“El Niño and global warming are mixing in alarming and unpredictable ways.
““We are in uncharted waters,” says Maarten van Aalst, director of the Dutch meteorological agency and former head of the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre. “We have never had an El Niño on top of so much global warming, so we don’t know what is going to happen.””
“Sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 region of the Pacific have entered the strong El Niño range, surpassing the 1.5°C above normal threshold.
“A strong El Niño event is likely to develop later this fall/winter (Oceanic Niño Index >1.5°C)…”
https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1695263035810857154
“Will the global Surface Air Temperature break through 17°C [62.6F] again in the following days?
“These temperature anomalies are not normal!”
https://twitter.com/LeonSimons8/status/1694966206124462266
“Extreme surface melt (SMB ~ -10 GT/day) today and tomorrow over the Greenland ice sheet for the end of this melt season as a result of +15°C temperature anomalies.
“It is the highest melt event for this time of the year from the beginning (1940) of the MAR model reconstructions.”
https://twitter.com/xavierfettweis/status/1693911441005306247
“Heat wave in the northern Baltic Sea now the longest ever recorded.
“The heat wave in the northern Baltic Sea in recent weeks is the longest ever recorded. “The unusually high water temperatures are very worrying and can have major consequences for the marine ecosystem in the area,” says Nicholas Kamenos, director of Umeå Marine Sciences Center.”
https://phys.org/news/2023-08-northern-baltic-sea-longest.html
“Flood damage in Slovenia estimated at €5 billion.
“Floods that hit large parts of northern and central Slovenia in early August are estimated to have caused around €5 billion in damage to homes, infrastructure and businesses, equivalent to one-third of the national budget or around 8% of GDP, according to the latest government estimates.”
https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/flood-damage-in-slovenia-estimated-at-e5-billion/
“Flash floods have struck Far East Russia’s Primorye region for the second time this month, causing major power outages in the territory’s administrative center of Vladivostok on Friday.
“A total of 70,000 out of the 600,000 residents of Vladivostok were left without electricity over an eight-hour period… It was reported that two weeks’ worth of precipitation fell in just a few hours of rainfall.”
“Record day in Switzerland yesterday:
“ALL TIME HIGHS: 38.5 [101.3F] Nyon; 38.2 Payerne; 33.5 Disentis; 31.5 Montana; 30 La Fretaz; 21.8 Grand St Bernard… MONTHLY HIGHS: 39.3 Geneva; 36.5 Friburg; 33.8 Chateux Oex; 32.8 La Brevine; 31.2 Zermatt; 29.5 Abelboden; 28.8 La Dole.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1694982951669231682
“Three of the most important Alpine glaciers “icons”, Titlis (Switzerland), Zugspitze (Germany) and Sonnblick (Austria) are devoid of any snow with the glaciers exposed to melting during this warm spell.
“At last next days fresh snow will cover them but the long term trend is poor.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1695066146532118858
“French winemakers harvest grapes by night to escape heatwave.
“At a number of vineyards, however, day time temperatures of over 40C meant harvesting the grapes at night. “At midnight, the thermometer in the tractor says it’s 31°C, which is still very hot and makes the work hard but we are dependent on the weather and can’t do it any other way,” one vigneron told France 3.”
“Record day in France: Hundreds of records fell including Lyon with 41.4C.
“I make a thread with the longest POR all time highs (the other are listed below by Meteociel): Lyon 41.4; Montauban 42.6; Mirande 42.9 [109.2F]; Agen 42.5; Reaup 42.6; Serignac 42.4; Tiranges 42.1; Beaucaire 42.1.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1694783268564975953
“France this week recorded its hottest late-summer day ever, breaching the record yet again in the now-ebbing heatwave, weather authorities said on Friday…
“The nationwide average temperature over 24 hours hit 27.8C on Thursday August 24, Meteo France announced, the most intense heat ever measured after August 15 in records going back to 1947. That record had been breached four days in a row, Meteo France added.”
https://www.thelocal.fr/20230825/france-heatwave-sets-another-late-summer-temperature-record
“Barcelona gives hats to homeless people as heatwave sweeps southern Europe.
“Barcelona is handing out water and caps to homeless people and France has recorded its highest overnight temperature since records began, as firefighters in Greece grapple with major wildfires in another brutal European heatwave…”
“The city of Barcelona registered its hottest night on record, Spain’s meteorological service confirmed on Thursday.
“The Fabra Observatory, which has been tracking the temperature in the Catalan capital for 110 years, saw an overnight low of 29.4C (85F) on Wednesday. That shatters the previous low of 27.8C, which was registered in 2003.”
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/barcelona-swelters-through-hottest-night-on-record/2975598
“Milan records hottest day since [record keeping began in] 1763.
“Italy’s northern city of Milan registered a new record high average daily temperature of 33 Celsius (91.4 Fahrenheit) on Wednesday as a heatwave which began around mid-August reached its peak, the regional environmental protection agency (ARPA)said on Friday.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/milan-records-hottest-day-since-1763-2023-08-25/
“Flames devour forests and homes as wildfires in Greece burn out of control.
“Greece’s largest forest fire was burning out of control for the fifth day on Wednesday near the city of Alexandroupolis in the northeast. Another major blaze on the outskirts of Athens torched homes, reducing some to piles of smoking rubble and encroached into the national park on Mount Parnitha, one of the last green areas near the Greek capital.”
“Fierce heat in North Africa and Middle East: extremely rare if not unheard of for late August.
“Yesterday 24 August 52.0C [125.6F] at Basra in Iraq and 48.1C at Agadir in Morocco [which has already broken its national record this summer]. Today 50.3C in the United Arab Emirates. Both areas have been with an extremely hot August so far.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1695020696706130392
“Turkey’s largest lake is drying up because of drought, leaving behind stinky, polluted mud and causing a ‘bird massacre’.
“Lake Van, the largest body of water in Turkey and the second largest in the Middle East, is drying up — and its retreating water line is leaving behind stinky, polluted mud and causing a “bird massacre,” locals told the Agence France-Press.”
https://news.yahoo.com/turkeys-largest-lake-drying-because-172454371.html
“Iran ready to cooperate with other countries on tackling sand and dust storms…
“According to studies, eight large sand and dust storm hotspots stretching to 270 million hectares in neighboring and Persian Gulf countries are affecting Iran. Regional maps show that Saudi Arabia produces the highest level of particulate matter, followed by Iraq, Syria, Kuwait, and the UAE, respectively.”
“Global warming link to intense rains in India’s Himalayas, scientists say.
“Torrential rains that have battered India’s Himalayas in recent years, killing hundreds of people and causing billions of dollars worth of damage, are becoming more intense due to a clash of weather systems triggered by global warming, scientists said.”
“On Nepal’s slopes, villages brace for a worsening monsoon.
“The monsoon season, which runs from June through September, has become a nervous time for the people of Nepal. The climate crisis has supercharged the fallout from the annual rains, which are triggering an increasing number of floods and landslides, disasters that are especially devastating in a nation defined by its vertigo-inducing slopes.”
https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/nepals-slopes-villages-brace-worsening-monsoon
“Indonesia’s tropical Eternity Glaciers could vanish within years, experts say.
“Two of the world’s few tropical glaciers, in Indonesia, are melting and their ice may vanish by 2026 or sooner as an El Niño weather pattern threatens to accelerate their demise, the country’s geophysics agency has said… We are now in a position to document the glaciers’ extinction,” Donaldi said. “At least we can tell future generations that we used to have glaciers.””
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/25/indonesia-tropical-glaciers-melting-el-nino
“Extraordinary heat wave in Japan: hundreds of records are beaten and re-beaten day after day.
“Yesterday 67 records fell, here the highest Tmins on records courtesy of JMA. The heat will go on into September,let’s expect hundreds of records in the coming weeks.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1695043354760032695
“Very warm in Western Australia today with some monthly records beaten: 30.9C [87.6F] Cunderdin; 26.3C Gooseberry Hill.
“Preliminary data suggests that this 2023 winter in Australia is being the WARMEST ON RECORD.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1694998606598553805
“Among so many record heat, we had an “almost” record low:
“Today the Min. temperature in the Easter Island/Isla de Pascua/Rapa Nui, Chile dropped to 7.7C [45.8F], which is just 0.5C from its all time low of 7.2C.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1695188876892004840
“Winter heatwave: Another South American country [Brazil] is sweltering in record temperatures.
“August temperatures have soared to 42C after the country recorded its hottest July ever. Brazil has been hit by record temperatures of almost 42°C, despite still being in winter. The rare heatwave engulfed 19 of Brazil’s 26 states on Thursday, as well as the capital of Brasilia…”
“Catastrophic weather hits crop insurers in Brazil and Argentina.
“Recent siginificant losses in Brazil’s and Argentina’s crop insurance markets were big enough to spook reinsurance markets, which have restricted capacity and hardened terms and conditions in both countries.”
“Brazil’s orange production at risk as greening disease skyrockets…
“In the U.S., Florida has grappled with citrus greening disease, or huanglongbing, for more than a decade, shrinking the state’s output. Infected trees produce fruits that are green, misshapen and bitter, unsuitable for sale as fresh fruit or for juice.”
“Chilean citrus harvest impacted by intense rain and flooding.
“Chile’s fruit industry was yet again hit by very high rainfall of between 50 mm to 150 mm, that has caused a fresh round of flooding and a delay in mandarin and lemon harvesting… About 30,000 people have evacuated their homes in six regions. Chile’s Government through President Gabriel Boric has declared a state of emergency in the central-southern parts of the country.”
“The Panama Canal, a vital passageway that moves 6 percent of the world’s maritime commerce, will extend transit restrictions due to drought-induced low water levels.
“Canal authorities first announced restrictions this year, creating a backlog of vessels waiting to cross. But on Thursday, those restrictions were extended for at least 10 additional months.”
“Dominican officials inspect damage inflicted by Tropical Storm Franklin after heavy flooding kills 2.
“Authorities in the Dominican Republic are fanning out across the Caribbean country to evaluate the damage that Tropical Storm Franklin inflicted on crops and homes after causing heavy flooding that killed at least two people and left one missing.”
“Argo floats ahead of Invest 93L show plenty of ocean heat content (deep, very warm water) in the Gulf of Mexico. More heat content = more energy will be available to whatever the invest becomes.
“Plot has a newly expanded temperature axis. Because the Gulf has been that warm. [“Depth of the 26C isotherm being 50 meters is warm. Depth of the 31C isotherm being 50 meters is other-worldly” – additional comment from Andy Hazelton].”
https://twitter.com/DrKimWood/status/1695195483608608997
“Historic heat wave in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi.
“ALL TIME RECORDS tied or * broken: Houston 109 [42.8C]; New Orleans 102; Alexandria 110; Mc Comb & Hattiesburg 106; De Ridder 109; New Iberia 106 *; Liberty & Port Arthur 108.”
https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1694848323432136807
“Alexandria, Louisiana has reached 109F [42.8C] for the third time this year. Prior to 2023, its highest temperature was 108F.”
https://twitter.com/DonSuth89069583/status/1694820197348110679
“Louisiana residents told to ‘get out now’ in face of sweeping wildfire.
“A rare uncontrollable wildfire in Louisiana has forced nearly 1,000 residents to evacuate the town of Merryville in Beauregard parish, near the state’s border with Texas. “Get out now!” the Beauregard parish sheriff’s office wrote on social media.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/aug/25/louisiana-wildfire-tiger-island-fire-evacuation
“Houston, nation’s 4th largest city, tightens water restrictions as Texas drought deepens.
“An intensifying drought across the Lone Star State has forced more communities to increase water restrictions in an effort to head off any potential shortages. The country’s fourth-largest city, Houston, recently announced it will enter the second stage of its drought contingency plan…”
https://www.aol.com/news/houston-nations-4th-largest-city-003442851.html
“Police search for missing after floodwaters wash multiple people away in Las Vegas canals.
“At least two people have gone missing after a severe storm caused extensive rainfall and flooding Wednesday along the Las Vegas Strip. Multiple 911 calls were reported about 9 p.m. after people were caught in drainage channels during heavy rain, Las Vegas Metropolitan Police told FOX Weather.”
https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/missing-people-flood-las-vegas-nevada
“Chicago Weather Alert: Record-setting 120° heat index.
“If you think it’s never felt this hot in Chicago before, you’re right. CBS 2 Chief Meteorologist Albert Ramon reports, As of 3 p.m., the heat index had hit 120°, the hottest “feels like” temperature in recorded history in Chicago.”
https://www.cbsnews.com/chicago/news/chicago-weather-alert-heat-warning-heat-index-record/
“At least seven tornadoes touched down in Michigan as part of severe storms powered by strong winds that killed five people, while downing trees, tearing roofs off buildings and leaving hundreds of thousands of customers without power, officials said.
“The National Weather Service on Friday said an EF-2 tornado with a maximum wind speed of 125 mph (201 kilometers per hour) struck near Lansing, the state capital…”
“Entire town of Hay river in Canada ordered to leave as wildfires encroach.
“Wildfires in Canada’s Northwest Territories on Friday forced the evacuation of the entire town of Hay River, a community of about 4,000 people on the Great Slave Lake, authorities said. The government of the Northwest Territories ordered everyone in town, including essential workers, to go…”
“Extreme weather costs are pushing rural Ontario towns to the financial brink.
“The mayor of Glencoe, Ont., says the cost of cleaning up and repairing the damage from Wednesday’s deadly rainstorm has pushed his rural community to ask the province for financial relief… So much rain fell so fast that it caused Dundonald Road, the town’s most important thoroughfare, to collapse…”
“‘Catastrophic breeding failure’ of emperor penguin colonies for first time due to record low Antarctic sea ice.
“The ice is usually stable between about April and the end of December, with chicks fledging around mid to late December. But when it breaks up early, thought to be due to warmer seas, chicks likely drown or freeze to death because they have not yet grown their waterproof feathers or are not ready to fledge.”
“Climate Change Is Helping Pests and Diseases Destroy Our Food.
“Pests and diseases are exacerbating crop shortages that have sent prices for goods like cocoa, olive oil and orange juice soaring. That’s set to become even more prevalent as extreme weather events multiply.”
You can read the previous “Climate” thread here. I’ll be back on Monday with an “Economic” thread.
If you found value in this content, please help me continue this work by becoming a patron of my work via Patreon. And if you are already a subscriber or have donated – thank you! It is an enormous help as the cost-of-living crisis ratchets up here in the UK.
And yet…
Climate crisis
Scientific journal retracts article that claimed no evidence of climate crisis
Publisher Springer Nature says 2022 article ‘not supported by available evidence’ as editors launch investigation
One of the world’s biggest scientific publishers has retracted a journal article that claimed to have found no evidence of a climate crisis.
Springer Nature said it had retracted the article, by four Italian physicists, after an internal investigation found the conclusions were “not supported by available evidence or data provided by the authors”.
Climate sceptic groups widely publicised the article, which appeared in the European Physical Journal Plus in January 2022 – a journal not known for publishing climate change science.
Nine months later the article was reported uncritically in a page one story in the Australian newspaper and promoted in two segments on Sky News Australia – a channel that has been described as a global hub for climate science misinformation. The segments were viewed more than 500,000 times on YouTube.
Sky and the Australian find ‘no evidence’ of a climate emergency – they weren’t looking hard enough
The article claimed to have analysed data to find no trend in rainfall extremes, floods, droughts and food productivity.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/26/scientific-journal-retracts-article-that-claimed-no-evidence-of-climate-crisis
The Guardian asked why the issues with the paper were not picked up before publication. Springer Nature said it could not discuss “the specific history or peer review process of a paper with anyone other than the authors”.
Too late…damage was done…
It’s inconsequential. Sky news are Rupert Murdoch’s puppets. When you own a huge media empire you get to make the ‘news’ say whatever you want.
All those deniers are going to burn with the rest of us. The pain is locked in and it could only be worse and come sooner if we have a nuclear war.
I’ll give a hint as to the one, the only, the only way possible to deal with Overshoot, the Climatastrophe, and Collapse. It’s an acronym, and everyone everywhere must immediately adopt it, in all spheres of life.
First, through, you have to send $99.99 to the following address – just kidding, this isn’t Chris Martenson or any would-be guru talking.
This is free. SPATS.
Yes, SPATS, and SPATS-P. That’s it. two acronyms, that’s all that’s necessary.
Stop Paying Attention to StupiditY = SPATS.
And SPATS-P – Stop Paying Attention to Stupid People.
Yer welcome. Have a nice day, Internet.
After America’s summer of extreme weather, ‘next year may well be worse’
Oliver Milman
Sat, August 26, 2023 at 6:00 AM EDT·
A firefighter lifts a migrant woman suffering from heat exhaustion onto a stretcher
A firefighter lifts a woman suffering from heat exhaustion on to a stretcher in Eagle Pass, Texas on 26 June 2023. Inset: Noaa data shows 90 and 100F maximum heat in the US on the same day. Photograph: Kaylee Greenlee Beal/Reuters
In Miami, which had a record 46 days in a row with a heat index above 100F (37C), there was no respite even in the nearby ocean, with a raging marine heatwave turning the seawater to a temperature more normally seen in hot tubs, raising fears that Florida’s coral reef will be turned to mush.
“It’s been a shocking summer,” said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA. “We know most of this is happening because of long-term warming of the climate system so it’s not surprising, sadly, but you still get shocked by these extremes. Records are not just being broken, they are being shattered by wide margins.”
The record temperatures are being driven not only by global heating caused by the burning of fossil fuels but also by the onset of El Niño, a periodic climate event that heats up part of the Pacific Ocean, causing temperatures to spike around the world.
“This summer is most concerning to me personally and professionally not because it indicates an acceleration of climate change, more that it suggests we are somewhat inured to it,” Swain said.
“This year is shocking and next year may well be worse. This summer will be among the cooler summers this century, it will feel like a remarkably cool summer 30 years from now even though it feels so extreme now. It is quite amazing, in fact it’s mind-blowing when you think about that.”
https://www.yahoo.com/news/america-summer-extreme-weather-next-100035672.html
Most don’t think about it….
“We have seen an unusual summer and these ‘unusual’ summers will become more and more frequent in the future,” said Katharine Hayhoe, a climate scientist at the Nature Conservancy. Hayhoe said high temperatures, El Niño and natural variability have all combined to create the sort of conditions not seen before by humans. “It’s like an overloaded camel with an extra bale of hay and then some additional weight on top,” she said.
Had to look up “inured”. Doh! 😉
Feel like I’m back in school in the 60’s, look up the definition & use the word in a sentence.
I’ve been inured by this species’ stupidity for most of my life.
I’m absolutely brilliant!
Without reading any of the links,I know that not one mentioned anything about overpopulation being the cause of any of these problems.
I’m in awe of the egos of this species. I’m wrong again . It’s not egos when the species motto is: “It’s not my fault!”?
FMTT! That’s what AGW is going to do to this species. Hope they enjoy the suffering they have chosen. Waiting for the global realization of their actions to punch them in the face. Consequences don’t care about anyone’s political,economic or religious values.
I’m such a Debbie Downer.