“The planet was 1.55°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC baseline for the period Jan. 1 – Oct. 31.
“We’re going to need either a huge sulfur emitting volcanic eruption, or near total collapse of global industrial civilization, to make it to 2030 without crossing the Paris limit.”
“October 2023 was about 0.3°C warmer than the record October of 2015, which indicates a decadal warming of 0.38°C.
“We see the same rate when looking at the average of the past 5 months.”
“2023 is a warm-up. 2024 will show what an average +1.5°C world will more or less look like. People won’t like what they see. We are entering uncharted territory.”
“The Arctic Is Becoming One Giant Construction Site.
“A naval port in Nome, Alaska, is the latest example of military and corporate interests rushing in as the Arctic thaws… soon, Nome’s diminutive harbor, at the upper reaches of the Pacific Ocean, will be able to accommodate any U.S. military vessel smaller than an aircraft carrier.”
“Expert says deadly 2021 heat wave [Pacific NW] will be “most studied” climate event, should not have happened until “about 2060.”…
“Wehner said he considered the heat wave a “a teachable moment for climate scientists,” and pointed out that at least 20 papers have already been written about this disaster, which is “probably the most studied extreme weather event of all time,” including 3 of his own.”
“Halloween cold snap over Lower 48 is setting records…
“The National Weather Service reported that it’s the snowiest Halloween on record in Glasgow, Mont., with 4 inches on the ground. Northern Maine, North Dakota and much of the northern and central Rocky Mountains, including the Denver area, also awakened to a white Halloween.”
“A wildfire fueled by gusty Santa Ana winds ripped through rural land south-east of Los Angeles, forcing about 4,000 people from their homes, fire authorities said.
“About 1,300 homes and 4,000 residents were under evacuation orders, a fire spokesperson, Jeff LaRusso, said on Monday.”
“Fire, other ravages jeopardize California’s prized forests: ‘John Muir would not recognize any of this’…
““If you can find a live tree, point to it,” Hugh Safford, an environmental science and policy researcher at UC Davis, said touring damage from the Caldor Fire, one of the past decade’s many massive blazes.”
“Sea turtles laid a record 52,500 nests in Florida but 99% are female…
“That’s because the sand where turtles nest is warmer than usual due to the abnormally warm temperatures this summer related to climate change. And temperature is what determines these turtles’ sex.”
“Record heat in Tobago (Trinidad and Tobago, Southern Caribbean): 33.4C [92.1F] today at Tobago Airport breaks the November record.
“Tobago has been with relentless record heat /day and night for weeks. It’s even hotter than the bigger Trinidad Island these days.”
“Tropical Storm Pilar has been blamed for three deaths in El Salvador, according to officials, as heavy rainfall and flash flooding continue Wednesday over portions of Central America…
“The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Pilar is now moving westward away from the Pacific coast of Central America…”
“Panama Canal making drastic cuts to booking slots as drought worsens.
“The Panama Canal announced a series of sharp reductions in booking slots to just 18 daily by February 2024 following the driest month of October in 73 years.”
“A World Desperate for Sugar Sees It Pile Up in Brazilian Ports… Global dependency on Brazilian sugar is ‘frightening’…
“To make matters worse, a fire at Paranagua, Brazil’s second-biggest port, has shut down a terminal and impacted operations at another facility. And all of that is happening just as a drought in the Amazon region is rerouting grain shipments from northern ports…”
“The Amazon Rainforest is being hit by three kinds of drought at once: an “eastern El Niño,” a “central El Niño” and an “Atlantic dipole.”
“Together, these drought conditions extend to almost the entire Amazon, and they are expected to last until at least mid-2024. These phenomena are all aggravated by global warming.”
“October temperature records have been shattered in the lower North Island [[NZ].
“Porirua reached 24.1C [75.4F] yesterday afternoon, a huge jump from its previous record of 21.9C for the month, set in 2021. Some trains on the Kapiti line were delayed by up to 8 minutes due to speed restrictions to stop the tracks from warping in the heat.”
“Auckland Airport has recorded its wettest year on record with two months to spare.
“A total of 1513mm [nearly 60 inches] of rain has fallen so far at the Auckland Airport rain gauge this year, beating the previous record holder when 1502mm fell in 1979… the Auckland Anniversary floods and Cyclone Gabrielle, contributed to record setting amounts of monthly rainfall in January and May.”
“A monster eddy current is forming off Sydney. What is it, and will it bring a new marine heatwave?
“…Our estimates suggest this 400km-wide beast holds 30% more heat than normal for this part of the ocean. Its currents are spinning at 8km/h. And the temperatures deep underwater are up to 3C above normal. If it moves close to shore, it could trigger another coastal marine heatwave.”
“Queensland’s fires are being ‘weird’ – why that’s a bad sign…
“The question many are asking is – are these fires normal? Our analysis shows these fires are weird in at least two ways. First, many more than usual are burning through the night. This is anomalous… And second, these fires are early in the season – especially the nighttime fires.”
“HISTORIC RECORD IN THE PHILIPPINES.
“November national record beaten today with 37.4 [99.3F] at Zamboanga. INDIA – historic November record in the hill town of Dehra Dun with >100 years of data: 31.0C today.”
“HOTTEST NOVEMBER DAY IN BANGLADESH.
“35.8 [96.4F] Sitakundu, records fell all over the country; Iran is also destroying records with >35C at 500m asl… Thousands of records are being swept away in just few hours all over Eurasia: World has never seen anything like this in its climatic history.”
“HOTTEST NOVEMBER DAY IN BOTH KOREAS.
“Exceptional 26.6C [79.9F] at Wonsan NORTH KOREA destroys the national record set at Hamheung in 2003. In just few hours several thousands records fell by huge margins and thousands more will fall in the next hours.”
“Epic heat wave! Today, 680 weather stations across China broke the November record, and 25 stations tied the record, accounting for 30% of the total number of weather stations in China.
“Such a large-scale record-breaking situation has never happened before!”
“HOTTEST NOVEMBER DAY IN MONGOLIAN HISTORY.
“Incredible warmth >1000m asl in November in Mongolian highlands, national record was pulverized: 21.8 [71.2F] Khovsgol and Zamyn Uud, 21.2 at Khanbogd. More to come: an avalanche of thousands records will sweep dozens countries in 5 continents.”
“CRAZY HEAT IN RUSSIA over 30 DEGREES [86F].
“RECORDS: 30.1 [86F] Goryachy Klyuch; 28.4 Akthy 1000m asl! 28.2 Majkop 27.4 Armavir etc… It’s November, it’s Russia and you can go to the swimming pool at >1000m asl. And if you think it’s over you are so wrong, in the weekend can get even worse.”
“38.1C [100.6F] Dubai HOTTEST NOVEMBER DAY ON RECORD… Dozens millions km2 of near continuum record heat, dozens of countries, thousands of records from Japan to Senegal; the world has never seen anything like or close to this.”
“Mayotte – further protests over water shortages possible territorywide through at least late November…
“Participants are denouncing the water cuts that local officials have implemented since Sept. 4. A civil society group has called for a protest in Dzaoudzi barge from 06:00 Nov. 6. Residents have demonstrated several times in Mamoudzou, near the water utility company…”
“Zimbabwe’s cholera crisis fuelled by chronic water shortages…
“In the capital, Harare, residents can go for weeks, or even months, without a regular supply of water from the Harare City Council. In Harare’s satellite township of Chitungwiza, more than 50 deaths were reported as October ended – all from cholera.”
“Without Warning: A Lack of Weather Stations Is Costing African Lives.
“A scarcity of weather stations in Africa and elsewhere in the Global South means millions of people cannot be alerted about impending extreme weather events. What’s needed is funding for equipment and early warning systems, which will reduce damage and save lives.”
“HOTTEST NOVEMBER DAY ON RECORD IN TUNISIA.
“36.4 [97.5F] Medenine; 35.5 Remada… More Records in Northern Africa include SENEGAL: 42.7 Podor… ALGERIA: 36.7 Beni Abbes and El Golea. The record heat today encompasses a nearly all-continuum area from Japan to Senegal: it’s brutal and unprecedented.”
“HOTTEST NOVEMBER DAY IN CYPRUS HISTORY.
“Unprecedented heat wave in Middle East/Caucasus/Mediterranean. 34.3 [93.7F] Kouris New National record for Cyprus… GEORGIA; crazy hot night with Tmin 21.8C at Kutaisi, it’s like mid summer; IRAN 35.2 Abu Musa Island.”
“HOTTEST NOVEMBER DAY IN MALTA HISTORY; 29.1 [84.4F] Luqa.
“Historic heat in TURKEY: Temperatures beat the records in several stations including Alanya which rose to 31C for the first time in November. 30c also in the Black Sea coast, it’s mid summer. Minimum temperatures up to 24C”
“Malta experienced driest October in more than a century.
“Malta experienced the driest October in more than a century. The record dry weather means farmers face higher irrigation costs and less income as a higher supply of crops on the market, resulting from warmer temperatures, pushes prices down.”
“Hotter Than Ever: Prague Experiences Record-Setting October Temperatures.
“Prague is currently experiencing an unusually warm autumn. Following the warmest September in recorded history, October also set a new record. This information was reported on Wednesday by the weather station at Prague’s Clementinum, which has been maintaining statistics since 1775.”
“Spain – Water Scarcity in a Vacation Paradise… Water shortages in southern Europe are becoming an increasingly ominous problem…
“The summer of 2023 was marked with record temperatures and aridity. Spain is now facing a huge challenge: How to distribute precious water supplies sensibly and fairly?”
“Portugal “can’t afford” to give water from Alqueva to Spain…
““I don’t understand why we should give away the little stored water we have, in one of the few places we have to store it, to Spanish farmers, when the Portuguese are also short of water,” said Vasconcelos.”
“Lake Como bursts its banks as violent storm pounds Northern Italy.
“A storm that brought heavy rain and violent winds to Northern Italy overnight and early Tuesday sent rapid floods through central Milan and caused Lake Como to breach its banks. Several waterside bars were flooded at the lake…”
“Remains of a person missing since devastating floods in 2021 found in Germany…
“People collecting garbage in an area where the Ahr flows into the Rhine in the town of Sinzig found several bones and bone fragments on Oct 15. Investigators carried out a DNA test that police said determined the remains were those of a person who had been missing since the floods.”
“Storm Ciaran: Major incident declared in England as 104mph winds batter Channel Islands and UK transport disrupted…
“In the Channel Islands, where a red weather warning is in place and a “major incident” has been declared, dozens have been people have been forced to take refuge in a hotel after their homes were damaged by winds of over 100mph.”
“Climate change making UK wetter and stormier, say scientists…
“As the atmosphere warms it holds more moisture – around 7% for each degree – and results in heavier downpours when clouds finally burst. Many regions of the world, including the UK, are expected to become warmer and wetter…”
“‘Unprecedented’ flooding hits several counties [Ireland] ahead of Storm Ciarán.
“Further homes and businesses across a number of counties were on Tuesday grappling with significant damage caused by “unprecedented” flooding after incessant rain, as the threat of more heavy showers in coming days loomed.”
“Marine subsurface heatwaves threaten deep-sea organisms…
““If you’re a whale or a tuna, you’re able to move faster away [from a heatwave] than if you’re a very small type of plankton or small snail floating in the water column,” says Dr Karen Filbee-Dexter, a marine ecologist from the University of Western Australia.”
“The ‘flickering’ of Earth systems is warning us: act now, or see our already degraded paradise lost…
“Can you see it yet? The Earth systems horizon – the point at which our planetary systems tip into a new equilibrium, hostile to most lifeforms? I think we can… What we are living through today, unless sudden and drastic action is taken by us and our governments, is the sixth great Earth systems collapse.”
“Deep divisions ahead of crucial UN climate talks.
“There are already signs that deep divisions could hamper progress at the UN’s crucial COP28 climate summit… Many delegates doubt that a summit hosted by a petrostate – the United Arab Emirates – can shepherd the world towards a low carbon future.”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
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