25 disasters in the first 10 months…”
“Virginia governor declares state of emergency as crews battle wildfires…
“The Quaker Run fire in Madison county and the Tuggles Gap fire in Patrick county broke containment lines over the weekend, and officials said additional resources are required to contain these fires and respond to any additional fires.”
“US beef prices hit record high as drought threatens cattle herds…
“Average prices of beef sold in US shops and supermarkets have risen to about $8 per pound, topping their previous high of $7.90 reached during the pandemic, according to data from the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).”
“Extreme Weather May Be Displacing Animals, Too, a New Study Suggests…
“A new analysis published this week suggests that extreme weather linked to climate change might be much harder on native species than on nonnative ones… sudden, violent changes in conditions could be helping to fundamentally reshape ecosystems.”
“The Hidden, Awful Way That Climate Change Imperils Animals.
“Metabolic change is a less-talked-about, yet brutal and widespread, consequence of global warming. As ocean temperatures rise, so do the metabolisms of animals from fish to crustaceans to zooplankton. They need more food, and it isn’t always available…”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
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