“Mid month checkpoint: Global temperature anomaly for 1-15 October according to the JRA-55 reanalysis is +0.84C above the 1991-2020 normal, similar to September.
“Spain and Portugal are the most above average countries nationwide, Libya the most below.”
“Will the Earth breach its 1.5C guardrail sooner than we thought?
“When the ‘godfather of climate science’ says the extraordinary heat during the northern summer points to accelerated warming, governments should listen… As the Guardian has reported, the average global temperature last month was what scientists described as a gobsmacking 1.7C or 1.8C above historic levels, and more than 0.5C above the previous hottest September on record.”
“Yesterday the global sea surface temperature anomaly hit a new record high of 0.702°C above the 1991-2020 mean, beating the previous record anomaly of 0.700°C set on September 9th. This is a ‘Code UFB’ event.”
“Wasn’t this crazy North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly supposed to end in June?
“Maybe, just maybe, the loudest voice on the soapbox [ie Michael Mann] is wrong, and the data is telling a very different story?”
“Gulf Stream weakening now 99% certain, and ramifications will be global.
“The flow of warm water through the Florida Straits has slowed by 4% over the past four decades, with grave implications for the world’s climate. The ocean current starts near Florida and threads a belt of warm water along the U.S. East Coast and Canada before crossing the Atlantic to Europe.”
[picture from Cork] and sparking commuter hell in southern England.“Scotland braces for up to ONE FOOT of rain: Storm Babet’s torrents inch north after causing flooding chaos in Ireland
“A near-record amount of precipitation is predicted to fall on areas of Perthshire and Aberdeenshire today and tomorrow as the low pressure system crawls its way north.”
[picture is of Canada Warbler; not seen until now on these shores]…“Storm [Hurricane Lee] sweeps dozens of North American landbirds to Britain
“The tragedy is those that were found here are just a tiny fraction of the total, the vast majority of which would have perished before they could make landfall… the bigger picture is that more extreme weather, including more frequent hurricanes, is very bad news for these birds’ long-term survival.”
“An excavator digging into Theodul glacier to prepare for early season ski races – shocking images in Zermatt. Is this the future of alpine skiing in the face of melting glaciers?
“The absolute wrong path, we need to see more climate action from this industry.”
“Ghana floods: ‘My entire farm is under the water and so is my house’.
“The 56-year-old farmer is one of thousands of victims of the floods in south-east Ghana. It’s a disaster she is struggling to come to terms with. They were taken unawares and couldn’t salvage anything, she tells me as beads of tears roll down her face.”
“Three people die, three missing after Eastern Cape lashed by torrential rain.
“One person died and three are missing after trying to cross rivers and a pregnant woman and her 11-year old son were crushed to death when their house collapsed as torrential rain and flash floods hit parts of the Eastern Cape on Monday.”
“Malawians endured the country’s hottest weekend on record, with temperatures reaching nearly 20C above the seasonal average.
“The heatwave began last Thursday with the government warning people to stay out of the sun, to keep hydrated, and avoid alcohol and caffeine. Some school buildings in the south of the country were evacuated…”
“Records are falling in several parts of Africa…
“Let’s see a couple of islands/archipelagos: MAURITIUS: 34.5C Agalega Island , It beats again the Mauritian record heat for October; CAPE VERDE 36.2C [97.2F] Mindelo hottest day in climatic history for any month.”
“Extreme weather continues to batter Yemen.
“Yemen, acknowledged by the news media far less than Libya and Morocco, offers one of the most prominent examples. Even as Yemen’s slow-burning civil war has disappeared from the news of the day, the parallel crisis of extreme weather continues to batter a country more often spotlighted for the spectre of famine.”
[yes, that is a dead donkey in the drinking water].“Egypt approaching water scarcity line, Irrigation Minister warns
“Minister of Irrigation and Water Resources Hani Sewilam said that the per capita share of water in Egypt has declined, approaching water scarcity, with a large gap between resources and needs.”
“Tigris–Euphrates basin states must come together to address water crisis…
“The Baghdad protests drew attention to the delicate balance needed among nations that share water and the pressing need for cooperation in water management. Turkey’s and Iran’s dams on the Tigris and Euphrates have been contentious because they significantly alter flows downstream in Iraq.”
“Malaysia says landslide that killed 31 people last year was caused by heavy rain, not human activity.
““This heavy rain caused slope failures, which buried the camp sites … under soil, causing damage to property and loss of life,” he said. “The investigation found no strong evidence of anthropogenic activity as a contributing factor to this landslide.””
“More Da Nang floods evacuate 1,000 again [Vietnam]…
“People living in alleys off Me Suot and Hoang Van Thai Street in Da Nang’s Lieu Chieu District leave their homes for higher ground on Tuesday morning. Nearly 5,000 people in the area had been evacuated on Friday night after heavy rains caused waters to rise to up to 1.5 meters.”
“Record heat in nearly all INDONESIA provinces:
“JAVA: 38.4C [101.1F] Curug monthly record tied; 37.2C Jakarta Tanjung Priok monthly record; SULAWESI: 38.0C Tanjung Karang; SUMATRA: 37.0C Palembang all time high tied; BORNEO: 37.0C Palangaraya all time high.”
“‘Dark, chaotic, scary events’: Australia braces for a ‘horror’ wildfire season.
““Be prepared for a horror summer,” warned Chris Minns, premier of New South Wales. “We are going into October and we’re experiencing mid-summer conditions, multiple days above 30 degrees, high winds. Bushfires love this environment.””
“Global insurers say Australia is running out of time to reduce its vulnerability to the climate crisis and faces higher premiums for households and businesses.
““They said, ‘you’ve got five years basically’,” said the federal assistant treasurer, Stephen Jones, who led a delegation last month to insurance centres in London and Munich.”
“Peruvians Can’t Afford Their National Dish Ceviche After El Nino Devastates Farms.
“Heavy rains have devastated local lime crops, sending prices up by almost 70% just in August. Since lime juice is a key ingredient in Peruvian cuisine, that created a national furor and forced the finance minister to call for calm.”
“Not a single passes without heat records in Bolivia and today wasn’t the exception:
“40.4C [104.7F] San Joaquin hottest day in climatic history; 39.6C Magdalena; hottest October day… More heat is expected all the week. This record heat has been ongoing for months in the whole country.”
“South America heat Wave: After their hottest days in history, the PARAGUAY cities of Asuncion (city center) and San Pedro had their hottest nights: Tmin 30.0C [86F] for both.
“And what about FRENCH GUIANA? Did it take a break from heat records? Never! 37C St Georges all time high tied.”
“Drought turns Amazonian capital into climate dystopia.
“So many fires are burning in the surrounding tinder-dry forest that air-quality monitors last week registered 387 micrograms of pollution a cubic metre, compared with 122 in Brazil’s economic capital of São Paulo. The only city in the world that measured worse was an industrial centre of Thailand.”
“Wow. That is concerning. Brazil’s July-Sep rainfall has dropped ~40% in just 4 to 5 decades.”
“September 2023 in Mexico had an average temperature of 26.4C,+2.6C vs 1991-2020 norm and was the HOTTEST ON RECORD.
“Hundreds of records were broken allover the country… Last months in Mexico were insane: Hottest June; Hottest July; Hottest August; Hottest summer; Hottest September.”
“After rainy season that wasn’t, parched Mexico City starts restricting water.
“Mexico’s rainy season is just about over, and its departure will end any realistic hope of refilling the reservoirs before next year. The Mexican National Water Commission on Tuesday announced water restrictions equivalent to about 8% of the Cutzamala system’s flow, and millions of users in Mexico City and Toluca fear even greater restrictions over the winter.”
“As Ogallala Aquifer Declines in the Great Plains, States Weigh Metering Irrigation Wells.
“About A Quarter Of The United States’ Irrigated Cropland Sits On Top Of The Ogallala Aquifer In The Great Plains. But Water Levels Are Dropping, And States Are Taking Different Approaches To Monitoring How Much Groundwater Irrigators Are Pumping Out.”
“Canada’s astonishing and record fire season finally slows down…
“While winter brings a reprieve, Alberta Wildfire warns that some of the largest blazes may crackle underground through the cold season. Some scientists refer to these as “zombie fires.” …Prospects of an intense El Nino this winter may also mean more unusually warm conditions are ahead.”
“Wild animals are forgotten disaster victims—why should we care?
“Wildlife are killed, injured, and displaced by disasters. Even if they survive the initial disaster, their habitat and food sources are destroyed. Water becomes polluted. They’re at risk of developing life-threatening diseases. They’re forced to leave their habitats…”
“Global uptick in cholera cases raises alarm after decades of progress.
“Climate change… exacerbates the conditions through which cholera develops and spreads. Extreme weather events may destroy sanitation facilities, spread infected sewage into water sources, displace infected or at-risk populations, and contaminate seafood.”
“Climate change blamed for ‘concerning’ rise of flesh-eating infections…
“Vibrio vulnificus bloodstream infections are fatal in around 50 per cent of cases and treatment can include amputations, sometimes within days of infection. It is one of the few bacteria that can cause flesh-eating infections, destroying skin, muscles, nerves, fat and blood vessels.”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back tomorrow with an “Economic” thread.
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